Abstract High-latitudes, including the Bering Sea, are experiencing unprecedented rates of change. Long-term Bering Sea warming trends have been identified, and marine heatwaves (MHWs), event-scale elevated sea surface temperature (SST) extremes, have also increased in frequency and longevity in recent years. Recent work has shown that variability in air-sea coupling plays a dominant role in driving Bering Sea upper ocean thermal variability, and that surface forcing has driven an increase in the occurrence of positive ocean temperature anomalies since 2010. In this work, we characterize the drivers of the anomalous surface air-sea heat fluxes in the Bering Sea over the period 2010-2022 using ERA5 fields. We show that the surface turbulent heat flux dominates the net surface heat flux variability from September-April, and is primarily a result of near-surface air temperature and specific humidity anomalies. The air-mass anomalies that account for the majority of the turbulent heat flux variability are a function of wind direction, with southerly (northerly) wind advecting anomalously warm (cool), moist (dry) air over the Bering Sea, resulting in positive (negative) surface turbulent flux anomalies. During the remaining months of the year, anomalies in the surface radiative fluxes account for the majority of the net surface heat flux variability, and are a result of anomalous cloud coverage, anomalous lower tropospheric virtual temperature, and sea ice coverage variability. Our results indicate that atmospheric variability drives much of the Bering Sea upper ocean temperature variability through mediation of the surface heat fluxes during the analysis period.
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