Abstract Background Ventricular-arterial coupling (VAC) represents a key pathophysiological component for the preservation of left ventricular (LV) contractile efficiency. Increased age, hypertension and evolving atherosclerosis may induce VAC mismatch in asymptomatic severe aortic stenosis (AS). Purpose Purpose of the study was to assess the effect of supine ergometry (Ex) on VAC in AS and to interrogate potential relationship with the clinical outcome. Methods Forty eight AS patients, followed-up on valve clinic in a tertiary center (age 66±12 years), were referred for Ex. AS-related cardiac events (independent decision for surgery, occurrence of AS-related symptoms) during a follow-up of 33±21 months occurred in 19 patients (EV group). The following parameters were estimated noninvasively both at rest-R/Ex: LV ejection fraction (EF:%), strain (SR:%), transmitral E/e ratio, peak transtricuspid systolic pressure, AV mean gradient (meanGR: mmHg), valvuloarterial impedance (Za: mm Hg·ml-1m2), effective arterial elastance (Ea: mmHg/ml), LV endsystolic elastance (Ees: mmHg/ml) and VAC as the ratio Ea/Ees. Results Event (EV) and non-event (nEV) groups had similar % target heart rate at Ex (96±17 vs 100±12), age (66±12 vs 66±12 years), women/men ratio (9/19 vs 14/29), EF-R (55±8 vs 56±7%), SR-R (15.0±4.0 vs 14.5±3.5%), SR-Ex (16±5 vs 17±4%) but lower EF-Ex (59±9 vs 64±6%, p=0.03). EV group had greater meanGR at R (45±16 vs 37±12mmHg, p=0.03), but similar Za both at R and Ex (2.3±1.0 vs 2.0±0.8mm Hg·ml-1m2 and 2.7±0.8 vs 2.7±1.0mm Hg·ml-1m2). EV group had lower Ees at Ex (4.0±2.0 vs 5.6±2.3mmHg/ml, p=0.026) but similar Ees at R (3.0±1.3 vs 3.3±1.5 mmHg/ml) as well Ea both at R and Ex (2.4±1.0 vs 2.6±1.0 mmHg/ml and 2.7±1.0 vs 3.1±1.1 mmHg/ml). Despite similar VAC at R (0.84±0.24 vs 0.79±0.25), EV group showed worsening VAC during Ex (0.75±0.29 vs 0.58±0.12, p=0.01). Binary logistic regression analysis for events, including the different parameters between groups (meanGR, VAC Ex, EF Ex), selected only the VAC Ex (exp(b)=0.01, p=0.02) as independent predictor. ROC event cut off for VAC Ex was 0.69 (area 0.68, p=0.05, sensitivity 0.6 specificity=0.9, figure 1). Kaplan Meier analysis for the greater values of the VAC Ex than 0.69 showed an increased hazard ratio for events (log rank=6.9 p=0.009, figure 2). Conclusion In asymptomatic patients with AS, noninvasive VAC at Ex provides an independent prognostic yield for cardiac outcome from conventional indices of either LV function or hydraulic aortic valve performance.
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