Warm Regions Research Articles

Disentangling regional climate change: Assessing the contribution of global– and regional–scale anthropogenic factors to observed regional warming

Abstract While the influence of uniformly-distributed well-mixed greenhouse gas emissions on global warming is well-documented and robustly attributed through multiple lines of evidence, regional attribution remains more challenging and dependent on the performance and resolution of climate models. This study investigates the extent to which observed regional temperature trends are attributable to global-scale anthropogenic factors, mainly the direct effects of CO2, aiming to differentiate the portion of the change attributable to regional-scale drivers and local feedback mechanisms. To quantify the contribution of global– and regional–scale climate drivers to observed temperature change, we conducted regression analyses using the observed temperature change in HadCRUT4 and the Global Warming Index (GWI) derived from global radiative forcing series. Results indicate that in certain regions — specifically West Asia, East N. America, and West Africa — 62±4%, 61±12%, and 58±3% of the warming observed over 1991-2020 can be attributed to global anthropogenic warming, primarily the direct effects of CO2. The remaining portion, which represents 22±5%, 21±13%, and 27±3% of the observed warming, is attributable to regional drivers. The Mediterranean showcases high sensitivity, with regional drivers contributing 31±8% of the observed 1.2°C warming, amplifying the warming attributed to global anthropogenic drivers, estimated at 55±7% of the warming. The Arctic Ocean along with the Russian-Arctic region exhibits a substantial contribution from regional drivers and local feedback mechanisms to the observed warming amplification, quantified at 43±10% of the 3°C warming over 1991-2020. Regional cooling drivers, however, are significant in East Asia and the Tibetan Plateau, with the latter experiencing a cooling contribution of -42±11%. By breaking down the contributions of climate drivers into global and regional-scale components, we gain valuable insights into the local climate mechanisms responsible for the observed regional warming, which is a crucial factor that affects agriculture, ecosystems and societies.

A revision and addition to Zopheridae (Coleoptera: Tenebrionoidea) in Baltic amber: possible connections between modern Holarctic distributions and Eocene ‘amber forests’

One new extinct genus and six new extinct species of Zopheridae are described and illustrated from Eocene Baltic amber: Usechus andrushchenkoi Alekseev et Bukejs sp. nov., Coxelus carstengroehni Alekseev et Bukejs sp. nov., Paha vanivanitatum Alekseev et Bukejs sp. nov., Lasconotus tenebrisilvarum Alekseev et Bukejs sp. nov., Helioctamenus groehni Alekseev et Bukejs sp. nov., and Thanatoplagia tamutisi Alekseev et Bukejs gen. et sp. nov. These described taxa include the first fossil representatives of five extant genera and two extant tribes of the family Zopheridae. The assumed paleoecology of these taxa within the amber-producing forest paleohabitat, as well as zoogeography of new fossils are discussed. In addition, new fossil records of Xylolaemus legalovi Alekseev et Bukejs, 2016, X. richardklebsi Alekseev et Bukejs, 2016, Endophloeus gorskii Alekseev et Bukejs, 2016, Yantaroxenos colydioides Nabozhenko, Kirejtshuk et Merkl, 2016, and Zopheromimus auriborussiensis Alekseev et Nabozhenko, 2023 from Baltic amber are presented. A catalogue of Zopheridae described from Baltic amber (currently 19 species within 16 genera) is compiled herein, and an identification key for all taxa is provided. The zoogeographical affinities of the Baltic amber zopherid assemblage are assessed. The present-day disjunct distributions of the zopherid genera that have survived since the Eocene and are currently present in the Holarctic region probably resulted from a uniform fauna in the warm temperate regions of the Northern Hemisphere in the first half of the Paleogene. This uniform fauna was followed by independent reduction of distributions within four regions (West Palearctic, East Palearctic, West Nearctic, and East Nearctic). The ‘circum-Arctic quadrants’ schema is proposed for visualisation of this hypothesis. Additionally, a zonal middle to late Eocene ‘amberiferous ring’ is hypothesized as a probable migration pathway for several zopherids in this part of the Eocene. This ‘ring’ is a belt of amber-producing forests in the Northern Hemisphere, with the potential to preserve a wider distribution of taxa that relied on mixed conifer-fagacean forests similar to the Baltic amber forest flora and its faunal assemblage.

JWST lensed quasar dark matter survey – II. Strongest gravitational lensing limit on the dark matter free streaming length to date

ABSTRACT This is the second in a series of papers in which we use JWST Mid Infrared Instrument multiband imaging to measure the warm dust emission in a sample of 31 multiply imaged quasars, to be used as a probe of the particle nature of dark matter. We present measurements of the relative magnifications of the strongly lensed warm dust emission in a sample of nine systems. The warm dust region is compact and sensitive to perturbations by populations of haloes down to masses $\sim 10^6$ M$_{\odot }$. Using these warm dust flux-ratio measurements in combination with five previous narrow-line flux-ratio measurements, we constrain the halo mass function. In our model, we allow for complex deflector macromodels with flexible third- and fourth-order multipole deviations from ellipticity, and we introduce an improved model of the tidal evolution of subhaloes. We constrain a WDM model and find an upper limit on the half-mode mass of $10^{7.6}\, {\rm M}_\odot$ at posterior odds of 10:1. This corresponds to a lower limit on a thermally produced dark matter particle mass of 6.1 keV. This is the strongest gravitational lensing constraint to date, and comparable to those from independent probes such as the Ly $\alpha$ forest and Milky Way satellite galaxies.

Differentiated growth of the most widely planted conifer in response to extreme droughts across semi-arid regions in Northern China

Global warming is leading to more frequent and intense drought events, exerting unprecedented pressure on forest growth. Although post-drought recovery in plantation growth has been studied enormously, the variation of planted populations across the whole distribution range of a species is not well understood. In this study, the growth suitability of the most widely planted conifer species in dry lands of northern China, Mongolian Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica), was estimated, based on tree-ring data sampled in 289 plots of afforestation across most of its planting range. According to changes in the hydrothermal condition during the last forty years (1980–2018), the distribution range was divided into three parts: warming, warming-wetting, and non-significant trends (NT) regions. Two severe droughts in 2000 and 2007 were identified using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Then, the resistance (Rt), recovery (Rc), and resilience (Rs) growth indices were calculated and compared among these three parts. The growth of planted Mongolian Scots pine has overall significantly increased from 1980 to 2018 (p < 0.001). The pine plantations in warming regions were sensitive to annual precipitation, while warming-wetting regions were more influenced by the growing season climate. Pines reverted to pre-drought growth levels within 3 years after the drought event in 2000 but failed in 2007, and populations in the warming region showed significantly lower post-drought recovery. Furthermore, high pre-drought growth levels were linked to low Rs in both drought events (p < 0.001). Post-drought precipitation enhanced the Rc of plantations, compensating for the growth reduction caused by droughts. Soil moisture during the drought events enhanced Rt and Rs. The Rt and Rs indices decreased significantly with the age of plantations (p < 0.05). Overall, our results revealed that pre-drought growth and post-drought precipitation were key factors influencing the resilience of planted Mongolian Scots pine. Besides, the plantations experiencing wetting trends revealed favorable drought resilience and stable radial growth, which indicated promising potential for planted Mongolian Scots pine in those areas. Controlling the age of plantations seems to be crucial for maintaining drought resilience in large-scale plantations and maximizing ecological benefits.

Bacterial Diversity Along the Geothermal Gradients: Insights from the High-altitude Himalayan Hot Spring Habitats of Sikkim

Geothermal habitats present a unique opportunity to study microbial adaptation to varying temperature conditions. In such environments, distinct temperature gradients foster diverse microbial communities, each adapted to its optimal niche. However, the complex dynamics of bacterial populations in across these gradients high-altitude hot springs remain largely unexplored. We hypothesize that temperature is a primary driver of microbial diversity, and bacterial richness peaks at intermediate temperatures. To investigate this, we analysed bacterial diversity using 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing across three temperature regions: hot region of 56-65°C (hot spring), warm region of 35-37°C (path carrying hot spring water to the river), and cold region of 4-7°C (river basin). Our findings showed that Bacillota was the most abundant phylum (45.51%), followed by Pseudomonadota (32.81%) and Actinomycetota (7.2%). Bacillota and Chloroflexota flourished in the hot and warm regions, while Pseudomonadota thrived in cooler areas. Core microbiome analysis indicated that species richness was highest in the warm region, declining in both cold and hot regions. Interestingly, an anomaly was observed with Staphylococcus, which was more abundant in cases where ponds were used for bathing and recreation. In contrast, Clostridium was mostly found in cold regions, likely due to its viability in soil and ability to remain dormant as a spore-forming bacterium. The warm region showed the highest bacterial diversity, while richness decreased in both cold and hot regions. This highlights the temperature-dependent nature of microbial communities, with optimal diversity in moderate thermal conditions. The study offers new insights into microbial dynamics in high-altitude geothermal systems.

Experimental and Computational Study of Ethanolamine Ices under Astrochemical Conditions

Ethanolamine (NH2CH2CH2OH) has recently been identified in the molecular cloud G+0.693-0.027, situated in the SgrB2 complex in the Galactic center. However, its presence in other regions, and in particular in star-forming sites, is still elusive. Given its likely role as a precursor to simple amino acids, understanding its presence in the star-forming region is required. Here, we present the experimentally obtained temperature-dependent spectral features and morphological behavior of pure ethanolamine ices under astrochemical conditions in the 2–12 μm (MIR) and 120–230 nm (VUV) regions for the first time. These features would help in understanding its photochemical behavior. In addition, we present the first chemical models specifically dedicated to ethanolamine. These models include all the discussed chemical routes from the literature, along with the estimated binding energies and activation energies from quantum chemical calculations reported in this work. We have found that surface reactions CH2OH + NH2CH2 → NH2CH2CH2OH and NH2 + C2H4OH → NH2CH2CH2OH in warmer regions (60–90 K) could play a significant role in the formation of ethanolamine. Our modeled abundance of ethanolamine complements the upper limit of ethanolamine column density estimated in earlier observations in hot core/corino regions. Furthermore, we provide a theoretical estimation of the rotational and distortional constants for various species (such as HNCCO, NH2CHCO, and NH2CH2CO) related to ethanolamine that have not been studied in existing literature. This study could be valuable for identifying these species in the future.

Root physiological and morphology processes co-regulate the growth of Chinese-fir saplings in response to warming and precipitation reduction in the sub-tropical regions

Subtropical China is projected to experience elevated temperature greater than the mean global temperature increase and is accompanied by reduced precipitation. The plasticity of roots to changing environment strongly influences ecosystem feedbacks to climate change. However, knowledge gaps on the individual and combined effects of warming and precipitation reduction on root systems hinder our ability to accurately predict the growth and adaptability of forests under future climate change. To examine the effects of warming (W) and precipitation reduction (P) on roots physiology and morphology of Chinese-fir saplings, we used a randomized complete block design with factorial soil warming (ambient, ambient + 5℃) and precipitation reduction (ambient, ambient-50%) treatments. A full excavation method was adopted to obtain roots, then we measured the root physiology (osmoregulatory substances, oxidant substances, protective enzymes, endogenous hormones), morphology (specific root length, SRL; surface root area, SRA; root tissue density, RTD). The content of carbon and nitrogen, isotopes (δ13C and δ15N); soil temperature, soil moisture and sapling growth were also measured. We found that compared with the control, W decreased the abscisic acid (IAA) content; P increased the contents of hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) and proline (Pro), and decreased the contents of IAA and cytokinin (CTK); warming plus precipitation reduction (WP) increased the Pro content, and decreased the contents of IAA and CTK. In addition, the effects of W and P on root morphology varied with soil depth and root diameter class. W, P, and WP all increased fine root SRL and SRA in deep soil. Warming and precipitation reduction could affect physiological traits (e.g. non-enzymatic substances and antioxidant enzymes) and subsequently morphological traits via influencing soil environment and root tissue chemistry. Collectively, the results indicated that Chinese-fir saplings responded to warming and precipitation reduction by comprehensive regulation of the non-enzymatic substances (e.g., osmotic substances and endogenous hormones) of fine roots and changing root morphological characteristics in deep soil.

Enhancing Low-Temperature Sensor Applications: Synergistic Effects of Ni Doping and SnO2 Interlayer on Spin-Coated ZnO Thin Films on Glass Substrate

This study investigates the effects of Nickel doping and a SnO2 interlayer on the structural, morphological, optical, and electrical properties of ZnO thin films. Undoped and Ni-doped ZnO films were fabricated on glass substrates, with and without an SnO2 interlayer, using the sol-gel spin coating method. The samples—denoted as ZG (undoped ZnO), NZG (Ni-doped ZnO), ZSG (undoped ZnO with SnO2 interlayer), and NZSG (Ni-doped ZnO with SnO2 interlayer)—underwent comprehensive characterization via XRD, AFM, PL, UV-Vis spectroscopy, Hall effect measurements, Hot probe, and Two-point method. XRD analysis confirmed successful Ni incorporation and enhanced ZnO crystallinity, particularly in the presence of the SnO2 interlayer. AFM analysis revealed improved grain distribution and size due to the synergistic effects of Ni doping and the SnO2 interlayer. UV-Vis results indicated significant impacts on transparency and the Urbach energy, with Ni doping alone broadening the bandgap. PL measurements showed that the synergistic effects quenched UV luminescence associated with the glass substrate, enhancing visible luminescence. Chromaticity analysis suggested that ZSG and NZSG samples are suitable for warm blue region applications. Electrical measurements revealed n-type conductivity across all films except NZG, with Ni doping increasing resistivity. Additionally, the ZSG (PTC) sensor exhibited a slightly higher sensitivity (0.3852 Ω/°C) compared to the NZSG sensor (0.3782 Ω/°C), with a similar trend observed in NTC sensors. These findings suggest that Ni-doped ZnO films with SnO2 interlayers could potentially serve as thermistors and RTDs, offering promising applications in temperature sensing and optoelectronics.

Evolution of Chemistry in the envelope of HOt CorinoS (ECHOS). II. The puzzling chemistry of isomers as revealed by the HNCS/HSCN ratio

The observational detection of some metastable isomers in the interstellar medium with abundances comparable to those of the most stable isomer, or even when the stable isomer is not detected, highlights the importance of non-equilibrium chemistry. This challenges our understanding of the interstellar chemistry and shows the need to study isomeric forms of molecular species to constrain chemical processes occurring in the interstellar medium. Our goal is to study the chemistry of isomers through the sulphur isomer pair HNCS and HSCN, since HSCN has been observed in regions where its stable isomer has not been detected, and the observed HNCS/HSCN ratio seems to significantly vary from cold to warm regions. We used the Nautilus time-dependent gas-grain chemical code to model the formation and destruction paths of HNCS and HSCN in different astrochemical scenarios, as well as the time evolution of the HNCS/HSCN ratio. We also analysed the influence of the environmental conditions on their chemical abundances. We present an observational detection of the metastable isomer HSCN in the Class I object B1-a ($N$=(1.1pm 0.6)times 1012 cm$^ $), but not of the stable isomer HNCS, despite HNCS lying 3200 K lower in energy than HSCN. Our theoretical results show an HNCS/HSCN ratio sensitive to the gas temperature and the evolutionary time, with the highest values obtained at early stages ($t$lesssim 10$^4$ yr) and low ($T_ g $lesssim 20 K) temperatures. A more detailed analysis also shows that the main mechanism forming HNCS in young ($t$$&lt;$10$^5$ yr) and cold ($T_ g $$=$10 K) objects at moderate-low densities ($n$$_ H $leq 10$^5$ cm$^ $) is a grain surface reaction (the chemical desorption reaction N$_ solid $+HCS$_ solid $rightarrow HNCS), unlike previous predictions that suggest only gas-phase chemistry for its formation. However, for the formation of its metastable isomer HSCN, over the same time range and physical conditions, we find that both surface and gas-phase reactions (through the ion H$_2$NCS$^+$) play important roles. In warmer ($T_ g $geq 50 K) regions, the formation of this isomer pair is only dominated by gas-phase chemistry through the ions H$_2$NCS$^+$ (mainly at low densities) and HNCSH$^+$ (mainly at high densities). The results suggest a different efficiency of the isomerisation processes depending on the source temperature. The progressive decrease of HNCS/HSCN with gas temperature at early evolutionary times derived from our theoretical results indicates that this ratio may be used as a tracer of cold young objects. This work also demonstrates the key role of grain surface chemistry in the formation of the isomer pair HNCS and HSCN in cold regions, as well as the importance of the ions H$_2$NCS$^+$ and HNCSH$^+$ in warm/hot regions. Since most of the interstellar regions where HSCN is detected are cold regions (starless cores, Class 0/I objects), a larger sample including sources characterised by high temperatures (e.g. hot cores) are needed to corroborate the theoretical results.

Phenological response to climatic change depends on spring warming velocity

Climatic change is dramatically altering phenology but generalities regarding tempo and mode of response remain limited. Here we present a general model framework incorporating spring temperature, velocity of spring warming, and species’ thermal requirements for predicting phenological response to warming. A key prediction of this framework is that species active earlier in the season and located in warmer regions where spring temperature velocity is lowest show strongest sensitivity to climatic change and greatest advancement in response to warming. We test this prediction using plant phenology datasets collected in the 1850s and 2010s. Our results strikingly confirm model predictions, showing that while temperature sensitivity is higher in regions with low temperature velocity, the greatest realized change in phenological onset is northern areas where warming rates have been fastest. Our framework offers enhanced utility for predicting phenological sensitivity and responsiveness in temperate regions and across multiple plant species and potentially other groups.

The Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Temperature Variability Across Mts. Qinling: A Comparative Study from 1971 to 2022

Analyzing the spatiotemporal patterns of atmospheric temperature in sensitive areas is critically important for understanding the broader implications of global climate change, which remains a prominent topic in geosciences. It also plays a crucial role in advancing sustainable development. This study utilized daily minimum, maximum, and mean temperature data from twelve meteorological stations across the South and North Mts. Qinling (Qinling Mountains). Employing trend analysis, the Mann–Kendall mutation test, and Morlet wavelet analysis, we explored the predominant temperature trends and characteristics from 1971 to 2022. Our findings revealed consistent inter-annual warming trends in both regions, with more rapid temperature increases in the North compared to the South. Notably, significant shifts occurred in 2003 for both mean and minimum temperatures in the North, while the maximum and minimum temperature values were recorded in the 2010s and 1980s, respectively. Both regions exhibited a primary temperature fluctuation cycle of 28 years. Seasonally, the strongest warming effects appeared in spring, with the weakest in autumn, and moderate effects in winter and summer, indicating that spring contributes most significantly to regional warming. Monthly analysis showed positive temperature trends across all months, with higher rates in the North. The weakening temperature boundary effect of the Mts. Qinling suggested a weakening North–South division, particularly highlighted by the northward shift of the 1 °C isotherm curve for the coldest month, moving away from the previously observed 0 °C isotherm. This northward shift highlights the differential warming rates between the northern and southern regions. Overall, the analysis confirms a robust warming trend, with notable fluctuations in January’s temperatures since 1998, suggesting the Mts. Qinling’s emerging role as a climatic divider in the Chinese Mainland. This introduces new challenges for regional ecosystems, agricultural production, and water resource management, highlighting the pressing need to advance regional sustainable development in the face of climate change.

The New Zealand spread and distribution of the South American weevils Floresianus sordidus Hustache and Atrichonotus taeniatulus (Berg)

ABSTRACT The South American Flores weevil (Floresianus sordidus Hustache, 1939) and little fringed weevil Atrichonotus taeniatulus (Berg, 1881) (Coleoptera, Curculionidae) are now common in northern areas of the North Island of New Zealand. Historic records were investigated to determine the distribution and prevalence of these flightless weevils during five decades following their initial establishment in the Hawke’s Bay region in the late 1960s and early 1970s. Both were slow dispersers: the first detection outside Hawke’s Bay was in the 1990s and they were only confirmed present in Taranaki from 2017 onwards. Dispersal between regions likely occurred via human transport, with both detected for the first time in the South Island in 2000 at Christchurch airport. Based on the number of sites where the weevils have been collected, both species have been found more often in the warmer regions but will eventually colonise most of New Zealand. Parasitism by Microctonus aethiopoides Loan (Hymenoptera: Braconidae) was detected in A. taeniatulus adults but not in F. sordidus.

Flowering in the Northern Hemisphere is delayed by frost after leaf-out

Late spring frosts, occurring after spring phenological events, pose a dire threat to tree growth and forest productivity. With climate warming, earlier spring phenological events have become increasingly common and led to plants experiencing more frequent and severe frost damage. However, the effect of late spring frosts after leaf-out on subsequent flowering phenology in woody species remains unknown. Utilizing 572,734 phenological records of 640 species at 5024 sites from four long-term and large-scale in situ phenological networks across the Northern Hemisphere, we show that late spring frosts following leaf-out significantly delay the onset of the subsequent flowering by approximately 6.0 days. Late-leafing species exhibit greater sensitivity to the frosts than early-leafing species, resulting in a longer delay of 2.5 days in flowering. Trees in warm regions and periods exhibit a more pronounced frost-induced flowering delay compared to those in cold regions and periods. A significant increase in the frequency of late spring frost occurrence is observed in recent decades. Our findings elucidate the intricate relationships among leaf-out, frost, and flowering but also emphasize that the sequential progression of phenological events, rather than individual phenological stages, should be considered when assessing the phenological responses to climate change.

Natural and anthropogenically driven change of organic carbon burial rate in two alpine lakes from the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau

The rate of organic carbon (OC) burial in lakes depends considerably on natural and anthropogenic factors. Delineating how and to what extent potential drivers shape a lake’s OC burial rate is crucial for anticipating OC sequestration under future environmental change scenarios. Alpine lakes provide valuable opportunities for studying the influence of climate warming and atmospheric nitrogen (N) deposition on OC burial in lakes, owing to the lack of human activities in their catchments; however, this aspect has not been sufficiently documented. Here, the OC burial rate was reconstructed in two alpine lakes (Heihai and Jiren) from the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau over the past ∼ 160 years, and the associated drivers were identified by resolving the temporal trends in organic matter (OM) input from specific sources to lake sediments via paleolimnological methods. The results demonstrated a consistently low OC burial rate (6.21–10.86 g m−2 yr−1) in Lake Heihai. The low hydrogen index (HI), moderate Paq, and high long-chain n-alkane flux revealed that submerged macrophytes and terrestrial plants are major contributors to the sequestrated OC. The notable decrease in the OC burial rate after 1980 was hypothesized to be caused by regional climate warming during this period because a greater export of terrestrial materials under such a climate can inhibit light penetration, diminishing submerged macrophyte productivity and OM input. In contrast, the synchronous input of higher amounts of terrestrial plant OM was largely degraded owing to the increased water temperature and the intensification of water column stratification. In Lake Jiren, a notably high OC burial rate (13.82–46.75g m−2 yr−1) was observed. The high HI, Paq, and short-chain n-alkane flux showed that phytoplankton and submerged macrophytes were the major contributors to the sequestrated OC. The two-phase increase in the OC burial rate in this lake, including a slow increase after 1947 and a rapid increase after 1983, might have resulted from strengthening aquatic primary productivity and OM input, driven by anthropogenic intensification of nutrient emissions, especially reactive N, from highly urbanized areas and the subsequent long-term atmospheric transport and deposition of these materials over the lake basin. A comparative analysis of the results between the two lakes suggested that atmospheric N deposition has a stronger influence on the OC burial than climate warming. These drivers affect the OC burial rate by altering aquatic productivity rather than the terrestrial OM input. This study provides a basic for predicting future OC burial scenarios in warmer climates with more intense anthropogenic N emissions.

Tropical Indian Ocean drives Hadley circulation change in a warming climate

Abstract The weakening and poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation (HC) are considered robust responses of atmospheric meridional circulation to anthropogenic warming. Climate impacts arising from these changes enhance drought conditions and reduce food production in the affected regions. Therefore, understanding the mechanisms of HC changes is critical to anticipating the resultant climate risks. First, we demonstrate that robust future HC changes in boreal winter, and the uncertainty in their future projections, are both largely related to sea surface temperature (SST) warming. Next, we investigate the impact of anthropogenic regional ocean warming on the future HC. Accordingly, we conduct a large ensemble of individual ocean basin perturbation experiments at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C warming thresholds (as in the Paris Agreement). These experiments highlight (i) the leading role of tropical Indian Ocean warming in HC changes and (ii) inter-model differences in tropical Pacific warming as a source of uncertainty in HC projections.

A Global Analysis of Historical and Future Changes in Mediterranean Climate‐Type Regions

ABSTRACTMediterranean climate‐type regions (MCRs) are characterised by warm‐to‐hot dry summers and mild‐wet winters. These regions are typically found on the western or southern edges of continents, for example, in the Mediterranean Basin, the west coast of North and South America, southern Africa and southwest Australia. The MCRs are vulnerable to climate variability and change related to their unique characteristics, such as pronounced rainfall seasonality and prolonged hot and dry summers. Based on historical observations and CMIP6 climate projections, we apply an empirical bio‐climatic assessment of how the geographic distribution of MCRs has changed during the last century and how these zones will be further impacted under continued warming. Results indicate a poleward and eastward expansion of MCRs in the Mediterranean Basin, North America‐California and South America‐Central Chile regions. For parts of Southern Africa and Southern Australia, a retreat of the MCR margins and an expansion of more arid climate zones are projected. These shifts are particularly profound according to high emission and radiative forcing pathways and future scenarios. The warming in MCRs is projected to accelerate (e.g., mean regional warming of up to 5.5°C under a 4°C global warming scenario), and precipitation will decrease by about 5%–10% for every additional degree of global warming. One exception is the California MCR, where rainfall will likely increase. Such changes can challenge water resources, food security and other aspects of human livelihood and ecosystems in these unique geographical zones.

Effects of temperature on the development of Rachiplusia nu (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) and Chrysodeixis includens (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) and implications on population growth in Brazil.

Temperature is an elementary component in mathematical models for predicting the biotic potential of insects. In this study, the objective was to evaluate the impact of different constant temperatures of 8, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, and 32°C on the biological parameters, lower temperature thresholds (TT), and estimating the number of annual generations (NAG) of Rachiplusia nu and Chrysodeixis includens, both pests associated with the soybean crop in Brazil. There was no development of the immature stages of R. nu at 8°C, as was also found for C. includens at 8 and 10°C. However, at 10°C all stages of R. nu developed. In general, temperatures of 20 and 25°C were the most suitable for the development of R. nu and C. includens, providing egg to adult viability of over 60% and the highest total fecundities. However, the temperature of 32°C negatively affected the parameters of the fertility life table. Rachiplusia nu showed the lowest TT (eggs: 4.9°C; larvae: 10.8°C; pupa: 14.1°C; and egg to adult: 8.9°C) when compared with C. includens (eggs: 7.5°C; larvae: 15.3°C; pupa: 16.1°C; and egg to adult: 11.3°C). Based on TT values, the NAG varied from 3.9 in cold regions to 7.5 in warm regions. However, for C. includens, we can infer that the species can reach up to 8.8 generations in warm regions. The results of the present study are important for understanding the occurrence of R. nu and C. includens in field conditions and can help with the implications of management strategies.

CsNAC17 enhances resistance to Colletotrichum gloeosporioides by interacting with CsbHLH62 in Camellia sinensis

Abstract The pathogen Colletotrichum gloeosporioides causes anthracnose, a serious threat to tea trees around the world, particularly in warm and humid regions. RNA-Seq data have previously indicated NAC transcription factors are involved in anthracnose resistance, but underlying mechanisms remain unclear. The BiFC, Split-LUC, and Co-IP assays validated the interaction between CsbHLH62 and CsNAC17 identified through yeast two-hybrid (Y2H) screening. CsNAC17 or CsbHLH62 overexpression enhanced anthracnose resistance, as well as enhanced levels of H2O2, hypersensitivity, and cell death in Nicotiana benthamiana. The NBS-LRR gene CsRPM1 is regulated by CsNAC17 by binding directly to its promoter (i.e., CACG, CATGTG), while CsbHLH62 facilitates CsNAC17’s binding and increases trascriptional activity of CsRPM1. Additionally, transient silencing of CsNAC17 and CsbHLH62 in tea plant leaves using the virus-induced gene silencing (VIGS) system resulted in decreased resistance to anthracnose. Conversely, transient overexpression of CsNAC17 and CsbHLH62 in tea leaves significantly enhanced the resistance against anthracnose. Based on these results, it appears that CsbHLH62 facilitates the activity of CsNAC17 on CsRPM1, contributing to increased anthracnose resistance.

Multi-Annual Study of Eriogaster catax (Linnaeus, 1758) (Lepidoptera, Lasiocampidae) Oviposition Strategy in Transylvania's Largest Population: Key Insights for Species Conservation and Local Land Management.

This study provides new insights into the oviposition strategy of Eriogaster catax (Linnaeus, 1758) (Lepidoptera, Lasiocampidae), an endangered species of moth found in semi-natural habitats within agricultural landscapes. Protected under various European directives and listed as Data Deficient by the IUCN, E. catax inhabits warmer regions of the Western Palearctic. Despite noted geographic variations in its ecological preferences, few studies have statistically significant data on its ecology. Our six-year study, conducted within the largest known population of E. catax. in Romania, reveals critical data on its oviposition preferences, including the species' tendency to utilize Prunus spinosa L. and Crataegus monogyna Jacq. shrubs at an average height of 80.48 ± 34.3 cm, with most nests placed within the 41-80 cm range and containing an average of 186 ± 22 eggs. The study also addresses the species' vulnerability to human activities such as bush trimming, agricultural burning, and uncontrolled grazing, particularly due to its low oviposition height. These findings underscore the negative impact of overgrazing and burning practices, particularly when conducted on a large scale, on the conservation of E. catax. The detailed ecological requirements identified in this study are essential for developing effective conservation strategies and habitat management practices. Furthermore, the study highlights the importance of local community involvement and public education in raising awareness about biodiversity and the conservation of endangered species.

Modelling fields of hydrological cycle characteristics in the Nizhnekamskoye Reservoir watershed of the Volga River basin under climate change

The assessment of trends in averaged over the watershed area hydroclimatic characteristics and changes in the fields of the hydrological cycle components in the XXI century in large river basin of the Nizhnekamskoye reservoir was carried out on the basis of a model approach combining regional space distributed hydrological model and GCMs. It is shown that a slight decrease by 8% is expected in the area-averaged specific runoff by the end of the century according to the RCP8.5 scenario. However, in various parts of the watershed both a slight increase by 3-6% and a significant decrease in the mean annual runoff by 22% can occur, depending on physiographic conditions. Moreover, climatic changes can increase contrasts in the ecological status of the territory: warm regions in the steppe zone become even hotter and more arid, and the moisture availability of wetter territories in the center and east of the basin increases even more.