Abstract Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death among both men and women. The solitary pulmonary nodule (SPN) is frequently seen on radiographs and computed tomography (CT) and often provokes additional clinical and imaging activities as an SPN alerts possible early stage lung cancer. However, reliable diagnosis of malignant lung nodules in the workup of SPN is challenging, making it difficult for early stage cancer management to avoid morbidity due to malignant cancer, patient distress, and increased costs caused by more invasive and unwarranted procedures for benign cases. We developed a deep learning model based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to predict lung cancer risk for incidental SPN. The model can help better management of incidental lung cancer by providing a reliable characterization of SPNs. Deep learning models currently are applied to nodule detection in low-dose CT scans of lung cancer screening for at-risk population. Our work aims to investigate whether deep learning can differentiate benign from malignant incidental SPN during normal dose CT exams, where the number of patients with SPN is an order more than that of lung screening population. We collected an incidental SPN dataset containing 139 CT scans to generate the nodule malignancy prediction model using 3D CNN. This dataset was collected from either contrast or non-contrast CT scans with regular doses. All 139 patients went through surgeries to remove the tumors. CT images were collected within one year before the surgery. 90 cases are malignant and the rest are benign. Ground truth labels were obtained from biopsies. Data were preprocessed by resampling, normalization, and cropping to unique volume around the SPN. The radiologists annotated the SPN location. Since the two nodule classes are imbalanced, we did online data augmentation to increase the variety of lung nodule images and balance the two classes. We used 80% of the data for training and 20% for testing. The deep learning structure adapted is a 3D Resnet with 68 layers and 33M parameters. The area under the receiving operating characteristics curve (AUC) of the prediction result was 0.81 while the accuracy was 79.6%. Applying GradCam to visualize important regions in CT scans contributing to the final predictions, we found that our trained ResNet model focuses on meaningful areas in lung nodules and detects malignant SPNs in most cases. Our preliminary results shows the feasibility of using deep learning to predict incidental lung nodules and improve diagnostic speed and accuracy. Citation Format: Pengyu Yuan, Tiancheng He, Hien Nguyen, Stephen T. Wong. A deep learning model-based lung cancer risk assessment for incidental pulmonary nodules [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 2614.
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