AbstractBackgroundThe progression of Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is heterogeneous with different brain regions manifesting pathology at different times during the disease. Differential sequences of grey matter (GM) volume changes, defining imaging‐based subtypes, may represent alternative disease origins, pathways or severity. Additionally, volumes of white matter hyperintensities (WMH), which increase with age, are associated with AD. In this study we used a machine learning method to estimate three types of AD trajectories and assessed their WMH load and longitudinal prognosis.MethodSubtype and Stage Inference (SuStaIn; Young et al., https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467‐018‐05892‐0) was used to estimate data‐driven disease progresion subtypes from cross‐sectional GM volumes in 795 subjects (from ADNI1/GO/2 with baseline 3T MRI scans processed with FreeSurfer 5.1 passing data quality control). Following additional quality control WMH volumes for 575 of these ADNI subjects were calculated using a Bayesian Model Selection method BaMoS (Sudre et al., https://doi.org/10.1109/TMI.2015.2419072) from three diagnostic groups: Healthy Controls (HC; n=181), Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI; n=310) and Alzheimer’s Disease (AD; n=85). The association between SuStaIn subtypes and WMH and diagnostic conversion rates were evaluated using multiple pairwise comparisons and survival analysis, respectively.ResultSuStaIn identified three subtypes with distinct atrophy patterns: typical (atrophy begins in hippocampus and amygdala), cortical (atrophy starts in the temporal lobe, followed by cingulate and insula) and subcortical (atrophy begins in pallidum, putamen and caudate) (Figure 1). Participants with the subcortical subtype exhibited a significantly slower rate of clinical progression to MCI or AD (Figure 2, Table 1). Furthemore, subjects with the subcortical subtype showed lower median WMH (Figure 3a), a pattern observed across the diagnostic groups (Figure 3b).ConclusionParticipants classified as the subcortical subtype were least likely to have white matter structural changes associated with neurodegeneration and displayed the slowest rate of clinical conversion. While late hippocampal involvement in the subcortical subtype may explain less severe clinical symptoms and slower disease progression, the reason for lower WMH associated with this subtype trajectory is unknown. Further studies are needed to investigate the link between WMH and AD atrophy subtypes.