ПРОГНОСТИЧНА ПАРАДИГМА РОЗВИТКУ СВІТОВОГО РИНКУ ПРАЦІ

Abstract

The article is devoted to the analysis of key aspects of the world economy labor supply in the context of the world labor market development prognostic paradigm. It is emphasized that at the current stage of world economic development, the importance of the world labor market development forecasting is increasing. This is the respond in advance to probable challenges of labor supply on a global scale in order to optimize the labor supply of national economies. Forecasting trends of the labor market development serves as the basis for the development of effective levers for managing international labor flows in the context of optimizing the labor supply of national economies. It is emphasized that the prognostic paradigm serves as the basis for the application of a program-targeted approach to the labor market regulation at all levels, which based on the determination of long-term target orientations of the socio-economic development of states in accordance with world standards. Taking into account the difference in approaches in global practice to the need for labor force analysis and forecasting, it was concluded that the development of multi-scenario forecasts, which are based on systematic monitoring of current and prospective volumes of labor demand and supply, is of particular relevance. It is noted that the importance of predictive assessments and the determination of optimal ways of providing labor resources to national economies is growing due to the strengthening of the personnel shortage problem on a global scale against the background of growing labor resource dependence from developed countries. Key words: global labor market, international labor flows, labor supply, labor market forecast, polyscenarios forecast, labor market monitoring.