Abstract
In 2024, major democracies, including India, the United States, and Indonesia, held national elections. Indonesia was first to hold its presidential election on February 14, 2024, where approximately 205 million voters participated. This election is significant for several reasons: its implications for other large democracies, its potential impact on the regional order in Southeast Asia amidst US-China tensions, and its effect on Indonesia’s democracy. Three candidates contested the election: Anies Baswedan, former Governor of Jakarta; Ganjar Pranowo, former Governor of Central Java; and Prabowo Subianto, the Minister of Defense. Although Ganjar led the polls until April 2023, Prabowo’s support surged after November 2023, leading to a close race. Contrary to expectations of a runoff, Prabowo won decisively, with 58% of the vote share in the first round. This article explores why Prabowo’s third presidential bid was successful and examines the election’s impact on Indonesian democracy.
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