Abstract

With the development of society and the improvement of people's material level, more and more people like to travel by airplane. If we can predict the passenger flow of an airline in advance, it can be used as an important decision-making basis for its flight route planning, crew scheduling planning and ticket price formulation in the process of management and operation. However, due to the high complexity of aviation network, the existing traffic prediction methods generally have the problem of low prediction accuracy. In order to overcome this problem, this paper makes full use of graph convolutional neural network and long—short memory network to construct a prediction system with short—term prediction ability. Specifically, this paper uses the graph convolutional neural network as a feature extraction tool to extract the key features of air traffic data, and solves the problem of long term and short term dependence between data through the long term memory network, then we build a high-precision air traffic prediction system based on it. Finally, we design a comparison experiment to compare the algorithm with the traditional algorithms. The results show that the algorithm we proposed in this paper has a higher accuracy in air flow prediction according to the lower loss function value.

Highlights

  • In recent years, as an important industry in national economic and social development and an advanced mode of transportation, the demand for civil aviation passenger transport has been growing rapidly along with the rapid development of national economy and the substantial increase of people’s income

  • In view of the low accuracy of air passenger flow prediction and the trend, randomness and volatility of air traffic affected by many factors, we built a graph convolution-long short-term memory model based on graph convolutional neural network and the long shortterm memory (LSTM) neural network

  • AAT_URC a single route, for example, using the proposed Graphic Convolutional Neural Network (GCN)-LSTM traffic prediction model, the horizontal axis shows departure date from September 15, 2020 to October 31, 2020, 14 days before the use of the time sequence to forecast the traffic on the same day price, compare the renderings as shown in Figure 4, dot shows the actual passenger flow, square said according to 14 days before the price time series prediction of passenger flow

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Summary

A New Way of Airline Traffic Prediction Based on GCN-LSTM

Due to the high complexity of aviation network, the existing traffic prediction methods generally have the problem of low prediction accuracy. In order to overcome this problem, this paper makes full use of graph convolutional neural network and long—short memory network to construct a prediction system with short—term prediction ability. This paper uses the graph convolutional neural network as a feature extraction tool to extract the key features of air traffic data, and solves the problem of long term and short term dependence between data through the long term memory network, we build a high-precision air traffic prediction system based on it. Edited by: Xin Luo, Chongqing Institute of Green and Intelligent Technology (CAS), China. Reviewed by: Long Wang, University of Science and Technology Beijing, China Chao Huang, University of Macau, China.

INTRODUCTION
MAIN RESULT
The Definition of the Problem
The Description of the GCN
The Problem of Time Series
The Description of Algorithm
EXPERIMENTS
CONCLUSION
Findings
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
Full Text
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