Методические предложения по оценке и повышению энергетической безопасности систем теплоснабжения РФ

Abstract

Energy security issues are becoming increasingly important due to the aggravation of the political and economic situation in the world. The development of a methodology for assessing the energy security of heat supply to determine its level is necessary for public authorities. The subject of the study is a set of theoretical, methodological and practical aspects of improving the energy security of heat supply in the Russian Federation. The purpose of the study is to develop a methodology for assessing the level of energy security of the heat supply system (ESHSS) for its application in order to assess the impact of planned measures in the field of heat supply on improving energy security. The methodological basis of the study is presented by a systematic approach and private-scientific methods: comparative analysis, indicative analysis, statistical methods. The system of indicators of energy security of heat supply at the federal and regional levels is defined in the article based on the consideration of heat supply as an economic system included in the fuel and energy complex of the Russian Federation. The proposed system includes twelve indicators grouped into four components of ESHSS: consumer, industrial, economic and environmental safety. The methodology for assessing the level of energy security of the heat supply system at the federal and regional levels, including a system of indicators, is proposed in the article. The final level of EBST is defined as normal, pre-crisis or crisis, according to the developed methodology. The limits of values for the three levels of ESHSS are calculated for each indicator using statistical methods. The determination of the final level of ESHSS is carried out according to the results of the scoring. To improve state regulation, it is proposed to use the developed methodology for assessing the energy security of the heat supply system in the formation of the fuel and energy complex development program in the part relating to the development of heat supply systems. For example, the reduction of norms of negative impact and waste disposal will lead to the formation of economic entities in the field of heat supply of material interest in the transition to the use of renewable energy sources