CONTEXTSummer crops are exposed to heat and drought stresses at critical stages during and after flowering, and their intensity and frequency are likely to increase with climate change. Agronomic stress avoidance offers the opportunity to temporally separate critical crop stages from heat and drought events. However, it might require sowing cold-sensitive summer crops earlier into colder than recommended soil temperatures. There is a need to understand how cold is too cold to sow summer crops early in late winter as well as what are the yield benefits and risks. OBJECTIVEHere, we quantify the likely benefits and trade-offs of sowing sorghum, a summer cereal, earlier to adapt to the increased frequency and intensity of heat and water stresses during flowering and grain filling. METHODSTwo years of multi-environment (n=32) genotype by management trials were conducted across the main sorghum growing regions of Australia. Environments (E) consisted of the combination of years, sites, three times of sowing (early, spring, and summer), and the use of supplementary irrigation. At each E a factorial combination of four plant populations (M) and eight commercial sorghum hybrids (G) were sown with three replications. Crop growth and yield components were measured, and the APSIM model was used to simulate all trials and treatments to quantify risks and derive insights into functional relationships between simulated and measured environmental covariates, and measured crop traits. RESULTSThe tested hybrids showed small differences in cold tolerance during crop establishment. Across the tested environments, the G×M combinations produced up to 60% variation in treatment yields across environment yields, which varied between <0.5 to about 10t ha-1; this translated into a ~5.5-fold variation in water use efficiency. Significant G×E and M×E interactions were observed for grain yield components. No G×M or G×E×M interactions were observed on yield or yield components. Early sowing was associated with a reduced risk of heat stress and water use transfer from vegetative to reproductive stages. Early sowing in late winter or early spring resulted in no significant yield gain or loss when all sites and years were included in the analysis. However, early sowing yielded between 1-2 t ha-1 more when the hottest sites and years were considered separately. This resulted from both the avoidance of heat stresses and milder or no terminal drought stresses. CONCLUSIONSEarly sowing of sorghum can reduce the likelihood of heat stresses around flowering as well as the likelihood of terminal drought stresses. Advantages include reduced yield losses in the hottest years and a transfer of water use to grain filling stages, resulting in increased grain yield and improved grain quality parameters. IMPLICATIONSEarly sowing, an agronomic adaptation, offers the opportunity to quickly adapt to the increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme hot events during critical crop stages. However, for the practice to be de-risked, there is a need to increase cold and chilling tolerance in sorghum and/or identify interventions that enhance seed germination and seedling vigour when the crop is sown early into cold soils.