Western Tropical Pacific Ocean Research Articles

Photothermal conditions and upwelling enhance very short-lived brominated halocarbons emissions in the western tropical Pacific Ocean

Sea-to-air emissions of very short-lived brominated halocarbons (VSLBrHs) are known to contribute to 30 % of stratospheric and tropospheric ozone depletion. However, empirical data on their occurrence in open ocean are scarce, which makes it difficult to estimate the significant contribution of open ocean releases to the global budget of halocarbons. This study was conducted in 2022 to explore the spatial variations of VSLBrHs and their controlling factors in the western tropical Pacific Ocean (WTPO). The findings highlighted that high biological productivity and the resulting dissolved organic matter (DOM) as well as upwelling dynamics significantly influenced the distribution and production of VSLBrHs in seawater, with atmospheric levels primarily governed by oceanic emissions. Based on the simultaneous observation of seawater and atmospheric concentrations, the mean sea-to-air fluxes of CH2Br2, CHBr3, CHBrCl2, and CHBr2Cl were estimated to be 1.01, 6.65, 9.31, and 7.25 nmol m−2 d−1, respectively. Sea-to-air fluxes of these gases in the upwelling regions were 9.0, 4.6, 2.9, and 6.8 times those in the non-upwelling regions, respectively. Additionally, in-situ incubation experiments revealed that the enzymatic mediated biosynthesis pathways of VSLBrHs were enhanced under temperature and light-induced stress and in waters rich in humus-like substances. Therefore, we tentatively concluded that abundant photothermal conditions and the existence of upwelling in the WTPO made it a potential hotspot for the emission of VSLBrHs. This study offers critical insights into the environmental dynamics of VSLBrHs emissions and underscores the importance of regional oceanic conditions in influencing atmospheric greenhouse gas compositions.

Lake-level responses to climate change in an inland basin in the Japanese Islands during the last 16 kyr

During the last deglaciation and middle Holocene, rapid climatic changes occurred repeatedly. Previous research has primarily focused on investigating these periods in East Asia's coastal and inland regions of the Eurasian continent. In contrast, a limited number of studies have reported on climate change and its environmental impacts in island areas near the Pacific Ocean. This study aims to reconstruct paleosol drainage conditions and lake water level fluctuations in the Suwa Basin, an inland basin in central Japan, after the last deglaciation. We utilize the identification of paleosols and the geochemistry of lacustrine sediments to discuss climate change and its impacts on terrestrial environments in the East Asian coastal region. During the Last Glacial Maximum, the basin experienced a lowstand period; meandering fluvial systems led to the development of dry and well-drained paleosols. The lacustrine environment expanded between ca. 16 cal kyr BP and 5 cal kyr BP during a transgressive period. Short-term lake-level fluctuations were reconstructed by examining repeated paleosol development and changes in the bulk SiO2 content originating from biogenic silica in lacustrine sediments. Our data suggest that the lake's water level fell at ca. 12 cal kyr BP, 8 cal kyr BP, and 7 cal kyr BP. After 5 cal kyr BP, thin paleosols repeatedly formed during short exposure times due to the rapid sedimentation rate in the delta system, which corresponds to the highstand period. Short-term fluctuations between 16 kyr BP and 5 kyr BP, in the lake water level in the inland basin of the Japanese Islands was influenced by drying and cooling trends in the East Asian coastal region, as well as declines in sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Pacific Ocean. These fluctuations roughly synchronize with the Younger Dryas stadial and an 8.2 ka cooling event. Changes in precipitation, which responded to fluctuations in the East Asian summer monsoon intensity and tropical depressions, likely regulated the lake water level. These findings imply the predominant influence of paleoclimate fluctuations over thousands of years on the hydrological regime of lake systems across the island area of the East Asia.

Energetics of eddy-mean flow interactions in the western tropical Pacific Ocean

The eddy-mean flow interactions are critical processes in the ocean energy cycle. This study investigated the energetics of eddy-mean flow interactions in the western tropical Pacific Ocean using the multiscale window transform (MWT) and MWT-based canonical transfer theory, based on 16-year numerical outputs from the Ocean General Circulation Model for the Earth Simulator and two mooring measurements. Energy analysis revealed that prominent eddy kinetic energy (EKE) appears in the upper layer of the Sulawesi Sea and the source region of North Equatorial Countercurrent (NECC), and in the subsurface layer along the Philippine coast. The kinetic energy in the upper layer is mainly transferred from the mean flow to the eddy field through barotropic instability. Below the thermocline, the prominent subsurface EKE is not only caused by barotropic conversion, but also by baroclinic one. Subsurface mesoscale eddies east of the Mindanao Island extract energy from mean flow through barotropic instability, and those further north seem to release their kinetic energy to the mean flow of North Equatorial Undercurrent, indicating inverse energy cascades. Our results highlight that the advection effect plays a key role in the horizontal distribution of EKE, which generally shifts the high EKE area a few degrees downstream from the eddy formation region. Particularly, in the source region of NECC, the advection term shifts the EKE center 5° eastward from ∼132°E to ∼137°E.

Variability in the relationship between light scattering and chlorophyll a concentration in oligotrophic tropical regions of the Western Pacific Ocean.

It is important to determine the relationship between the concentration of chlorophyll a (Chla) and the inherent optical properties (IOPs) of ocean water to develop optical models and algorithms that characterize the biogeochemical properties and estimate biological pumping and carbon flux in this environment. However, previous studies reported relatively large variations in the particulate backscattering coefficient (bbp(λ)) and Chla from more eutrophic high-latitude waters to clear oligotrophic waters, especially in oligotrophic oceanic areas where these two variables have little covariation. In this study, we examined the variability of bbp(λ) and Chla in the euphotic layer in oligotrophic areas of the tropical Western Pacific Ocean and determined the sources of these variations by reassessment of in-situ measurements and the biogeochemical-argo (BGC-Argo) database. Our findings identified covariation of bbp(λ) and Chla in the water column below the deep Chla maximum (DCM) layer, and indicated that there was no significant correlation relationship between bbp(λ) and Chla in the upper layer of the DCM. Particles smaller than 3.2 µm that were in the water column above the DCM layer had a large effect on the bbp(λ) in the vertical profile, but particles larger than 3.2 µm and smaller than 10 µm had the largest effect on the bbp(λ) in the water column below the DCM layer. The contribution of non-algal particles (NAPs) to backscattering is up to 50%, which occurs in the water depth of 50 m and not consistent with the distribution of Chla. Phytoplankton and NAPs were modeled as coated spheres and homogeneous spherical particles to simulate the bbp(λ) of the vertical profile by Aden-Kerker method and Mie theory, and the results also indicated that the backscattering caused by particles less than 20 µm were closer to the measured data when they were below and above the DCM layer, respectively. This relationship also reflects the bbp(λ) of particles in the upper water was significantly affected particle size, but bbp(λ) in the lower water was significantly affected by Chla concentration. This effect may have relationship with phytoplankton photoacclimation and the relationship of a phytoplankton biomass maximum with particle size distribution in the water column according to the previous relevant studies. These characteristics also had spatial and seasonal variations due to changes of Chla concentration at the surface and at different depths. There was mostly a linear relationship between Chla and bbp(700) during winter. During other seasons, the relationship between these two variables was better characterized by a power function (or a logarithmic function) in the lower layer of the DCM. The spatial and vertical relationships between the bbp(λ) and Chla and the corresponding variations in the types of particles described in this study provide parameters that can be used for accurate estimation of regional geochemical processes.

The Role of Precipitation and Salinity Effect in Multidecadal Changes and Long-Term Trend of the Indonesian Throughflow

Abstract Multidecadal variability of the Indonesian Throughflow (ITF) is crucial for the Indo-Pacific and global climate due to significant interbasin exchanges of heat and freshwater. Previous studies suggest that both wind and buoyancy forcing may drive ITF variability, but the role of precipitation and salinity effect in the variability of ITF on multidecadal time scales remains largely unexplored. Here, we investigate the multidecadal changes and long-term trend of the ITF transport during the past six decades, with a focus on the role of precipitation and salinity effect. The diverse datasets consistently indicate a substantial upward trend in the halosteric component of geostrophic transport of ITF in the outflow region at 114°E during the six decades. We find that the meridional differences of the salinity trend in the outflow region explain the increasing trend of the halosteric component of ITF transport. On a larger scale, the tropical western Pacific Ocean and Indonesian seas have experienced significant freshening, which has strengthened the Indo-Pacific pressure gradient and thus enhanced the ITF. In contrast, the equatorial trade wind in the western Pacific Ocean has weakened over recent decades, implying that changes in wind forcing have contributed to weakening the ITF. The combined effect of strengthened halosteric and weakened thermosteric components has resulted in a weak strengthening for the total ITF with large uncertainties. Although both the thermosteric and halosteric components are associated with natural climate modes, our results suggest that the importance of salinity effect is likely increasing given the enhanced water cycle under global warming.

Iron-binding by dissolved organic matter in the Western Tropical South Pacific Ocean (GEOTRACES TONGA cruise GPpr14)

Iron (Fe) is an essential micronutrient for phytoplankton growth, but its scarcity in seawater limits primary productivity across much of the ocean. Most dissolved Fe (DFe) in seawater is complexed with Fe-binding organic ligands, a poorly constrained fraction of dissolved organic matter (DOM), which increase Fe residence time and impact Fe bioavailability. Here, we present the conditional concentration (LFe) and binding-strength (log KFe'Lcond) of Fe-binding ligands in the Western Tropical South Pacific (WTSP) Ocean during the GEOTRACES TONGA cruise (GPpr14). The transect crossed the Lau basin, a region subject to shallow hydrothermal Fe inputs that fuel intense diazotrophic activity, the oligotrophic South Pacific gyre, and the Melanesian basin. Organic speciation was analyzed by competitive ligand exchange adsorptive cathodic stripping voltammetry (CLE-AdCSV) using salicylaldoxime at 25 µM. We found a high mean LFe of 5.2 ± 1.2 nMeqFe (n = 103) across the entire transect, predominantly consisting of intermediate strength L2 ligands (84%; mean log KFe'Lcond of 11.6 ± 0.4), consistent with humic-like substances. DFe correlated with the humic-like component of the fluorescent DOM (HS-like FDOM), yet the electroactive Fe-binding humic-like substances (LFeHS) accounted for only 20 ± 13% of LFe in the mixed layer and 8 ± 6% in deep waters. Ligands were in large excess compared to DFe (mean excess ligand eLFe = 4.6 ± 1.1 nMeqFe), suggesting poor stabilization of DFe inputs. High LFe (up to 9 nMeqFe) in samples close to hydrothermal sites could be due to detoxification strategies from plankton communities toward hydrothermally-fueled toxic trace metals other than Fe, with an apparent dilution of the DOM from the Lau basin into neighboring regions. We also observed a different peak potential of the Fe salicylaldoxime complex detected by CLE-AdCSV between the Lau and Melanesian basins, and between surface and deep waters. To our knowledge, this change in potential has not previously been reported; whether this represents a novel detection of specificities in DOM composition merits further investigation. Competition between Fe and competing metals for ligand binding sites could favor DFe oxidation and precipitation near hydrothermal vents and explain the absence of strong Fe stabilization in the WTSP.

Pollen-based quantitative reconstructions of Holocene climate at Gun Nuur in the northern Mongolian Plateau

This study quantitatively reconstructs Holocene climate based on a palynological analysis of a 745-cm lake core at Gun Nuur in the northern Mongolian Plateau. The core is precisely dated with 49 dates and the dataset comprises 372 pollen samples providing high temporal resolution. We obtained quantitative reconstructions of annual temperature (Tann) and precipitation (Pann) based on comparison with a modern pollen dataset comprising 604 data sites for which climate correlation coefficients are high (R2 = 0.76 for Tann and R2 = 0.70 for Pann) and the uncertainties are relatively small (RMSEP = 1.99 °C for Tann and RMSEP = 46.22 mm for Pann). Results show that the climate in the northern Mongolian Plateau experienced a warm-dry climate in the early Holocene (∼10,300 to ∼7900 cal. yr BP), a stable cool-wet climate in the middle and early-late Holocene (∼7900 to ∼2300 cal. yr BP), and an increasingly cool-wet climate in more recent times (last ∼2300 years). The high temperature in the northern Mongolian Plateau before ∼7900 cal. yr BP is attributable to the thermal sensitivity of the interior Asian continent to high summer insolation. The nearly constant and rather stable temperature during the past ∼7900 years is most likely the result of the thermal insensitivity of the well-developed and densely-covered Taiga forests in south Siberia to declining summer insolation. Increasing precipitation in the northern Mongolian Plateau in the period before ∼7900 cal. yr BP is similar to coeval records from the Altai Mountains, the Yinshan Mountains and the Lake Baikal basin, and most likely resulted from rising sea surface temperature both in the North Atlantic Ocean and in the Western Tropical Pacific Ocean. The stable and nearly constant precipitation during the past ∼7900 years most likely resulted from the combined effect of decreasing water vapor supply from the cooling Western Tropical Pacific Ocean and the increasing water vapor supply from the warming North Atlantic Ocean.

Atmosphere–Ocean Coupled Energy Budgets of Tropical Convective Discharge–Recharge Cycles

Abstract An energy budget combining atmospheric moist static energy (MSE) and upper ocean heat content (OHC) is used to examine the processes impacting day-to-day convective variability in the tropical Indian and western Pacific Oceans. Feedbacks arising from atmospheric and oceanic transport processes, surface fluxes, and radiation drive the cyclical amplification and decay of convection around suppressed and enhanced convective equilibrium states, referred to as shallow and deep convective discharge–recharge (D–R) cycles, respectively. The shallow convective D–R cycle is characterized by alternating enhancements of shallow cumulus and stratocumulus, often in the presence of extensive cirrus clouds. The deep convective D–R cycle is characterized by sequential increases in shallow cumulus, congestus, narrow deep precipitation, wide deep precipitation, a mix of detached anvil and altostratus and altocumulus, and once again shallow cumulus cloud types. Transitions from the shallow to deep D–R cycle are favored by a positive “column process” feedback, while discharge of convective instability and OHC by mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) contributes to transitions from the deep to shallow D–R cycle. Variability in the processes impacting MSE is comparable in magnitude to, but considerably more balanced than, variability in the processes impacting OHC. Variations in the quantity of atmosphere–ocean coupled static energy (MSE + OHC) result primarily from atmospheric and oceanic transport processes, but are mainly realized as changes in OHC. MCSs are unique in their ability to rapidly discharge both lower-tropospheric convective instability and OHC.

Retraction: Close kin proximity in yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) as a driver of population genetic structure in the tropical Western and Central Pacific Ocean

Retraction: Close kin proximity in yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) as a driver of population genetic structure in the tropical Western and Central Pacific Ocean

Geomagnetic paleointensity variations in the northern South China Sea since the Late Pleistocene

The geomagnetic field plays multiple roles in the investigation of the geodynamic processes of Earth's internal fluids and dating of deposition sequences. However, discrepancies in geomagnetic field intensity on suborbital and millennial time scales across different regions have hindered discussions on these topics. In this study, we constructed a master relative intensity curve (SPIS-150) covering the past ∼150 kyr by stacking the data from a new core (PC27) with published intensity curves for the northern South China Sea based on the chronology established through the oxygen isotope stratigraphy and relative paleointensity (RPI) correlation. Rock magnetic experiment results reveal that the sediments effectively record geomagnetic field information, although the magnetic minerals are primarily composed of terrestrial and biogenic magnetite. The stacked relative paleointensity (SPIS-150) exhibits a consistent pattern with the global stacked master curve on the orbital time scale, reflecting dipole-dominated changes in the geomagnetic field. However, specific features, such as the profound intensity lows between 75 and 85 kyr and a relatively low peak during 110–120 kyr, display potential differences with the global stacked virtual axial dipole moment (VADM) curves. Additionally, the disagreement in RPI across different regions have emerged significantly since about 25 kyr. Our record appears to align with the western tropical Pacific Ocean and the southern hemisphere but, to some extent, contradicts the stacked VADM from the northern hemisphere. This pattern may indicate the possible influence of reverse flux patches along the magnetic equator and normal flux patches in the north hemisphere.

Significant Impact of Hydrothermalism on the Biogeochemical Signature of Sinking and Sedimented Particles in the Lau Basin

AbstractIron (Fe) is an essential micronutrient for diazotrophs, which are abundant in the Western Tropical South Pacific Ocean (WTSP). Their success depends on the numerous trace metals, particularly Fe, released from shallow hydrothermal vents along the Tonga Arc. This study aimed to explore the spatio‐temporal impact of hydrothermal fluids on particulate trace metal concentrations and biological activity. To identify the composition of sinking particles across a wide area of the WTSP, we deployed sediment traps at various depths, both close and further west of the Tonga Arc. Seafloor sediments were cored at these deployment sites, including at a remote location in the South Pacific Gyre. The sinking particles were composed of a large amount of biological material (up to 88 mg d−1), indicative of the high productivity of the region. A significant portion of this material (∼21 ± 12 wt.%) was lithogenic of hydrothermal origin, as revealed through Al‐Fe‐Mn tracing. The sinking material showed similar patterns between lithogenic and biogenic fractions, indicating that hydrothermal input within the photic layer triggered surface production. A hydrothermal fingerprint was suggested in the sediments due to the high sedimentation rates (>47 cm kyr−1) and the presence of large, heterogeneous, metal‐rich particles. The presence of nearby active deep hydrothermal sources was suspected near the Lau Ridge due to the large particle size (1–976 μm) and the significant excess of Fe and Mn (2–20 wt.%). Overall, this study revealed that hydrothermal sources have a significant influence on the biogeochemical signature of particles in the region.

Occurrence and emissions of biogenic dimethylated sulfur compounds and their responses to mesoscale eddies and typhoon Yutu in the western tropical Pacific Ocean

The western tropical Pacific Ocean (WTPO) plays a vital role in the global sulfur biogeochemical cycle. Here, an investigation was conducted to explore the spatial variations in biogenic dimethylated sulfur compounds (BDSCs) and their controlling factors in the WTPO in 2018. Dimethylsulfide (DMS) sea-to-air fluxes and the contribution of DMS emissions to the atmospheric sulfate burden were estimated. The concentrations of BDSCs in the surface seawater were low compared to the marginal seas of the western Pacific Ocean, attributed to a limited supply of nutrients and low primary production. Besides, higher values of the BDSCs were observed in surface and subsurface water. The nanophytoplankton was the main dimethylsulfoniopropionate (DMSP) producer, and the abundance of low DMSP and dimethylsulfoxide (DMSO) producers determined the DMSP/O concentrations in the oligotrophic WTPO. Moreover, mixed layer depth might be the crucial factor affecting DMS values. DMS fluxes were low in the WTPO, but they still contributed substantially to global DMS emissions, given the vast areas of the Pacific Ocean. The contribution of biogenic non-sea-salt sulfate (nss-SO42-) to total SO42- reached 25.87%, which showed the oxidation products of DMS were the crucial sources of SO42- in aerosols. Responses of BDSCs to mesoscale eddies and a typhoon were investigated for the first time. The warm eddy increased the concentrations of chlorophyll a (Chl-a) and BDSCs. Nevertheless, no effect of a mesoscale cold eddy on Chl-a or BDSCs was evident. The values of Chl-a, DMS, DMSP, biogenic nss-SO42-, and the DMS fluxes increased after Typhoon Yutu passed, indicating that typhoons play a prominent role in DMS emissions and the global sulfur cycles.

Seasonal and vertical distribution of living planktonic foraminifera in the western tropical Pacific Ocean

To investigate the seasonal and vertical distributions of planktonic foraminiferal species in the western tropical Pacific Ocean, we collected planktonic foraminifera seasonally and diurnally from eight water depths from 0 to 600 m using the Multiple Opening/Closing Net and Environmental Sensing System. We identified 23 living foraminiferal species (size fraction 212–1000 μm) and examined their abundances at the sites of oligotrophic areas. Seasonal changes were characterized by an increase in the diversity and abundance of planktonic foraminifera in summer. We estimated the habitat depth of planktonic foraminifera based on their vertical distribution. Planktonic foraminifera can be classified into species living in the surface mixed layer, uppermost thermocline, upper thermocline, and lower thermocline in the water column. The uppermost thermocline layer is characterized by the occurrence of subsurface chlorophyll maximum (water depth, 100–150 m). The boundary between the upper and lower thermocline layers (approximately 300 m) is at the depth at which the dissolved oxygen concentration begins to rapidly decrease. The species inhabiting the surface mixed layer were Globigerinoides sacculifer and Globigerinoides ruber white in spring. In summer, G. sacculifer dwelled in the surface mixed layer during night time, whereas they existed in the uppermost thermocline during daytime. Many species were found in the uppermost thermocline layer in summer, including G. ruber white, Globigerinoides conglobatus, Globigerinella siphonifera, Pulleniatina obliquiloculata, Globoquadrina conglomerata, Orbulina universa, Neogloboquadrina dutertrei, Globigerinella calida, and Hastigerina pelagica. The species Globorotalia hirsuta dwelled in the upper thermocline in spring, whereas it occurred in the lower thermocline in summer. Globorotaloides hexagonus inhabited the lower thermocline in all seasons. Our results will provide useful information for reconstructing changes in water column structure using planktonic foraminiferal shells in marine sediments.

A Zonal See‐Saw Variation of Tropical Cyclogenesis Over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal‐South China Sea

AbstractThe variation of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis over the North Indian Ocean (NIO) and South China Sea (SCS) during the post‐monsoon season is explored during 1979–2020. A zonal see‐saw variation of TC genesis is detected between the Arabian Sea (AS) and Bay of Bengal (BOB) –SCS (BOBSCS for brevity). More (less) TCs over the AS tend to concur with fewer (more) TCs over the BOBSCS. Analyses of both the observations and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 outputs show that tripole sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans play a crucial role in the zonal see‐saw variation of TC genesis. Positive western Indian (WI) Ocean and tropical central and eastern Pacific (CEP) Ocean SST anomalies and negative western Pacific (WP) SST anomalies induce anomalous ascending and descending motions and high and low humidity transportation to the middle troposphere over the AS and BOBSCS, respectively. Meantime, anticyclonic vorticity anomalies appear in the BOBSCS region and negative anomalies of vertical wind shear are induced over the NIO and SCS. The combined positive contributions of upward motion, mid‐level humidity increase, and low vertical wind shear favor higher TC genesis over the AS, whereas the joint negative effects of downward motion, mid‐level water vapor decrease, and lower‐level anticyclonic vorticity anomalies result in less TC genesis over the BOBSCS. Numerical experiments show a critical role of the WI SST anomalies in the dipole pattern of vertical motion, which is crucial for the zonal dipole variation of TC genesis.

The role of humic-type ligands in the bioavailability and stabilization of dissolved iron in the Western Tropical South Pacific Ocean

The high N2 fixation rate observed in the Lau Basin of the western tropical South Pacific Ocean (WTSP) is fueled by iron (Fe) released from shallow hydrothermal systems. Understanding Fe bioavailability is crucial but the controls on the stability and bioavailability of hydrothermal Fe inputs are still poorly understood. Here, we provide new data on the spatial and vertical distribution of the soluble ubiquitous humic-like ligands (LFeHS) and their associated dissolved Fe (DFe) in the WTSP, including in samples near hydrothermal vents. Our data show that LFeHS are heterogenous ligands with binding sites of both strong and intermediate strengths. These ligands are primarily produced in surface waters and partially mineralized in mesopelagic waters. A substantial fraction of DFe was complexed by LFeHS (mean ~30%). The DFe complexed by LFeHS is likely bioavailable to phytoplankton and LFeHS stabilized Fe released by the mineralization of sinking biomass. However, unsaturation of LFeHS by Fe suggest that part of DFe is not available for complexation with LFeHS. Possible reasons are competition between DFe and other metals, such as dissolved copper, or the inability of LFeHS to access colloidal DFe. The study of two volcanic sites indicates that LFeHS were not produced in these hydrothermal systems. At the active site (DFe ~50 nmol L-1), LFeHS can only partially solubilize the hydrothermal DFe released in this area (1~5.5% of the total DFe). We performed controlled laboratory experiments which show that the observed low solubilization yield result from the inability of LFeHS to solubilize aged Fe oxyhydroxides (FeOx - a kinetically mediated process) and to form stable complexes with Fe(II) species. Our study provides new understanding of the role of LFeHS on the bioavailability and stabilization of hydrothermal DFe.

Circulation patterns associated with trends in summer temperature variability patterns in North America

This study improves the understanding of circulation patterns associated with regional temperature trends by characterizing boreal summer temperature variability patterns in North America using rotated S-mode principal component analysis. We analyzed gridded observational 2-m temperature datasets and the ERA5 reanalysis temperature dataset to examine the climate patterns associated with long-term trends and inter-annual variability of temperature variability patterns in North America. Our analysis revealed significant trends among some classified temperature variability patterns from 1979 to 2022 summers, with inter-annual amplitudes (i.e., a departure from the mean state) signaling toward the warm regime. The anticyclonic circulation anomaly over the temperature coherent regions associated with Greenland/northeastern Canada, and Alaska, respectively, is linked to an increase in warm air advection and above-average temperatures, while cyclonic circulation over the northeast Pacific coast enhanced warm air advection and temperature increases in the coherent region comprising the northwestern portion of North America. The increase in global mean land and ocean temperatures is strongly associated with the long-term increase in the amplitude of atmospheric circulations associated with warm regimes in parts of North America. At the interannual time scale, temperature increase over Greenland/northeastern Canada is strongly associated with the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation. These findings highlight the modulating effects of global temperature increase and warming of the western tropical Pacific Ocean on the increasing amplitude of circulations associated with warm regimes in North America. Our results further indicate that the enhancement of anticyclonic circulations over the Arctic contributes to nearly 68% of the observed reduction in sea ice extent.

Correcting Subseasonal Forecast Errors with an Explainable ANN to Understand Misrepresented Sources of Predictability of European Summer Temperatures

Abstract Subseasonal forecasts are challenging for numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning models alike. Forecasting 2-m temperature (t2m) with a lead time of 2 or more weeks requires a forward model to integrate multiple complex interactions, like oceanic and land surface conditions leading to predictable weather patterns. NWP models represent these interactions imperfectly, meaning that in certain conditions, errors accumulate and model predictability deviates from real predictability, often for poorly understood reasons. To advance that understanding, this paper corrects conditional errors in NWP forecasts with an artificial neural network (ANN). The ANN postprocesses ECMWF extended-range summer temperature forecasts by learning to correct the ECMWF-predicted probability that monthly t2m in western and central Europe exceeds the climatological median. Predictors are objectively selected from ECMWF forecasts themselves, and from states at initialization, i.e., the ERA5 reanalysis. The latter allows the ANN to account for sources of predictability that are biased in the NWP model itself. We attribute ANN corrections with two explainable artificial intelligence (AI) tools. This reveals that certain erroneous forecasts relate to tropical western Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures at initialization. We conjecture that the atmospheric teleconnection following this source of predictability is imperfectly represented by the ECMWF model. Correcting the associated conditional errors with the ANN improves forecast skill. Significance Statement We want to understand occasions in which a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model fails to forecast a predictable event existing in the real world. For forecasts of European summer weather more than 2 weeks in advance, real predictable events are rare. When misrepresented by the model, predicted future states become needlessly biased. We diagnose these missed opportunities with an explainable neural network. The neural network is aware of the initial state and learns to correct the NWP forecast on occasions when it misrepresents a teleconnection from the western tropical Pacific Ocean to Europe. The explainable architecture can be useful for other applications in which conditional model errors need to be understood and corrected.

Phylogeny, ancestral ranges and reclassification of sand dollars

Classification of the Class Echinoidea is under significant revision in light of emerging molecular phylogenetic evidence. In particular, the sister-group relationships within the superorder Luminacea (Echinoidea: Irregularia) have been considerably updated. However, the placement of many families remains largely unresolved due to a series of incongruent evidence obtained from morphological, paleontological, and genetic data for the majority of extant representatives. In this study, we investigated the phylogenetic relationships of 25 taxa, belonging to eleven luminacean families. We proposed three new superfamilies: Astriclypeoidea, Mellitoidea, and Taiwanasteroidea (including Dendrasteridae, Taiwanasteridae, Scutellidae, and Echinarachniidae), instead of the currently recognized superfamily Scutelloidea Gray, 1825. In light of the new data obtained from ten additional species, the historical biogeography reconstructed shows that the tropical western Pacific and eastern Indian Oceans are the cradle for early sand dollar diversification. Hothouse conditions during the late Cretaceous and early Paleogene were coupled with diversification events of major clades of sand dollars. We also demonstrate that Taiwan fauna can play a key role in terms of understanding the major Cenozoic migration and dispersal events in the evolutionary history of Luminacea.

Morphology and molecular phylogeny of Pleurosigmapacificum sp. nov. (Pleurosigmataceae), a new tropical pelagic species from the Western Pacific Ocean.

A new species of pelagic diatom, Pleurosigmapacificumsp. nov., is described from the tropical Western Pacific Ocean. It has the typical features of Pleurosigma, including a slightly sigmoid raphe, intersected transverse and oblique striae, and loculate areolae with external opening slits and internal poroids. Morphologically, P.pacificum belongs to a species group of Pleurosigma with lanceolate valves, including P.atlanticum Heiden & Kolbe, P.nubecula W. Smith, P.indicum Simonsen, and P.simonsenii Hasle. However, P.pacificum differs by its smaller lanceolate valve and smaller intersection angle as well as elliptical areolae without a silica bar. The SSU rDNA and rbcL sequence data place P.pacificum in a basal position relative to other species of Pleurosigma. Our molecular phylogenetic analyses did not support the monophyly of lanceolate and slightly sigmoid species. Thus, the sigmoidality of valve outline cannot be considered as a criterion to define the species group.

Contribution of PDO to Decadal Variations of Glaze Dipole Pattern in China

Abstract Based on the in situ observations, reanalysis, and model simulation, the variations in glaze dipole pattern in China and its underlying physical mechanism have been explored. The glaze dipole pattern features an out-of-phase relationship between winter glaze in the south of the Yangtze River valley (YRV) and northern China, accompanied by pronounced interdecadal variation around the late 1970s. The results from synoptic analyses suggest that cold air brought by the northerly winds and warm moist air by the southwesterly winds, as well as the occurrence of inversion layer are vital to the glaze weather in the south of YRV. Further analyses indicate that the interdecadal shift of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) contributes largely to variations in glaze dipole pattern. Specifically, the warm PDO provides a beneficial environment for the occurrence of glaze dipole pattern by stimulating the tropical–extratropical circulation configuration with the deepened East Asian trough, strengthened East Asian westerly jet, anomalous anticyclone over the tropical western Pacific Ocean, and cyclone over the southern Tibetan Plateau at the decadal time scale. Consequently, the enhanced moisture transport brought by southwesterly and cold air intrusion induced by the deepened East Asian trough benefit the glaze weather in the south of YRV, while the decreased precipitation and a much lower temperature in northern China depress the generation of glaze. Moreover, the results from the CAM4 model simulation indicate the atmospheric circulation anomalies forced by PDO-like SST can roughly reproduce the extratropical configuration related to the glaze, but it has difficulties in capturing the tropical circulation anomalies. Significance Statement The purpose of this study is to better understand how the glaze dipole pattern in China responds to climate anomalies, which focuses on the spatial–temporal evolution of glaze days and its underlying physical mechanism. This study highlights the important role of Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies in the interdecadal variations in glaze dipole pattern, and it gives a clear clarification to demonstrate the impacts of Pacific decadal oscillation on the climatological background for the occurrence of glaze. Our results provide a guide on what drives the interdecadal variation in the glaze dipole pattern and help to understand the climate dynamic mechanism of variations in freezing events in China.