Warm Deep Water Research Articles

Subsurface floats in the Filchner Trough provide the first direct under-ice tracks of the circulation on shelf

Abstract. Bottom water formation in the Weddell Sea and mass loss from the Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf are tightly linked by the supply of Warm Deep Water to the continental shelf. Heavy sea ice cover and icebergs restrict ship access and upper-ocean measurements by moorings, compelling us to try new sampling methods. We present results from the first dedicated under-sea-ice float experiment tracking circulation on the continental shelf of the eastern Weddell Sea. Seven Apex profiling floats were deployed in 2017 at three different locations on the eastern Weddell Sea continental shelf, targeting the inflowing modified Warm Deep Water (mWDW), as well as the outflowing Ice Shelf Water (ISW). The floats capture a warm mWDW regime with southward inflow over the eastern continental shelf and a cold ISW regime with a recirculation of ISW in the Filchner Trough throughout the 4 years of observations. We provide the first Lagrangian in situ confirmation that the mWDW flowing onto the continental shelf follows two pathways: the eastern flank of the Filchner Trough and a small trough on the shallow shelf farther east. In the present circulation regime, this warm water is blocked from reaching the ice shelf cavity due to the presence of the thick ISW layer inside the Filchner Trough. The floats' trajectories and hydrography reveal the dynamically active front, flow reversal, and eddying motion between these two water masses along the eastern flank of the Filchner Trough.

Revisiting Thorpe scale analysis and diapycnal diffusivities in Drake Passage

Ship heave effects in the swell-prevalent Southern Ocean induce frequent false overturns in density profiles, and conventional Thorpe scale analysis leads to unrealistically large diapycnal diffusivities. Another critical factor causing large positive biases in Thorpe scale analysis concerns the Ozmidov to Thorpe scales ratio α often considered constant and equal to 0.8. A revised Thorpe scale analysis is proposed with an innovative segment-by-segment approach to circumvent heave-induced false overturns together with best-fitting α functions to Diapycnal and Isopycnal Mixing Experiment in the Southern Ocean (DIMES) data, which yields realistic diffusivities in the Drake Passage region. The revised Thorpe scale method applied to a finely-resolved CTD section across the Drake Passage yields typical diffusivities of O (10-5-10-3 m2 s-1), with the largest values being preferentially concentrated close to the bottom at major circumpolar fronts, consistent with nearby DIMES microstructure observations. In the southern Drake Passage the method highlights a middepth (500-1500 m) mixing maximum of 10-4-10-3 m2 s-1 in the Lower Circumpolar Deep Water (LCDW) layer due to large intrusions of Warm Deep Water (a cold/fresh variety of LCDW) of Weddell Gyre origin. The inferred middepth mixing maximum in intrusive regions, which is associated with isopycnal eddy stirring rather than caused by internal waves or double diffusive mixing, supports the short-circuiting paradigm of meridional overturning circulation in the southwestern Scotia Sea region and has important climatic implications in a warming climate.

Storm‐Driven Warm Inflow Toward Ice Shelf Cavities—An Idealized Study of the Southern Weddell Sea Continental Shelf System

AbstractSudden peaks in south‐westward wind strength (storms) have been observed to drive pulses of enhanced southward currents on the continental shelf east of the Filchner Trough. However, the link between wind and southward flow is not persistent, and it is uncertain which conditions favor the wind‐driven pulses that typically bring modified Warm Deep Water southward toward the front of the Filchner Ice Shelf. We run a set of experiments in an idealized numerical model setup and find that storms induce a net southward “warm” (Θ > −1.5°C) volume transport in the trough region throughout the year. This is mainly explained by enhanced barotropic circulation on the shelf. The greatest storm‐driven increase in southward heat transport occurs during summer and fall, with an exceptionally large increase in November and December due to storm‐enhanced circulation on the shelf and seasonally varying heat content availability south of the shelf break. Analysis of ERA5‐data shows that the number of storm days (wind speed >10 m s−1) per year in the region co‐vary with SAM. The positive trend in SAM can hence be expected to further enhance the importance of storm‐driven southward heat transport toward the Filchner Ice Shelf cavity, which may have consequences for the basal melting.

From Bottom‐Water Production to Warm Water Intrusions—The Cenozoic History of Bottom‐Current Evolution Offshore the Denman‐Shackleton Region, East Antarctica

AbstractThe deep glacial trough and hinterland of the Denman Glacier (East Antarctica) makes the area around the Shackleton ice shelf sensitive to ice loss due to warmer deep water intruding onto the continental shelf in the near future. In addition, the configuration of the ocean currents offshore is an important factor in priming the local and regional vulnerability to warm water intrusions. Here, we use reflection seismic data sets from the Bruce Rise offshore the Denman‐Shackleton region to investigate the Cenozoic history of the ocean bottom current configurations offshore and their influence on the Cenozoic sedimentation patterns of the Denman‐Shackleton region. On the Bruce Rise, sediment drift building, and erosional features indicate three distinct ocean current configurations, (a) the production of dense shelf waters in times of a smaller East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS), (b) periods dominated by a strong Antarctic Slope Current (ASC) and (c) periods with a weak ASC. During the early establishment of the EAIS, the Denman‐Shackleton area contributed to the production of Antarctic Bottom Water, a process which stabilizes the regional ice sheet. With a growing icesheet, the ASC strengthened representing an effective barrier between the continental shelf and the warmer water masses of the deeper ocean during most of the times of an extended EAIS. The transition in the paleoceanographic setting from a strong, erosive ASC, toward a weak ASC increases the vulnerability of the Denman‐Shackleton continental shelf to deep water intrusions as we are observing today.

Drivers of growth in strong year classes of the deepwater redfish (Sebastes mentella) population from the Gulf of St. Lawrence derived from otolith increment-based growth chronologies.

The case of the deepwater redfish (Sebastes mentella) in the Gulf of St. Lawrence (GSL) is a compelling example of drastic fluctuations in annual recruitment strength, characteristic of spasmodic stocks. After three decades of low abundance, the emergence of three consecutive strong year classes in 2011-2013 resulted in an unprecedented increase in biomass. In spasmodic stocks such as GSL redfish, strong year classes sustain both the biomass and catch for decades. Therefore, understanding the growth dynamics of these cohorts is essential. In the present study, we reconstructed the annual growth rates of redfish using otolith increment-based annual chronology and investigated the drivers of growth variation in redfish strong year classes of the early 2010s and early 1980s. Stock biomass was identified as the main extrinsic driver of redfish growth, suggesting intense competition for food at high conspecific density. Warming of deep waters in the GSL, where adult redfish settle, positively correlated with individual growth. However, recent warming of the cold intermediate layer showed a negative correlation with redfish growth, likely related to the shrinking of the habitat this water mass provides for various redfish cold-water prey rather than to a direct effect of temperature. Reconstruction of redfish annual growth trajectories from birth to capture emphasized the importance of carryover effects in the growth potential of strong year classes. This work provided an important first outlook of the factors driving growth variation in GSL redfish spasmodic stock and explored midterm consequences of density-dependent pressures on biological parameters of the population.

Toward Parameterizing Eddy-Mediated Transport of Warm Deep Water across the Weddell Sea Continental Slope

Abstract The transport of warm deep water (WDW) onto the Weddell Sea continental shelf is associated with heat flux and strongly contributes to the melting of Antarctic ice shelves. The small radius of deformation at high latitudes makes it difficult to accurately represent the eddy-driven component of onshore WDW transport in coarse-resolution ocean models so that parameterization becomes necessary. The Gent and McWilliams/Redi (GM/Redi) scheme was designed to parameterize mesoscale eddies in the open ocean. Here, it is assessed to what extent the GM/Redi scheme can generate a realistic transport of WDW across the Weddell Sea continental slope. To this end, the eddy parameterization is applied to a coarse-resolution idealized model of the Weddell Sea continental shelf and slope, and its performance is evaluated against a high-resolution reference simulation. With the GM/Redi parameterization applied, the coarse model simulates a shoreward WDW transport with a heat transport that matches the high-resolution reference and both the hydrographic mean fields and the mean slopes of the isopycnals are improved. A successful application of the GM/Redi parameterization is only possible by reducing the GM diffusivity over the continental slope by an order of magnitude compared to the open ocean value to account for the eddy-suppressing effect of the topographic slope. When the influence of topography on the GM diffusivity is neglected, the coarse model with the parameterization either under- or overestimates the shoreward heat flux. These results motivate the incorporation of slope-aware eddy parameterizations into regional and global ocean models. Significance Statement Mesoscale eddies drive warm water across the continental slope and onto the continental shelf of the Weddell Sea, where it melts the adjacent Antarctic ice shelves. This process is not resolved in ocean models employing a coarse horizontal resolution akin to state-of-the-art climate models. This work addresses this issue by modifying and applying a well-established eddy parameterization to this specific case. The parameterization works particularly well when it accounts for the effect of sloping topography, over which eddy transports are weaker. We expect this modification also to be of benefit to regional and global models.

Continued warming of deep waters in the Fram Strait

Abstract. The Fram Strait is the only deep gateway between the Arctic and the rest of the World Ocean, and it is thus a key region to understand how the deep Arctic will evolve. However, studies and data regarding the deep ocean are scarce, making it difficult to understand its role in the climate system. Here, we analyse oceanographic data obtained close to the Fram Strait sill depth of 2500 m by two long-term mooring locations (F11 and HG-FEVI) in the Fram Strait between 2010–2023 to investigate long-term changes in the hydrographic properties. For additional context, we compile hydrographic profile data from the 1980s for the adjacent basins: the Greenland Sea and the Eurasian Basin. At mooring F11 in the western Fram Strait, we find a clear seasonality, with increased Greenland Sea Deep Water (GSDW) presence during summer and increased Eurasian Basin Deep Water (EBDW) presence during winter. Evaluating long-term changes, we find a modest temperature increase of ∼ 0.1 °C for EBDW from the 1980s. For GSDW, south of the Fram Strait, we find a strong temperature increase of ∼ 0.4–0.5 °C for the same period. The different warming rates have led to GSDW becoming warmer than EBDW since ∼ 2017–2018. This means that the Greenland Sea is no longer a heat sink for the Arctic Ocean at depth but is rather a heat source. It is therefore possible that EBDW temperatures will increase faster in the future.

Observations of the Antarctic Slope Current in the Southeastern Weddell Sea: A Bottom‐Enhanced Current and Its Seasonal Variability

AbstractThe Antarctic Slope Front and the associated Antarctic Slope Current dynamically regulate the exchanges of heat across the continental shelf break around Antarctica. Where the front is weak, relatively warm deep waters reach the ice shelf cavities, contributing to basal melting and ultimately affecting sea level rise. Here, we present new 2017–2021 records from two moorings deployed on the upper continental slope (530 and 738 m depth) just upstream of the Filchner Trough in the southeastern Weddell Sea. The structure and seasonal variability of the frontal system in this region, central to the inflow of warm water toward the large Filchner‐Ronne Ice Shelf, is previously undescribed. We use the records to describe the mean state and the seasonal variability of the regional hydrography and the southern part of the Antarctic Slope Current. We find that (a) the current is, contrary to previous assumptions, bottom‐enhanced, (b) the isotherms slope upwards toward the shelf break, and more so for warmer isotherms, and (c) the monthly mean thermocline depth is shallowest in February‐March and deepest in May‐June while (d) the current is strongest in April‐June. On monthly timescales, we show that (e) positive temperature anomalies of the de‐seasoned records are associated with weaker‐than‐average currents. We propose that the upward‐sloping isotherms are linked to the local topography and conservation of potential vorticity. Our results contribute to the understanding of how warm ocean waters propagate southward and potentially affect basal melt rates at the Filchner‐Ronne Ice Shelf.

Subsurface warming in the Antarctica’s Weddell Sea can be avoided by reaching the 2∘C warming target

Recently, seasonal pulses of modified Warm Deep Water have been observed near the Filchner Ice Shelf front in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica. Here, we investigate the temperature evolution of subsurface waters in the Filchner Trough under four future scenarios of carbon dioxide emissions using the climate model AWI-CM. Our model simulates these warm intrusions, suggests more frequent pulses in a warmer climate, and supports the potential for a regime shift from cold to warm Filchner Trough in two high-emission scenarios. The regime shift is governed in particular by decreasing local sea ice formation and a shoaling thermocline. Cavity circulation is not critical in triggering the change. Consequences would include increased ice shelf basal melting, reduced buttressing of fast-flowing ice streams, loss of grounded ice and an acceleration of global sea level rise. According to our simulations, the regime shift can be avoided and the Filchner Trough warming can be restricted to 0.5 ∘C by reaching the 2 ∘C climate goal.

Altered Weddell Sea warm- and dense-water pathways in response to 21st-century climate change

Abstract. The transport of water masses with ocean circulation is a key component of the global climate system. In this context, the Filchner Trough in the southern Weddell Sea is critical, as it is a hotspot for the cross-shelf-break exchange of Dense Shelf Water and Warm Deep Water. We present results from Lagrangian particle tracking experiments in a global-ocean–sea-ice model (FESOM-1.4) which includes ice-shelf cavities and has eddy-permitting resolution on the southern Weddell Sea continental shelf. With backward and forward experiments, we assess changes between a present-day and a future (SSP5-8.5) time slice in the origin of waters reaching the Filchner Ice Shelf front and the fate of waters leaving it. We show that particles reaching the ice-shelf front from the open ocean originate from 173 % greater depths by 2100 (median; 776 m as compared to 284 m for the present day), while waters leaving the cavity towards the open ocean end up at 35 % shallower depths (550 m as compared to 850 m for the present day). Pathways of water leaving the continental shelf increasingly occur in the upper ocean, while the on-shelf flow of waters that might reach the ice-shelf cavity, i.e., at deeper layers, becomes more important by 2100. Simultaneously, median transit times between the Filchner Ice Shelf front and the continental shelf break decrease (increase) by 6 (9.5) months in the backward (forward) experiments. In conclusion, our study demonstrates the sensitivity of regional circulation patterns in the southern Weddell Sea to ongoing climate change, with direct implications for ice-shelf basal melt rates and local ecosystems.

Coastal bathymetry in central Dronning Maud Land controls ice shelf stability

Knowledge of the bathymetry of Antarctica’s margins is crucial for models and interpretations of ice-ocean interactions and their influence on ongoing and future sea level change, but remains patchy where ice shelves and multi-year sea ice block measurements. Here, we present a bathymetric model for the central Dronning Maud Land margin, based on a constrained inversion of airborne gravity data. It shows the cavities beneath the region’s two ice shelves to be much deeper than in existing bathymetric compilations, but to be shielded from Warm Deep Water ingress and basal melting by the presence of shallow bathymetric sills along the continental shelf. Over areas of multi-year sea ice, the model returns bathymetric estimates of similar accuracy to gravity interpolation-based methods over open water. Airborne gravity thus presents an opportunity to bathymetrically map hundreds of thousands of square kilometres of the most inaccessible margins of Antarctica at resolutions adequate for regional and global oceanographic and glaciological modelling and interpretation.

Warming beneath an East Antarctic ice shelf due to increased subpolar westerlies and reduced sea ice

Understanding how climate change influences ocean-driven melting of the Antarctic ice shelves is one of the greatest challenges for projecting future sea level rise. The East Antarctic ice shelf cavities host cold water masses that limit melting, and only a few short-term observational studies exist on what drives warm water intrusions into these cavities. We analyse nine years of continuous oceanographic records from below Fimbulisen and relate them to oceanic and atmospheric forcing. On monthly time scales, warm inflow events are associated with weakened coastal easterlies reducing downwelling in front of the ice shelf. Since 2016, however, we observe sustained warming, with inflowing Warm Deep Water temperatures reaching above 0 °C. This is concurrent with an increase in satellite-derived basal melt rates of 0.62 m yr−1, which nearly doubles the basal mass loss at this relatively cold ice shelf cavity. We find that this transition is linked to a reduction in coastal sea ice cover through an increase in atmosphere–ocean momentum transfer and to a strengthening of remote subpolar westerlies. These results imply that East Antarctic ice shelves may become more exposed to warmer waters with a projected increase of circum-Antarctic westerlies, increasing this region’s relevance for sea level rise projections.

The Weddell Gyre heat budget associated with the Warm Deep Water circulation derived from Argo floats

Abstract. The Weddell Gyre plays an important role in the global climate system by supplying heat to underneath the ice shelves and in the formation of deep and bottom water masses, which have been subject to widespread warming over past decades. In this study, we investigate the re-distribution of heat throughout the Weddell Gyre by diagnosing the terms of the heat conservation equation for a 1000 m thick layer of water encompassing the core of Warm Deep Water. The spatial distributions of the different advective and diffusive terms in terms of heat tendencies are estimated using gridded climatologies of temperature and velocity, obtained from Argo floats in the Weddell Gyre from 2002 to 2016. While the results are somewhat noisy on the grid scale and the representation of the effects of eddy mixing is highly uncertain due to the need to parameterise them by means of turbulent diffusion, the heat budget (i.e. the sum of all terms) closes (within the uncertainty range) when integrated over the open inflow region in the southern limb, whereas the interior circulation cell remains unbalanced. There is an overall balance in the southern limb between the mean horizontal advection and horizontal turbulent diffusion of heat, whereas the vertical terms contribute comparatively little to the heat budget throughout the Weddell Gyre. Heat convergence due to mean horizontal advection balances with divergence due to horizontal turbulent diffusion in the open southern limb of the Weddell Gyre. In contrast, heat divergence due to mean horizontal advection is much weaker than convergence due to horizontal turbulent diffusion in the interior circulation cell of the Weddell Gyre, due to large values in the latter along the northern boundary due to large meridional temperature gradients. Heat is advected into the Weddell Gyre along the southern limb, some of which is turbulently diffused northwards into the interior circulation cell, while some is likely turbulently diffused southwards towards the shelf seas. This suggests that horizontal turbulent diffusion plays a role in transporting heat both towards the gyre interior where upwelling occurs and towards the ice shelves. Horizontal turbulent diffusion is also a mechanism by which heat can be transported into the Weddell Gyre across the open northern boundary. Temporal deviations from the mean terms are not included due to study limitations. In order to appreciate the role of transient eddying processes, a continued effort to increase the spatial and temporal coverage of observations in the eastern Weddell Sea is required.

Variability and Remote Controls of the Warm‐Water Halo and Taylor Cap at Maud Rise

AbstractThe region of Maud Rise, a seamount in the Weddell Sea, is known for the occurrence of irregular polynya openings during the winter months. Hydrographic observations have shown the presence of a warmer water mass below the mixed layer along the seamount's flanks, commonly termed the warm‐water Halo, surrounding a colder region above the rise, the Taylor Cap. Here we use two observational data sets, an eddy‐permitting reanalysis product and regional high‐resolution simulations, to investigate the interannual variability of the Halo and Taylor Cap for the period 2007–2022. Observations include novel hydrographic profiles obtained in the Maud Rise area in January 2022, during the first SO‐CHIC cruise. It is demonstrated that the temperature of deep waters around Maud Rise exhibits strong interannual variability within the Halo and Taylor Cap, occasionally to such an extent that the two features become indistinguishable. A warming of deep waters by as much as 0.8°C is observed in the Taylor Cap during the years preceding the opening of a polynya in 2016 and 2017, starting in 2011. By analyzing regional simulations, we show that most of the observed variability in the Halo is forced remotely by advection of deep waters from the Weddell Gyre into the region surrounding Maud Rise. Our highest‐resolution simulation indicates that mesoscale eddies subsequently transfer the properties of the Halo's deep waters onto the Taylor Cap. The eddies responsible for such transfer originate in an abrupt retroflection along the inner flank of the Halo.

Hydrological Structure and Water Dynamics in the Powell Basin in January–February 2022

In January–February 2022, a CTD/LADCP section across the Powell Basin in the Weddell Sea with hydrochemical observations was carried out in the Antarctic expedition of the R/V “Akademik Mstislav Keldysh”. Transect was located from the Antarctic Peninsula to the South Orkney Islands; thus, it crossed the Weddell Gyre in its northwestern part. As a result, we collected new data about hydrological structure and water dynamics in this area. In this study, we present new results on the data analysis related to the structure of the Weddell Gyre, Antarctic Bottom Water formation, as well as variability of hydrophysical and hydrochemical characteristics of waters in the Powell Basin. Only two of the three currents, Antarctic Coastal Current and Antarctic Slope Front, were identified in the structure of the Weddell Gyre. Velocities of these currents were about 10–15 cm/s. The structure of waters was typical for the Weddell Sea, but a change in the temperature maximum was recorded in the layer of Warm Deep Water.

Stagnant North Atlantic Deep Water Heat Uptake With Reduced Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation During the Last Deglaciation

AbstractAtlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) plays a major role in the climate system by modulating the depth and rate of oceanic heat storage. Some climate simulations suggest that reduced AMOC decreases bottom water ventilation and that the heat absorbed by the ocean starts to mix downwards, warming Atlantic intermediate waters. This has been corroborated for the western North Atlantic by benthic foraminifera geochemical records from periods of reduced AMOC during the last deglaciation. However, the deep‐water response remains poorly constrained, and the lack of direct paleotemperature reconstructions limits our understanding about the effects of reduced circulation on ocean heat uptake. We present a new reconstruction of bottom water temperatures from core GeoB9508‐5 (2,384 m water depth, 15°29.90°N/17°56.88°W) off the northwestern African Margin. Our paleotemperature record, based on Uvigerina spp. Mg/Ca, shows two episodes of intense transient deep water warming in times of decreasing overturning circulation, followed by long periods of heat uptake stagnation. First, during AMOC slowdown in the Heinrich stadial 1, when paleotemperatures of ∼2°C persisted for ∼5.4 Kyr coincident with the weakest stage of AMOC; and second in the Younger Dryas, when bottom water temperatures >4°C lasted ∼2.5 Kyr during a less intense AMOC decline. This suggests a stagnation of deep‐water heat uptake in the deep NE Atlantic possibly linked to a reduced downward advection of heat during times of a reduced AMOC, supporting the hypothesis that AMOC strength sets the depth of oceanic heat storage in the North Atlantic.

Sudden, local temperature increase above the continental slope in the southern Weddell Sea, Antarctica

Abstract. Around most of Antarctica, the Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) shows a warming trend. At the same time, the thermocline is shoaling, thereby increasing the potential for CDW to enter the shallow continental shelves and ultimately increase basal melt in the ice shelf cavities that line the coast. Similar trends, on the order of 0.05 ∘C and 3 m per decade, have been observed in the Warm Deep Water (WDW), the slightly cooled CDW derivative found at depth in the Weddell Sea. Here, we report on a sudden, local increase in the temperature maximum of the WDW above the continental slope north of the Filchner Trough (74∘ S, 25–40∘ W), a region identified as a hotspot for both Antarctic Bottom Water formation (AABW) and potential changes in the flow of WDW towards the large Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf. New conductivity–temperature–depth profiles, obtained in summer 2021, and recent (2017–2021) mooring records show that the temperature of the warm-water core increased by about 0.1 ∘C over the upper part of the slope (700–2750 m depth) compared with historical (1973–2018) measurements. The temperature increase occurred relatively suddenly in late 2019 and was accompanied by an unprecedented (in observations) freshening of the overlying winter water. The AABW descending down the continental slope from Filchner Trough is sourced by dense ice shelf water and consists to a large degree (60 %) of entrained WDW. The observed temperature increase can hence be expected to imprint directly on deep-water properties, increasing the temperature of newly produced bottom water (by up to 0.06 ∘C) and reducing its density.

Wind-driven upwelling of iron sustains dense blooms and food webs in the eastern Weddell Gyre

The Southern Ocean is a major sink of anthropogenic CO2 and an important foraging area for top trophic level consumers. However, iron limitation sets an upper limit to primary productivity. Here we report on a considerably dense late summer phytoplankton bloom spanning 9000 km2 in the open ocean of the eastern Weddell Gyre. Over its 2.5 months duration, the bloom accumulated up to 20 g C m−2 of organic matter, which is unusually high for Southern Ocean open waters. We show that, over 1997–2019, this open ocean bloom was likely driven by anomalies in easterly winds that push sea ice southwards and favor the upwelling of Warm Deep Water enriched in hydrothermal iron and, possibly, other iron sources. This recurring open ocean bloom likely facilitates enhanced carbon export and sustains high standing stocks of Antarctic krill, supporting feeding hot spots for marine birds and baleen whales.

Antarctica Slope Front bifurcation eddy: A stationary feature influencing CO2 dynamics in the northern Antarctic Peninsula

The Southern Ocean is a key region for analyzing environmental drivers that regulate sea-air CO2 exchanges. These CO2 fluxes are influenced by several mesoscale structures, such as meanders, eddies and other mechanisms responsible for energy dissipation. Aiming to better understand sea-air CO2 dynamics in the northern Antarctica Peninsula, we investigated an anticyclonic stationary eddy located south of Clarence Island, in the eastern basin of Bransfield Strait – named the Antarctica Slope Front bifurcation (ASFb) eddy. Physical, chemical and biological data were sampled, and remote sensing measurements taken, in the region during late summer conditions in February 2020. The eddy’s core consisted of cold (0.31 °C), salty (34.38) and carbon-rich (2247 μmol kg−1) waters with dissolved oxygen depletion (337 μmol kg−1). The core retains a mixture of local surface waters with waters derived from Circumpolar Deep Water (i.e., Warm Deep Water from the Weddell Sea and modified Circumpolar Deep Water from the Bransfield Strait) and Dense Shelf Water. The ASFb eddy acts as a CO2 outgassing structure that reaches a CO2 emission to the atmosphere of ∼1.5 mmol m−2 d–1 in the eddy’s core, mostly due to enhanced dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC). The results suggest that surface variation in DIC in the eddy’s core is modulated by (i) the entrainment of CO2-rich intermediate waters at ∼500 m, (ii) low primary productivity, associated with small phytoplankton cells such as cryptophytes and green flagellates, and (iii) respiration processes caused by heterotrophic organisms (i.e., zooplankton community). By providing a comprehensive view of these physical and biogeochemical properties of this stationary eddy, our results are key to adding new insights to a better understanding of the behavior of mesoscale features influencing sea-air CO2 exchanges in polar environments.

Antarctic Sea Ice Holds the Fate of Antarctic Ice-Shelf Basal Melting in a Warming Climate

Abstract Changes in the Antarctic ice sheet play a critical role in the Southern Ocean and global climates. Although many studies have pointed out that enhanced ocean heat delivery onto the Antarctic continental shelf regions can cause significant changes in Antarctic ice-shelf basal melting, the associated physical mechanisms require further research. Here, we perform numerical experiments using an ocean–sea ice model with an ice-shelf component to simulate future projections in Antarctic ice-shelf basal melting in a warming climate, focusing on the driving mechanism and the physical linkages with the seasonal Antarctic sea ice fields and coastal water masses. The model projects a distinct superlinear response of ice-shelf basal melting to future atmospheric warming, demonstrating that future projections of the Antarctic and Southern Ocean climate bifurcate with the level of global warming. Detailed examinations of sea ice and water masses show that in an extreme warming scenario, a combination of enhanced intrusions of warm deep water and warm summertime surface water can cause the nonlinear response of Antarctic ice-shelf basal melting. A large reduction in Antarctic coastal sea ice and the associated ocean freshening by decreasing coastal sea ice production in winter provide favorable conditions for summertime warm surface water formation and warm deep water intrusions onto some continental shelves. The model results demonstrate that disappearing summertime sea ice along the Antarctic coastal margins in a warming climate heralds the nonlinear increase in Antarctic ice-shelf basal melting, presumably contributing to the negative mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet and the sea level rise.