Abstract
An important specific feature of the functioning of machines and equipment in the technologies of post-harvest processing of grain and seeds is the probabilistic variability of external conditions that negatively affect the efficiency of their work. The drying process is also characterized by non-stationarity in its probabilistic and statistical characteristics. The methods of forming digital twins of stationary processes are quite well mastered, but the construction of digital twins of non-stationary processes is a much more complex task, the solution of which requires taking into account the nature of non-stationarity, as well as the features and internal structure of the processes being modeled. The purpose of the research is to build a digital twin of the non-stationary process of drying timothy seeds and assess the reliability of the resulting model. The experimental data were obtained by drying Leningradskaya 204 timothy grass seeds from the field organic crop rotation using a universal drying unit with a Fauna PMDR4 digital seed moisture meter equipped with submersible flow sensors. As a result of the experimental studies, realizations of random processes of change in seed moisture content at the final stage of drying were obtained for constructing mathematical models using statistical identification methods. Discrete analogs of the processes under study were constructed using experimental correlation functions approximated by the corresponding functions to obtain the parameters of the modeling recurrent equations. The considered algorithm for modeling the dryer operation allows reproducing processes of unlimited length and modeling various conditions and operating modes to find the specified optima for quality, energy consumption and environmental friendliness. The accuracy of the simulation results was determined based on the convergence of the moment functions of the experimental and modeled technological processes. Estimates of statistical characteristics of the simulated process of drying timothy grass seeds with 95% probability correspond to statistical estimates of the drying process obtained in the course of experimental studies, and the graphs of their normalized correlation functions clearly confirm the identity of the processes. The obtained mathematical dependencies of the technological process of drying organic timothy grass seeds are its digital twin, allowing the methods of simulation modeling to solve optimization problems.
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