Abstract

Risks in supply chains directly affect the security of these chains and their continuity, the main possible consequences are increased costs and reduced profits. Methods. The research is based on general scientific methods of cognition — historical, analysis, systematization, comparison method, partially-scientific methods and dialectical method Results. The concept of “risk” is considered from different points of view: customs control and state standards. The classification of risks is proposed, which includes the risks of delay in the release of goods, non-payment of customs duties, bringing to administrative responsibility, confiscation of goods, the risk of depriving a foreign trade participant of the status of “bona fide”, failure to fulfill the terms of the contract for the delivery of goods. Their indicators that allow identifying risks are given. A method is proposed for calculating the probability of occurrence of risks in the international supply chain of goods containing intellectual property objects, which is necessary to determine the risk category and assign it to a high, medium or low level. Discussion. The proposals put forward are the basis for further research in the field of forecasting the risks of moving goods containing OIS. The main problem in risk forecasting is the lack of information and statistics. In this connection, it is not always possible to make the necessary calculations. For example, statistics on the accounting of license fees in the customs authorities are not kept, although this information could allow: on the one hand, to qualitatively improve the effectiveness of the application of the RMS, in terms of the possibility of replenishing funds to the federal budget at the expense of the added value for the use of the IPR by the customs authorities, and on the other — to participants of foreign trade will allow to predict and minimize risks.

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