ЭКОЛОГИЧЕСКИЕ ФАКТОРЫ УСТОЙЧИВОСТИ ТЭК И ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ ЕГО «ЗЕЛЕНОГО» ПЕРЕХОДА В РЕГИОНАХ РОССИИ

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The article focuses on the problem of implementing the “green” transition as a strategic course for the development of the economic system of Russia in the period up to 2050. The article focuses on the top 15 regions of Russia specializing in the fuel and energy complex, since the functioning of the economy of these regions is associated with the largest volumes of greenhouse gas emissions. An econometric model has been compiled that explains the essence and nature of the influence of environmental factors of the sustainability of the fuel and energy complex on the “green” economy in Russian regions. Based on the model, the shortcoming of the existing approach to the “green” transition is substantiated, due to the fact that this transition occurs due to the restriction of the work of energy companies. The model also revealed a significant contribution of environmental innovations to increasing the sustainability of the fuel and energy complex in the regional economy of modern Russia. A forecast of the “green” transition in the regions of Russia based on a sustainable fuel and energy complex until 2050 has been compiled. A new approach to organizing the “green” transition in the regional economy of Russia through increasing the volume of financing for environmental innovations in the fuel and energy complex has been developed. The author’s approach will ensure the preservation of high productivity and capacity utilization of fuel and energy complex enterprises and industrial production facilities in the regions of Russia, but will reduce the carbon footprint and minimize the overall environmental costs of economic growth of the domestic regional economy. The implementation of the new approach will improve the state of the environment and increase the attractiveness of these Russian regions for living, working and tourism. For the practical implementation of the new approach, quantitative benchmarks for optimizing the financing of environmental innovations in each of the top 15 regions of Russia specializing in the fuel and energy complex are proposed to achieve carbon neutrality of their economies in the period up to 2050.