Abstract

The character of the atmospheric general circulation during summer-season droughts over Eastern Europe/Western Russia and North America during the late twentieth and early twenty first century is examined here. A criterion to examine atmospheric drought events that encompassed the summer season (an important part of the growing season) was used to determine which years were driest, using precipitation, evaporation, and areal coverage. The relationship between drought and the character of the atmosphere, using the Dzerzeevsky weather and climatic classification scheme, atmospheric blocking, teleconnections, and information entropy, was used to study the atmospheric dynamics. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) re-analyses dataset archived at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, CO, USA, is used to examine the synoptic character and calculate the dynamic quantities for these dry events. The results demonstrate that extreme droughts over North America are associated with a long warm and dry period of weather and the development of a moderate ridge over the Central USA driven by surface processes. These were more common in the late 20th century. Extreme droughts over Eastern Europe and Western Russia are driven by the occurrence of prolonged blocking episodes, as well as surface processes, and have become more common during the 21st century.

Highlights

  • Drought is a complicated and interdisciplinary problem that has been the subject of many studies in recent years, especially in connection with climate change (e.g., References [1,2] and the references therein)

  • The goal of this study is to examine the occurrence of summer season meteorological and agricultural drought and the atmospheric circulation and dynamics from 1970 to 2020 over agriculturally sensitive regions of North America (NA) and Eastern Europe and Western Russia (EE/WR)

  • We develop an objective criterion for summer-season drought based on precipitation and potential evaporation anomalies, as well as the amount of area impacted by using composite re-analyses that are comparable to time-series indexes in identifying drought

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Summary

Introduction

Drought is a complicated and interdisciplinary problem that has been the subject of many studies in recent years, especially in connection with climate change (e.g., References [1,2] and the references therein). These events impact more people globally than any other natural hazard [2]. The use of standardized drought indices (e.g., Standardized Precipitation Index—SPI [7]; Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index— SPEI [8]) is recommended—the former by WMO for operational use [9] This allows the drought classification by considering the temporal scales of observed precipitation deficits and the impact on usable water sources. Continued deficits spanning three-to-six months leads to a deficit of soil moisture content, which corresponds to agricultural drought

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