A rear-end collision prediction scheme based on deep learning in the Internet of Vehicles

Abstract

Recently, the deep learning schemes have been well investigated for improving the driving safety and efficiency in the transportation systems. In this paper, a probabilistic model named as CPGN (Collision Prediction model based on GA-optimized Neural Network) for decision-making in the rear-end collision avoidance system is proposed, targeting modeling the impact of important influential factors of collisions on the occurring probability of possible accidents in the Internet of Vehicles (IoV). The decision on how to serve the chauffeur is determined by a typical deep learning model, i.e., the BP neural network through evaluating the possible collision risk with V2I (Vehicle-to-Infrastructure) communication, V2V (Vehicle-to-Vehicle) communication and GPS infrastructure supporting. The proper structure of our BP neural network model is deeply learned with training data generated from VISSIM with multiple influential factors considered. In addition, since the selection of the connection coefficient array and thresholds of the neural network has great randomness, a local optimization issue is readily occurring during the modeling procedure. To overcome this problem and consider the ability to efficiently find out a global optimization, this paper chooses the genetic algorithm to optimize the coefficient array and thresholds of proposed neural network. For the purpose of enhancing the convergence speed of the proposed model, we further adjust the studying rate according to the relationship between the actual and predicated values of two adjacent iterations. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed collision risk evaluation framework could offer rationale estimations to the possible collision risk in car-following scenarios for the next discrete monitoring interval.