A Framework of Trans-Boundary Water Conflict Model Based on Qualitative Simulation of Behavior

Abstract

Applying computer simulation management experiment method to study the issue of trans-boundary water conflict is proposed in the paper. Based on the thought that the nature of water conflict is strained relations among peoples due to water benefit disputes, a trans-boundary water conflict system is regarded as a complex network system composed of conflict players and the interrelationships among them. So, the paper focuses on the fact that to solve water conflict, to control the human behaviours is the key issue. Therefore, firstly, by reviewing the status quo of water conflict model and the related researches, the existing problems of the present studies are analyzed and the computer simulation management experiment method is proposed to set up a human behaviour model and a water conflict multi-agent system. And then, a framework of trans-boundary water conflict model based on qualitative simulation of human behaviour is designed, including the network graph model of trans-boundary water conflict system, agent behaviour modelling, conflict relationship modelling and the model functions of conflict early warning and control. The framework diagram is given in the paper and the related technologies are pointed out. The paper aims at finding out an effective method to study and solve trans-boundary water conflict on the basis of understanding, early warning and controlling human behaviour in trans-boundary water conflict.