Расчет индекса пожаров в Российской Федерации за 2011–2015 годы

Abstract

For realization of the Federal law to Russian Federation “About strategic planning” necessary to conduct regions category on number of fires. This will allow to motivate the separation of the financial facilities subject of Russian Federation on fire-prevention measures, as well as distribution finance to regional subdivisions of Emercom of Russia. Regions categories subject of Russian Federation is offered run for base of the calculation of the index fire in Russian Federation. The methods of the calculation of the index fire in much similar way calculation of the index Dow Jones Average, which is broadly used since 1884 for estimation of the condition stock market and economy USA. Innovation were incorporated in ditto time. The prices of the shares corporation USA were a change by number fire in region of Russian Federation. The industrial corporations USA were replaced subject to Russian Federation. The most largest 30 corporations USA which enter in listings of the payment of the index Dow Jones Average and this list is seldom changed. In listings of the payment of the index fire 30 regions get in Russian Federation with maximum number fire, composition of the listings is variable. Payment of the index fire is executed in work in Russian Federation for 2011-2015 and on its base is organized regions categories. This will allow to compare the situation with fire in regions of the Russian Federation. In total there are determined “dangerous” and “crisis” groups region. In dangerous regions group it will be necessary to develop the program on reduction of the number of fires, but in crisis group - take urgent and priority measures. There are computed frequencies of the hit region Russia in listings of the calculation of fire index for 2011-2015 years, as well as in crisis group. The got results can be useful for motivation management and trained decisions.