Interglacial Research Articles

Consistency of landscape compositional effects on microclimate, arthropods and plant performance across different years and regions

ContextReinforcement of agrobiodiversity in peri-urban areas requires a landscape lens. Relationships between land use composition and indicators of ecosystem services can depend on weather conditions and differ between regions.ObjectivesIn this study we present new empirical data on relationships between landscape composition and indicators of regulating and provisioning agroecosystem services. Furthermore, we check if these data are consistent between two different ecoregions and different years.MethodsWe apply an innovative methodology in a research landscape in the province of Antwerp (Flanders, Belgium) in 2021 with 1 m²-garden as phytometers along a landscape compositional gradient. Landscape composition at different scales is used as explanatory variable for microclimate variation, arthropod activity, leaf herbivory and crop yield in the 1 m²-gardens. Results are compared to an identical experiment in another ecoregion in East Flanders in 2018, 2019.ResultsWe found that the proportion of built-up areas is negatively related to local agroecosystem functioning. High-value herbaceous vegetation (e.g. extensive grasslands) promotes the activity of predators and high green vegetation buffers soil moisture and temperature variation, during dry and warm periods. Comparison between cases indicates that there is more consistency in the response of predatory invertebrates to the landscape composition than in the response of pollinators. The buffering effect of high green vegetation in the landscape increases when temperature and drought extremes occur.ConclusionsThe extent of high green vegetation can be enhanced at landscape level to maximise their ability to buffer extreme weather conditions. In peri-urban areas we should avoid further urban sprawl into the rural matrix and promote high-value herbaceous vegetation.

Lithium isotopic evidence for enhanced reverse weathering during the Early Triassic warm period

Elevated temperatures persisted for an anomalously protracted interval following pulsed volcanic carbon release associated with the end-Permian mass extinction, deviating from the expected timescale of climate recovery following a carbon injection event. Here, we present evidence for enhanced reverse weathering-a CO2 source-following the end-Permian mass extinction based on the lithium isotopic composition of marine shales and cherts. We find that the average lithium isotopic composition of Lower Triassic marine shales is significantly elevated relative to that of all other previously measured Phanerozoic marine shales. Notably, the record generated here conflicts with carbonate-based interpretations of the lithium isotopic composition of Early Triassic seawater, forcing a re-evaluation of the existing framework used to interpret lithium isotopes in sedimentary archives. Using a stochastic forward lithium cycle model, we demonstrate that elevated reverse weathering is required to reproduce the lithium isotopic values and trends observed in Lower Triassic marine shales and cherts. Collectively, this work provides direct geochemical evidence for enhanced reverse weathering in the aftermath of Earth's most severe mass extinction.

A nitrogen isotopic shift in fish otolith–bound organic matter during the Late Cretaceous

The nitrogen isotopes of the organic matter preserved in fossil fish otoliths (ear stones) are a promising tool for reconstructing past environmental changes. We analyzed the 15N/14N ratio (δ15N) of fossil otolith-bound organic matter in Late Cretaceous fish otoliths (of Eutawichthys maastrichtiensis, Eutawichthys zideki and Pterothrissus sp.) from three deposits along the US east coast, with two of Campanian (83.6 to 77.9 Ma) and one Maastrichtian (72.1 to 66 Ma) age. δ15N and N content were insensitive to cleaning protocol and the preservation state of otolith morphological features, and N content differences among taxa were consistent across deposits, pointing to a fossil-native origin for the organic matter. All three species showed an increase in otolith-bound organic matter δ15N of ~4‰ from Campanian to Maastrichtian. As to its cause, the similar change in distinct genera argues against changing trophic level, and modern field data argue against the different locations of the sedimentary deposits. Rather, the lower δ15N in the Campanian is best interpreted as an environmental signal at the regional scale or greater, and it may be a consequence of the warmer global climate. A similar decrease has been observed in foraminifera-bound δ15N during warm periods of the Cenozoic, reflecting decreased water column denitrification and thus contraction of the ocean's oxygen deficient zones (ODZs) under warm conditions. The same δ15N-climate correlation in Cretaceous otoliths raises the prospect of an ODZ-to-climate relationship that has been consistent over the last ~80 My, applying before and after the end-Cretaceous mass extinction and spanning changes in continental configuration.

26Al/10Be burial dating and technological strategies of hominins at the Jijiazhuang Paleolithic site, Nihewan Basin, China: Implications for understanding Middle Pleistocene human adaptations in east Asia

With the discovery of more than a hundred Pleistocene Paleolithic sites, the Nihewan Basin of North China has become an area of reference for the study of human evolution and behavioral adaptations during and after the spread of hominins out of Africa and into Eurasia. However, most research has focused on the Early and Late Pleistocene archaeological record, whereas studies of the Middle Pleistocene sequence are relatively limited. Here we contribute to fill this gap by introducing the archaeological assemblage and 26Al/10Be burial dating of the newly discovered Jijiazhuang (JJZ) Paleolithic site. Systematic excavations in recent years have yielded well-preserved stone artifacts and mammalian fossils in fluvio-lacustrine sediments at the site. Cosmogenic 26Al/10Be burial dating indicates that hominins occupied the site between 0.49 ± 0.10 and 0.63 ± 0.11 Ma, corresponding to the extra-long interglacial period of MIS 15-13. The JJZ lithic assemblage shows evidence of relatively long-distance resource procurement, and the increased number of retouched tools indicate standardized, extensive and refined modification, even shaping strategies. The JJZ lithic technology shows advanced features that may shed light on the regional emergence of Middle Paleolithic technologies, in a paleoecological context where the extra-long duration of interglacial/mild stadial climate events (MIS 15−13) may have provided favorable conditions for increased technological capabilities among Middle Pleistocene hominins from the Nihewan Basin. Our study is the first to present a detailed techno-typological analysis of a Middle Pleistocene lithic assemblage in the Nihewan Basin and contributes to the characterization of technological adaptions in the high latitudes of East Asia.

Sedimentation record of a complete glacial-interglacial cycle: Down-slope deposits, contourites and plumites of the North Sea trough mouth fan

Trough mouth fans (TMFs) are major submarine depocentres that form in front of ice streams advancing onto the continental shelf, and they provide extensive records of past glaciations and ice-sheet dynamics. However, early research about TMFs was conducted using primarily 2D seismic data, which limits the insights on the deposit's geometries and internal structures and more recent studies using 3D data have focused on the general depositional history of TMFs. Here, we assess the spatial and temporal changes of the glacio-marine landforms and deposits throughout the last glacial-interglacial cycle (Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6 to 1, ∼130 ka to present) recorded in a >550 m thick progradational sequence. We use 3D reflection seismic data with significant vertical resolution (up to 2 m) imaging over 14000 km2 from the uppermost North Sea Fan (NSF) to document the seismic stratigraphy and sedimentary processes, by combining horizon picking and geomorphological analyses. The studied interval comprises five mappable units, four on the slope and one on the shelf, spanning from the modern seabed down to the top of the Tampen Slide (∼130 ka). Five different channel types (here included slide scars), as well as contourite and plumite packages are described based on their seismic facies, morphology, geometry, and stratigraphical position. We propose that contour currents are responsible for sediment delivery after the Tampen Slide deposition during the interglacial period before the onset of the Last Glacial Maximum, when high meltwater influx from the shelf produced turbidites. Sedimentation became debris-flow-dominated towards the end of the period of shelf-edge glaciation. The deglacial interval is characterized by the deposition of plumites on the slope. On the shelf, subglacial tills are deposited during both glacial and deglacial periods. We calculate an average sedimentation rate of <1 m/kyr during the interglacial (MIS 5-3), and around 50–65 m/kyr during the glacial and deglacial periods (MIS2-early MIS1). Thus, we document a change of two orders of magnitude in sedimentation rate during a glacial cycle on the slope of a glaciated margin.

Temporal temperature shifts govern the population succession of picoeukaryotes and picocyanobacteria in a coastal ecosystem

Picophytoplankton are vital components of the marine microbial food web. Being the smallest in the phytoplankton group, their short life cycles make them excellent bioindicators of environmental conditions. Given this, an investigation was conducted at the Kandla Port ecosystem (Latitude 23º 01' N; Longitude 70º 13' E) in the state of Gujarat, India to assess the response of picophytoplankton community structure to temporal and spatial environmental conditions. The sampling was conducted in July 2015, October-November 2015, and February 2016 at twenty-six stations. The results revealed a wide annual temperature range due to the study site's proximity to the Tropic of Cancer. The salinity ranged up to 40 while the turbulence caused by the macrotides resulted in highly turbid waters, especially during July due to precipitation. The picophytoplankton community was represented by picocyanobacteria (three sub-groups of Synechococcus) and picoeukaryotes (three sub-groups including Cryptophytes). The picocyanobacteria were abundant during the less turbid, warmer October-November period and lower during the cooler February period. The dominant Synechoccocus groups are associated positively with NH4+ and negatively with PO43-. The Cryptophytes were present during the warm and cool periods indicating tolerance to a wide range of temperature, salinity, and light. Their positive correlation with PO43- and NH4+ concentrations during February and October-November, respectively suggests a causal relationship. The picoeukaryotic group dominated the picophytoplankton community during the cooler period (February). The relative importance of the two picophytoplankton groups changed throughout the year exhibiting temporal niche segregation and hence establishing their role as bioindicators of temperature.

Biogenic opal δ18O in marine deep-sea sediments through the Cenozoic Era and implications for ocean cooling

Benthic foraminifera δ18O increased by 5.4 ‰ through the Cenozoic Era, the past 65 million years of Earth's history. This increase is attributed to growth of global ice sheets and global ocean cooling. On the other hand, δ18O measurements of planktonic foraminifera do not exhibit significant change. These measurements initially were interpreted to suggest cool tropical and subtropical temperatures and introduced the concept of the “cool tropics paradox”, in which global bottomwater temperatures were significantly warmer but tropical surface temperatures were not during the early Cenozoic. This lack of change in δ18O of planktonic foraminifera was explained by secondary postburial alteration of the primary planktonic isotope signal.We provide an alternative record of sea surface water characteristics of Cenozoic Era by measuring δ18O of siliceous microfossils. This scarce phase of marine silica, unaltered biogenic opal-A, composed of diatoms, radiolaria and sponge spicules, was separated and purified from deep-sea Cenozoic sediments. We measured δ18O of siliceous microfossils from a set of drilled cores: DSDP 278 from the South Pacific, DSDP 513 from the South Atlantic, and ODP 1050–1053 and DSDP 391 from the subtropical North Atlantic. The purity of the biogenic opal and its mineralogical phase was assessed with SEM, SEM/EDS, XPS, and XRD.The δ18O of biogenic opal-A fluctuates around an average value of 43.0 ‰ through the Cenozoic Era, comparable to the Southern Ocean average of 43.2 ‰ of diatoms and radiolaria from the last 30,000 years which represent the last glacial and interglacial period and suggesting cold surface temperatures of 2–7 °C, both in the subtropical and polar latitudes. Taking into consideration changes in δ18O associated with bottomwater interaction with the lower crust and changes in sea level associated with waxing and waning of ice sheets, we conclude lack of or minimal change in the surface water temperature through the Cenozoic Era. This revives the original idea of the “cool tropics” paradox with a carbonate independent δ18O record and without issues associated with diagenesis of benthic and planktonic foraminifera.

Characterizing sector-oriented roadside exposure to ultrafine particles (PM0.1) via machine learning models: Implications of covariates influences on sectors variability

Ultrafine particles (UFPs; PM0.1) possess intensified health risk due to their smaller size and unique spatial variability. One of major emission sources for UFPs is vehicle exhaust, which varies based on the traffic composition in each type of roadside sector. The current challenge of epidemiological UFPs study is limited characterization ability due to expensive instruments. This study assessed the UFPs particle number concentrations (UFPs PNC) exposure dose for typical healthy adults and children at three different roadside sectors, including industrial roadside (IN), residential roadside (RS), and urban background (UB). Furthermore, this study also developed and utilized machine learning (ML) algorithms that could accurately characterize the UFPs exposure dose and explain the covariates effects on the model outputs, representing the intra-urban variability of UFPs between sectors. It was found that the average inhaled UFPs dose for healthy adults and children during off-peak season (warm period) were 1.71 ± 0.19 × 1010; 1.28 ± 0.22 × 1010; 1.09 ± 0.18 × 1010 #/hour and 1.33 ± 0.15 × 1010; 0.99 ± 0.17 × 1010; 0.86 ± 0.14 × 1010 #/hour at IN, RS, UB. Inhaled UFPs were mainly deposited in tracheobronchial (TB) respiratory fraction for adults (67.7%) and in alveoli (ALV) fraction for children (67.5%). Among three ML algorithms implemented in this study, XGBoost possessed the highest UFPs PNC exposure dose estimation performances with R2 = 0.965; 0.959; 0.929 & RMSE = 0.79 × 108; 0.54 × 108; 0.15 × 105 #/hour at IN, RS, and UB which then followed by multiple linear regression (MLR), and random forest (RF). Furthermore, SHAP analysis from the XGBoost model has successfully pointed out the spatial variability of each roadside sector by quantifying the approximated contributions of covariates to the model's output. Findings in this study highlighted the potential use of ML models as an alternative for preliminary particle exposure source apportionment.

Mineralogical and geochemical characteristics of mudstones from the Lower Cretaceous Prosopis Formation in the Bongor basin, Chad: Implications for provenance, paleoenvironment and organic matter enrichment

The Cretaceous greenhouse represents the largest global warming event since the Phanerozoic, significantly affecting the provenance, weathering, regional climate, and paleoenvironment of lake basins globally. During the period of global warming, the control of regional paleoenvironment over organic matter enrichment is still unclear. The Lower Cretaceous Prosopis Formation in the Bongor Basin features thick lacustrine organic-rich mudstones as major effective hydrocarbon source rocks with excellent hydrocarbon potential in the basin. However, the provenance, paleoclimate, paleoenvironment and mechanism of organic matter accumulation in this location have not yet been systematically studied. In this study, 22 dark gray mudstone samples were collected from three cored wells. Clay mineralogy, along with organic and inorganic elemental geochemical analyses were jointly carried out to determine the characteristics of the provenance, paleoclimate and paleoenvironment as well as the major controlling factors for organic matter enrichment. The results imply that the Prosopis Formation mudstones are mainly composed of clay minerals such as illite, kaolinite, chlorite, and illite/smectite mixed layers (I/S). Organic geochemistry indicated that all the studied mudstones reached the standard of good to excellent source rocks (the total organic carbon content ranged from 1.27% to 7.41%). Inorganic elemental geochemistry is characterized by high enrichment of Fe, Mg, P, Mn, Ti, Na, Ca, V, Co, Cu, Sr, Ba and B relative to UCC and PAAS, whereas rare earth elements (REEs) show enrichment of light rare earth elements (LREEs) and a deficiency of heavy rare earth elements (HREEs) relative to chondrite. The source composition of the mudstones is predominantly intermediate-felsic igneous rocks that have not undergone sediment recycling. The parent rocks experienced weak to moderate weathering, corresponding to semiarid paleoclimatic conditions of transitional nature. The organic-rich mudstones were deposited in fresh to brackish waters with paleoredox conditions ranging from weakly oxic to anoxic semi-deep to deep lake environments having relatively low initial productivity. Comprehensive study indicates that paleoredox and paleoclimate are important parameters affecting the enrichment of organic matter in lake basins during global warming. The aridification of climate is one of the most important reasons for the high input and efficient preservation of organic matter. The relatively semiarid climate both increased the supply of terrigenous nutrients to the lake basins and provided a driving force for the increase in salinity, thereby providing better sources and preservation conditions for organic matter.

Re-evaluating Marine Isotope Stage 5a paleo-sea-level trends from across the Florida Keys reef tract

Unraveling how Global Mean Sea Level (GMSL) fluctuated during past warm periods can improve our understanding of linkages between sea-level fluctuations, orbital forcing, and ice-sheet dynamics. Current estimates of GMSL for Marine Isotope Stages (MIS) 5a and 5c — two warm intervals following the relatively well-documented MIS 5e — contain meters of uncertainty and fewer data due to several challenges. These challenges include concealment of datable in-situ coral facies by MIS 1 deposits and inaccessibility due to submergence by modern sea level. We present a comprehensive dataset based on U–Th dating and stratigraphic correlation of 23 cores totaling over 170 m of recovered coral-reef deposits across the tectonically stable Florida Keys Reef Tract (FKRT). Following detailed facies descriptions, 34 in-situ, minimally altered aragonitic coral samples (≤2.7% calcite) below the Holocene-Pleistocene boundary were targeted for U–Th geochronology. Fourteen closed-system coral U–Th ages from MIS 5a include the commonly used sea-level indicator Acropora palmata, but also the massive coral taxa Pseudodiploria strigosa, Siderastrea siderea, Orbicella spp., and Porites astreoides. Dating yielded ages in the range of 88–81 ka (average 2σ uncertainty of less than 200 years). These ages suggest MIS 5a reef initiation at ∼88 ka BP, a peak near 83 ka with minimum elevations between −6.0 ± 0.5 and −5.6 ± 0.5 m MSL (2σ uncertainty and subsidence-corrected), and reef termination and sea-level fall by ∼81 ka BP. Notably, the range of peak MIS 5a relative sea-level estimates of −6.5 to −5.1 m MSL are more than 2 m shallower (higher) than previous estimates of −11 to −9 m. Our higher resolution regional sea-level reconstruction across four subregions of the Florida Keys reef tract aligns with changes in July insolation at 65° N: a trend that most other records, such as deep-sea sediments, do not have the accuracy and precision to resolve. Three massive coral samples from MIS 5c, consisting of Pseudodiploria clivosa, and Orbicella spp., yielded ages in the range of 104 to 99 ka (average 2σ uncertainty less than 200 years); however, because only one sample met the closed-system criteria, our ability to estimate MIS 5c sea level is relatively limited. More empirical estimates of sea-level from the MIS 5a and MIS 5c intervals based on numerical dating of reliable local sea-level constraints are critical for GMSL calculations and relating changes in sea-level amplitude and timing to global ice volume modeling and glacio-isostatic effects, all of which can improve predictions of future sea-level changes in coastal regions.

1500-Year Sedimentary Records of the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Yellow Sea Warm Current from the Muddy Area of the North Yellow Sea, China

Advances in reconstructing the East Asian monsoon have provided important insights into the natural climate variability in Asia during the pre-instrumental period. However, there are still unresolved paleoclimate issues that necessitate the use of geological proxy data to further our understanding of past climate changes. This study focused on core B13, located in the muddy area of the North Yellow Sea (NYS), to investigate the evolutionary history over the past 1500 years and reconstruct the records of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and Yellow Sea warm current (YSWC). The mean grain size of sediment ranged from 4.2 Φ to 5.6 Φ, with the sorting coefficient ranging from 1.9 to 2.2, indicating poor sorting. The C–M pattern showed a limited range of values, with the M values being between 33 and 83 μm and the C values being between 165 and 287 μm, suggesting uniform-suspension transport. The L* index ranged from 40.41 to 44.12, while the a* and b* indexes ranged from 0.55 to 1.78 and 2.86 to 5.94, respectively. A stable and relatively strong sedimentary environment is indicated through a comprehensive analysis of the C–M plot, triangular plot, the relationship between the mean grain size and sorting, and the changes in grain-size and color parameters. The sedimentary evolution in the muddy area of the NYS over the past 1500 years can be categorized into three distinct stages. In this study, proxies for the EASM and YSWC were extracted using the VPCA method from the sediment grain size and diffuse spectral reflectance (DSR) data, respectively. The reliability of these proxies has been confirmed through comparison with other validated proxies. The results indicated that the strength of the EASM and YSWC also exhibited three stages, corresponding to the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP), Medieval Warm Period (MWP), and Little Ice Age (LIA), respectively. On a centennial scale, the correlation between the EASM and YSWC was predominantly negative. This research validates the reliability of the VPCA method for paleoclimate reconstruction, contributes important climate records in a special muddy area, and provides a new perspective on how to eliminate temporal errors in verifying the correlation between the two climate systems.

Siliceous deposition in limestone-marl alternations of the Yangtze Carbonate platform during the Permian Chert Event

During the Permian Chert Event (PCE), limestone-marl alternations (LMAs), contemporaneously developing in the Yangtze region with chert-mudstone alternations, differed from typical LMAs by their enrichment in authigenic siliceous components (quartziferous components and Mg-phyllosilicates). However, the factors driving the transition from distal chert deposits to proximal siliceous-rich carbonate deposits remain unclear, and the genesis of authigenic siliceous components is puzzling. Resolving these issues could provide a deeper understanding of the paleoclimate and paleoenvironment during the PCE. Optical and SEM observations and geochemical analyses revealed that Si4+, derived from seawater, silica-secreting organisms, and terrigenous clasts, precipitated as authigenic quartziferous components under relatively acidic conditions, while it precipitated as Mg-phyllosilicates through reverse weathering by combining with the dissolved high-Mg calcites under relatively alkaline conditions. Through the facies division of LMAs, its variations describe relative and short-term sea-level fluctuations in the Yangtze Carbonate Platform (YCP). By integrating tendency comparisons and time series analyses of sea level fluctuations, continental weathering intensity, authigenic siliceous content, and relative proportions of quartz vs. Mg-phyllosilicates, four proxies exhibit covariation and similar astronomical signals, indicating that the high sea level period of the YCP, corresponding to intensified continental weathering, favored the deposition of authigenic siliceous components and reverse weathering. Because the facies variations encompass short eccentricity, obliquity, and precession cycles, sea level fluctuations are considered to have been influenced by Gondwana glaciation P3. The seawater in the continental shelf cooled and became rich in silica and nutrients under the effect of upwelling. Interglacial periods may trigger high sea levels and intensified continental weathering in the YCP, facilitating the influx of Si-rich eutrophic seawater and stimulating biological silica secretion by radiolarians. However, the direct precipitation of activated silica resulted in weakened reverse weathering. Consequently, the lithological transformation from distal to proximal areas during the PCE was attributed to differences in silica-secreting organism abundance, upwelling intensity, biological pump activity, reverse weathering intensity, OM abundance, pH conditions, and seawater temperature between the continental shelf and carbonate platform.

Mulching with Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Compost Has Beneficial Side Effects on Vineyard Soil Compared to Mulching with Synthetic Films

Municipal solid waste (MSW) compost represents a sustainable alternative to plastic film for mulching in viticulture. This study investigated the effects of MSW compost on vineyard soil properties, specifically focusing on side effects such as soil temperature and microbial decomposition activity, independently from its role in weed control. The experiment was conducted in a vineyard located in the Mediterranean region (Southern Italy), with six different mulching treatments: black polyethylene (PE) film, black and white biodegradable film, three different amounts of MSW compost (8, 15, and 22 kg plant−1), and a control without mulching. Weed growth was monitored to determine the optimal compost application amount. The 15 kg plant−1 treatment was selected for further analyses, as it did not significantly impact weed growth compared to the control. Results indicated that MSW compost mulching maintained lower soil temperatures compared to other treatments (up to 5 °C in the warmest hours) and reduced the amplitude of the thermal wave up to 50% compared to the non-mulched soil and even more compared to black film mulched soil, particularly during the warmest periods. This suggests that MSW compost can mitigate heat stress on plant roots, potentially enhancing plant resilience and preserving crop production also in stressful growing conditions. Microbial decomposition activity, assessed using the tea bag index, was higher in the MSW compost treatment during spring compared to the control, indicating temperature as a key driver for organic matter decomposition, but this effect disappeared during summer. These findings highlight the potential of MSW compost to support sustainable viticulture by reducing reliance on synthetic mulching materials and promoting environmental sustainability through the recycling of organic municipal waste.

Little evidence of hysteresis in regional precipitation, when indexed by global temperature rise and fall in an overshoot climate simulation

Abstract Society has set the aim of stabilising climate at key temperature thresholds, such as global warming at or below 1.5°C or 2.0°C above preindustrial levels. However, greenhouse gas emissions are failing to decline, and if they continue on their current trajectory it is likely that such thresholds will be crossed in the decades ahead. Because of this risk, there is an emerging focus on overshoot, where, for a temporary period, global warming is allowed to cross critical thresholds to reach a peak value before decreasing to the desired limit. A key question about overshoots is whether there are hysteresis effects—that is, whether global or regional climate has properties that differ between the phase of global warming increase and the phase of decreasing. Here, we analyse temperature and precipitation data from five Earth System Models (ESMs) forced by the SSP5-3.4-OS CMIP6 overshoot scenario. We look at the level of precipitation during two periods of near-identical global warming: one whilst temperatures are rising, and the other when they are falling. For global means, we find a statistically significant difference between precipitation values during the two periods. This is an example of hysteresis, as the reversion to an earlier global warming state results in a level of global rainfall which is different from that observed when warming was increasing. Spatial disaggregation of rainfall differences between the two near-identical warming levels shows the largest differences in the tropical region, which are statistically significant for four of the five ESMs. When considering much smaller regions, including parts of the tropics, there remains some evidence of hysteresis. However, the differences are no longer statistically significant against a background of substantial interannual rainfall variability. We discuss the implications of our findings for climate impacts assesments.&amp;#xD;

Year-round sampling of the fish community in a boreal lake: differences between summer and winter influence estimates of species composition, catch, and fish size.

Boreal lakes experience pronounced seasonal variation in abiotic factors, especially light, temperature, and oxygen. A deep boreal humic lake was sampled year-round to test putative changes in total fish catch, species composition, catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE), habitat use, fish size, and condition. Monthly sampling was conducted in Lake Pääjärvi, southern Finland, during one full year in 2020-2021 as well as in March and August 2021 and 2022. The fish community was dominated by cyprinid species in all months, but the percentage of percid fish caught increased during the warm summer period. Most fish were caught in littoral habitats and the highest catches occurred in summer, but some species (e.g., ruffe, Gymnocephalus cernua, and pikeperch, Sander lucioperca) remained abundant in the winter catch. The body size of fish was larger in the winter catch, while condition factor was higher in summer for most species. Fish species proportions in total catch, CPUE, and average size of fish were closest to the annual mean values in September, which may be used as the optimal period to monitor fish communities of similar deep boreal lakes. Our findings highlight the need for year-round research to reveal the impacts of rising temperatures and diminishing ice-covered periods in fish communities and lake food webs.

Anchovy and sardine condition and energy content in the North Aegean Sea (eastern Mediterranean) in relation to their contrasting reproductive strategies.

Forage species with high biomass, such as anchovies and sardines, play a key role in pelagic ecosystems and make up a significant proportion of the world's capture fisheries production. In recent years, condition indices have gained interest as significant indicators for assessing the effects of environmental and human pressures on these species and the quality of their habitats. In the present study, we examined, for the first time in the North Aegean Sea (eastern Mediterranean), the year-round variation in somatic and gonadal condition, energy density, and percentage of lipid content of anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) and sardine (Sardina pilchardus). Energy density was measured with bomb calorimetry and percentage lipid content with the fatmeter, a portable electronic device. Finally, the monthly changes in gonadal and energetic condition were examined in relation to the annual cycle of temperature and mesozooplankton biomass, simulated by the implementation of a coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model (POM-ERSEM). There was a strong relationship between fish energy density (kJ g-1) and percentage dry weight. Furthermore, the mean monthly energy density and fatmeter measurements were strongly correlated, especially in sardine. Overall, the monthly changes in energetic condition were indicative of the species' different strategies for energy acquisition and allocation to reproduction (capital vs. income breeding): sardine exhibited low energy density and percentage lipid content during the winter spawning period (November-March) and markedly higher energetic condition from spring to autumn (April-October). Anchovy spawning period, as inferred from gonadal condition, lasted from April to September, i.e., during the warm period of the year but its energy density and percentage lipid content did not exhibit any seasonal changes and were markedly lower than in sardine from April to October. Finally, the simulated mesozooplankton biomass was higher from January to July, which corresponded to the second half of the spawning season for sardine, but first half of the spawning season for anchovy.

On a relation between shrinking of sea ice coverage and climate warming in the marine Arctic

Arctic amplification (AA) of the climate warming is understood as the excess of the surface air temperature rise in the Arctic over the same process in the non-Arctic latitudes, and it is a fundamental characteristic of the climate during periods of warming. The positive feedback between albedo and shrinking of the sea ice coverage has been identified as the first possible cause of AA. The article presents quantitative estimates of the relationship between the summer decrease and autumn-winter restoration of the ice coverage with the rise of the surface air temperature in the marine Arctic based on data of observations. The mean monthly values of the temperature in the marine Arctic and the mean monthly values of areas covered by the sea ice in the Arctic Ocean and the Arctic seas for the period 1989–2020 were used. It has been found that the observed warming and the decrease of the ice coverage are accompanied by a growth of inter-monthly changes in the coverage and the same in the air temperature. Negative trends in increments of the ice coverage in May–July is indicative of a long-term growth in inter-monthly shrinkage of the ice coverage due to increasing melting, while negative trends in increments of the temperature in the same months is suggestive of a slowdown in the temperature rise from month to month, presumably due to the increasing heat consumption for the snow and ice melting and the water heating. The positive correlation confirms the relation between growing negative inter-monthly differences in the ice coverage and decreasing positive differences in the air temperature during these months. Based on that we determined a sensitivity of the inter-monthly increments of the temperature to the increments of the ice coverage, which was used to estimate the weakening of the positive air temperature trend in May–July over the Arctic Ocean and over the seas of the Northern Sea Route (NSR). Estimating of the relationship between month-to-month changes in temperature and ice coverage in the autumn-winter months meet difficulties due to the strong influence of external heat influx. Only in November and January a slowdown in the air temperature drop from October to November and from December to January had been revealed, with a positive trend in the ice coverage increments.

The use of time-dynamic patterns of temperature and flexible generalized models to clarify the relations between temperature and semen quality

BackgroundSperm quality has decreased over the last decades worldwide. It is affected, among others, by season and heat. This study aimed to address the association between ambient temperature and sperm quality by assessing its shape using flexible multivariate models and identifying distinct time-dynamic patterns of temperature change based on unsupervised analysis. Material and methodsA retrospective population-based study has been conducted, including all samples of males attending the Fertility and In-Vitro-Fertilization unit at a single medical center during 2016–2022. Flexible generalized models were fitted to characterize the relations between sperm quality and temperature while accounting for patients characteristics, and to identify temperature levels that correspond with the optimal sperm quality. This information was then used to estimate adjusted slope coefficients at specified time-windows. ResultsIn total, 4555 sperm samples were provided by 3229 individuals. Sperm concentration, motility and progressive motility were higher by 8 %, 11 % and 16 %, respectively, during the spring versus the fall season. Furthermore, their quality during early spermatogenesis improved with temperature, until a certain optimum around 23 °C–24 °C. Increasing temperature at later developmental stages was associated with lower sperm concentration and higher motility. Sperm concentration and motility were highest following a period of moderate gradual warming. Motility was higher and sperm concentration was lower, following a period with heatwaves or summer. ConclusionsThis study assessed temperature role in sperm production quality by considering both average and time-dynamic temperatures. It identified several temperature change patterns over time and stratified the analysis by them. The differences in the relations across stages of spermatogenesis were addressed. Several mechanisms may explain the associations found, including heat-induced apoptosis of the sperm cells, and destruction of sperm cells DNA integrity by over-production of reactive oxygen species. The gradual global warming necessitates exploration of individual response to outdoor temperature in relations to genetic predisposition, lifestyle, and other health characteristics.

Contrasting extremely warm and long-lasting cold air anomalies in the North Atlantic sector of the Arctic during the HALO-(𝒜 𝒞)3 campaign

Abstract. How air masses transform during meridional transport into and out of the Arctic is not well represented by numerical models. The airborne field campaign HALO-(𝒜𝒞)3 applied the High Altitude and Long-range Research Aircraft (HALO) within the framework of the collaborative research project on Arctic amplification (𝒜𝒞)3 to address this question by providing a comprehensive observational basis. The campaign took place from 7 March to 12 April 2022 in the North Atlantic sector of the Arctic, a main gateway of atmospheric transport into and out of the Arctic. Here, we investigate to which degree the meteorological and sea ice conditions during the campaign align with the long-term climatology (1979–2022). For this purpose, we use the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis v5 (ERA5), satellite data, and measurements at Ny-Ålesund, including atmospheric soundings. The observations and reanalysis data revealed two distinct periods with different weather conditions during HALO-(𝒜𝒞)3: the campaign started with a warm period (11–20 March 2022) where strong southerly winds prevailed that caused poleward transport of warm and moist air masses, so-called moist and warm air intrusions (WAIs). Two WAI events were identified as atmospheric rivers (ARs), which are narrow bands of strong moisture transport. These warm and moist air masses caused the highest measured 2 m temperatures (5.5 °C) and daily precipitation rates (42 mm d−1) at Ny-Ålesund for March since the beginning of the record (1993). Over the sea ice northwest of Svalbard, ERA5 indicated record-breaking rainfall. After the passage of a strong cyclone on 21 March 2022, a cold period followed. Northerly winds advected cold air into the Fram Strait, causing marine cold air outbreaks (MCAOs) until the end of the campaign. This second phase included one of the longest MCAO events found in the ERA5 record (19 d). On average, the entire campaign period was warmer than the climatological mean due to the strong influence of the ARs. In the Fram Strait, the sea ice concentration was well within the climatological variability over the entire campaign duration. However, during the warm period, a large polynya opened northeast of Svalbard, untypical for this season. Compared to previous airborne field campaigns focusing on the evolution of (mixed-phase) clouds, a larger variety of MCAO conditions was observed during HALO-(𝒜𝒞)3. In summary, air mass transport into and out of the Arctic was more pronounced than usual, providing exciting prospects for studying air mass transformation using HALO-(𝒜𝒞)3.

Simulation of Potential Geographical Distribution and Migration Pattern with Climate Change of Ormosia microphylla Merr. &amp; H. Y. Chen

Conservation and management of endangered species are crucial to reveal the restriction mechanisms of climate change on the distribution change pattern of endangered species. Due to human interference and a limited natural capacity for regeneration, the wild resources of Ormosia microphylla Merr. &amp; H. Y. Chen have progressively dwindled. Therefore, this study reconstructed the historical migration dynamics of the geographical distribution of O. microphylla since the last interglacial period and analyzed its adaptation to climatic conditions, aiming to provide an important reference for the protection of O. microphylla. Using data from 40 distribution resources of O. microphylla and nine climate factors, an optimized MaxEnt model, in conjunction with ArcGIS 10.4.1 software, was used for predicting and visualizing the distribution ranges and the associated changes under historical, current, and future climate scenarios. This analysis was also used to determine the dominant climate factors constraining the distribution of species. The results show that contemporary suitable habitats of O. microphylla are primarily concentrated in the mountainous regions of southern China, including Fujian, Guangdong, Guangxi, and Guizhou. The precipitation of driest quarter (bio17), the temperature seasonality (bio4), the min temperature of coldest month (bio6), and the elevation (elev) were the key limiting factors in the current geographical distribution pattern of O. microphylla. In the SSP126 and SSP585 climate scenarios, the total suitable area of O. microphylla showed a downward trend. The change in the spatial pattern of O. microphylla shows that the increase area is less than the loss area under different climate scenarios in the future. Climate warming may cause fragmentation risk to the suitable area of O. microphylla. Therefore, the corresponding protection suggestions bear significant importance for the conservation and sustainable development of O. microphylla resources.