Background: From previous studies, evaluation of post-anastomosis draining-vein volume flow rate with Doppler ultrasound can be a predictor for arteriovenous fistula maturation. Due to the high variation in measurements by the effect of probe pressure in draining vein, measuring volume flow rate based on post-anastomosis feeding-artery may be an early alternative predictor of arteriovenous fistula maturation. This study aims to investigate the correlation of post-creation brachial artery volume flow rate on maturity of brachiocephalic arteriovenous fistula access in patients with end-stage kidney disease with diabetes mellitus. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on end-stage kidney disease patients with diabetes mellitus who underwent brachiocephalic arteriovenous fistula creation at three hospitals from July 2019 to March 2020. Doppler ultrasound examination of the brachial artery and draining vein volume flow rate was conducted at pre-operative, post-creation, 2 weeks, and 6 weeks post-creation. Maturity was evaluated at 6 weeks post-anastomosis. Results: A total of 71 subjects met the inclusion and exclusion criteria, with 44 (62%) achieving maturation within 6 weeks. There was a correlation between post-anastomosis brachial artery (p < 0.001) and draining vein volume flow rate (p < 0.001) with arteriovenous fistula maturity after 6 weeks post-operatively. Brachial artery volume flow rate of ⩾350 mL/min can predict AVF maturity with a sensitivity of 95.45% (95% confidence interval = 84.86–98.74) and a specificity of 85.19% (95% confidence interval = 67.52–94.08). Conclusion: Post-anastomosis brachial artery flow volume can be a valuable parameter to predict brachiocephalic arteriovenous fistula maturity. It is a potential alternative to draining vein volume flow, which is technically a difficult examination.
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