Abstract
Complexity theory changes the way we need to think about how we manage systems, and the degree of control we have over outcomes. Instead of viewing systems as being deterministic, complex systems must be viewed as having properties such as self-organization and emergence that make them somewhat unpredictable. This has important implications in terms of management strategies and risk assessment, as discussed by Charles Perrow in his books on Normal Accident Theory. This is especially true since the world is becoming more complex and tightly coupled because of globalization and technological and scientific advancements. There is still much research that needs to be done to explore how complexity theory must be incorporated into disaster management, particularly detailed empirical case studies that relate theory to practice.
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