Abstract
AbstractThis article explains the expansion and contraction of Norwegian mink production in an expanding market as a consequence of pelt price and mink fanning costs. The explanation is based upon a Bayesian approach to estimating the farmers' loan fraction, their response to profitability, and a few delays in economic perception and capacity adjustments.This model is the first in a series being developed to portray national and international fur production and markets. In addition to reflecting Norwegian mink production, the model may be considered generic for international fur production.
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