ТРАНЗИТ И ГЛОБАЛЬНАЯ НЕОПРЕДЕЛЕННОСТЬ

Abstract

The article considers the latest trends in the development of Eurasian transport corridors. The EU economies are closely linked to trade in goods delivered by sea transport. The disruption of international production and logistics chains caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent imposition of restrictions in the EU countries has had a tangible impact on the European port infrastructure. For many years, Russia was the EU’s largest trading partner in maritime energy supplies. Post-pandemic recovery growth of EU seaport turnover has been uneven. The results of 2022, due to the sanctions packages applied and planned for adoption, as well as due to the changed global geopolitical situation, are expected to be lower than in 2021. The Eurasian space has significantly transformed approaches to freight rail transport and transit since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2020-2021, the volume of containerized rail transport via the EAEU infrastructure grew at a record pace. Currently, Eurasian transit is undergoing a new stage of transformation, primarily it concerns the transit through the Russian logistics infrastructure. This issue has become acute after the sharp decline in China’s use of transit through Russia. Further response to the new external challenges of the EAEU participants in the current uncertainty will remain situational, and will depend on the internal political situation in the member states, public sentiment, threats to impose sanctions, and the risk of losses for national economies. The article attempts to assess the current dynamics of the development of Eurasian transport corridors, taking into account the development of the European port system, Eurasian transit and the consequences of changes in the current global agenda caused by geopolitical events.