Western Pacific Research Articles

Variability and Dynamics of the Kuroshio and Mindanao Current during the 2010/11 La Niña and in Late 2012

Abstract Variability of two Pacific western boundary currents (WBCs)—the Kuroshio and the Mindanao Current—during the strong 2010/11 La Niña event is investigated using ship-based hydrographic observations and moored current-meter data collected off the east coasts of the Philippines. The geostrophic currents calculated using the hydrographic data show that, during the 2010/11 La Niña winter, the Kuroshio decreased by ∼10 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1), whereas the Mindanao Current increased by ∼5–10 Sv, relative to the normal winter in late 2012. The interannual variability based on the hydrographic data is confirmed by moored current-meter measurements and satellite altimeter geostrophic currents. A coastally trapped Kelvin wave model is used to explain the interannual variability of the two WBCs during the different ENSO phases. The good comparison of the simulated sea level anomalies around the Philippines with the altimeter data suggests that the interannual variability of the WBCs is associated with Kelvin wave propagation from the Sulawesi–Sulu Seas clockwise around the Philippine Archipelago. We identified that the Kelvin waves are excited by downwelling equatorial Rossby waves propagating into the Indonesian Seas during the La Niña. The transport anomalies of the WBCs are comparable to the total meridional transport anomalies integrated across the interior North Pacific Ocean, suggesting the importance of the WBCs in the heat charge–discharge processes of the western Pacific warm pool during ENSO events. Significance Statement The two western boundary currents (WBCs)—the Kuroshio and the Mindanao Current—play the role of closing the subtropical and tropical gyre circulation of the Pacific Ocean. Their variability during ENSO is unknown. Existing studies based on numerical modeling suggest that their variability is highly correlated with ENSO, with the Kuroshio stronger and Mindanao Current weaker during La Niña and vice versa during El Niño. Here, we use in situ hydrographic observations combined with mooring and satellite altimeter data to show that the Kuroshio transport decreases and the Mindanao Current transport increases during the 2010/11 La Niña, the dynamics of which are controlled by the Kelvin wave propagation from the Sulawesi–Sulu Seas clockwise around the Philippine Archipelago. The result is important for the warm pool dynamics during ENSO.

Factors Controlling DMS Emission and Atmospheric Sulfate Aerosols in the Western Pacific Continental Sea

AbstractThe western Pacific continental sea significantly influences the regulation of climate‐active gases budget and the burden of sulfate aerosols. An underway shipboard measurement device was used to determine the dimethyl sulfide (DMS) in the surface seawater and overlying atmosphere in the East China Continental Sea. The average concentration of DMS in atmosphere and seawater was 122.8 ± 86.2pptv and 6.47 ± 3.58 nmol L−1, respectively. The variation trend of surface water DMS in the western Pacific continental sea was influenced by the abundance and composition of phytoplankton under different ocean current systems, with a significant impact from eddies on DMS production in the South China Sea. By eliminating the influence of terrestrial sources and limiting air mass transport within the marine boundary layer, strong correlations were established between atmospheric DMS and air mass exposure to chlorophyll (Echl), as well as between aerosol methanesulfonic acid (MSA) and Echl. During the aerosol sampling period, the atmospheric DMS levels (1,057 ± 371 ng/m3) were significantly higher than MSA levels (46.3 ± 59.8 ng/m3) in the East China Sea, where the conversion of DMS to MSA was not affected by changes in DMS concentration. The sea‐to‐air fluxes of DMS varied over a wide range, from 0.02 to 156.0 μmol m−2 d−1, with an average of 14.35 ± 18.58 μmol m−2 d−1. Marine DMS emissions play a critical role in the formation of sulfur aerosols on the western Pacific continental shelf, accounting for 24.6 ± 7.6% (14.8%–37.8%) of the total sulfate aerosols.

La delgada línea de relación entre la violencia de pareja y la depresión

Intimate partner violence and depression are serious and widespread problems worldwide. According to an analysis of prevalence data in 161 countries from 2000 to 2018 by the WHO, one in three women has suffered physical and/or sexual violence by their partner or sexual violence by someone who was not their partner, or both. In the Western Pacific, the prevalence is 20% and 22% in the European Region and high-income countries (1).

Impact of ENSO on the UTLS chemical composition in the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone

The changes in the convection and background dynamics over the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) are mainly responsible for the changes in the concentrations of the tropospheric pollutants within the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA). In this study, we have investigated the structural and chemical composition changes of the ASMA during different El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions by making use of reanalysis products and Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) satellite observations. Our analysis mainly concentrates on the July and August months of 2015 (El Niño) and 2022 (La Niña), which are the cold (Nino Index 3.4 exceeding −0.5 in magnitude throughout the year) and warm (Nino Index exceeding +0.5 in magnitude throughout the year) phase of the ENSO. The ASMA structure during different phases of the ENSO is found to be different when compared with the long-term (2005–2023) mean. The ASMA is found to have a larger zonal extent during La Niña (2022), extending from 20° to 140° E compared to El Niño (2015), which is from 20° to 100–105°E. A significant decrease (increase) in the concentration of the tropospheric species (CO and WV) is noticed within the ASMA in El Niño (La Niña). The decrease in the tropospheric species is clearly evident throughout the upper troposphere. The northeastern edge of the ASMA at 100 hPa and 150 hPa showed quite distinct behaviour with an enhancement (reduction) in the tropospheric species during La Niña (El Niño). Interestingly, there is an increase in O3 concentrations over the northeastern edge of ASMA during 2015, which is attributed to the stratospheric intrusion. Our results also revealed the enhancement of the tropospheric species over the western Pacific region during 2015 but not in 2022. Current findings highlight dynamic shifts linked to varying ENSO phases, leading to notable alterations in both the ASMA structure and Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) chemical composition.

East Asian Winter Monsoon and enhanced stratification in the western Pacific promoted giant marine diatom (Ethmodiscus rex) blooms during the last deglaciation

Late Pleistocene thick laminated mats of Ethmodiscus rex (E. rex) have been found on the seafloor of the western tropical Pacific. Exploring the causes of E. rex mats formation can improve our understanding of the role of diatom mats in the global carbon-silicon cycle. Nutrients, such as silicate, are a major factor contributing to the growth of diatoms. However, the origin of the nutrients necessary for E. rex to bloom remains unclear. Here we analysed the 14C ages and silicon isotope compositions (δ30Si) of E. rex mats from deep-sea sediment cores collected in the western Pacific to reveal the nutrient source of the diatom bloom. The results indicate that the age of the cores ranges from 11 ka to 19 ka. This is the first discovery of a last deglacial thick layer of E. rex mats in the western Pacific Hadal zone. Furthermore, the silicon isotope results show that, similar to previous studies in the western Pacific, all δ30Si of E. rex frustules are negative. This is in contrast to the North Atlantic upwelling region where all δ30Si are positive. According to the binary mixing model calculations, eolian dust were responsible for supplying 80%–90% of the silica during the last deglaciation, while upwelling waters accounted for only about 10%–20% of the silica. During Heinrich Stadial 1 (HS1) period, the strengthened East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM) transported a lot of eolian dust to the western Pacific, providing nutrients for diatom blooms. In addition, the enhanced stratification in the western Pacific since the late HS1 period was a significant factor that contributes to the blooms of E. rex when the supply of eolian dust material decreased.

Pharmacists' Willingness to Offer Vaccination Services: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Pharmacy-based vaccination (PBV) services increase coverage and enhance access to lifesaving vaccines. This systematic review assessed the proportion of pharmacists willing to offer PBV services. PubMed/MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE and Scopus electronic databases were searched from inception to identify relevant literature. Google scholar and other sources of grey literature was also searched. The literature findings were synthesized narratively, and via a random-effects meta-analysis. Risk of bias was evaluated using nine quality assessment criteria adapted from the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist for prevalence studies. The review protocol is registered on PROSPERO (REF: CRD42021293692). In total, 967 articles were identified from the literature search. Of this, 34 articles from 19 countries across 5 WHO regions were included in the review. No article from the Western Pacific WHO region was identified. Most of the included studies (n = 21, 61.8%) showed an overall low risk of bias. None showed a high risk of bias. Pooled willingness for PBV services was 69.45% (95% CI: 61.58-76.33; n total pharmacists = 8877), indicating that most pharmacists were willing to offer the service, although nearly a third were not. Pharmacists' willingness was highest in the Americas (71.49%, 95% CI: 53.32-84.63, n pharmacists = 3842) and lowest in the African region (58.71%, 95% CI: 45.86-70.46, n pharmacists = 1080) although the between-group difference was not statistically significant across the WHO regions (Q = 3.01, df = 4, p < 0.5567). Meta-regression showed no evidence (R2 = 0%, p = 0.9871) of the moderating effect of the type of vaccine assessed, PBV service availability, sampling technique and the study risk of bias. These findings show that most pharmacists are willing to offer PBV services; however, strategies that will enhance greater involvement in service provision are needed.

New record of Engyprosopon macrolepis (Regan, 1908) from Taiwan (Pleuronectiformes: Bothidae)

Specimens of the largescale dwarf flounder, Engyprosopon macrolepis (Regan, 1908) (Pleuronectiformes: Bothidae), were collected from the fishery landing of Chi-kan, Peng-hu Islands, western Taiwan. Although this species has been recorded from western Pacific Ocean including the Philippines and Japan, it has never been recorded from Taiwanese waters. Therefore, our specimens represent the first record for Taiwanese waters and fill a gap in the distribution of this species between the two countries. A detailed description of the specimens, including coloration of the fresh condition is provided and compared to the data of specimens collected in other regions. With the addition of E. macrolepis, a total of 11 species of Engyprosopon are recorded from Taiwanese waters, and we suggest that more species are expected to occur off Taiwan.

Biodiversity and community structures across the Magellan seamounts and abyssal plains in the western Pacific Ocean revealed by environmental DNA metabarcoding analysis

Seamounts within deep-sea ecosystems are recognized as biodiversity hotspots, yet they are increasingly threatened by anthropogenic activities such as overfishing, resource exploitation, and climate change. To establish environmental baseline data and assess the impacts of current or future anthropogenic activities, we conducted environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding analyses to comprehensively characterize prokaryotic and eukaryotic diversity across various water depths of the Magellan seamounts and the adjacent abyssal plains. Metabarcoding analysis revealed higher richness and diversity in both prokaryotic and eukaryotic communities within the seamounts compared to the abyssal plains. Overall, the analysis identified 9,068 prokaryotic amplicon sequence variants (ASVs), representing 39 phyla and 47 classes. Similarly, 4,569 eukaryotic ASVs were identified, spanning 34 phyla and 93 classes. Furthermore, our results revealed distinct community structures between the seamounts and abyssal plains, with turnover across different water depths. These findings are crucial as they indicate the unique ecological roles and potential vulnerability of seamount communities, emphasizing the need for targeted conservation strategies. Our study underscores the importance of conducting comprehensive long-term environmental assessments of the impacts of anthropogenic activities on seamount ecosystems and highlights the potential of eDNA metabarcoding as a powerful tool for guiding conservation and management efforts in remote and challenging marine environments.

Why does stratospheric aerosol forcing strongly cool the warm pool?

Abstract. Previous research has shown that stratospheric aerosol causes only a small temperature change per unit forcing because they produce stronger cooling in the tropical Indian Ocean and the western Pacific Ocean than in the global mean. The enhanced temperature change in this so-called “warm-pool” region activates strongly negative local and remote feedbacks, which dampen the global mean temperature response. This paper addresses the question of why stratospheric aerosol forcing affects warm-pool temperatures more strongly than CO2 forcing, using idealized MPI-ESM simulations. We show that the aerosol's enhanced effective forcing at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) over the warm pool contributes to the warm-pool-intensified temperature change but is not sufficient to explain the effect. Instead, the pattern of surface effective forcing, which is substantially different from the effective forcing at the TOA, is more closely linked to the temperature pattern. Independent of surface temperature changes, the aerosol heats the tropical stratosphere, accelerating the Brewer–Dobson circulation. The intensified Brewer–Dobson circulation exports additional energy from the tropics to the extratropics, which leads to a particularly strong negative forcing at the tropical surface. These results show how forced circulation changes can affect the climate response by altering the surface forcing pattern. Furthermore, they indicate that the established approach of diagnosing effective forcing at the TOA is useful for global means, but a surface perspective on the forcing must be adopted to understand the evolution of temperature patterns.

Influence of Radiation Stress on Upper-Layer Ocean Temperature under Geostrophic Condition

Wave-induced radiation stress (RS), as a primary driver of ocean currents influenced by waves, plays an important role in the response of upper ocean temperatures under typhoons. Previous studies have mainly focused on wave-generated currents and coastal currents in nearshore areas. This paper incorporates the geostrophic effect into the wave-induced radiation stress of wave-current interaction, and the effect of waves on the changes in upper ocean temperature (including sea surface temperature (SST) and mixed layer temperature) under typhoon Nanmadol (2022) is studied. The FVCOM-SWAVE model is used to conduct a preliminary numerical study in the western Pacific Ocean. The RS with the geostrophic effect increased the horizontal and vertical components, leading to an enhancement in turbulent mixing and a decrease in SST by up to 1.0 °C to 1.4 °C, which is closer to the SST obtained by OISST remote sensing fusion observation data. In the strong divergence domain, the direction of the vortex flow exhibits a more pronounced turn to the right, accompanied by an increase in water velocity. The vertical temperature profile of the ocean shows that the water below is perturbed by the RS component of the geostrophic effect, and the depth of the mixed layer increases by about 2 m, which is closer to the depth of the mixed layer observed by the Argo floats, indirectly enhancing the vertical mass transport of the ocean. In general, this shows that RS, which takes into account geostrophic effects, enhances the effect of waves on the water below, indirectly leading to lower temperatures in the upper ocean, and the simulated results align more closely with the observed data, offering valuable insights for enhancing marine numerical forecasting accuracy.

East Asian winter monsoon intensification over the Northwest Pacific Ocean driven by late Miocene atmospheric CO2 decline.

East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) activity has had profound effects on environmental change throughout East Asia and the western Pacific. Much attention has been paid to Quaternary EAWM evolution, while long-term EAWM fluctuation characteristics and drivers remain unclear, particularly during the late Miocene when marked global climate and Asian paleogeographic changes occurred. To clarify understanding of late Miocene EAWM evolution, we developed a high-precision 9-million-year-long stacked EAWM record from Northwest Pacific Ocean abyssal sediments based on environmental magnetism, sedimentology, and geochemistry, which reveals a strengthened late Miocene EAWM. Our paleoclimate simulations also indicate that atmospheric CO2 decline played a vital role in this EAWM intensification over the Northwest Pacific Ocean compared to other factors, including central Asian orogenic belt and northeastern Tibetan Plateau uplift and Antarctic ice-sheet expansion. Our results expand understanding of EAWM evolution from inland areas to the open ocean and indicate the importance of atmospheric CO2 fluctuations on past EAWM variability over large spatial scales.

The Role of Precursor Disturbances on the Modulation of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclogenesis by the Madden‐Julian Oscillation

AbstractThe present study considers tropical cyclogenesis as a multi‐stage process in which pre‐cursor disturbances develop first and a fraction of them further strengthen to become a tropical cyclone (TC). Using this framework, we analyze the impact of Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO)‐ associated anomalous large‐scale environmental conditions on the triggering of tropical convective clusters (TCCs)—a type of pre‐cursor disturbance—and the TCC‐to‐TC transition in the western Pacific. We find that, within the MJO's lifecycle, the modulation of the TCC frequency by the MJO drives TC genesis frequency anomalies earlier than the TCC‐to‐TC transition rate. Also, the fluctuation of TCC occurrence frequency is most strongly associated with the MJO's large‐scale ascent and relative humidity anomalies, while that of the transition of TCCs to a TC is mainly associated with the MJO's vorticity anomalies. Our results suggest the distinct roles of large‐scale environmental variables in different stages of tropical cyclogenesis.

Influence of aerosol forcing on the seasonal march of East Asia summer monsoon

Focusing on the anthropogenic aerosols effects on the East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) progression, we found that aerosols delay the northward progression of EASM by one pentad in the south of the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River (PD1: pentads 25-35) and the North-Northeast China (PD3: pentads 38-42). However, aerosols have minimal impact on the seasonal march of EASM over the Yangtze-Huai River basin (PD2: pentads 36-37). In PD1 and PD3, aerosols reduce sea-land temperature differences. Also, a southward shift in the westerly jet causing lower-level north winds, which weakens the EASM in PD3. The delayed EASM progress shows its weakness in PD1 and PD3. While in PD2, EASM intensity weakens without affecting its northward progression. Aerosols, though affecting the position and intensity of Western Pacific Subtropical High, minimally influence its northward movement speed, hence no effect on the seasonal march of EASM in PD2.

Associated impact mechanism of heavy rain and floods in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river basin based on ocean-atmosphere anomaly patterns

Heavy rainfall and flooding disasters are increasing due to global warming. A clear understanding of the mechanism of heavy rain and floods is the basic premise of disaster risk management. However, most previous studies emphasized more on the single anomalous signal from the average state in the whole season, which may neglect the combined influence of multiple signals in the ocean-atmosphere and differential characteristics of anomalous signals at different periods. Here, our study aimed to reveal the possible influence mechanism of heavy rain and floods in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin (MLRYRB) by systematically analyzing the monthly-scale and daily-scale ocean-atmosphere anomaly patterns in the preceding periods of heavy rainfall and flooding events. The results showed that heavy rainfall and flooding events were highly likely to occur in the region one month after El Niño decayed, with the flooding intensity in June having the negative correlation with the sea ice concentration anomaly in the Arctic with a lag of about 5 months (150 days). Besides, North Atlantic Oscillation, Western Pacific subtropical high, blocking, East Asian subtropical westerly jet, and the water vapor fluxes from the Arabian Sea and western Pacific Ocean could be used as the anomalous signals inducing heavy rain and floods. The daily-scale conceptual model inducing heavy rainfall and flooding events was built based on the patterns of all anomalous signals, which detailed the possible impact mechanism of heavy rain and floods in the region. By making targeted forecasts of anomalous signals and using this information in water resources planning and management based on climate mechanisms, it will have a significant impact on water management in the country.

Cetacean Stranding Response Program and Spatial-Temporal Analysis in Taiwan, 1994-2018.

A national cetacean stranding response program in Taiwan has evolved significantly in the past three decades. Initially co-ordinated by National Taiwan University from 1994, the program transitioned to the Taiwan Cetacean Society in 1999, and local governments took on a more prominent role after 2009. A comprehensive stranding database (1994-2018) has been maintained, which documented 1320 stranding events involving 1698 animals from at least 27 species. The most commonly stranded species include finless porpoises, bottlenose dolphins, Kogia spp., and Risso's dolphins. The stranding rates varied annually and seasonally, with increases noted from an average of 16 events per year for the first 3 years to 44-58 events per year between 1997 and 2015, and a sharp rise to over 90 events per year for the period of the last three years. Seasonal variations were also significant, with higher stranding rates during the northeastern monsoon (NEM, October to next April) than that during southwestern monsoon (SWM, May to September). From the aspect of distribution, more frequent and even strandings occurred along the coast of northern Taiwan, while mass strandings were concentrated in the southwestern counties during NEM. Among all strandings, 390 events (29.5%) and 660 animals (38.9%) were live ones. Under great effort in rescuing and rehabilitating 52 cases, 15 cetacean individuals have been released since 2000. Additionally, there have been 56 mass strandings involving at least 11 species since 1994, predominated by pygmy killer whales, particularly during the NEM season along the southwest coast. This study not only contributes to our understanding of the stranding patterns and diversity of the cetaceans in Taiwan, but also provides valuable insights for future conservation strategies on cetaceans in the western Pacific.

Ultraselective enrichment of trace elements in seawater by Co-rich ferromanganese nodules

Ferromanganese nodules are huge metal resources and windows into Earth processes, being widely distributed in vast deep-sea basins covered by sediments. Co-rich ferromanganese nodules are typical hydrogenetic deposits that can effectively scavenge and enrich multiple trace elements in seawater. However, uncertainty still exists regarding the enrichment process of hydrogenetic nodules and their interactions with the distribution of trace elements in seawater. Herein, we analyzed up to 73 elements in Co-rich ferromanganese nodules from the western Pacific and found that high-field strength and redox-sensitive elements are selectively distributed between the Fe and Mn hydroxide phases. These elements are highly enriched in ferromanganese nodules over seawater and upper continental crustal values. The enormous amounts of ferromanganese deposits make them the major, even exclusive, budget for Te, Mn, Co, Ce, Pb, Bi, Pt, Ru, Rh, Ni, and Mo. The distributions of trace elements in seawater are both the cause and result of scavenging by ferromanganese deposits and of biogeochemical cycling. In particular, ferromanganese deposition is responsible for the distributions of scavenged-type elements such as Mn, Co, Ce, Pb, Bi, and Te in seawater. Based on the distributions of elements in seawater and at the water–sediment interface, we propose a new two-stage model for nodule metallogenesis. Stage I is the initial enrichment of trace elements by the sinking of ferromanganese hydroxide colloids, which regulate the distributions of scavenged-type elements in the water column. Stage II is the top-down migration of trace elements dominated by bioparticle cycling, which promotes the re-enrichment of trace elements by ferromanganese hydroxides at the water–sediment interface.

Contribution from the Western Pacific Subtropical High Index to a Deep Learning Typhoon Rainfall Forecast Model

In this study, a tropical cyclone or typhoon rainfall forecast model based on Random Forest is developed to forecast the daily rainfall at 133 weather stations in China. The input factors to the model training process include rainfall observations during 1960–2018, typhoon information (position and intensity), station information (position and altitude), and properties of the western Pacific subtropical high. Model evaluation shows that besides the distance between a station and cyclone, the subtropical high properties are ranked very high in the model’s feature importance, especially the subtropical ridgeline, and intensity. These aspects of the subtropical high influence the location and timing of typhoon landfall. The forecast model has a correlation coefficient of about 0.73, an Index of Agreement of nearly 0.8, and a mean bias of 1.28 mm based on the training dataset. Biases are consistently low, with both positive and negative signs, for target stations in the outer rainband (up to 1000 km, beyond which the model does not forecast) of typhoons. The range of biases is much larger for target stations in the inner-core (0–200 km) region. In this region, the model mostly overestimates (underestimates) the small (large) rain rates. Cases study of Typhoon Doksuri and Talim in 2023, as independent cases, shows the high performance of the model in forecasting the peak rain rates and timing of their occurrence of the two impactful typhoons.

Strategies to address inequity of uncorrected refractive error in the Western Pacific: A modified Delphi process.

Uncorrected refractive error is the leading cause of vision impairment globally; however, little attention has been given to equity and access to services. This study aimed to identify and prioritise: (1) strategies to address inequity of access to refractive error services and (2) population groups to target with these strategies in five sub-regions within the Western Pacific. We invited eye care professionals to complete a two-round online prioritisation process. In round 1, panellists nominated population groups least able to access refractive error services, and strategies to improve access. Responses were summarised and presented in round 2, where panellists ranked the groups (by extent of difficulty and size) and strategies (in terms of reach, acceptability, sustainability, feasibility and equity). Groups and strategies were scored according to their rank within each sub-region. Seventy five people from 17 countries completed both rounds (55% women). Regional differences were evident. Indigenous peoples were a priority group for improving access in Australasia and Southeast Asia, while East Asia identified refugees and Oceania identified rural/remote people. Across the five sub-regions, reducing out-of-pocket costs was a commonly prioritised strategy for refraction and spectacles. Australasia prioritised improving cultural safety, East Asia prioritised strengthening school eye health programmes and Oceania and Southeast Asia prioritised outreach to rural areas. These results provide policy-makers, researchers and funders with a starting point for context-specific actions to improve access to refractive error services, particularly among underserved population groups who may be left behind in existing private sector-dominated models of care.

The concept of the Indo-Pacific region: role and significance of India

The term ‘Indo-Pacific region’ (IPR) was first used in international studies by the Indian researcher G.S. Khurana, who included in this concept the maritime space that unites the Indian Ocean and the Western Pacific, all Asian (up to the Middle East) and even North African countries, highlighting the connecting elements of ‘energy routes’. Therefore, this article is devoted to the concept of the Indo-Pacific region (IPR), which is a new geopolitical concept in which India is being introduced. This Asian country is now seen as one of the most important elements of the region because of its enormous potential. Therefore, Western countries are trying to ‘win’ it over and bring it into the ‘leading four’ of the ITR (the United States, Japan, India, and Australia). To understand how India has become a "key element" of the RIIT, the authors analyse the main factors that influenced this. It is shown that the US views interaction with India as a ‘bearing axle’ in the American strategy in the Asia-Pacific region. The concept of the Indo-Pacific region has a clear anti-Chinese orientation and is created as a counterweight to the main initiative of the People’s Republic of China ‘One Belt, One Road’. As for India’s participation in the new format, Delhi’s difficult relations with Beijing, the rivalry of the two countries on the Asian continent, and the concerns of India, the United States, Japan and many Asian countries about China’s actions in the South China Sea are taken into account here. The role of the concept of IPR as a key element of the modern India’s foreign policy strategy is considered, the importance of economic, security, civilizational and cultural factors in this process is analyzed.

Propagation and Maintenance of the Quasi-Biweekly Oscillation over the Western North Pacific in Boreal Winter

Abstract This study investigates the propagation and maintenance mechanisms of the dominant intraseasonal oscillation over the western North Pacific in boreal winter, the quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO). The wintertime QBWO over the western North Pacific is characterized by the westward-northwestward movement from the tropical western Pacific to the western North Pacific and resembles the n = 1 equatorial Rossby wave. Its westward migration is primarily driven by the seasonal-mean zonal winds that advect vorticity anomalies in the lower–middle troposphere and moisture anomalies in the lower troposphere. Its northward movement is preconditioned by the vorticity dynamics of the beta effect, the low-level vertical moisture variation, and the local air–sea interaction. The latter involves the atmospheric forcing on the underlying ocean by changing the surface heat flux fluctuations and the sea surface temperature feedback on the low-level atmospheric instability. Its maintenance is primarily through atmospheric external energy sources from diabatic heating, which first generates eddy available potential energy and then converts it to eddy kinetic energy. Significance Statement Atmospheric quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) is an important climate phenomenon over the western North Pacific in boreal winter. It can trigger significant influences both in the tropical and extratropical regions. Given the importance, it is necessary to investigate the propagation and maintenance mechanisms of the QBWO over the western North Pacific in boreal winter. The QBWO usually propagates northwestward from the tropical western Pacific to the western North Pacific. The westward propagation is driven by the seasonal mean zonal winds that advect vorticity anomalies in the lower–middle troposphere and moisture anomalies in the lower troposphere. The northward propagation is caused jointly by several processes, including the atmospheric forcing on the ocean via the surface heat flux fluctuations, the feedback of ocean on the low-level atmospheric instability, the vorticity dynamics of the beta effect, and the vertical variation of low-level moisture. In addition, converting from eddy available potential energy to eddy kinetic energy is essential in maintaining the QBWO’s development. The disclosure of these crucial processes deepens the dynamics of the QBWO over the western North Pacific in boreal winter.