Wildland Fire Management Research Articles

Economic evaluation of research to improve the Canadian forest fire danger rating system

Canada is a largely forested country, and the economic, environmental, and social effects of the country’s wildland fire management are of great importance from an industry and public policy perspective. Investment in research can improve the efficiency of wildland fire management and has an important role in the decisionmaking process. There is a long history of research investment in Canada related to wildland fire management, including the development of the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System (CFFDRS). To demonstrate the range of net benefits of the CFFDRS to Canadian society, a cost-benefit study was conducted on research related to enhancing the current system. The benefits of research were measured as the difference in economic returns with additional investment in research, primarily achieved through reduction in damages to timber resources and savings in suppression expenditure (the “with-research scenario”) and those that would have resulted with no changes to the current CFFDRS (the “without-research scenario”). A triangular probability distribution was used to address uncertainty and the results indicated high levels of net economic benefit if the CFFDRS were to be enhanced by additional research investment, with “most likely” estimates of net present value ranging from $30 million to $1.5 billion ($Cdn).

Research and development supporting risk-based wildfire effects prediction for fuels and fire management: status and needs

Wildland fire management has moved beyond a singular focus on suppression, calling for wildfire management for ecological benefit where no critical human assets are at risk. Processes causing direct effects and indirect, long-term ecosystem changes are complex and multidimensional. Robust risk-assessment tools are required that account for highly variable effects on multiple values-at-risk and balance competing objectives, to support decision making. Providing wildland fire managers with risk-analysis tools requires a broad scientific foundation in fire behaviour and effects prediction as well as high quality computer-based tools and associated databases. We outline a wildfire risk-assessment approach, highlight recent developments in fire effects science and associated research needs, and recommend developing a comprehensive plan for integrated advances in wildfire occurrence, behaviour and effects research leading to improved decision support tools for wildland fire managers. We find that the current state of development in fire behaviour and effects science imposes severe limits on the development of risk-assessment technology. In turn, the development of technology has been largely disconnected from the research enterprise, resulting in a confusing array of ad hoc tools that only partially meet decision-support needs for fuel and fire management. We make the case for defining a common risk-based analytic framework for fire-effects assessment across the range of fire-management activities and developing a research function to support the framework.

Describing wildland surface fuel loading for fire management: a review of approaches, methods and systems

Wildland fuelbeds are exceptionally complex, consisting of diverse particles of many sizes, types and shapes with abundances and properties that are highly variable in time and space. This complexity makes it difficult to accurately describe, classify, sample and map fuels for wildland fire research and management. As a result, many fire behaviour and effects software prediction systems use a generalised description of fuels to simplify data collection and entry into various computer programs. There are several major fuel description systems currently used in the United States, Canada and Australia, and this is a source of confusion for many in fire management. This paper (1) summarises the challenges of describing fuels, (2) contrasts approaches (association, classification and abstraction) for developing fuel description systems and (3) discusses possible future directions in wildland fuel description and science to transition to a universal fuel description system. Most discussion centres on surface fuel loadings as the primary descriptive characteristic. This synthesis paper is intended to provide background for understanding surface fuel classification and description systems and their use in simulating fire behaviour and effects, quantifying carbon inventories and evaluating site productivity.

Exploring the onset of high-impact mega-fires through a forest land management prism

In the modern era, high-impact mega-fires are unprecedented for the suppression costs, property losses, natural resource damages, and loss of life often involved. For a number of years, these extraordinary wildfires have been increasing in number and in severity. They affect countries around the world, including those with enormous firefighting capabilities. High-impact mega-fires are frustrating efforts to provide for public safety, slow rates of deforestation, sequester carbon and reduce black carbon emissions.Despite more determined bidding, attempts to match increasing wildfire threats with greater suppression force have not stemmed climbing mega-fire trends. Yet, the majority of after-action reviews, reports, and commissions continue to weight recommendations to correcting emergency response deficiencies, generally through a fire operations lens.This paper explores the mega-fire phenomenon through a forest land management prism. It is an early attempt to focus on the contributory factors that may set the stage for high-impact mega-fires. The paper draws on the results from two coarse-filter overviews of high-impact mega-fires from around the world and the authors’ firsthand experiences dealing with others in the United States.Drought and fire exclusion policies have been implicated in the large fire problem. However, several high-impact mega-fires can be further traced to land management decisions that resulted in dense forest conditions with high biomass and fuel build-ups over extensive areas. As droughts have intensified, more of these accumulated fuels have become available to burn at intensities that exceed suppression capabilities.In contrast, some places have managed to largely avoid high-impact mega-fires. State and federal lands in Florida and Crown lands in Western Australia have better aligned policies and practices with the disturbance regimes that define the forested landscapes that they protect. They use prescribed fire at appropriate intensities, intervals, and scales to reduce fuels as the means to protect people, maintain forest resilience, ensure biodiversity, and increase margins of suppression effectiveness.Forest land management policies and practices that, by design or by default, result in greater volumes of fuel and rely on suppression capabilities to maintain these conditions may no longer be sustainable as droughts deepen and become more widespread. This paper suggests that adapting wildland fire management programs, forest land management policies, and the current regulatory framework to the reality of warmer, drier climate patterns will be essential in reducing mega-fire risks. Protecting fire-prone landscapes can no longer rely on suppression alone; protection will become more dependent on the management of forests where high-impact mega-fires incubate.

Spatial modelling of wildland fire danger for risk analysis and conflict resolution in Malaysia: linking Fire Danger Rating Systems (FDRS) with Wildfire Threat Rating Systems (WTRS)

This study provides a comprehensive framework to mitigate or prevent forest and land (or wildland) fire disaster in Malaysia. This system supports emergency response and preparedness for wildland fire by means of integrated modelling, monitoring and mapping of fire danger. In this framework, multi-sensor applications for monitoring fire danger and fire activity are linked with decision-aid models in a Geographic Information System (GIS) environment to generate information required for wildland fire management. Using a customized version of the spatial Fire Management System software, components of the Malaysia Fire Danger Rating System (FDRS) are calculated to provide fire weather, fire behaviour and wildfire threat information. Wildfire threat ratings (WTRs) are assessed on the basis of fire occurrence risk, potential fire behaviour, suppression capability and values at risk. Outputs from the Malaysia FDRS were integrated with hotspots extracted from remote sensing data to generate combined maps of active fire locations, fire danger, potential fire behaviour and uncontrolled wildland fire (or wildfire) threat. In case of wildfire, remotely sensed data were also used to generate wildfire affected area and emergency response maps for emergency management. The system architecture and application models for wildfire analysis, which aid decision-making components for wildfire mitigation and relief, are described. These include early warning of fire, risk analysis, damage assessment and emergency response analysis. This article provides the first documentation of a national, operational system linking fire danger rating with socio-economic values, as defined by the WTR models, to guide fire and rescue decision-making during wildfire events. It is finally shown how the proposed system can reduce the risk offire management disputes in Malaysia by directing the conflict to a more favourable resolution.

Optimize landscape fuel treatment locations to create control opportunities for future fires

Fuel treatment can improve the efficiency of controlling future catastrophic fires. Selecting optimal fuel treatment locations across a landscape is a challenging strategic planning problem in wildland fire management. This research develops a new fuel treatment optimization model by extending a fire suppression model to simultaneously consider many future fires. Fire is ignited from every grid cell in a landscape and modeled for various durations in a mixed integer programming model. Fuel treatment in a cell decreases its fire intensity and makes future fire control effective in it. This model allocates fuel treatments to minimize the total landscape future fire loss. It was first tested on several artificial landscapes for model validation. Results show that it tends to allocate fuel treatments in contiguous areas following regular and intuitive spatial patterns. Spatial fuel treatment layouts vary according to the change of fire ignition probability distribution, the distribution of value to be protected from fire, and fire duration assumptions. Trade-off between protecting different parts of a landscape is a major driver in designing fuel treatment layouts. A test case in the Sequoia and Kings Canyon national parks demonstrates how this model assembles spatial information and helps study the effects of fuel treatments in a heterogeneous landscape. This model allows managers to assemble information from many possible future fires to make informative strategic-level fuel treatment decisions. A potential model extension and the limitations of this model are also discussed.

Wildfire Management and Forecasting Fire Potential: The Roles of Climate Information and Social Networks in the Southwest United States

Abstract Continuing progress in the fields of meteorology, climatology, and fire ecology has enabled more proactive and risk-tolerant wildland fire management practices in the United States. Recent institutional changes have also facilitated the incorporation of more advanced climate and weather research into wildland fire management. One of the most significant changes was the creation of Predictive Services in 1998, a federal interagency group composed, in part, of meteorologists who create climate- and weather-based fire outlooks tailored to fire manager needs. Despite the numerous forecast products now available to fire managers, few studies have examined how these products have affected their practices. In this paper the authors assess how fire managers in the Southwest region of the United States perceive and incorporate different types of information into their management practices. A social network analysis demonstrates that meteorologists have become central figures in disseminating information in the regional interagency fire management network. Interviews and survey data indicate that person-to-person communication during planning phases prior to the primary fire season is key to Predictive Services’ success in supporting fire managers’ decision making. Over several months leading up to the fire season, predictive forecasts based on complex climate, fuels, and fire-risk models are explained to fire managers and updated through frequent communication. The study’s findings suggest that a significant benefit of the information sharing process is the dialogue it fosters among fire managers, locally, regionally, and nationally, which better prepares them to cooperate and strategically plan for the fire season.

Comparing fire protection and improvement values at four major us national parks and assessing the potential for generalized value categories

A new approach was used to elicit relative values of a variety of natural and cultural resources to estimate the extent that managers thought these resources would be enhanced or harmed by wildfire. This method, while based on economic principles of utility, does not involve monetary valuation. The method is illustrated by elicitation of relative values of different forest types, wildlife habitat and archaeological/cultural resources from resource professionals and managers in Grand Canyon, Rocky Mountain, Sequoia-Kings Canyon and Yellowstone National Parks. While these elicitations were independently performed for each park, the relative protection and improvement values of the various resources are remarkably similar. This similarity may reflect the common and well-focused mandate that national parks operate under. The management implications of the protection and improvement values of natural and cultural resources for wildland fire management at these and other national parks are discussed. Keywords Disturbance, Grand Canyon, Rocky Mountain, Sequoia-Kings Canyon, value elicitation, wildland fire, Yellowstone Language: en

Effect of Suppression Strategies on Federal Wildland Fire Expenditures

Policymakers and decisionmakers alike have suggested that the use of less aggressive suppression strategies for wildland fires might help stem the tide of rising emergency wildland fire expenditures. However, the interplay of wildland fire management decisions and expenditures is not well understood. In this study, we assess the effect of different fire management objectives and strategies on expenditures. Analyses of 1,330 US Forest Service and US Department of Interior fires from fiscal years (FYs) 2006–2008 indicate that management objectives and strategies do affect costs, but the results vary both by agency and by the cost metric used. For instance, although less aggressive protection strategies may result in a lower cost per acre or daily cost, increased acreages or longer duration associated with less aggressive strategies may lead to total fire management costs that are either higher than or equal to more aggressive strategies.

Airborne Infrared Scanning Imaging System with Rotating Drum for Fire Detection

Airborne infrared techniques have been used in wild land fire management for decades. This paper describes a kind of infrared scanning system based on a rotating drum with a tilted porthole underside the plane nose. This design increases the stability of the mechanism system, reduces air resistance and protects inner parts. Aberration characteristics of a tilted ellipsoid porthole are analyzed and an effective solution is invented which makes the system achieve 30° field of regard. The system's ultimate value of modulation transfer function is near the diffraction limit, which indicates that the performance of the rotating optical system meets the imaging requirements.

Airborne infrared fire detection optical system with tilted porthole

Thermal infrared imagery techniques have been applied in the field of wild land fire management for many years. A kind of infrared system with a tilted porthole conformal to the ellipsoid prow underside the plane nose is presented. This design increases the range of the inner imaging system, reduces air drag and protects against damage. The paper analyzes the aberration characteristic of a tilted ellipsoid porthole, and brings forward an effective corrective solution to make the system achieve a − 30° to − 90° field of regard with an instantaneous ± 4° field of view. The ultimate performance indicates that the infrared optical system has met the detection requirements.

Interdependencies between flame length and fireline intensity in predicting crown fire initiation and crown scorch height

This state-of-knowledge review examines some of the underlying assumptions and limitations associated with the inter-relationships among four widely used descriptors of surface fire behaviour and post-fire impacts in wildland fire science and management, namely Byram’s fireline intensity, flame length, stem-bark char height and crown scorch height. More specifically, the following topical areas are critically examined based on a comprehensive review of the pertinent literature: (i) estimating fireline intensity from flame length; (ii) substituting flame length for fireline intensity in Van Wagner’s crown fire initiation model; (iii) the validity of linkages between the Rothermel surface fire behaviour and Van Wagner’s crown scorch height models; (iv) estimating flame height from post-fire observations of stem-bark char height; and (v) estimating fireline intensity from post-fire observations of crown scorch height. There has been an overwhelming tendency within the wildland fire community to regard Byram’s flame length–fireline intensity and Van Wagner’s crown scorch height–fireline intensity models as universal in nature. However, research has subsequently shown that such linkages among fire behaviour and post-fire impact characteristics are in fact strongly influenced by fuelbed structure, thereby necessitating consideration of fuel complex specific-type models of such relationships.

Modeling topographic influences on fuel moisture and fire danger in complex terrain to improve wildland fire management decision support

Fire danger rating systems commonly ignore fine scale, topographically-induced weather variations. These variations will likely create heterogeneous, landscape-scale fire danger conditions that have never been examined in detail. We modeled the evolution of fuel moistures and the Energy Release Component (ERC) from the US National Fire Danger Rating System across the 2009 fire season using very high resolution (30 m) surface air temperature, humidity and snow ablation date models developed from a network of inexpensive weather sensors. Snow ablation date occurred as much as 28 days later on North-facing slopes than on South-facing slopes at upper elevations. South-facing slopes were hotter and drier than North-facing slopes but slope position, in addition to aspect, was also important because nocturnal air temperatures were coolest and humidity was highest in valley bottoms. These factors created heterogeneous fuel moistures and fire danger across the study area. In the late season (August and September), nocturnal cold air drainage and high relative humidity fostered fuel moisture recovery in valley bottoms, where fuel moistures and ERC values were 30% and 45% higher and lower, respectively at peak fire danger (September 29th). Dry fuel moistures and relatively high ERC values persisted on low elevation, South-facing slopes. The driest conditions were observed 100–200 m above the valley floor where mid-slope thermal belts frequently developed above areas of cold air pooling. We suggest that a complete understanding of these variations may help improve fire management decision making.

Wildland Fire Science for Management: Federal Fire Manager Information Needs, Sources, and Uses

Abstract A Web-based survey of wildland fire managers in federal agencies in the western United States explored fire science information needs and sources, why particular sources are used, and barriers to obtaining and using information. The fire managers we surveyed rely heavily on internal agency information sources (colleagues, technical experts, and resource advisors) and are more likely to face barriers in their ability to access and use relevant information (lack of time, funding, and personnel) than problems with the quality or availability of data. Information accessibility and applicability are important to managers when deciding which information sources to use. Managers frequently access research provided by US Forest Service Research and Development specialists and university scientists through various publications, the Internet, and direct communication with scientists. Understanding the types of information fire managers need, the sources they access for information, and the barriers they face in obtaining and using information may lead to improved fire science and its dissemination, as well as more effective and efficient fire management.

Quantifying fine fuel dynamics and structure in dry eucalypt forest ( Eucalyptus marginata) in Western Australia for fire management

Techniques for rapid visual assessment of fuel characteristics have a broad range of applications in wildland fire management and research. We developed and tested a technique for assessing forest fuels which provides hazard ratings for distinct layers within the overall fuel complex, including bark, elevated shrubs, near-surface and surface (forest litter) fuels. These layers are comprised predominantly of fine fuel particles <6 mm diameter. The technique was used to model fuel accumulation in dry eucalypt forest of Eucalyptus marginata at two locations with contrasting understorey structures. We found that visual fuel hazard ratings described patterns of fuel dynamics over time in a similar fashion to models for fuel load accumulation. Visual hazard ratings can be related qualitatively to factors that reflect the difficulty of fire suppression by experienced fire fighters including visibility through the forest, access, difficulty of working machinery, flame height and spotting potential. The ability to relate hazard ratings to fire spread prediction needs to be tested.

The challenge of applying governance and sustainable development to wildland fire management in Southern Europe

This paper discusses participatory processes in wildland fire management (WFM). Participation is an essential element of both the European Sustainable Development (SD) Strategy and the White Paper on Governance. Governance and SD have thus become an interconnected challenge to be applied to WFM (as a sub-area in forest policy), amongst other policies. An overspread weakness in WFM is lack of real participation of stakeholders. Absence of (or deficient) participation can seriously impair contribution of this group to WFM in high-risk areas and runs counter governance and the SDS. Further, this weakness might prevent an efficient use of fire as a land management tool (prescribed burning, PB) and as a technique for fighting wildfire (suppression fire, SF). Even though these fire practices have been well known in many different places, they have been increasingly neglected or prohibited over time in Southern Europe. At present, forest and fire fighting administrations are turning their eyes back on them and analyzing the benefits of using fire in relation to preventive and suppressive actions. Therefore, participatory and diffusion mechanisms (the latter adopting the shape of national and international experts’ networks) are required in order to solve the socalled fire paradox: that is, the need to move from a one-dimensional perception of the negative impacts of fire to a more sophisticated one that also stresses its positive effects. Governance, based on broad social participation, and diffusion, through fire networks, are of utmost importance in order, first, to diminish long-standing suspicion amongst different interests as to the use of fire and, secondly, to diffuse best practices associated with PB and SF. Most importantly, the EU should exercise its environmental leadership so that these new fire practices and sustainable WFM are diffused across the international arena.

Built structure identification in wildland fire decision support

Recent ex-urban development within the wildland interface has significantly increased the complexity and associated cost of federal wildland fire management in the United States. Rapid identification of built structures relative to probable fire spread can help to reduce that complexity and improve the performance of incident management teams. Approximate structure locations can be mapped as specific-point building cluster features using cadastral data records. This study assesses the accuracy and precision of building clusters relative to GPS structure locations and compares these results with area mapping of housing density using census-based products. We demonstrate that building clusters are reasonably accurate and precise approximations of structure locations and provide superior strategic information for wildland fire decision support compared with area density techniques. Real-time delivery of structure locations and other values-at-risk mapped relative to probable fire spread through the Wildland Fire Decision Support System Rapid Assessment of Values at Risk procedure supports development of wildland fire management strategies.

Accommodating non-market values in evaluation of wildfire management in the United States: challenges and opportunities

Forests in the United States generate many non-market benefits for society that can be enhanced and diminished by wildfire and wildfire management. The Federal Wildland Fire Management Policy (1995, updated 2001), and subsequent Guidance to the Implementation of that policy provided in 2009, require fire management priorities be set on the basis of values to be protected (including natural and cultural resources), costs of protection, and natural resource management objectives (including beneficial fire effects). Implementation of this policy is challenging because those charged with executing the policy have limited information about the value that society places on non-market goods and services at risk. This paper reviews the challenges of accommodating non-market values affected by wildfire in social cost–benefit analysis and proposes an economic research agendum to support more efficient management of wildfire in the United States.

Interactive effects of vegetation, soil moisture and bulk density on depth of burning of thick organic soils

The boreal biome is characterised by extensive wildfires that frequently burn into the thick organic soils found in many forests and wetlands. Previous studies investigating surface fuel consumption generally have not accounted for variation in the properties of organic soils or how this affects the severity of fuel consumption. We experimentally altered soil moisture profiles of peat monoliths collected from several vegetation types common in boreal bogs and used laboratory burn tests to examine the effects of depth-dependent variation in bulk density and moisture on depth of fuel consumption. Depth of burning ranged from 1 to 17 cm, comparable with observations following natural wildfires. Individually, fuel bulk density and moisture were unreliable predictors of depth of burning. However, they demonstrated a cumulative influence on the thermodynamics of downward combustion propagation. By modifying Van Wagner’s surface fuel consumption model to account for stratigraphic changes in fuel conditions, we were able to accurately predict the maximum depth of fuel consumption for most of the laboratory burn tests. This modified model for predicting the depth of surface fuel consumption in boreal ecosystems may provide a useful framework for informing wildland fire management activities and guiding future development of operational fire behaviour and carbon emission models.

Tree Injury and Mortality in Fires: Developing Process-Based Models

Wildland fire managers are often required to predict tree injury and mortality when planning a prescribed burn or when considering wildfire management options; and, currently, statistical models based on post-fire observations are the only tools available for this purpose. Implicit in the derivation of statistical models is the assumption that they are strictly applicable only for the species or conditions for which they were developed. The result has been a profusion of separate models of uncertain generality. A parallel research effort, the process approach, has been directed at modeling tree injury and mortality by directly simulating the energy-transfer process from the fire to the exterior surface of the plant, and thence into roots, stems, and foliage. Process models can currently predict stem or tree death if certain injury thresholds are reached. We present a brief review of the current understanding of the biophysical processes causing fire-induced plant injury, and focus on the challenges associated with defining boundary conditions, initial conditions, and thermal and physical properties required for modeling plant heating and tissue necrosis. We argue for integration of statistical and process approaches to predicting tree injury and mortality wherein process models provide inputs for statistical models. Research gaps that hinder the application of process-based tree injury and mortality models include linkage of fire effects models with combustion models (especially coupled fire-atmosphere models) through the boundary conditions required for simulating tissue heating, descriptions of live tree thermal and physical characteristics, and better understanding of the physiological basis for delayed fire-caused mortality and the interactions between fire injury and second-order causes of mortality such as diseases and insects.