Variable Wind Research Articles

Contrasting impact of single-year and multi-year El Niño on the Pacific–North American teleconnection pattern

Abstract Distinct Pacific-North American (PNA) teleconnection patterns and their associated climate impacts in North America have been observed during single-year El Niño events, as well as during both the first and second years of multi-year El Niño events. The research highlights the critical role of PNA-related North Pacific circulation anomalies, which shift northwestward during multi-year events and reach their peak intensity in the second year. Multiple dynamical diagnostic methods are employed to elucidate the reasons behind the diverse subtropical circulation responses. Differences in the anomalous tropical heat sources influence the formation of Rossby wave sources through adjustments in divergent wind anomalies, subsequently modulating the position and intensity of the PNA patterns. Additionally, variations in the meridional range of sea surface temperature anomalies affect the edge of tropospheric temperature through moist-adiabatic adjustment, leading to distinct subtropical jet stream responses. This, in turn, modifies the position of North Pacific circulation anomalies through the advection of anomalous kinetic energy. Furthermore, synoptic-scale transient eddies act as a feedback mechanism, helping to maintain and intensify these diverse atmospheric anomalies.

SuperDARN Radar Wind Observations of Eastward-Propagating Planetary Waves

An array of SuperDARN meteor radars at northern high latitudes was used to investigate the sources and characteristics of eastward-propagating planetary waves (EPWs) at 95 km, with a focus on wintertime. The nine radars provided the daily mean meridional winds and their anomalies over 180 degrees of longitude, and these anomalies were separated into eastward and westward waves using a fast Fourier transform (FFT) method to extract the planetary wave components of zonal wavenumbers 1 and 2. Years when a sudden stratospheric warming event with an elevated stratopause (ES-SSW) occurred during the winter were contrasted with years without such events and composited through superposed epoch analysis. The results show that EPWs are a ubiquitous—and unexpected—feature of meridional wind variability near 95 km. Present even in non-ES-SSW years, they display a regular annual cycle peaking in January or February, depending on the zonal wavenumber. In years when an ES-SSW occurred, the EPWs were highly variable but enhanced before and after the onset.

Influence of Model Resolution on Wind Energy Simulations over Tibetan Plateau Using CMIP6 HighResMIP

The assessment of wind energy resources is critical for the transition from fossil fuel to renewable energy sources. Using the outputs from high-resolution global climate models (GCMs), such as the High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), has become one of the most important tools in wind energy research. This study evaluated the reliability of the 22 GCMs available in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA project by simulating the wind energy climatology and variability over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) with reference to observations and investigated the differences in performance of the GCMs between high-resolution (HR) and low-resolution (LR) simulations. The results show that most models performed relatively well in simulating the probability distribution of the observed wind speed over the TP, but nearly half of the models generally underestimated the wind speed, whereas the others tended to overestimated the wind speed. Compared with the wind speed, the GCMs showed larger biases in reproducing the wind power density (WPD) and other wind energy resources, whereas the biases in multi-model ensembles were relatively smaller than those in most individual models. With respect to interannual variability, both the HR and LR models failed to capture interannual variations in WPD over the TP. Furthermore, more than half of the HR GCMs had a reduced bias relative to the corresponding LR GCMs, indicating the good performance of most HR models in simulating wind energy resources over the TP in terms of spatial pattern and temporal variability. However, the overall performance of HR GCMs varied among models, which suggests that solely improving the horizontal resolution is not sufficient to completely solve the uncertainties and deficiencies in the simulation of wind energy over complex terrain.

Data-Centric Predictive Control with Tuna Swarm Optimization-Backpropagation Neural Networks for Enhanced Wind Turbine Performance

Wind energy is a significant renewable resource, but its efficient harnessing requires advanced control systems. This study presents a Data-Centric Predictive Control (DPC) system, enhanced by a Tuna Swarm Optimization-Backpropagation Neural Network (TSO-BPNN) for predictive wind turbine control. It's like a smart tool that uses innovative fusion of deep learning, predictive Control, and reinforcement learning. Unlike traditional control methods, the proposed approach uses real-time data to optimize turbine performance in response to fluctuating wind conditions.The system is validated using simulations on the FAST platform, which demonstrate its superior performance in two critical operational regions. Specifically, in Region II, where the objective is to maximize power extraction from the wind, the DPC achieves a 1.07% reduction in overshoot and an improvement of 36.14 units in steady-state error compared to traditional methods. The response time remains comparable to existing Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategies, ensuring real-time applicability without sacrificing efficiency. In Region III, where maintaining constant power output is crucial, the DPC outperforms both the baseline and MPC methods, reducing overshoot by 0.58% and improving accuracy by 17.27 units compared to the baseline method. These results highlight the effectiveness of the proposed DPC system in optimizing turbine performance under variable wind conditions, offering a significant improvement over traditional methods in both accuracy and control precision.

Performance Evaluation of Small Wind Turbines Under Variable Winds of Cities: Case Study Applied to an Ayanz Wind Turbine with Screw Blades

Small wind turbines placed at city locations are affected by variable-speed winds that frequently change direction. Architectural constructions, buildings of different heights and abrupt orography of Cities make the winds that occur at City locations more variable than in flat lands or at sea. However, the performance of Small-wind turbines under this type of variable wind has not been deeply studied in the specialised literature. Therefore, this article analyses the behaviour of small wind turbines under variable and gusty winds of cities, also considering three types of power electronics conversion configurations: the generally used Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) configuration, the simple only-rectifier configuration and an intermediate configuration in terms of complexity called pseudo-MPPT. This general-purpose analysis is applied to a specific type of wind turbine, i.e., the Ayanz wind turbine with screw blades, which presents adequate characteristics for city locations such as; safety, reduced visual and acoustic impacts and bird casualties avoidance. Thus, a wide simulation and experimental tests-based analysis are carried out, identifying the main factors affecting the maximisation of energy production of small wind turbines in general and the Ayanz turbine in particular. It is concluded that the mechanical inertia of the wind turbine, often not even considered in the energy production analysis, is a key factor that can produce decrements of up to 25% in energy production. Then, it was also found that electric factors related to the power electronics conversion system can strongly influence energy production. Thus, it is found that an adequate design of a simple pseudo-MPPT power conversion system could extract even 5% more energy than more complex MPPT configurations, especially in quickly varying winds of cities.

A Rare Tropical Cyclone Associated With Southwest Monsoon Over the Northern Part of the South China Sea—Tropical Storm Maliksi

AbstractThis study examines the characteristics and development of Tropical Storm Maliksi, which is a special case of tropical cyclone developed in the northwestern part of the South China Sea during a southwest monsoon outbreak. Detailed analyses were conducted using observational data and forecast products. Surface observations, radar wind profilers, aircraft data, and satellite products were used to evaluate Maliksi's wind structure, revealing multiple circulation centers and gale force winds. Vertical wind profiles, warm core structure, wind waves, and the influence of sea temperatures and salinity on Maliksi's intensification were investigated. Regarding forecasting, AI‐based models outperformed conventional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models in predicting Maliksi's initial development, though both struggled to capture the persistence of strong winds as the system moved inland. High‐resolution NWP simulations were employed to examine terrain‐induced wind variability around Hong Kong International Airport, revealing the mountain wake effect and uneven wind and turbulence distribution. These findings provide insights into the challenges of forecasting and monitoring such tropical cyclones, and highlight the need for enhanced observational platforms and forecasting tools along coastlines vulnerable to these systems.

Adaptive robust self‐scheduling for a wind‐based GenCo equipped with power‐to‐gas system and gas turbine to participate in electricity and natural gas markets

AbstractIntegrating renewable energy, particularly wind generation, into power systems brings significant uncertainty and intermittency, challenging generation companies (GenCos) to maintain economic operations. This paper proposes a strategy for a wind‐based GenCo equipped with a gas turbine and a power‐to‐gas (PtG) system to balance wind variability. The gas turbine offsets power shortfalls by consuming natural gas, while the PtG system absorbs excess wind energy, converting it to natural gas and injecting it into the natural gas network as a form of storage. The GenCo operates in day‐ahead electricity and natural gas markets and the real‐time electricity market, addressing uncertainties from wind output, energy prices, and natural gas access. A tri‐level adaptive robust optimization model is introduced for the GenCo’s short‐term operational scheduling. At the first level, decisions related to the GenCo's participation in the day‐ahead electricity and natural gas markets are made. The second level deals with determining the worst‐case realization of the uncertainties, constrained by the budget of uncertainty and the limited range of variations of uncertain variables. The third level sets the operational strategy on the actual day, considering power and gas balance, as well as constraints for the wind farm, gas turbine, and PtG unit. A column & constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm is used to solve the model. Numerical results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in various case studies, showing that the GenCo can manage wind uncertainties, benefit from arbitrage opportunities in electricity and gas markets, and improve economic outcomes. This approach supports the broader integration of renewable energy into power systems.

FLOWERS AEP: An Analytical Model for Wind Farm Layout Optimization

ABSTRACTAnnual energy production (AEP) is commonly used in objective functions for wind farm layout optimization. AEP is proportional to wind farm power production integrated over an annual distribution of free‐stream wind conditions. Physics‐based estimates of wind farm power production typically rely on low‐fidelity engineering wake models that approximate the steady‐state wind farm flow field. AEP estimates are then obtained by performing independent simulations for discrete wind conditions and using rectangular quadrature to account for each condition's expected frequency of occurrence. Depending on the number of simulated discrete wind conditions, this numerical integral could be hampered by poor accuracy or high computational costs. The FLOWERS AEP model instead poses an analytical integral of the engineering wake model over the variable wind conditions, yielding a closed‐form, analytical function for wind farm AEP. This paper derives the analytical functions for FLOWERS AEP and its derivatives with respect to turbine position, which are useful for gradient‐based wind farm layout optimization, in nondimensional form. We then analyze the benefits of the FLOWERS AEP model over conventional reference models, focusing on its low cost, adequate wake loss predictions, and smooth design space. Although the FLOWERS approach is found to predict the exact value of AEP with some error relative to the reference model (within 14% on average), it dramatically reduces computation time by an order of magnitude, produces a qualitatively similar design space at relatively low resolution, and yields comparable optimal layouts. This significant speed improvement is critical in layout optimization applications, where determining an optimal layout in an efficient manner is more important than precise AEP prediction.

Application of an Optimal Fractional-Order Controller for a Standalone (Wind/Photovoltaic) Microgrid Utilizing Hybrid Storage (Battery/Ultracapacitor) System

Nowadays, standalone microgrids that make use of renewable energy sources have gained great interest. They provide a viable solution for rural electrification and decrease the burden on the utility grid. However, because standalone microgrids are nonlinear and time-varying, controlling and managing their energy can be difficult. A fractional-order proportional integral (FOPI) controller was proposed in this study to enhance a standalone microgrid’s energy management and performance. An ultra-capacitor (UC) and a battery, called a hybrid energy storage scheme, were employed as the microgrid’s energy storage system. The microgrid was primarily powered by solar and wind power. To achieve optimal performance, the FOPI’s parameters were ideally generated using the gorilla troop optimization (GTO) technique. The FOPI controller’s performance was contrasted with a conventional PI controller in terms of variations in load power, wind speed, and solar insolation. The microgrid was modeled and simulated using MATLAB/Simulink software R2023a 23.1. The results indicate that, in comparison to the traditional PI controller, the proposed FOPI controller significantly improved the microgrid’s transient performance. The load voltage and frequency were maintained constant against the least amount of disturbance despite variations in wind speed, photovoltaic intensity, and load power. In contrast, the storage battery precisely stores and releases energy to counteract variations in wind and photovoltaic power. The outcomes validate that in the presence of the UC, the microgrid performance is improved. However, the improvement is very close to that gained when using the proposed controller without UC. Hence, the proposed controller can reduce the cost, weight, and space of the system. Moreover, a Hardware-in-the-Loop (HIL) emulator was implemented using a C2000™ microcontroller LaunchPad™ TMS320F28379D kit (Texas Instruments, Dallas, TX, USA) to evaluate the proposed system and validate the simulation results.

A new integrated modelling and control of ternary pumped storage hydro power generation for small signal stability studies

Pumped storage hydro power generation (PSHPG), a reliable renewable energy source with an energy storage feature, can impart efficient damping torque to power system oscillations to improve small signal stability with appropriate modelling and additional compensation through the governor. But ternary PSHPG (T-PSHPG) has the unique feature of hydraulic short circuit (HSC) mode, where both pumping and generating modes operate simultaneously. This study presents a novel fourth-order modified Heffron Phillips (MHP) model of T-PSHPG in coordination with a multi-band Power system stabilizer (MB-PSS) employing 2-way penstock, where primary penstock circulates water from the upper reservoir to the lower reservoir through the turbine and secondary penstock divides primary penstock, thereby creating short-circuit path through the pump. Also, this model includes additional reactive power droop control to maintain the voltage profile. A new state space matrix has been developed for coordinating T-PSHPG in HSC mode with MB-PSS. The control parameters of the proposed coordinated model are set by a new multi-objective differential evolution-improved particle swam optimization (DE-IPSO) algorithm. With variable load, random solar and wind source penetrations, it has been found that the proposed model can provide adequate damping actions. The sensitivity of the proposed model has been observed by varying critical model parameters by ±50 %. For all conditions, the settling time of speed variation is within 2.672 s to 5.951 s and the minimum damping ratio lies within 0.105 to 0.455. The minimum damping ratio is 0.32 and the settling time is found to be 3.1 s for system response subject to sudden solar power variation, which has been observed by shifting system eigenvalues toward the left half of the complex plane. Time and frequency domain parameters with sensitivity analysis predict system oscillations being damped effectively with consistency for the proposed modelling and control strategy. The results are verified in real-time with OPAL-RT real-time digital simulator. It has been justified by the present study that appropriate modelling of T-PSHPG along with coordinated control action provided by MB-PSS can handle critical power system oscillations efficiently and effective damping torque can be imparted in HSC mode.

Optimization of the Small Wind Turbine Design—Performance Analysis

In recent decades, the intensive development of renewable energy technology has been observed as a great alternative to conventional energy sources. Solutions aimed at individual customers, which can be used directly in places where electricity is required, are of particular interest. Small wind turbines pose a special challenge because their design must be adapted to environmental conditions, including low wind speed or variability in its direction. The research study presented in this paper considers the energy efficiency of a small wind turbine with a horizontal axis of rotation. Three key design parameters were analyzed: the shape and inclination of the turbine blades and additional confusor–diffuser shape casings. The tests were carried out for three conceptual variants: a confusor before the turbine, a diffuser after the turbine, and a confusor–diffuser combination. Studies have shown that changing the shape of the blade can increase the analyzed wind turbine power by up to 35%, while changing the blade inclination can cause an increase of up to 16% compared to the initial installation position and a 66% increase in power when comparing the extreme inclination of the blades of the tested turbine. The study has shown that to increase the wind speed, the best solution is to use a confusor–diffuser configuration, which, with increased length, can increase the air velocity by up to 21%.

High-Resolution Wind Speed Estimates for the Eastern Mediterranean Basin: A Statistical Comparison Against Coastal Meteorological Observations

Wind speed (and direction) estimated from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models is essential to wind energy applications, especially in the absence of reliable fine scale spatio-temporal wind information. This study evaluates four high-resolution wind speed numerical datasets (UERRA MESCAN-SURFEX, CERRA, COSMO-REA6, and NEWA) against in situ observations from coastal meteorological stations in the eastern Mediterranean basin. The evaluation is based on statistical comparisons of long-term wind speed data from 2009 to 2018 and involves an in-depth statistical comparison as well as a preliminary wind power density assessment at or near the meteorological station locations. The results show that while all datasets provide valuable insights into regional wind variability, there are notable differences in model performance. COSMO-REA6 and UERRA exhibit higher variability in wind speed but tend to underestimate extreme values, particularly in the southern coastal areas, whereas CERRA and NEWA provided closer fits to observed wind speeds, with CERRA showing the highest correlation at most stations. NEWA data, where available, overestimate average wind speeds but capture extreme values well. The comparison reveals that while all datasets provide valuable insights into the spatial and temporal variability of wind resources, their performance varies by location and season, emphasizing the need for the careful selection and potential calibration of these models for accurate wind energy assessments. The study provides essential groundwork for leveraging these datasets in planning and optimizing offshore wind energy projects, contributing to the region’s transition to renewable energy sources.

Nonlinear integral backstepping control based on particle swarm optimization for a grid-connected variable wind energy conversion system during voltage dips

Double-fed induction generator (DFIG) wind turbines connected to the grid are particularly subject to grid problems such as voltage dips. Because of this, it might be challenging to maintain system stability and prevent system disconnections when using a Proportional-Integral (PI) Controller to operate this system. This paper applies the Integral Backstepping Control for the wind power plant system connected to the power grid. The Integral Backstepping is a nonlinear and recursive method that employs the Lyapunov theory to ensure the system's stability. The best selection of gain values for the Lyapunov function guarantees improved system control. These gains are frequently adjusted using the trial-and-error strategy, which is time-consuming and inefficient. This technique becomes more complex when many parameters need to be determined. It also limits the system's performance and restricts this nonlinear approach's advantages. The objective is to apply the particle swarm optimization for computing several constant values of the nonlinear approach by minimizing an integral absolute error criterion index. The weighted sum of errors is employed to solve the multiple objective problems. The proposed controller tracks the maximum power point, maintains the voltage of the DC-Link constant, and controls active and reactive power. The robustness of this method is verified in critical conditions, including system parameter variation and asymmetrical and symmetrical grid faults. The simulation findings highlight the effectiveness and robustness of the combination of Integral Backstepping with Particle Swarm Optimization in terms of reducing response time from 10.6 (ms) to 2 (ms), canceling static error, and improving overshoot compared to the vector control based on PI regulator. Besides, the DC-Link voltage ripples during the asymmetrical grid faults are reduced to ±1 (V) using the suggested controller. The latter can be implemented thanks to advancements in Central Processor Unit technology.

Low cloud-SST variability over the summertime subtropical Northeast Pacific: Role of extratropical atmospheric modes

Abstract Over the subtropical Northeast Pacific (NEP), highly reflective low clouds interact with underlying sea-surface temperature (SST) to constitute a local positive feedback. Recent modeling studies showed that, together with wind-evaporation-SST (WES) feedback, the summertime low cloud-SST feedback promotes nonlocal trade wind variations, modulating subsequent evolution of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study aims to identify drivers of summertime low-cloud variations, using satellite observations and global atmosphere model simulations forced with observed SST. A trans-basin teleconnection is identified, where the North Tropical Atlantic (NTA) warming induced by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) increases precipitation, exciting warm Rossby waves that extend into the NEP. The resultant enhancement of static stability promotes summertime low cloud-SST variability. By regressing out the effects of the preceding ENSO and NTA SST, atmospheric internal variability over the extratropical North Pacific, including the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO), is found to drive the NEP cooling by latent heat loss and subsequent summer low cloud-SST variability. With the help of the background trade winds and WES feedback, the SST anomalies extend southwestward from the low-cloud region, accompanied by ENSO in the following winter. This suggests the nonlocal effects of low clouds identified by recent studies. Analysis of a 500-year climate model simulation corroborates the NTA and NPO forcing of NEP low cloud-SST variability and subsequent ENSO.

The Problem of Power Variations in Wind Turbines Operating under Variable Wind Speeds over Time and the Need for Wind Energy Storage Systems

One of the most important and efficient sources of green electricity is catching air currents through wind turbine technology. Wind power plants are located in areas where the energy potential of the wind is high but it varies. The time variation of the wind generates fluctuations in the power produced by the wind farms that is injected into the grid. This elevates, depending on the intensity, problems of network stability and the need for balancing energy, thus raising both technical and cost issues. The present paper analyzes the behavior of a wind turbine (WT) over time in varying wind speed conditions, highlighting that without automation algorithms, a WT is far from the operation at the maximum power point (MPP). However, even when it is brought to operate at MPP, there are still significant variations in the power injected into the network. These power variations can be compensated if the wind system has energy storage facilities for the captured wind. All of these assumptions are analyzed using improved mathematical models and processed in simulations, with experimental data used as input from a wind turbine with an installed power of 2.5 [MW] in operation on the Romanian Black Sea coastal area. Consequently, the paper demonstrates that during an operation in the optimal area, from an energy perspective, the wind turbine’s maximum power point requires a storage system for the captured wind energy.

RNN-based linear parameter varying adaptive model predictive control for autonomous driving

Autonomous driving is a complex and highly dynamic process that ensures controlling the coupled longitudinal and lateral vehicle dynamics. Model predictive control, distinguished by its predictive feature, optimal performance, and ability to handle constraints, makes it one of the most promising tools for this type of control application. The content of this article handles the problem of autonomous driving by proposing an adaptive linear parameter varying model predictive controller (LPV-MPC), where the controller's prediction model is adaptive by means of a recurrent neural network. The proposed LPV-MPC is further optimised by a hybrid Genetic and Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm (GA-PSO). The developed controller is tested and evaluated on a challenging track under variable wind disturbance.

Addressing VAWT Aerodynamic Challenges as the Key to Unlocking Their Potential in the Wind Energy Sector

While the wind turbine industry has been primarily dominated by horizontal-axis wind turbines, the forefront of knowledge of these turbines has revealed significant challenges in various aspects, including manufacturing, structural design, cost, and maintenance. On the other hand, the advantages associated with Darrieus vertical-axis wind turbines (VAWTs) demonstrate significant potential that can address the existing challenges of the wind turbine industry. Current work aims to investigate the practicality of this potential for the wind energy sector. To this end, the benefits of employing Darrieus turbines for domestic and industrial applications, isolated operation, and on/offshore windfarm applications have been explored. It is apparent that Darrieus VAWTs are better suited to a wide range of environments, whether they are deployed in isolation or integrated systems, and whether they are utilized on a small or large scale. Darrieus VAWTs are adaptable to urban unsteady variable wind, are less expensive on large scales, provide higher power density at the windfarm level, and provide stability for offshore platforms. Nevertheless, challenges remain in fully harnessing VAWT potential rooted in their complex aerodynamics. This serves as a primary challenge for VAWTs to address the challenges of the wind turbine industry in line with the 2050 roadmap.

Detection of High-frequency Pulsation in WR 135: Investigation of Stellar Wind Dynamics

We report the detection of high-frequency pulsations in WR 135 from short-cadence (10 minute) optical photometric and spectroscopic time series surveys. The harmonics up to the sixth order are detected from the integrated photometric flux variations, while the comparatively weaker eighth harmonic is detected from the strengths of the emission lines. We investigate the driving source of the stratified winds of WR 135 using the radiative transfer modeling code, CMFGEN, and find the physical conditions that can explain the propagation of such pulsations. From our study, we find that the optically thick subsonic layers of the atmosphere are close to the Eddington limit and are launched by the Fe opacity. The outer optically thin supersonic winds (τ ross = 0.1–0.01) are launched by the He II and C iv opacities. The stratified winds above the sonic point undergo velocity perturbation that can lead to clumps. In the optically thin supersonic winds, dense clumps of smaller size (f VFF = 0.27–0.3, where f VFF is the volume filling factor) pulsate with higher-order harmonics. The larger clumps ( f VFF = 0.2) oscillate with lower-order harmonics of the pulsation and affect the overall wind variability.

A dynamically adaptive Langmuir turbulence parameterization scheme for variable wind wave conditions: Model application

Langmuir circulations and turbulence (LT) are crucial in the upper ocean mixed layer, significantly affecting the air-sea exchange of momentum, heat, and mass. The development of an appropriate LT parameterization scheme is vital for ocean modeling. This study employed the Large-eddy Simulation (LES) and the Physics-informed Neural Network (PINN) to optimize the KC04 Langmuir turbulence scheme by dynamically adjusting E6 as a key parameter determined by winds and waves. The LES simulations under different wind wave states indicated the PINN-inferred values for E6. Modelling results from GOTM in OCSPapa station demonstrated that the optimized scheme outperformed the original KC04 scheme in simulating the vertical eddy diffusivity and temperature, with an ∼6.24% annual reduction in the root mean square error (RMSE) for the temperature and an ∼8.23% reduction in the RMSE during autumn. Furthermore, the optimized scheme resulted in a thicker mixed layer, reaching 4.9 m. This enhanced LT parameterization scheme exhibited the improved robustness for variable spatiotemporal resolutions, significantly improving the modeling accuracy.

Surge in Power and Gas Demand in the Southeast Atlantic—Reasons and Solutions

The Southeast Atlantic region (much of it in Virginia and the Carolinas) is anticipating an extraordinary growth in electric demand over the next few years, with a resulting surge in natural gas demand. Utilities in all three states, anticipating rapid growth in electricity demand through the 2030s, have ambitious plans for renewables. However, these states are acknowledging that solar and offshore wind will need to be backed up by a significant increase in natural gas‐fired generation to join energy storage in providing load‐following dispatchable power, to compensate for the variability of wind and solar generation. There is also a recognition that load is growing too fast to rely solely on new wind and solar for baseload generation. Further, a significant amount of remaining coal‐fired generation is expected to phase out in the three states, creating the need for more generation unrelated to load growth.