Years Of Antiviral Therapy Research Articles

Extrahepatic malignancies and antiviral drugs for chronic hepatitis B: A nationwide cohort study.

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is related to an increased risk of extrahepatic malignancy (EHM), and antiviral treatment is associated with an incidence of EHM comparable to controls. We compared the risks of EHM and intrahepatic malignancy (IHM) between entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) treatment. Using data from the National Health Insurance Service of Korea, this nationwide cohort study included treatment-naïve CHB patients who initiated ETV (n=24,287) or TDF (n=29,199) therapy between 2012 and 2014. The primary outcome was the development of any primary EHM. Secondary outcomes included overall IHM development. E-value was calculated to assess the robustness of results to unmeasured confounders. The median follow-up duration was 5.9 years, and all baseline characteristics were well balanced after propensity score matching. EHM incidence rate differed significantly between within versus beyond 3 years in both groups (P<0.01, Davies test). During the first 3 years, EHM risk was comparable in the propensity score-matched cohort (5.88 versus 5.84/1,000 person-years; subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]=1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.88-1.17, P=0.84). After year 3, however, TDF was associated with a significantly lower EHM incidence compared to ETV (4.92 versus 6.91/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.70, 95% CI=0.60-0.81, P<0.01; E-value for SHR=2.21). Regarding IHM, the superiority of TDF over ETV was maintained both within (17.58 versus 20.19/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.88, 95% CI=0.81-0.95, P<0.01) and after year 3 (11.45 versus 16.20/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.68, 95% CI=0.62-0.75, P<0.01; E-value for SHR=2.30). TDF was associated with approximately 30% lower risks of both EHM and IHM than ETV in CHB patients after 3 years of antiviral therapy.

Serum hepatitis B virus pregenomic RNA profiles in patients with chronic hepatitis B on long-term antiviral therapy

Objective: To explore the clinical changes in levels of the new clinical marker serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) pregenomic RNA (pgRNA) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) with long-term antiviral therapy. Methods: 100 CHB cases who were initially treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) at Peking University First Hospital were included. The levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT), HBV DNA, hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg), and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) during the follow-up period were measured. The TaqMan-based real-time quantitative PCR method was used to detect serum HBV pgRNA levels. The independent sample t-test and Mann-Whitney U test were used to compare continuous variables between groups, while Pearson's χ (2) test and Fisher's exact test were used to compare categorical variables. Results: HBV pgRNA levels decreased significantly in patients who developed virological responses at 48 weeks (n = 54) during subsequent treatment compared to those who did not (n = 46). The HBV pgRNA level was lower in HBeAg-positive patients than in HBeAg-negative patients (P < 0.05 or P < 0.01). Patients with higher HBV DNA and HBeAg-positivity levels at baseline had a higher HBV pgRNA level following antiviral therapy. There was no statistically significant difference in HBV pgRNA levels in patients with different HBV pgRNA levels at baseline after antiviral therapy. There was no correlation between serum HBV pgRNA and HBsAg at baseline, but there was a correlation after long-term antiviral therapy, while there was a weak correlation between HBV pgRNA and HBsAg at the fifth and ninth years of antiviral therapy (r = 0.262, P = 0.031; r = 0.288, P = 0.008). Conclusion: HBV pgRNA levels were higher with higher HBV activity in CHB patients with long-term antiviral therapy.

Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer at 5 years of antiviral therapy predict hepatocellular carcinoma and mortality beyond year 5 in chronic hepatitis B patients with cirrhosis.

Whether serum Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) level at year 5 of treatment could predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development and mortality beyond year 5 of entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) treatment in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis remain unclear. This retrospective study investigated the role of M2BPGi level at year 5 of treatment in predicting HCC and mortality beyond year 5 in CHB patients with cirrhosis. This study analyzed 1385 cirrhotic patients receiving entecavir or TDF treatment. Of them, 899 patients who did not develop HCC within the first 5 years of treatment were enrolled. In the entire cohort, there was no significant difference in the annual incidence of HCC before and after year 5 of entecavir or TDF treatment (P = 0.455). Multivariable Cox analysis identified old age, higher AFP and M2BPGi levels at 5 years of treatment as independent predictors of HCC occurrence beyond year 5. We developed the HCC risk prediction model, AMA, based on age, M2BPGi and AFP levels at 5 years of treatment, with the total score ranging from 0 to 8. The AMA model accurately categorized patients into low (≤2), medium (2-5), and high (≥5) risk groups in the development and validation groups (P<0.001) and exhibited good discriminant function in predicting HCC beyond year 5 in cirrhotic patients (AUROC: 0.743 at 5 years). The M2BPGi of 1.0 COI at 5 years of treatment stratified the risk of all-cause and liver-related mortality beyond year 5 (P<0.001). In conclusions, M2BPGi level at 5 years of treatment is a useful marker for predicting HCC development and mortality beyond year 5 of entecavir or TDF therapy in CHB patients with cirrhosis.

Renal outcomes in adults with HBV, HIV and HBV/HIV coinfection after 3 years of antiviral therapy in urban Tanzania.

An enhanced understanding of renal outcomes in persons with chronic HBV, HIV, and HBV/HIV coinfection is needed to mitigate chronic kidney disease in regions where HBV and HIV are endemic. To investigate changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in adults with HBV, HIV or HBV/HIV enrolled in a 3 year prospective cohort study of liver outcomes in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and initiated on antiviral therapy. We compared eGFR between and within groups over time using mixed-effects models. Four hundred and ninety-nine participants were included in the analysis (HBV: 164; HIV: 271; HBV/HIV: 64). Mean baseline eGFRs were 106.88, 106.03 and 107.18 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively. From baseline to Year 3, mean eGFR declined by 4.3 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI -9.3 to 0.7) and 3.7 (-7.8 to 0.5) in participants with HBV and HIV, respectively, and increased by 5.1 (-4.7 to 14.9) in those with HBV/HIV. In multivariable models, participants with HBV had lower eGFRs compared with those with HIV or HBV/HIV and, after adjusting for HBV DNA level and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) status, significantly lower eGFRs than those with HBV/HIV at all follow-up visits. In this Tanzanian cohort, coinfection with HBV/HIV did not appear to exacerbate renal dysfunction compared with those with either infection alone. Although overall changes in eGFR were small, persons with HBV experienced lower eGFRs throughout follow-up despite their younger age and similar baseline values. Longer-term studies are needed to evaluate continuing changes in eGFR and contributions from infection duration and other comorbidities.

Improved on-treatment fibrosis-4 during antiviral therapy and lower hepatocellular carcinoma risk in cirrhotic patients with hepatitis B

Normalization of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels is one of the goals of hepatitis B treatment. However, ALT levels in cirrhosis patients might be normal or mildly elevated regardless of ongoing inflammation. Therefore, we examined whether on-treatment ALT and other potential on-treatment indicators could be clinical surrogates of antiviral therapy in HBV-related cirrhosis. A total of 911 patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis who started treatment with entecavir or tenofovir were analyzed. At 1 year of antiviral therapy, we evaluated ‘ALT normalization’, ‘undetectable serum HBV DNA’, ‘fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index improvement’, and ‘serum HBeAg loss’ as potential biomarkers for HCC development. During 6.6 (3.8–10.2) years of follow-up, 222 patients (24.3%) newly developed HCC. Undetectable HBV DNA levels at 1 year were observed in 667 patients (73.2%), and the HCC incidence was significantly lower in this population (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.66, 95% CI 0.50–0.87). Improvement of the FIB-4 index (< 3.25) was associated with a lower risk of HCC in 478 patients with an elevated FIB-4 index (adjusted HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.55–0.82). However, there was no significant difference in HCC risk between those with and without normalization of ALT levels (p = 0.39) among those with elevated ALT levels or between those with and without HBeAg seroconversion (p = 0.55) among HBeAg-positive patients. Therefore, on-treatment FIB-4 levels at 1 year are clinically useful surrogates of antiviral therapy for HBV-related cirrhosis patients.

Hepatocellular carcinoma prediction model performance decreases with long-term antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B patients.

Existing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models are derived mainly from pretreatment or early on-treatment parameters. We reassessed the dynamic changes in the performance of 17 HCC models in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) during long-term antiviral therapy (AVT). Among 987 CHB patients administered long-term entecavir therapy, 660 patients had 8 years of follow-up data. Model scores were calculated using on-treatment values at 2.5, 3, 3.5, 4, 4.5, and 5 years of AVT to predict threeyear HCC occurrence. Model performance was assessed with the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). The original model cutoffs to distinguish different levels of HCC risk were evaluated by the log-rank test. The AUROCs of the 17 HCC models varied from 0.51 to 0.78 when using on-treatment scores from years 2.5 to 5. Models with a cirrhosis variable showed numerically higher AUROCs (pooled at 0.65-0.73 for treated, untreated, or mixed treatment models) than models without (treated or mixed models: 0.61-0.68; untreated models: 0.51-0.59). Stratification into low, intermediate, and high-risk levels using the original cutoff values could no longer reflect the true HCC incidence using scores after 3.5 years of AVT for models without cirrhosis and after 4 years of AVT for models with cirrhosis. The performance of existing HCC prediction models, especially models without the cirrhosis variable, decreased in CHB patients on long-term AVT. The optimization of existing models or the development of novel models for better HCC prediction during long-term AVT is warranted.

Recovery of host adaptive immune function promoted the reduction of hepatitis B surface antigen in nucleoside analog-experienced chronic hepatitis B patients with low hepatitis B surface antigen levels.

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance is an optimal therapeutic endpoint, as it reflects the amount of covalently closed circular DNA. The exact mechanisms that contribute to HBsAg reduction are not completely understood. We evaluated adaptive immunity in nucleoside analog-experienced chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with low HBsAg levels who received oral antiviral therapy. One hundred and ninety-five CHB patients had hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA≤1000IU/ml and HBsAg<3000IU/ml for longer than one year of antiviral therapy. According to HBsAg levels, they were divided into Group 1 (HBsAg reduction≥0.5 log10) and Group 2 (HBsAg reduction<0.5 log10). Cytokines, adaptive immune cells, and molecular markers in peripheral blood were detected at follow-up times. In total, 38 (19.5%) of the 195 patients achieved HBsAg reduction≥0.5 log10. IL4, IL5, IL10, TGF β, IL17, and PD-1 decreased gradually in these patients. HBsAg reduction had a link to the change in ICOSL+CD19+ B cells and CD40L+CXCR5+CD4+ Tfh cells. More CD8+ naive T lymphocytes differentiated into CD4+ TCMs, CD8+ TCMs and CD8+ TEMs in Group 1. Meanwhile, Group 1 exhibited elevated Th1 and Th1/Th2 levels and reduced levels of Treg versus those in Group 2. With the reduction in HBsAg, the imbalance of T-cell subsets was partially corrected; the immune activity of T cells was enhanced, and the state of immune exhaustion was alleviated to a certain extent.

Long-term endoscopic surveillance in HBV compensated cirrhotic patients treated with Tenofovir or Entecavir for 11 years.

Long-term administration of TDF/ETV in patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis reduces HCC and decompensation events but the effect of this regimen on development/regression of oesophageal varices (EV) is currently unknown. To assess the risk of EV development/progression in this population. A total of 186 Caucasian HBV-monoinfected compensated cirrhotics were enrolled in a long-term cohort study from TDF/ETV introduction. Upper GI endoscopies were performed according to Baveno recommendations. Primary endpoint was development/progression of oesophageal/gastric varices over time. At TDF/ETV start, median age was 61 years, 80% males, 60% HBV-DNA undetectable, 63% NUCs previously exposed, 73% normal ALT, 40% platelets <150,000/mmc and 25 (13%) with low-risk varices (LRV). During 11 years of antiviral therapy and 666 endoscopies performed, 9 patients either developed or had a progression of oesophageal or gastric varices with an 11-year cumulative probability of 5.1% (95% CI 3-10%); no patient bled. Out of 161 patients without EV at baseline, the 11-year probably was 4.5% with all varices developing within the first six years of treatment. In 25 patients with LRV at baseline, the 11-year probability of progression or regression was 9.3% and 58%, respectively. Only baseline platelet count (HR 0.96, p=0.028) was associated with LRV development at multivariate analysis: platelet ≤90,000/mmc (AUROC 0.70) had 98.1% specificity, 42.9% sensitivity, 50% PPV for LRV onset. In compensated cirrhotic patients under long-term effective TDF/ETV treatment, the 11-year risk of developing/progressing EV is negligible, thus challenging the current endoscopic surveillance recommendations in patients without EV at baseline.

CAGE-B and SAGE-B models better predict the hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after 5-year of entecavir treatment than PAGE-B.

The PAGE-B model consists of variables at the initiation of antiviral therapy (AVT), whereas the SAGE-B and CAGE-B models consist of variables after 5 years of AVT. We compared the predictive accuracy of three risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after 5 years of AVT in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). A total of 1,335 patients who initiated entecavir (ETV) treatment between 2006 and 2011 and were followed up for more than 5 years were enrolled in the stduy. At ETV initiation, the median age of the patients was 49 years and the median of the PAGE-B model was 14. After 5 years of ETV treatment, the median SAGE-B and CAGE-B values were 6 and 6, respectively. During the study period, 93 (7.0%) patients developed HCC after 5-year treatment. In multivariate analysis, PAGE-B (hazard ratio [HR], 1.151; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.087-1.219), SAGE-B (HR, 1.340; 95% CI, 1.228-1.463), and CAGE-B (HR, 1.327; 95% CI, 1.223-1.440) models independently predicted HCC development after 5 years of treatment (all P<0.001). The high-risk groups of the three risk prediction models showed a significantly higher risk of HCC development compared to the medium- and low-risk groups (all P<0.05). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the SAGE-B (0.772-0.844) and CAGE-B (0.785-0.838) models were significantly higher than those of the PAGE-B model (0.696-0.745) in predicting HCC development after 5 years of treatment (all P<0.05). The SAGE-B and CAGE-B models might be better than the PAGE-B model in predicting HCC development after 5 years of ETV treatment in patients with CHB.

Two-year free of complications during antiviral therapy predicts stable re-compensation in immediate-treatment HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis

Background and aims Disease progression could be altered or even reversed in decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis once they initiate antiviral therapy. However, little is known about the stable re-compensation in these patients. Methods In this retrospective study, HBV-related liver cirrhosis patients were consecutively enrolled at the first decompensated event of ascites or variceal hemorrhage (VH), and divided into immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment groups. Patients were followed up to at least presence of second decompensation event or to June 2021. Re-compensation was defined as patients who did not occur second (further) decompensation during follow-up. Results A total of 130 HBV-related decompensated cirrhotic patients were included with a median follow-up of 61.0 (41.6, 72.0) months. The cumulative incidence of re-compensation at year 6 was 39.0, 9.8 and 6.6 in immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment group (p = 0.001). Among 87 patients in immediate-treatment group, thirty-seven (37/87, 42.5%) were recognized as stable re-compensation. Seventy percent (35/50) of second decompensated events occurred in the first 2 years. In patients free of 2-year decompensated complications, about 71.2% (37/52) maintained stable re-compensation. The cumulative incidence of death (and/or transplantation) and HCC in patients free of 2-year decompensated complications or not was 2.9 vs. 27.3% (HR 9.4, 95% CI 2.2–40.0, p = 0.002) and 12.6 vs. 37.7% (HR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5–13.3, p = 0.006), respectively. Conclusions In decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis, about 40% in immediate-treatment group maintained stable re-compensation during 6 years of antiviral therapy. Two-year free of complications could predict stable re-compensation.

A study of the effectiveness of nucleos(t)ide analogues in the treatment of HBeAg- positive chronic hepatitis B with normal alanine aminotransferase and high level of HBV DNA

Objective: To investigate the effectiveness of nucleos(t)ide analogues in the treatment of HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B with normal alanine aminotransferase and high level of HBV DNA. Methods: Treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B patients who were followed up at the Center of Infectious Diseases, West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2019 to January 2020 were selected as subjects. Demographic characteristics, the results of laboratory examination before treatment and one year after treatment were retrospectively collected. Patients were divided into tenofovir dipivoxil (TDF) and propofol fumurate tenofovir (TAF) treatment group according to different types of medication. The changes of serum HBV DNA level, HBeAg serological conversion and HBsAg quantitative level were analyzed and compared between the two groups. Results: A total of 38 cases were enrolled. Among them, there were 16 and 22 cases in the TDF and TAF group, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in demographic characteristics, baseline HBV DNA levels and HBsAg quantitative levels between the two groups. Virological response was achieved in 60.5% (23/38) of patients after one year of antiviral therapy. Serum HBV DNA levels below the lower limit of detection [68.2% (15/22) vs. 50.0% (8/16), P=0.258] and higher HBeAg seroconversion rate [18.2%] (4/22) vs. 6.3% (1/16), P=0.374] was obtained in TAF than TDF group; however, there was no statistically significant differences between the two. Serum HBsAg quantitative level was significantly reduced with TDF and TAF treatment. In addition, alanine aminotransferase elevation was reduced in TAF than TDF treated group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that patient age was an independent predictor of a virological response to antiviral therapy. Conclusion: HBeAg-positive CHB patients with normal alanine aminotransferase, and high HBV DNA level can obtain better curative effect after TDF and TAF treatment.

Long-term renal safety between patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving tenofovir vs. entecavir therapy: A multicenter study.

Renal safety is a critical issue in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients receiving long-term entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir disofuroxil fumarate (TDF) therapy. We investigated their effects on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Treatment-naive CHB patients receiving ETV or TDF for ≥1year were recruited. The eGFR was assessed using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation. We calculated average annual percent change (AAPC) in eGFR using Joinpoint regression. At the beginning of the observation, the ETV group had more unfavorable conditions than the TDF group: lower eGFR and higher FIB-4 and APRI than the TDF group (all p<.001). After 6years of antiviral therapy, the mean eGFR in the ETV group (n=1793) was maintained (96.0 at first year to 95.6ml/min/1.73m2 at sixth year; AAPC -0.09%; p=.322), whereas that in the TDF group (n=1240) significantly decreased annually (101.9 at first year to 96.9ml/min/1.73m2 at sixth year; AAPC -0.88%; p<.001). Notably, in the TDF group, even patients without diabetes (AAPC -0.80%; p=0.001) or hypertension (AAPC -0.87%; p=.001) experienced significant decrease in eGFR. Expectably, accompanying diabetes (AAPC -1.59%; p=.011) or hypertension (AAPC -1.00%; p=.002) tended to accelerate eGFR decrease. TDF treatment (odds ratio 1.66, p<.001), along with eGFR<60ml/min/1.73m2 , serum albumin<3.5mg/dl, and hypertension, were independently associated with ongoing renal dysfunction, defined as a negative slope of the mean eGFR change. In conclusion, compared with ETV, long-term TDF treatment induced slow, but progressive renal dysfunction. Although the annual eGFR change by TDF was small, careful monitoring is necessary, especially in patients requiring life-long therapy.

Health-related quality of life improves after entecavir treatment in patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis.

Antiviral therapy is effective in decreasing disease progression in HBV cirrhosis. However, the long-term effect of antiviral therapy on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis is unknown. The patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis enrolled in a randomized controlled trial of entecavir-based therapy were recruited in the present study, if they had HRQoL score at 5-year follow-up or who developed liver-related events (LRE) during follow-up were included. HRQoL was measured with 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36) and EuroQol-5D (EQ-5D) at baseline and yearly during follow-up. LRE was defined as the development of decompensation, HCC, or death. A total of 161 patients were included in the present study, with a median age of 48.0 (41.0, 53.0) years, 77.6% being male and 37.2% being HBeAg-positive. During 5years, 45 patients developed LRE. All eight dimensions of SF-36 were significantly improved after 5years of antiviral therapy (all p < 0.001), with all dimensions improved more than five points except for physical functioning. Proportion of patients reporting no problems in all five dimensions in EQ-5D increased from 57.8 to 72.0%; visual analogue scale (VAS) and utility index (UI) increased significantly (VAS 79.8 ± 16.4 to 84.4 ± 13.2, UI 0.91 ± 0.13 to 0.95 ± 0.10, both p < 0.001). HRQoL improved or kept stable in the majority of patients who had LRE during follow-up, even stratified by Baveno VI criteria for clinically significant portal hypertension. After 5years of ETV treatment, HRQoL significantly improved in patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis. (NCT01943617, NCT02849132).

The Significance of Circulating Cell-Free DNA Markers in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

(1) Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most serious complication of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Recently, the detection of circulating cell-free (cf) DNA and nucleosomes has found numerous applications in oncology. This study aimed to examine the levels of serum cfDNA markers and nucleosomes in CHB patients with and without HCC and assess their potential association with HCC patients’ survival. (2) Methods: Nineteen patients with CHB and HCC and 38 matched patients with CHB without cancer development during 5 years of antiviral therapy were included. Stored serum samples were analyzed for cfDNA species, including the cfDNA concentration and levels of Alu115, Alu247, and nucleosomes. DNA integrity was expressed as the Alu247/Alu115 ratio. (3) Results: Compared to controls, HCC patients had higher median Alu247 levels (64.2 vs. 23.2 genomic equivalent, p = 0.004) and DNA integrity (1.0 vs. 0.7, p < 0.001) and a trend for a higher median cfDNA concentration (36.0 vs. 19.5 ng/mL, p = 0.064). Increased DNA integrity (Alu247/Alu115 > 1) was associated with an increased risk of death during the first year after HCC diagnosis (p = 0.016). (4) Conclusions: Levels of Alu247 and DNA integrity in serum cfDNA are elevated in CHB patients with HCC, whereas increased DNA integrity seems to be associated with a worse short-term prognosis in this setting.

Long-term effects of entecavir and tenofovir treatment on the fibrotic burden in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Antiviral therapy (AVT) induces fibrosis regression in patients with chronic hepatitis B. We investigated long-term effects of entecavir (ETV) versus tenofovir (TDF) on fibrotic burden. Treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B patients who had begun ETV or TDF were recruited from four tertiary hospitals. The aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) were used to determine fibrotic burden. In the entire population (n=3277), although patients treated with ETV had higher baseline APRI (1.71 vs 1.07, P<0.001) and FIB-4 (3.60 vs 2.80, P<0.001) than those treated with TDF, significant fibrosis regression was identified during 6years of AVT in both ETV (APRI, mean 1.71→0.48, P<0.001; FIB-4, mean 3.60→2.21, P<0.001) and TDF groups (APRI, mean 1.07→0.43, P<0.001; FIB-4, mean 2.80→2.19, P<0.001). In patients without cirrhosis (n=2366), baseline APRI was significantly higher in ETV group than in TDF group (1.72 vs 0.97, P<0.001); however, they became similar after 6months. Similarly, baseline FIB-4 was significantly higher in ETV group than in TDF group (3.25 vs 2.35, P<0.001), but became similar from 4 to 6years. In patients with cirrhosis (n=911), baseline APRI (1.70 vs 1.34, P<0.001) and FIB-4 (4.62 vs 3.91, P=0.005) were higher in ETV group than in TDF, however, both parameters became statistically similar from 6months to 6years. Significant regression of APRI and FIB-4 was observed during long-term ETV and TDF treatment. Despite higher baseline fibrotic burden in ETV group, fibrotic burden between the groups eventually converged through significant fibrosis regression after 1 to 4years of AVT.

Predictive Performance of CAGE-B and SAGE-B Models in Asian Treatment-Naive Patients Who Started Entecavir for Chronic Hepatitis B

Cirrhosis and age (CAGE-B) and stiffness and age (SAGE-B) models assess the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in white patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) undergoing sustained antiviral therapy (AVT). Herein, we checked the predictive performance of these models in Asian patients with CHB. We reviewed 734 treatment-naive patients with CHB who started entecavir between 2006 and 2011 and were followed up for more than 5 years without HCC development during AVT. The predictive performance of CAGE-B and SAGE-B models was calculated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs). Median liver stiffness assessed using transient elastography after 5 years of AVT was 6.8 kPa. Median CAGE-B and SAGE-B models after 5 years of AVT were 7.0 and 6.0, respectively. More than 5 years after AVT initiation, 66 patients (9.0%) developed HCC. The AUROCs of the CAGE-B and SAGE-B models were 0.764 and 0.785 after 7 years and 0.799 and 0.802 after 10 years of AVT, respectively. The cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly higher in the high-risk groups according to CAGE-B and SAGE-B risk stratification than in the medium- and low-risk groups (P < .05 in all cases). The SAGE-B model showed a higher likelihood ratio (χ2) (76.2 vs 71.4) and linear trend (χ2) (74.1 vs 58.6) than the CAGE-B model, whereas the CAGE-B model showed higher Akaike information criteria (64.3 vs 50.3). Both SAGE-B and CAGE-B showed acceptable performance in predicting HCC after 5 years of AVT in Asian patients with CHB.

Impact of antiviral therapy on risk prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development are available. However, the influence of antiviral therapy (AVT) on these models in patients with chronic hepatitis B is unknown. The dynamic changes in risk prediction models during AVT and the association between risk prediction model and the risk of chronic hepatitis B-related HCC development were investigated. Between 2005 and 2017, 4917 patients with chronic hepatitis B (3361 noncirrhotic, 1556 cirrhotic) were recruited. The mean age of the study population was 49.3years and 60.6% (n=2980) of the patients were male. The mean Chinese University-HCC (CU-HCC) score was 12.7 at baseline in the overall study population, and decreased significantly (mean, 8.7) after 1year of AVT (p<0.001). The score was maintained throughout 5years of AVT (mean, 8.4-8.8; p>0.05). The proportion of high-risk patients (CU-HCC score≥20) was 28.9% at baseline, and decreased significantly after 1year of AVT (5.0%; p<0.001), and remained stable through 5years of AVT (2.2%-3.6%; p>0.05). In addition to the score at baseline, the CU-HCC score at 1year of AVT independently predicted the risk of HCC development (hazard ratio=1.072; p<0.001), together with male gender and platelet count (all p<0.05). The CU-HCC score significantly decreased at 1year of AVT and was maintained thereafter. The CU-HCC score after 1year of AVT independently predicted the risk of HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Factors and virological significance of hepatitis B virus pregenomic RNA status after 5 years of antiviral therapy

ObjectivesTo investigate the factors and virological significance of serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) pregenomic RNA (pgRNA) status after long-term antiviral therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). MethodsIn total, 51 treatment-naïve patients with CHB were included in the study. Clinical data were collected at baseline, during 5 years and at year 10 of NA treatment. Serum HBV pgRNA status of 51 patients was determined at year 5. ResultsAt year 5, 45% of the patients remained positive for HBV pgRNA. There were significant differences in baseline hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) status, HBV DNA load and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels between patients testing positive and negative for HBV pgRNA at year 5. Serum HBV pgRNA status and serum HBV DNA load were correlated after 5 years of NA treatment (r = 0.347, P = 0.013). Being HBV pgRNA positive at year 5 was an independent risk factor for sustainedly undetectable HBV DNA after 10 years of NA treatment (odds ratio 13.638, 95% confidence interval 1.32–140.81; P = 0.028). Furthermore, HBV pgRNA status at year 5 was associated with HBV DNA re-appearance at year 10 (P = 0.009). ConclusionsHBV pgRNA status at year 5 can reveal HBV covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) activity, and HBV pgRNA positivity after long-term antiviral therapy may indicate higher transcriptional activity of HBV cccDNA. Long-term dynamic monitoring of HBV pgRNA should be considered.

The association of the heterogeneity of HBV reverse transcriptase quasispecies with antiviral efficacy after treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues for 10years.

To assess the heterogeneity of HBV reverse transcriptase (RT) quasispecies during 10years of antiviral therapy and their association with antiviral efficacy. Nineteen patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection receiving nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) were enrolled. Based on the antiviral efficacy after 1year of treatment, 5 patients were grouped into an early virologic response (EVR) group, while 8 patients were grouped into a late virologic response (LVR) group. Furthermore, 6 CHB patients that had undergone antiviral treatment for 10years were grouped into a virologic breakthrough (VBT) group. The HBV RT from each patient were amplified, cloned, and sequenced. The complexity of the RT gene in the EVR group was significantly higher than that in the LVR (P=0.0393) and VBT groups (P=0.0141). Phylogenetic tree analysis showed that the average branch length of the EVR and LVR groups were significantly greater than that of VBT group (P<0.001). The complexity (at the nucleotide level) of the RT quasispecies was negatively correlated with the corresponding HBV DNA load (P=0.0163) at one year post-antiviral treatment. Moreover, both the LVR and VBT groups accumulated more deleterious mutations than the EVR group. After 1year of NAs treatment, the increased HBV quasispecies complexity and evolutionary topologies, coupled with less deleterious mutations, are likely associated with a favorable efficacy during long-term antiviral treatment.

Pregenomic HBV RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen Predict Outcomes in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Suppressed on Nucleos(T)ide Analogue Therapy.

A dichotomous separation of hepatitis B viral DNA and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) concentrations occurs during the natural history and treatment of chronic hepatitis B. We have evaluated the ability of hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA and hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) as surrogates of silencing of covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA), to characterize this dissociation, and virological outcomes. Three cohorts of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients were studied: cohort A: 66 HBeAg-negative patients on long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy; cohort B: 23 antibodies against hepatitis B e antigen (anti-HBe)-positive patients who stopped treatment; and Cohort C: 19 anti-HBe-positive patients on long-term NA treatment who achieved HBsAg loss and in whom treatment was withdrawn. Concentrations of HBV serological/virological biomarkers (HBV DNA, HBsAg, HBcrAg, and HBV RNA) were measured in sequential samples at different time points on/off therapy. Cohort A: After 3years of antiviral therapy, 33% and 30% had detectable HBcrAg and HBV RNA, respectively, despite all being HBV-DNA negative. After 5years' therapy with NA, 27% and 14% had detectable HBcrAg and HBV RNA. Detectable HBcrAg and HBV RNA at the time of treatment withdrawal was only observed in those patients who developed a severe aminotransferase flare. Only those patients with HBV reactivation in cohort C had detectable HBV RNA at treatment withdrawal, but HBcrAg and HBV DNA were not detected. HBcrAg and HBV RNA are sensitive biomarkers of continued transcription of cccDNA in HBeAg-negative patients despite marked HBV-DNA suppression by NA. These markers were predictors of severe alanine transaminase flares, after treatment withdrawal, and HBV-DNA reactivation. Their measurement during the natural history of hepatitis B, and on treatment with current and new agents, could characterize residual HBV-RNA transcription from cccDNA and assist drug development and disease management.