Abstract The role of the northeast Pacific wind in the dynamics of El Niño has been proposed in previous theoretical studies. However, the actual effect of northeast Pacific wind on improving El Niño prediction remains unclear, and the mechanisms through which northeast Pacific improves El Niño predictions are not fully understood. In this study, we investigate the role of northeast Pacific wind in improving El Niño prediction. By utilizing CESM that assimilates the northeast Pacific wind, the model improves prediction skills of ENSO indices at a lead time of 6–12 months, with a correlation three times higher than the predictions without nudged northeast Pacific wind. Nudging northeast Pacific wind in the model enhances the prediction of central Pacific (CP) El Niño, thus leading to approximately 30% increase in the hit ratio of correct prediction of El Niño. However, the model overestimates CP El Niño predictions when the nudged northeast Pacific wind is incorporated. The mechanisms for the improvement of northeast Pacific wind in El Niño predictions are investigated. In spring, El Niño development is attributed to the wind–evaporation–SST (WES) feedback and oceanic downwelling induced by subtropical westerly wind stress. In contrast, during summer, El Niño development is dominated by the summer deep convection (SDC) response. During subsequent summer–autumn, anomalous surface latent heat flux related to wind speed and net shortwave radiation associated with the low cloud–SST feedback contribute to El Niño development. These processes are more favorable for CP El Niño development. This study implies that accurately simulating air–sea coupling associated with northeast Pacific wind may be an effective approach in improving El Niño prediction.
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