A model of a stable native population under long-term stress from diseases incurred in the wake of the expanding Western civilization is presented. The model is based on the reconstructed demography of an Eskimo-speaking population of southwestern Alaska around 1880. Statistics of the Alaskan Russian Church were used to reconstruct the mortality (16.3 deaths annually over 10 years) and fertility of a small population (319 persons) living at the Naknek River. Life expectancy was calculated at 20 years and between ages 5 and 45 there was a noticeable upswing of deaths. A large percentage of mortality was caused by recently introduced respiratory diseases (including influenza and pneumonia) and by tuberculosis which affected mainly adults. Accordingly life expectancy was corrected to 31 years after removal of the adult group. This population had been decreasing at a rate of 1.5% a year for some decades although typhus malaria smallpox and measles were absent. Respiratory diseases were probably contracted via contact with the Russian trading network starting in the late 18th century and the Naknek people lost 2/3 of their population within a century. A pattern of mortality involving respiratory diseases as a result of expanding contracts also probably affected a prehistoric west-central Illinois population dating from the Middle Woodland to Mississippian times although on a smaller scale than in the case of the Naknek people. A decrease in mean age of deaths over age 5 and an increase in mean age of deaths at age 1-9 reduced life expectancy for the Illinois indigenous people so the it resembled the fate of the Naknek population
Read full abstract