Abstract

As a result called on review of the scientific studies it's shown regions category need in Russian Federation on number of fires. This will allow to compare the situation with fires in region. The authors consider expedient to select two groups region (dangerous and crisis). In dangerous regions group it will be necessary to develop the program on reduction of the number of fires, but in crisis group - take urgent and priority measures. In economy and stocks market for estimation of the condition Dow Jones Average is actively used. The similar approach is possible fireman for estimation to dangers. The methods of the calculation of the fire index are enough simple. On the first stage regions of Russian Federation are ranked in order of the decrease of the number of fires. Then 30 regions with maximum importance of the number of fires are selected. They form the listings of the calculation of the fire index and the first category of the countries, which is considered dangerous. The fire index is paid by averaging the factors region in listings. Except this amongst groups dangerous region, came in listings, it's possible select the second category a region - a crisis group. The regions will get in this group with importance of the number of fires exceeding value of the index. There are computed frequencies of the hit region Russia in listings of the calculation of the fire index for 2006-2010 years, as well as in crisis group. The got results useful for shaping the programs of the reduction number of fires in region in dangerous and crisis category.

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