Abstract
ETH-NUKERISK model and associated computer software is designed as modular, GIS-based platform, capable to accommodate and test a variety of models — mathematical and logical — normally concurring in the risk and accident consequence assessment as applicable to nuclear power plants. The current version of the software combines expert system and GIS features into an early-response-oriented knowledge based and decision support system. It combines pre-digested knowledge and casuistry with ad-hoc analysis to diagnose abnormal events and predict/evaluate the amplitude of the entailed environmental contamination and potential health effects. The results can be mapped together with the zones of recommended intervention, including the points of minimum risk. ETH-NUKERISK is believed to hold good potential for steering a many-folded development: towards a DSS, computer assisted learning and expertise instrument, transparent to mitigate several expert-to-decedent communication problems in emergency preparedness and management.
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