МЕТОДИЧЕСКИЙ ПОДХОД К ОЦЕНКЕ И РЕГУЛИРОВАНИЮ ДИСБАЛАНСА СПРОСА И ПРЕДЛОЖЕНИЯ ПРОФЕССИОНАЛЬНЫХ КАДРОВ НА РЕГИОНАЛЬНЫХ РЫНКАХ ТРУДА

Abstract

The article presents a methodological approach to assessing and regulating the imbalance of demand and supply of professional personnel in regional labor markets. The author's methodology for assessing imbalances in professional personnel consists of four stages. In the first stage, the degree of regional differentiation is assessed according to the criteria of sectoral structural changes in employment and production based on indicators of regional asymmetry of structural changes, the quadratic coefficient of absolute structural changes, the integral coefficients of structural differences by K. Gatev, A. Salai, the V.M. Ryabtseva. In addition, the paper determines the dominant type of imbalance in the supply and demand of professional personnel (in the context of higher vocational training, secondary vocational training, nongovernmental education) in regional labor markets, it also classifies the subjects of the Russian Federation according to this criterion and identifies the differences in regional situations. The second stage is to assess the dynamic characteristics of the imbalance of professional personnel based on indicators of demand and supply volatility. The volatility of the types of imbalances in demand and supply of professional personnel is determined (in the context of higher vocational education, secondary vocational education, nongovernmental education), and an assessment and differentiation of regional situations is made based on the variability of imbalances. The third stage consists of assessing the determinants of the imbalance of professional personnel in regional labor markets. Based on groups of indicators that induce spatial differences in situations of imbalance in demand and supply of professional personnel in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, these differences are identified, grouped by the dominant type of imbalance, according to the most significant factors (based on the tools of regression models). The contribution of each factor is determined. The fourth stage is to develop monitoring and tools for regulating regional labor markets in accordance with the type, dynamic characteristics and determinants of the imbalance of professional personnel.