The objective of this study was to determine factors that influence time to removal of tunneled hemodialysis catheter (THC), probability of repeated vascular access creation, and time to repeated vascular access. The Optum (Eden Prairie, Minn) Clinformatics database, which contains claims from a large managed care organization, from 2011 to 2016 was queried for patients who initiated hemodialysis with a THC. Time from initial arteriovenous fistula (AVF) or arteriovenous graft (AVG) to THC removal and time to repeated AVF or AVG were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards. Multivariate models included age, sex, race, diabetes, cardiac arrhythmia, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, and obesity as covariates. There were 8355 vascular accesses that met the inclusion criteria 6648 (77%) AVFs and 1940 (23%) AVGs. Median follow-up was 424 days (range, 1-2097 days). Patients undergoing AVF were younger and more likely to be male and white (Table). At 90 days, 20.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 19.3%-20.3%) of AVFs vs 56% (95% CI, 53.7%-58.4%) of AVGs had the THC removed. At 180 days, 56.7% (95% CI, 55.4%-58.1%) of AVFs vs 68.4% (95% CI, 66.1%-70.6%) of AVGs had the THC removed. By day 315, 74% of patients with both AVFs and AVGs had the THC removed. Multivariate analysis demonstrated a significant interaction between vascular access type and age ≥70 years (P < .001). In the age group <70 years, patients who underwent AVG had a THC removal rate 46% higher than that of patients who underwent AVF. In the age group ≥70 years, patients who underwent AVG had a THC removal rate 88% higher than that of patients who underwent AVF. There were 1982 (23.7%) patients who underwent a second vascular access. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that AVG vs AVF (odds ratio, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.81) and age ≥70 years vs <70 years (odds ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.78-0.98) were associated with a lower odds of second access. In patients who underwent a second access, multivariate analysis demonstrated that initial AVG was associated with longer time to second access (hazard ratio, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.54-0.68). Creation of AVG vs AVF significantly decreased the time to THC removal in dialysis-dependent patients, with a larger difference in patients aged ≥70 years vs <70 years. Initial AVG was associated with lower odds of second access and longer time to second access in those who underwent second access. These results contradict the dictum of “fistula first” and support the judicious use of AVG in achieving the more recent shift toward “catheter last.”TableDemographics by access typeFistula (n = 6486), No. (%)Graft (n = 1869), No. (%)P valueAge, years mean (SD)66.2 (13)69 (12)<.001Age ≥70 years2979 (46)1028 (55)<.001Male3920 (60)811 (44)<.001Race<.001 Asian216 (3)51 (3) Black1586 (24)677 (36) Hispanic859 (13)192 (10) White3663 (56)915 (49) Unknown168 (3)28 (1)Diabetes5257 (81)1565 (84).001Cardiac arrhythmia4688 (72)1400 (75).13Congestive heart failure5021 (77)1480 (79).073Peripheral vascular disease4406 (68)1322 (71).011Obesity2596 (40)694 (37).03SD, Standard deviation. Open table in a new tab
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