ДОСЛІДЖЕННЯ РИЗИКУ У ПРОЦЕСІ ПРИЙНЯТТЯ УПРАВЛІНСЬКИХ РІШЕНЬ

Abstract

The article examines the essence of risk in the process of making managerial decisions and the reasons for its occurrence. The subject of risk acceptance research is established. It is proved that the source of risk is uncertainty caused by irreversible inconsistency of elements of the whole economic system and the presence of sources that contribute to its growth, as well as: limited resources at the stage of making or implementing management decisions, influence of the a posteriori period, object of economic relations, existing differences and stereotypes in the economic behavior of different subjects of economic relations. Risk research is presented structured according to two dichotomies: the first – division into researches connected with risk assessment, and works in which acceptance of risk is studied; the second is based on the fact that decisions can be collective or made by a single entity. Factors influencing the degree of risk and its probability in the process of making management decisions are given. The dependence of alternatives and management decisions on the degree of risk and its probability is revealed. A critical analysis of risk theory identified the impact of the "law of risk" on the organization of economic activity and the decision-making process. The process of making managerial decisions is described taking into account the main types of managerial decisions, which is based on theories of decision making. It is proved that the theory of decision-making requires a new economic thinking, which will complement it by studying the behavior of not abstract, but the real subject of economic relations, which, in turn, will ensure the effectiveness of management decisions. The main provisions of the theory of decision making in the presence of risk are revealed. The dominant theory of managerial decision – making in the presence of risk is studied – the theory of maximizing the expected utility. The general regularity in the process of making the management decision taking into account alternatives and probability of risk is revealed. Determination of management decisions – willingness to take risks, which can be understood as a willingness to go beyond situational constraints, goal setting, including testing of personal abilities, theoretical knowledge and practical skills, qualifications, willingness to control the results of management.