СИСТЕМНО-СИТУАЦІЙНЕ МОДЕЛЮВАННЯ ЦІЛІ СТАЛОГО РОЗВИТКУ «ДОСТУПНА ТА ЧИСТА ЕНЕРГІЯ»

Abstract

The study considered the concept of sustainable development. Sustainable development is the development of a country, a region, when economic growth, material production and consumption, as well as other types of social activities take place within the limits determined by the ability of ecosystems to recover, absorb pollution and support the livelihoods of current and future generations. "CURSOR+" has been adapted to the sustainable development of the country and region. The proposed integrated system-situational model of development (SSMR) and components of sustainable development. It is proposed to determine the space of business activities of objects in the SSR using three components of sustainable development. The limit of perfection – the ideal of sustainable development can be set by the limit values of the economic, ecological and social goals of sustainable development. The social component of sustainable development involves the optimal use of limited resources and the use of environmental – nature-, energy-, and material-saving technologies, including the extraction and processing of raw materials, the creation of environmentally acceptable products, the minimization, processing, and destruction of waste. The dynamics of available and clean energy indicators were considered, and the exponential smoothing method was used to forecast their future values. Diagnostics of indicators of the goal of sustainable development "Affordable and clean energy" were carried out. In particular, indicators: expansion of infrastructure and modernization of the network to ensure reliable and sustainable energy supply based on the implementation of innovative technologies; ensuring diversification of the supply of primary energy resources; increasing the share of energy from renewable sources in the national energy balance, in particular due to the introduction of additional capacities of facilities producing energy from renewable sources; increasing the energy efficiency of the economy. It was established that in order to achieve the established targets in Ukraine, it is necessary to pay great attention to the implementation of "green technologies".