Trend Χ2 Research Articles

Prevalence and treatment of anemia in chronic kidney disease patients based on regional medical big data

Objective: To assess the prevalence, risk factors and treatment of anemia in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: A descriptive method was used to analyze the prevalence and treatment of anemia in CKD patients based on regional health data in Yinzhou District of Ningbo during 2012-2018. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent influence factors of anemia in the CKD patients. Results: In 52 619 CKD patients, 15 639 suffered from by anemia (29.72%), in whom 5 461 were men (26.41%) and 10 178 were women (31.87%), and anemia prevalence was higher in women than in men, the difference was significant (P<0.001). The prevalence of anemia increased with stage of CKD (24.77% in stage 1 vs. 69.42% in stage 5, trend χ2 test P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that being women (aOR=1.57, 95%CI: 1.50-1.63), CKD stage (stage 2: aOR=1.10, 95%CI: 1.04-1.16;stage 3: aOR=2.28,95%CI: 2.12-2.44;stage 4: aOR=4.49,95%CI :3.79-5.32;stage 5: aOR=6.31,95%CI: 4.74-8.39), age (18-30 years old: aOR=2.40,95%CI: 2.24-2.57, 61-75 years old: aOR=1.35,95%CI:1.28-1.42, ≥76 years old: aOR=2.37,95%CI:2.20-2.55), BMI (<18.5 kg/m2:aOR=1.29,95%CI: 1.18-1.41;23.0-24.9 kg/m2:aOR=0.79,95%CI: 0.75-0.83;≥25.0 kg/m2:aOR=0.70,95%CI: 0.66-0.74), abdominal obesity (aOR=0.91, 95%CI: 0.86-0.96), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (aOR=1.15, 95%CI: 1.09-1.22), cancer (aOR=3.03, 95%CI: 2.84-3.23), heart failure (aOR=1.44, 95%CI: 1.35-1.54) and myocardial infarction (aOR=1.54, 95%CI:1.16-2.04) were independent risk factors of anemia in CKD patients. Among stage 3-5 CKD patients with anemia, 12.03% received iron therapy, and 4.78% received treatment with erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) within 12 months after anemia was diagnosed. Conclusions: The prevalence of anemia in CKD patients was high in Yinzhou. However, the treatment rate of iron therapy and ESA were low. More attention should be paid to the anemia management and treatment in CKD patients.

Value of prognostic scoring systems in the era of multimodal therapy for recurrent colorectal liver metastases

BackgroundVarious predictive scoring systems have been developed to estimate outcomes of patients undergoing surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). However, data regarding their effectiveness in recurrent CRLM (recCRLM) are very limited. MethodsPatients who underwent repeat hepatectomy for recCRLM at the University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Germany from 2010 to 2021 were included. Nine predictive scoring systems (Fong's, Nordlinger, Nagashima, RAS mutation, Tumor Burden, GAME, CERR, and Glasgow Prognostic score, Basingstoke Index) were evaluated by likelihood ratio (LR) χ2, linear trend (LT) χ2 and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) for their predictive value regarding overall survival (OS) and recurrence free survival (RFS). ResultsAmong 150 patients, median RFS was 9 (2–124) months with a 5-year RFS rate of 10%. Median OS was 39 (4–131) months with a 5-year OS rate of 32%. For RFS and OS, the Nagashima score showed the best prognostic ability (LT χ2 3.00, LR χ2 9.39, AIC 266.66 and LT χ2 2.91, LR χ2 20.91, 290.36). DiscussionThe Nagashima score showed the best prognostic stratification to predict recurrence as well as survival, and therefore might be considered when evaluating patients with recCRLM for repeat hepatectomy.

Prevalence of abnormal glucose values and gestational diabetes mellitus among pregnant women in Xi’an from 2015 to 2021

BackgroundPregnant women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) often have an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. The purpose of this study was to explore the prevalence and characteristics of GDM in Xi’an from 2015 to 2021 since the implementation of China’s “Two-Child policy” and to provide a clinical basis for the management of GDM.MethodsWe analyzed the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) results of 152,836 pregnant women who underwent routine prenatal examination at the Northwest Women and Children’s Hospital from 2015 to 2021. Additionally, we analyzed the GDM prevalence and characteristics.ResultsThe prevalence of GDM in the Xi’an urban area was 24.66% and exhibited an increasing trend annually (χ2 for trend = 43.922, p < 0.001) and with age (χ2 for trend = 2527.000, p < 0.001). Consistent with this, the proportion of pregnant women aged 18–25 and 26–30 years decreased significantly with the annual growth (χ2 for trend = 183.279, p < 0.001 and χ2 for trend = 33.192, p < 0.001, respectively). The proportion of pregnant women aged 31–35 and 36–42 years increased gradually annually (χ2 for trend = 134.436, p < 0.001and χ2 for trend = 44.403, p < 0.001, respectively). Of the pregnant women diagnosed with GDM, 71.15% (65.05–74.95%) had abnormal fasting plasma glucose (FPG) values. The highest percentage of patients had a single abnormal OGTT value (68.31%; 65.77–70.61%), followed by two (20.52%; 18.79–22.55%) and three (11.17%; 10.11–11.85%) abnormal values (FPG and 1-h and 2-h plasma glucose (PG).ConclusionThe prevalence of GDM among pregnant women in Xi’an region was high, and it had a increasing trend over the period from 2015 to 2021. Notably, the proportion of elder pregnant women, aged 31–42 years, presented a significant rise after the implementation of the universal two-child policy. On the basis of the high incidence of GDM among elder pregnant women and the high rate of abnormal OGTT values (numbe ≥ 2) in pregnant women diagnosed with GDM, the management of GDM should be intensified, and relevant departments should pay more attention to pregnant women of advanced age.

Perfusion Imaging Mismatch Profiles in the Early Thrombectomy Window: A Single-Center Analysis.

Little is known on the role of mismatch profile in patients undergoing early endovascular treatment (EVT). We aimed to describe pretreatment perfusion parameters and mismatch profiles in anterior circulation large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke undergoing EVT in the early time window and assess their association with time from stroke onset and outcomes. Retrospective single-center study, including early (<6 hours) EVT-treated large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke with baseline perfusion data, assessing perfusion parameters (ischemic core volume, mismatch volume and mismatch ratio) and mismatch profiles (favorable versus unfavorable, based on criteria adopted in EXTEND-IA [Extending the Time for Thrombolysis in Emergency Neurological Deficits - Intra-Arterial], SWIFT PRIME [Solitaire With the Intention for Thrombectomy as Primary Endovascular Treatment], DEFUSE 3 [Endovascular Therapy Following Imaging Evaluation for Ischemic Stroke 3], and DAWN [Clinical Mismatch in the Triage of Wake Up and Late Presenting Strokes Undergoing Neurointervention With Trevo] trials). We evaluated their association with time from stroke onset (rs [for parameters] or χ2 for trend [for profiles]) and association with modified Rankin Scale score >2, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and mortality (multivariate regression analyses [each parameter/profile entered into a separate logistic regression model, adjusted for baseline variables associated with each outcome in the univariate analysis at the P<0.1 level]). Among 357 patients, unfavorable mismatch profiles ranged from 21% to 60%, depending on the criterion, and were not correlated with time from stroke onset (P=0.490). All individual perfusion parameters and unfavorable mismatch profiles were associated with poor functional outcome: ischemic core volume adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 1.49 ([95% CI, 1.13-1.97] P=0.005); penumbral volume aOR, 0.30 ([95% CI, 0.10-0.84] P=0.022); mismatch ratio aOR, 0.67 ([95% CI, 0.50-0.90] P=0.007); EXTEND-IA aOR, 2.61 ([95% CI, 1.23-5.51] P=0.012); SWIFT PRIME aOR, 2.50 ([95% CI, 1.30-4.57] P=0.006); DEFUSE 3 aOR, 2.28 ([95% CI, 1.14-4.57] P=0.020); and DAWN aOR, 4.19 ([95% CI, 2.13-8.26] P<0.001). EXTEND-IA and DEFUSE 3 unfavorable profiles were also independently associated with symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (aOR, 3.82 [95% CI, 1.42-10.3]; P=0.008 and aOR, 2.83 [95% CI, 1.09-7.36]; P=0.033) and death (aOR, 3.26 [95% CI, 1.33-8.02]; P=0.010 and aOR, 2.52 [95% CI, 1.10-5.82]; P=0.030). Pretreatment perfusion parameters and mismatch profiles in early EVT-treated patients were not correlated with time from stroke onset but were independently associated with functional outcome. Mismatch assessment in the early time window may improve EVT patient selection, independently of onset-to-treatment time.

Analysis of spatial–temporal dynamic distribution and related factors of tuberculosis in China from 2008 to 2018

Through spatial–temporal scanning statistics, the spatial–temporal dynamic distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in 31 provinces and autonomous regions of China from 2008 to 2018 is obtained, and the related factors of spatial–temporal aggregation of tuberculosis in China are analyzed to provide strong scientific basis and data support for the prevention and control of pulmonary tuberculosis. This is a retrospective study, using spatial epidemiological methods to reveal the spatial–temporal clustering distribution characteristics of China's tuberculosis epidemic from 2008 to 2018, in which cases data comes from the China Center for Disease Control and prevention. Office Excel is used for general statistical description, and the single factor correlation analysis adopts χ2 Test (or trend χ2 Inspection). Retrospective discrete Poisson distribution space time scanning statistics of SaTScan 9.6 software are used to analyze the space time dynamic distribution of tuberculosis incidence in 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China from 2008 to 2018. ArcGIS 10.2 software is used to visualize the results. The global spatial autocorrelation analysis adopts Moran's I of ArcGIS Map(Monte Carlo randomization simulation times of 999) is used to analyze high-risk areas, low-risk areas and high-low risk areas. From 2008 to 2018, 10,295,212 cases of pulmonary tuberculosis were reported in China, with an average annual incidence rate of 69.29/100,000 (95% CI: (69.29 ± 9.16)/100,000). The annual GDP (gross domestic product) of each province and city showed an upward trend year by year, and the number of annual medical institutions in each province and city showed a sharp increase in 2009, and then tended to be stable; From 2008 to 2018, the national spatiotemporal scanning statistics scanned a total of 6 clusters, including 23 provinces and cities. The national high-low spatiotemporal scanning statistics of the number of pulmonary tuberculosis cases scanned a total of 2 high-risk and low-risk clusters. The high-risk cluster included 8 provinces and cities, and the low-risk cluster included 12 provinces and cities. The global autocorrelation Moran's I index of the incidence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis in all provinces and cities was greater than the expected value (E (I) = −0.0333); The correlation analysis between the average annual GDP and the number of pulmonary tuberculosis cases in each province and city from 2008 to 2018 was statistically significant. From 2008 to 2018, the spatial and temporal scanning and statistical scanning areas of tuberculosis incidence in China were mainly concentrated in the northwest and southern regions of China. There is an obvious positive spatial correlation between the annual GDP distribution of each province and city, and the aggregation degree of the development level of each province and city is increasing year by year. There is a correlation between the average annual GDP of each province and the number of tuberculosis cases in the cluster area. There is no correlation between the number of medical institutions set up in each province and city and the number of pulmonary tuberculosis cases.

Analysis of the Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation and the Risk Factors in Hypertensive Population

Abstract Background To investigate the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in the hypertensive population and analyze its related factors to provide relevant scientific basis for the formulation of primary prevention of cardiovascular disease. Methods From March 2018 to August 2018, 14,268 residents were screened for physical examination and hypertension in Wuyuan district, Jiangxi Province, and collected information on demographic characteristics, life behavior patterns, personal disease history, and other information of survey subjects through questionnaire surveys. The central atrial fibrillation was determined by a 12-lead ECG examination and self-reported atrial fibrillation history. Logistic regression analysis model was used to analyze related factors of atrial fibrillation. Results Finally, 11,524 hypertensive patients were enrolled, aged (64.1 ± 9.8) years old, of which 5,542 were male. There were 388 patients with atrial fibrillation, aged (69.4 ± 9.6) years old, of which 180 were males. The prevalence of atrial fibrillation among hypertensive populations in Wuyuan district, Jiangxi Province was 3.37%, of which 3.00% were males and 3.75% were females. The prevalence of atrial fibrillation among hypertensive patients &amp;lt;45 years old is 1.70%, the prevalence rate of 45–65 years old is 1.89%, the prevalence rate of 65–75 years old is 4.18%, and the prevalence rate of ≥75 years old is 7.60%. The rate showed an upward trend with age (trend χ2 = 112.83, P &amp;lt; 0.001). The results of multivariate regression analysis showed that age, gender, length of sleep, low-density lipoprotein, blood pressure, and total bilirubin were independent risk factors for atrial fibrillation. Conclusions Age, gender, length of sleep, low-density lipoprotein, blood pressure level, and total bilirubin are related factors for the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in people with hypertension. Regular biochemical indicator monitoring should be conducted for key populations at high risk of atrial fibrillation. And actively carry out health education and intervention for high-risk groups of atrial fibrillation.

Serum C1q/TNF-Related Protein 4 Levels are Associated with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Type 2 Diabetic Patients.

Introduction: There is a strong bidirectional relationship between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), both of which can lead to an increase in harmful metabolism and cardiovascular risk. It was discovered that C1q/TNF-related protein 4 (CTRP4) regulates glucolipid metabolism and feeding behavior. However, the correlation between serum CTRP4 and NAFLD in T2DM patients is not yet fully understood. Methods: This study enrolled 188 T2DM participants who were separated into 2 distinct groups (NAFLD and non-NAFLD) according to abdominal ultrasound imaging results. The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was utilized to evaluate the levels of serum CTRP4. Clinical data and CTRP4 concentration were compared between the two groups. Linear and logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the correlation of serum CTRP4 levels with NAFLD risk in T2DM patients. Results: Compared with non-NAFLD, the concentration of CTRP4 was lower in NAFLD group (median 2.46 vs. 2.89, P < 0.001). The log(CTRP4) value was found to be negatively correlated with alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference in a Pearson correlation analyses (r = -0.159, -0.156, -0.224, -0.268, all P < 0.05); besides, the trend χ2 test demonstrated that the prevalence of NAFLD rose as CTRP4 concentration decreased (P < 0.001). Regression analysis suggested that NAFLD served as an independent factor influencing log(CTRP4) independently (β-coefficient = -0.12, P = 0.011), even after adjusting for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and white blood cells. Finally, the results of the logistic regression analysis demonstrated that BMI [odds ratio (OR) = 1.196, P = 0.028], triglyceride (OR = 2.744, P < 0.001), and CTRP4 (OR = 0.615, P = 0.032) were independently associated with NAFLD in T2DM. Conclusions: T2DM patients with NAFLD have lower CTRP4 serum concentrations than those without NAFLD. The risk of NAFLD in patients with T2DM is inversely correlated with serum CTRP4 levels.

Seroprevalence rates in children aged 3-6 years after implementing a two-dose varicella vaccination: A observational study

ABSTRACT The study evaluates the outcomes of including varicella vaccines (VarV) in the local expanded programme on immunization (EPI) on the seropositivity rates and corresponding protective effects for children aged 3–6 years in Suzhou. The study is observational. Varicella prevalence in children was assessed based on data from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP) and the Jiangsu Province Vaccination Integrated Service Management Information System (JPVISMIS). Seropositivity was determined using the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). A total of 2,873 children aged 3–6 years were enrolled in this study. The seropositivity rates were 95.31% and 86.89% for children with and without the strategy, respectively. The difference in seropositivity rate in children using the different strategies was statistically significant (Trend χ2 = 0.397, P = .255). It is therefore suggested that Suzhou had a high rate of occult infection before the inclusion of varicella vaccine in the EPI. The difference in seroprevalence rate between children with no history of varicella vaccination and those with a history of varicella vaccination was statistically different (χ2 = 51.362, P < .001). The positive rates of antibodies increased with increasing doses of vaccination (χ2 = 56.252, P < .001). For the protective effect of one-dose and two-dose, it was found that the protection rates of one-dose were 72.98% and 100.00%, respectively. The varicella vaccine is an effective method to prevent varicella disease, which can increase serum seroprevalence levels and block the transmission of varicella disease.

Comparison of Proportional Mortality Between Korean Atomic Bomb Survivors and the General Population During 1992-2019.

Atomic bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in Japan in August 1945 were estimated to have killed approximately 70,000 Koreans. In Japan, studies on the health status and mortality of atomic bomb survivors compared with the non-exposed population have been conducted. However, there have been no studies related to the mortality of Korean atomic bomb survivors. Therefore, we aimed to study the cause of death of atomic bomb survivors compared to that of the general population. Of 2,299 atomic bomb survivors registered with the Korean Red Cross, 2,176 were included in the study. In the general population, the number of deaths by age group was calculated from 1992 to 2019, and 6,377,781 individuals were assessed. Causes of death were categorized according to the Korean Standard Classification of Diseases. To compare the proportional mortality between the two groups, the P value for the ratio test was confirmed, and the Cochran-Armitage trend test and χ² test were performed to determine the cause of death according to the distance from the hypocenter. Diseases of the circulatory system were the most common cause of death (25.4%), followed by neoplasms (25.1%) and diseases of the respiratory system (10.6%) in atomic bomb survivors who died between 1992 and 2019. The proportional mortality associated with respiratory diseases, nervous system diseases, and other diseases among atomic bomb survivors was higher than that of the general population. Of the dead people between 1992 and 2019, the age at death of survivors who were exposed at a close distance was younger than those who were exposed at a greater distance. Overall, proportional mortality of respiratory diseases and nervous system diseases was high in atomic bomb survivors, compared with the general population. Further studies on the health status of Korean atomic bomb survivors are needed.

The correlation study between blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio and prognosis of patients with sepsis during hospitalization

BackgroundSepsis is a common critical illness in intensive care unit (ICU) and seriously threatens the life of patients. Therefore, to identify a simple and effective clinical indicator to determine prognosis is essential for the management of sepsis patients. This study was mainly based on blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio (B/A), a comprehensive index, to explore its correlation with the prognosis of sepsis patients during hospitalization.MethodsTotally, adult patients in ICU who were diagnosed with sepsis in Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV(MIMIC-IV) database from 2008 to 2019 were involved in this study. The study population were divided into survivors group and non-survivors group based on the prognosis during hospitalization. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was utilized to analyze the association between B/A level and the risk of ICU all-cause mortality in patients with sepsis and determine the optimal cut-off value of B/A. The study population was divided into low B/A group and high B/A group based on the optimal cut-off value. The survival curve of ICU cumulative survival rate was draw through Kaplan–Meier method. The correlation between B/A and the prognosis of patients was conducted by multivariate Cox regression analysis. Furthermore, we performed sensitivity analyses to assess the robustness of the results.ResultsA total of 10,578 patients with sepsis were enrolled, and the ICU all-cause mortality was 15.89%. The patients in the non-survivors group had higher B/A values and more comorbidities than those in the survivors group. RCS showed that the risk of ICU all-cause mortality increased with the B/A level, showing a non-linear trend (χ2 = 66.82, p < 0.001). The mortality rate in the high B/A group was significantly higher than that in the low B/A group (p < 0.001). Kaplan–Meier curves revealed that compared with the low B/A group, the ICU cumulative survival rate of patients with sepsis was significantly lower in the high B/A group (log-rank test, χ2 = 148.620, p < 0.001). Further analysis of multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression showed that an elevated B/A (≥ 7.93) was an independent factor associated with ICU mortality among patients with sepsis.ConclusionsAn elevated B/A might be a useful prognostic indicator in patients with sepsis. This study could offer a deeper insight into treating sepsis.

Analysis of the current status of needle and syringe exchange programmes for injecting drug users in China

Objective: To analyze the needle and syringe exchange programme (NSEP) implementation among injecting drug users (IDUs) in China and provide data support and a scientific reference for intervention among IDUs. Methods: All the statistical reports of high-risk behavior interventions during 2007-2021 were collected from the HIV/AIDS Comprehensive Response Information Management System. Descriptive analysis was used to analyze the changes in the number of NSEP points, regional distribution of NSEP points, the number of people covered, and the HIV detection rate in China from 2007 to 2021. Excel 2016 software was used to plot the variation trend. SAS 9.4 software was used for the needle recovery and HIV-positive detection rate to do the χ2 trend test. Results: There were 578 NSEP sites in 11 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) by the end of 2021, covering 21 215 IDUs. 2014-2021, the number of NSEP sites and the number of IDUs covered decreased year by year. Each injecting drug user participating in NSEP received more than 200 clean needles annually. The needle recovery rate showed an increasing trend(Z=170.26, P<0.001) from 2009 to 2016 but showed a decreasing trend (Z=-91.96, P<0.001) from 2016 to 2021. The rate of HIV-positive in IDUs participating in NSEP showed a downward trend (Z=-66.53, P<0.001), which decreased from 5.8% (2 709/46 591) in 2011 to 0.1% (19/21 215) in 2021, decreasing 98.3%. Conclusions: NSEP is a vital intervention to prevent HIV transmission through injecting drugs. There were still many difficulties. It is necessary to strengthen further communication and coordination with government and public security departments to understand and support for NSEP. Targeted publicity and education are needed to be carried out for local IDUs to encourage them to participate in NSEP and reduce their dropout. Meanwhile, peer educators supervision and management also need to be strengthened.

HIV/AIDS surveillance in men who have sex with men aged 15-24 based on internet in Fuzhou,2016-2021

Objective: To analyze HIV/AIDS surveillance data in men who have sex with men (MSM) aged from 15 to 24 years in Fuzhou and understand the HIV infection status in MSM and related factors. Methods: From 2016 to 2021, MSM aged 15-24 years who had oral or anal sex with men in the past 6 months were recruited through internet, and their demographic and behavioral characteristics, HIV antibody positive rate and risk factors were analyzed. Results: From 2016 to 2021, a total of 4 234 MSM aged 15-24 years were surveyed. The proportion of MSM from other provinces increased from 13.00% (85/654) to 23.42% (163/696) (trend χ2=60.23, P<0.001); and the proportion of MSM seeking male partners through internet increased from 93.27% (610/654) to 99.71% (694/696) (trend χ2=65.20, P<0.001); In the last anal sex in the past 6 months, the proportion of MSM using condom decreased from 88.16% (484/549) to 74.11% (415/560) (trend χ2=32.32, P<0.001); and in the past 6 months, the proportion of MSM using condom at each anal sex decreased from 65.76% (361/549) to 55.54% (311/560) (trend χ2 =6.82, P<0.001); The proportion of MSM with HIV antibody testing increased from 5.66% (37/654) to 25.29% (176/696) (trend χ2=98.51, P<0.001). The cumulative HIV antibody positive rate in the MSM was 3.64% (154/4 234), and there was no significant difference in annual HIV antibody positive rate in the MSM (trend χ2=0.50, P=0.453). The HIV antibody positive rate in the MSM with education level of junior high school or below and the MSM living in Fuzhou for 1-2 years showed an upward trend (P<0.05). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the risk for HIV infection in the MSM with education level of high school or technical secondary school was 0.54 times higher than that in those with education level of junior high school or below (95%CI: 0.30-0.99), and the risk for HIV infection in the MSM with education level of junior college or below was 0.29 times higher than that in those with education level of junior high school or below (95%CI: 0.17-0.51). The risk for HIV infection in the MSM who lived in Fuzhou for 1-2 years was 0.35 times higher than that in those who lived in Fuzhou for less than 1 year (95%CI: 0.16-0.74), the risk for HIV infection in the MSM who lived in Fuzhou for more than two years was 0.58 times higher than that in those who lived in Fuzhou for less than 1 year (95%CI: 0.37-0.91). The number of MSM using condoms at each anal sex was 0.18 times higher than that in the those never using condoms (95%CI: 0.08-0.42), and the number of the MSM who didn't suffered from sexually transmitted diseases was 0.25 times higher than that in those who suffered from sexually transmitted diseases (95%CI: 0.13-0.50). Conclusions: The MSM aged 15-24 years in Fuzhou have higher risk for HIV infection, and internet based intervention should be strengthened in adolescent MSM without permanent residence and with low education level.

Prognostic values of the gross volume of metastatic lymph nodes in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

We aim to explore whether the gross volume of metastatic lymph nodes (GTVnd) and the gross volume of primary tumor (GTVp) could be prognostic factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (dCCRT). We retrospectively analyzed 252 ESCC patients treated with dCCRT in the eraofintensity-modulatedradiation therapy (IMRT) at our institution. The cut-off value for the GTVnd derived from the restricted cubic splines (RCS) was determined. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were performed to determine the association between GTVnd and prognosis. we performed recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) method using GTVnd to develop a new risk stratification (TGTVndM). Moreover, the linear trend χ2, likelihood ratio χ2, and akaike information criterion (AIC) were used to determine the prognostic value between the TNM and TGTVndM staging systems. The five-year overall survival (OS) rate was 30.6%, with a median follow-up of 38 months. The cut-off value of GTVnd determined by the RCS was 4.35 cm3. GTVnd≥4.35 cm3 was an independent and significant negative prognostic factor for OS (HR=1.949, P<0.001), progression free survival (PFS) (HR=1.425, P=0.048), and distance metastasis free survival (DMFS) (HR=2.548, P=0.001). In multivariable analysis, gender, clinical T stage, and GTVnd were independently associated with OS. RPA segregated patients into 3 prognostic groups: high risk (T1-4 GTVnd≥4.35, n=126, III stage), intermediate risk (T4 GTVnd<4.35,n=38,II stage), and low risk(T1-3GTVnd<4.35, n=88, I stage). The 5-year OS(P<0.001), PFS (P=0.002), and DMFS (P=0.001) were significantly worse in high-risk group in comparison with the intermediate and low risk groups. Compared with the TNM staging system, the clinical T stage combined with GTVnd (TGTVndM) had a higher linear trend χ2 (26.38 versus 25.77), higher likelihood ratio χ2 (24.39 versus 20.69), and lower AIC (1255.07 versus 1260.06). GTVnd may serve as a good prognostic factor in predicting distant metastasis and death for ESCC patients treated with dCCRT. The TGTVndM staging system demonstrated superior accuracy for predicting OS and could serve as a more effective prognostic guidance for unresectable ESCC patients.

Epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Guangdong province from 2016 to 2020

Objective: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in Guangdong province from 2016 to 2020 and provide evidence for the prevention and control of pulmonary TB. Methods: Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the incidence data of pulmonary TB reported in Guangdong from 2016 to 2020. Dynamic geometric series averaging and circular distribution methods were used to reveal the epidemic pattern. Results: A total of 356 748 pulmonary TB cases were reported in Guangdong from 2016 to 2020. The reported incidence of pulmonary TB decreased from 71.82/100 000 to 50.40/100 000 (trend χ2=6 905.57,P<0.001) , with an annual decline rate of 8.47%. Results from the circular distribution methods showed that the incidence peak would occur on May 4th-5th (Z=1 176.96,P<0.05), and the incidence was relatively higher in May compared with other months. The area distribution of the pulmonary TB epidemic was uneven, and the reported average annual incidence was in the order of the eastern area (72.15/100 000), the northern area (68.14/100 000), the western area (65.31/100 000) and the Pearl River Delta area (60.05/100 000). Results of dynamic geometric series averaging analysis showed a declining trend in the reported incidence of pulmonary TB in all areas, except Dongguan, with the average growth rate less than 0.00. The decline rate in the eastern area (-10.90%) and northern area (-10.63%) was higher than the provincial average (-8.47%). The male to female ratio of the cases was 2.63∶1 (258 562∶98 186). The reported average annual pulmonary TB incidence in men (88.37/100 000) was higher than that in women (36.86/100 000), the difference was significant (χ2=75.19, P<0.001). The reported incidence of pulmonary TB generally increased with age (trendχ2=123 849.44, P<0.001), and reached peak in age group ≥65 years (164.54/100 000). Dynamic geometric series averaging analysis showed an increasing trend of the reported pulmonary TB incidence in age groups 5-14 years and 15-24 years, with the average growth rate of 0.05% and 3.60%. Conclusions: The reported annual incidence of pulmonary TB showed a declining trend year by year in Guangdong from 2016 to 2020. However, an increasing incidence was reported in children and adolescents. Active case finding should be strengthened in the elderly and other key populations. With comprehensive TB prevention and control measures, it is still necessary to pay attention to the prevention and control of pulmonary TB in men, low-income groups and less developed areas in Guangdong and strengthen the comprehensive prevention and control in winter and spring.

Epidemiological investigation and prevention and control strategies of rubella in Anhui province, China, from 2012 to 2021.

BackgroundRubella is a highly contagious viral infection with mild manifestations that occurs most often in children and young adults. Infection during pregnancy, especially during the first trimester, can result in an infant born with congenital rubella syndrome (CRS). The purpose of this paper is to analyze the characteristics of rubella epidemics in Anhui province from 2012 to 2021 and explore the prevention and control strategies of rubella.MethodsA descriptive epidemiological approach was used to examine the epidemiological characteristics of rubella in Anhui Province between 2012 and 2021.ResultsFrom 2012 to 2021, a total of 4,987 cases of rubella were reported in Anhui province, with an average annual incidence of 8.11 per million, demonstrating an overall downward trend (χ2 trend =3141.06, P < 0.01). The average yearly incidence of rubella in southern Anhui, central Anhui, and northern Anhui were 9.99 per million, 11.47 per million, and 4.50 per million, respectively, with statistically significant differences (χ2 =792.50, P < 0.01). The male to female incidence ratio was 1.67:1, and the male incidence rate was higher than the female incidence rate. Most cases occurred among students, accounting for 56.59% of all cases, and the 10–34 age group accounted for ~73.71% of all cases. Regarding immunization history, 3.57% of cases had two doses or more, 6.62% had one dose, 16.40% had none, and the remainder were uncertain.ConclusionThe incidence of rubella in Anhui province from 2012 to 2021 continued to decline, with regional variations observed. The 10–34-year-old population without a history of rubella vaccination is at high risk for the disease. It is suggested to carry out rubella vaccination and congenital rubella syndrome monitoring according to the actual situation.

Prospective validation of the Eastern Staging in predicting survival after surgical resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study from China

BackgroundThe Eastern Staging System, which was specially developed for patients undergoing surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), has been proposed for more than ten years. To prospectively validate the predictive accuracy of the Eastern staging on long-term survival after HCC resection. MethodsPatients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC from 2011 to 2020 at 10 Chinese hospitals were identified from a prospectively collected database. The survival predictive accuracy was evaluated and compared between the Eastern Staging with six other staging systems, including the JIS, BCLC, Okuda, CLIP, 8th AJCC TNM, and HKLC staging. ResultsAmong 2365 patients, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 84.2%, 64.5%, and 52.6%, respectively. Among these seven staging systems, the Eastern staging was associated with the best monotonicity of gradients (linear trend χ2: 408.5) and homogeneity (likelihood ratio χ2: 447.3), and the highest discriminatory ability (the areas under curves for 1-, 3-, and 5-year mortality: 0.776, 0.787, and 0.768, respectively). In addition, the Eastern staging was the most informative staging system in predicting survival (Akaike information criterion: 2982.33). ConclusionUsing a large multicenter prospectively collected database, the Eastern Staging was found to show the best predictive accuracy on long-term overall survival in patients with resectable HCC than the other 6 commonly-used staging systems.

An epidemiological analysis of imported malaria in Shanghai during a COVID-19 outbreak

BackgroundThe goal of this study was to understand the epidemiological characteristics of imported malaria in Shanghai specifically during the epidemic period of novel corona-virus pneumonia (COVID-19), to provide a reference for preventing the transmission of imported malaria after this disease had been previously eliminated.MethodsThe data of malaria cases reported in Shanghai from 2020 to 2021 were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP) and the Information System for Parasitic Disease Control and Prevention (ISPDCP). The characteristics of demographic and epidemiological distribution, travel-related information, diagnosis information, regions of infection acquisition and disposal information of epidemic situation were analysed with descriptive statistics.ResultsA total of 112 cases of malaria were reported in Shanghai from January 2020 to December 2021. There were 18 cases and 94 cases in 2020 and 2021, respectively, reaching the lowest and highest levels in the past 10 years. The incidence of malaria associated with seasons had an increasing trend (χ2 = 81.143, P < 0.05). These cases included Plasmodium falciparum (97, 86.61%), Plasmodium vivax (4, 3.57%), Plasmodium ovale (8, 7.14%) and Plasmodium malariae (3, 2.68%). The median age of patients with malaria was 38.0 years, the majority of these individuals were males (109, 97.32%), and most of them were labour personnel (93, 83.04%). Of the reported cases, 8 of these individuals (7.14%) reported experiencing malaria symptoms before their arrival in China after their stay overseas; 97 of these individuals (86.61%) reported experiencing symptoms within 14 days after their initial arrival from overseas; 15 of these individuals (13.39%) were diagnosed with ‘severe malaria’; and 4 of these individuals (3.57%) were also diagnosed with COVID-19. All cases were imported from Africa, and there were no indigenous cases and deaths.ConclusionDue to the impact of COVID-19, the number of imported malaria cases in Shanghai had greatly increased; however, prevention and control measures for imported malaria could be implemented to prevent re-transmission of this condition. Considering that the number of individuals returning from overseas labour is likely to increase in the next few years, it is necessary to strengthen the surveillance of imported malaria and to review the protocol for potential epidemic situations. Together, these measures could support the maintation of free-malaria status in Shanghai.

Towards Universal Screening for Postpartum Depression in China: Lessons Learned from a Comprehensive Prevention Programme in Shenzhen.

This study was conducted to assess the real-world efficacy of a universal programme for the prevention of postpartum depression (PPD) in Shenzhen. Given the lack of evidence on routine PPD screening and intervention in China, it sought to provide insights for programme planning and implementation, particularly in relation to achievement of the targets set by the first national guidelines for PPD prevention and treatment. Using routine health information system data, the PPD screening, referral and intervention rates for 2015-2019 were calculated and compared to the programmes targets. Trends of variables were tested by using trend χ2. The programme screened 137,761 to 178,857 women for PPD every year with the coverage among all postpartum women increased steadily from 71.1% to 82. 5% (χ2 = 10145.251, p < 0.001). The PPD-positive rate maintained between 4.06% and 4.89%. However, although referral messages were given to an increased percentage of PPD-positive women (χ2 = 1090.908, p < 0.001), the intervention rate (i.e., referral uptake) were far lower than the programme target of 80%. This study demonstrated high efficacy of Shenzhen's comprehensive PPD prevention programme initiated in 2013. The resultant rise in the screening rate among all postpartum women, together with a high referral rate of those screened positive, have contributed to the city's relatively low PPD prevalence. PPD screening and intervention should be included as part of basic public health services to ensure universal coverage and specific strategies should be adopted to ensure referral uptake.

Demographics of Current and Aspiring Integrated Six-year Cardiothoracic Surgery Trainees

BackgroundThe integrated 6-year thoracic surgery (I-6) residency model was developed in part to promote early interest in cardiothoracic surgery in diverse trainees. To determine gaps in and opportunities for recruitment of women and minority groups in the pipeline for I-6 residency, we quantified rates of progression at each training level and trends over time. MethodsWe obtained 2015 to 2019 medical student, I-6 applicant, and I-6 resident gender and race/ethnicity demographic data from the American Association of Medical Colleges and Electronic Residency Application Service public databases and Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education Data Resource Books. We performed χ2, Fisher exact, and Cochran-Armitage tests for trend to compare 2015 and 2019. ResultsOur cross-sectional analysis found increased representation of women and all non-White races/ethnicities, except Native American, at each training level from 2015 to 2019 (P < .001 for all). The greatest trends in increases were seen in the proportions of women (28% vs 22%, P = .46) and Asian/Pacific Islander (25% vs 15%, P = .08) applicants. There was also an increase in the proportions of women (28% vs 24%, P = .024) and White (61% vs 58%, P = .007) I-6 residents, with a trend for Asian/Pacific Islanders (20% vs 17%, P = .08). The proportions of Hispanic (5%) and Black/African American (2%) I-6 residents in 2019 remained low. ConclusionsI-6 residency matriculation is not representative of medical student demographics and spotlights a need to foster early interest in cardiothoracic surgery among all groups underrepresented in medicine while ensuring that we mitigate bias in residency recruitment.

Epidemiological characteristics of 2019-nCoV Delta variant in Gansu province

Objective: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 caused by 2019-nCoV Delta variant (B.1.617.2) in Gansu province, and provide evidence for the prevention and control of COVID-19. Methods: The information of COVID-19 cases, including demographic characteristics, epidemiological history, onset date, diagnosis date, exposure place, detection way and infection source, in Gansu from 17 October to 25 November, 2021 were collected. Software Excel 2016,SPSS 22 and ArcGIS 10.7 were used for data process and analysis. Results: As of November 25, 2021, a total of 146 COVID-19 cases had been reported in Gansu and the epidemic affected 10 counties (districts) in 5 cities. The epidemic of COVID-19 in Gansu had three stages: imported case stage,imported-local case stage and local case stage. The age of cases ranged from 1 to 87 years,and the cases in age group 18-59 years accounted for 59.59% (87/146). The male to female ratio of the cases was 1∶1.12 (69∶77). The cases were mainly people engaged in business services (17.12%, 25/146),retirees (15.75%, 23/146),students (13.70%, 20/146),the jobless and unemployed (12.33%, 18/146). In 3 epidemic stages, the cases aged 18-59 years accounted for 44.44%,54.41% and 70.00% respectively,showing an upward trend,and there were differences among different populations (trend χ2=23.24, P<0.001). Also, the incubation period of the cases tended to decrease, and severe cases accounted for 33.33% (6/18), 19.12% (13/68) and 3.33% (2/60) respectively, showing a downward trend. Community screening (25.34%, 37/146) and close contact screening were the main ways to detect cases,the cases detected by close contact screening in 3 epidemic stages accounted for 50.00% (9/18), 66.18% (45/68) and 86.67% (52/60) respectively. The epidemic had obvious case clustering in confined places,and the main exposure modes were living together (24.66%), working/studying together (11.64%), taking same transportation (9.59%) and dining together (9.59%). Conclusions: The COVID-19 epidemic in Gansu was caused by 2019-nCoV Delta variant from imported cases. The virus was mainly transmitted through travel, sharing transportation, dining together and home contact. The characteristics of COVID-19 epidemic in Gansu changed with time, the case's clinical symptoms were not obvious and the incubation period became shorter. The infections mainly occurred in group aged 18 years and above.