Идентификация предприятий-загрязнителей воды на основе нейросетевого анализа

Abstract

The aim of the work was to solve the problem of increasing the efficiency of identifying large enterprises that pollute natural water from among many water users of the industrial region. For this purpose, artificial neural networks (INS) were used to detect and evaluate the weights of connections between statistical data, which is important for studying the dynamics of water quality formation in conditions of its spatial and temporal variability. The work was carried out on the example of the available 250 measurements of the concentration of each of the four priority metals at the hydro chemical gates of the Iset River in the area of Yekaterinburg. Neural network analysis made it possible to detect the interdependencies of individual water quality indicators at neighboring sites. At points above Yekaterinburg (+5.2 km, target 1), in the city (target 2) and below it (–4 km, target 3), in total at 3 × 4 × 250 = 3000 points. It was found, in particular, that the effect of the nickel content in the water of the gate 2 on the concentration of other metals of the gate 3, especially zinc, is quite high, so that the correlation coefficient is not lower than 0.6. Such results made it possible to identify the logistical economic ties of water users and simplify the identifi cation of water pollutants by the “water footprint” left by related enterprises. Thus, it is shown that the INS provides the identification of a man-made decrease in water quality against the background of its natural pollution with the same substances. The reliability of the conclusions is confirmed by the ability to satisfactorily predict the water quality of the section located downstream of the river, according to the data for the section located above, as established in the work by predicting water quality using the INS.