Abstract

This scientific article devoted to forecasting the stock quotes of PJSC “NK “Lukoil” based on their yield volatility is relevant because it reflects the prospects for investing in the Russian stock market. The purpose of the presented scientific work is to determine the level of volatility of the profitability of shares of PJSC “NK “Lukoil” during periods of economic crises in a globalized world. In accordance with the purpose, the tasks of scientific research have been solved: theoretical approaches to determining the volatility of stock market indicators have been studied; the volatility of the profitability of shares of PJSC “NK “Lukoil” during the global economic crises has been determined and analyzed. In the process of work, general and special scientific methods have been used: analysis, synthesis, and sta-tistical (graphical, tabular, standard deviation, logarithm) methods. The scientific novelty of the study is as follows: the values of high volatility of the profitability of shares of PJSC “NK “Lukoil” during peri-ods of global economic crises are determined, on their basis it is possible to predict the beginning of a long-term upward dynamics of the stock quotations of PJSC “NK “Lukoil” after a significant drop in the prices of investment assets of the Russian stock market. The results of the study have practical applica tion because they can help investors build trading strategies, determine the minimum value of the secu-rities of the analyzed Russian oil company, and orient themselves regarding the purchase of shares of this company after a fall in their value accompanied by high volatility of profitability.

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