Информационно-когнитивное cиловое «форматирование» правящих элит субъектов военно–политической обстановки в «переходный период»

Abstract

Analysis and forecast for development of possible means of power politics in the transition period until 2024 is of immense importance not only for the military development plans and the future of defense procurement (and therefore the country's military expenditures), but to any conscious changes in the military art. First of all we are talking about the strategy of the states that directly depend on the means of reference as armed and unarmed political power struggle. This is a fundamental position of political and military science well-known for a long time [Shaposhnikov, 2016]. It is also clear that not only currently there are radical changes in the priorities of the use of certain power tools, you have to select the most preferable (least risky, more effective and less costly) force politicians from all existing and constantly updated huge set of tools. But this specificity has been observed before, for example, with the advent of nuclear weapons and their means of delivery, when it became possible to achieve strategic objectives directly without the consistent achievement of tactical results. Moreover, the choice of the most effective military tools in the era of nuclear weapons was raised repeatedly and it was natural in the USSR and in the West during the last century. And, I would emphasize, not only - and maybe not so much - of the means of armed struggle (AMSE), as of force political leverage in general - economic, informational, political, diplomatic, etc. But in the modern transition period (2014-2025), these processes have become not only very dynamic, but frankly destabilizing, ignoring previous agreements on compliance with international security and strategic stability, and simple traditional international law and political communication.