Value-added Exports Research Articles

Impact of TBT and SPS measures on domestic value-added exports: evidence from the United States

ABSTRACT This study explores the impact that TBT and SPS measures have on 42 countries domestic value-added exports (DVAs) into the US. The results from this empirical analysis show that both TBT and SPS measures have no significant effect on gross exports, however, TBT measures have a significant inhibiting effect on DVAs, indicating that the traditional gross trade estimation approach underestimates the substantial impact of non-tariff measures on trade gains. To be specific, a 1 percentage point increase in TBT measures leads to DVA exports decrease of 2.37%. Moreover, the negative impact is mainly manifested in developing countries and high-technology products.

Re-Evaluation of Free Trade Agreement: Changes in Global Value Chain and Regional Value Contents

Purpose – The purpose of this study is to evaluate the economic effects of FTAs using the concept of value-added exports. So far, the economic effects of FTAs have been dependent on decrease in import prices due to tariff cuts in importing countries, but the actual tariff reduction need to consider the value added of the exporting countries. Design/methodology – Value-added export refers to the added value created in the exporting country out of total exports. Among value-added exports, direct value-added export is interpreted as the Regional Value Contents (RVC), from which the economic effect of the FTA can be analyzed. A modified GTAP-VA model takes into account RVC in order to estimate accurate effects of FTAs. Findings – By the re-evaluation of the FTA based on the RVC, this paper makes it clear that the economic effects of the existing FTA methodology have the possibility of overestimation. In addition, as a new FTA with a strengthened Rules of Origin (ROO) is being initiated, a negative impact on international trade and GVC utilization may occur. Originality/value – This study introduces the concept of value-added export in analyzing the effects of FTAs. The new analysis methodology of this paper emphasizes the importance of value-added exports. Re-organization of GVCs would change regional trade agreements and empower ROO by weakening existing GVCs and transforming the value chain from global into regional scope.

EFFECTS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF ECONOMIC COMMUNITY OF WEST AFRICAN STATES (ECOWAS)

Economic literature identifies international trade as one of the channels through which sustainable economic growth can be achieved. For years, the relevance of trade in economic growth process has been one of the most commonly debated topics among economists and policy makers in Africa. This study investigates the effects of international trade on the economic growth of Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) from 2000 to 2018 across the 15 countries of the sub-region. Fixed effect model in a panel data environment was used for the analysis. The variables of interest are real gross domestic product, exports, imports, exchange rate, balance of payments and gross capital formation. The results show that exports, imports, exchange rate and balance of payments exert significant positive effects on economic growth of the ECOWAS, while gross capital formation exerts significant negative effect on growth of the economy of the countries. However, the independent variables jointly showed significant growth effect. Consequently, this study recommends that the ECOWAS should explore modern technology to transform their raw materials into intermediate export goods in order to increase the limited production and export base so as to become more competitive in international trade relations. Also, the imports of the sub-region should be skewed towards intermediate production inputs such as technology, machineries and chemicals which, when combined with the abundantly available human capital, would increase the production of value-added exports volumes, improve trading position and ultimately improve economic growth of the sub-region

The American–China Trade War and Spillover Effects on Value-Added Exports from Indonesia

This paper examines the impact of special tariffs between China and the United States (US) on their indirect trade partners via spillover effects. We applied a Value-Added Real Effective Exchange Rate (VA-REER) index to simulate how an increase in tariffs induces changes in demand for goods from Indonesia and selected Asian partners. We used the Input–Output Database (WIOD) to simulate the spillover effects across partners via the Global Value Chain (GVC) using data from 2000 to 2014. The results suggest that demand is doubly more responsive to prices (tariffs) when value-added (VA-REER) index is used instead of the conventional REER index (gross trade). We found that US tariffs on Chinese goods have a negative spillover impact on Indonesia’s exports. Meanwhile, the Chinese tariffs on American goods lead to small increased demand for Indonesian exports. We also found that US and China become equally crucial for Indonesia under the Value-Added REER scheme, concluding that the conventional REER approach may have underestimated the impact of US tariffs on Chinese goods. Finally, we found that Indonesia would be at risk to trade shocks if the US applies tariffs on China, Asian partners (Japan and South Korea), and the European Union (EU).

INTERDEPENDENCE OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY BETWEEN KOREA AND ASEAN-5 COUNTRIES: ASIAN INTERNATIONAL INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS

The purpose of this study is to analyze the interdependence of the manufacturing industry between South South Korea and ASEAN-5 countries. To conduct an international analysis for the manufacturing industries, an interregional input-output (IRIO) model is applied. The Asian International Input-Output Table (AIIO) provided by IDE-JETRO (2017) is employed and the spillover effects of manufacturing industry are compared in terms of inducement production, value added and backward/forward linkages. The results indicate that the production inducement outcome between Malaysia and South Korea and the effect of forward and backward linkage industry are high, and the dependence on industry is high. On the other hand, in terms of decomposition of value added exports to ASEAN from South South Korea in the manufacturing sector; Vietnam, Singapore, and Indonesia are the states where South South Korea's domestic value-added exports are high. The result shows that South South Korea is necessary to diversify economic cooperation between East Asian and ASEAN member states.

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Manufacturing Value-added Exports

This study explores the effects of increased economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in both importing and exporting countries on manufacturing value-added exports. The results show that increased EPU of both importing and exporting countries would result in decreases in manufacturing value-added trade flows, and the negative effect of exporters' EPU is larger than that of importers' EPU. Our results also provide evidence on the influence channels: increased EPU of exporting countries affects manufacturing value-added trade flows primarily through the cost to export, while increased EPU of importing countries primarily through market demand. This conclusion is robust to a series of robustness checks.

Freedom and Capitalism in Early Modern Europe: Mercantilism and the Making of the Modern Economic Mind

Freedom and Capitalism in Early Modern Europe: Mercantilism and the Making of the Modern Economic Mind

Ireland’s Multinationals-Dominated Economy in the Pandemic: Did Big Tech and Big Pharma Save the Day?

Similar to the Eurozone crisis, Ireland engineered a more successful bounce back from the COVID-19 shock than crisis-hit peers. This article argues that the Irish path is less of a product of a generalizable export-led growth strategy, but, rather, can be explained by a set of idiosyncratic features. Using a wide array of macroeconomic indicators, the analysis assesses the opportunities and risks associated with Ireland's distinct path. It shows how strong ties to the United States, and emergence as the European hub for the world’s fastest growing firms sets Ireland apart from European peers. The US is a reliable “spender of last resort,” countercyclically spending and borrowing, boosting growth prospects of trading partners. Irish sectoral specialization in pharmaceutical manufacturing and digital services was also a boon in this crisis. The pandemic created opportunities for health-related industries; reliance on digital technologies helped digital firms. The article also finds, however, that banking on tech and pharma giants has significant limitations. First, multinationals’ accounting tricks artificially inflate economic statistics, and these two sectors are most affected. Second, to the extent that there is job-sustaining activity, it is not straightforward how the success of these sectors is transmitted to the rest of the economy. In the aftermath of the Eurozone crisis, the hospitality industry played a significant role as a “‘transmission belt,” receiving spillovers from the high value-added export sector. Since lockdowns hit hospitality the most, the social insurance function of fiscal policy is of paramount importance to ensure a more broad-based recovery.

A Case for Value-Added Exports in the Estimation of Export Diversification in Asia and the Pacific

A Case for Value-Added Exports in the Estimation of Export Diversification in Asia and the Pacific

Research on China's Value-Added Export Trade to Countries along the " Belt and Road"

Since the "Belt and Road" initiative was put forward, the cooperation between China and countries along the route has deepened, the content and structure of trade have been enriched, and the total volume of trade has also expanded. Based on UNCTAD-Eora global Value Chain database, this paper summarizes the development of China's export value added (VA) to countries along the Belt and Road in terms of region and industry, and makes a comparative analysis of different countries and industries. It finds that China still has weak links with countries along the Belt and Road, and labor-intensive products are subject to competition. On this basis, suggestions are put forward to improve the trade structure so as to promote the value-added of China's export trade to countries along the "Belt and Road".

Impact of Backward Linkages and Domestic Contents of Exports on Labor Productivity and Employment: Evidence from Japanese Industrial Data

This study examines how backward linkages (foreign value added [FVA] exports) and domestic value-added (DVA) exports impact industry-level labor productivity and employment in Japan by estimating a static and dynamic panel model using data drawn from the World Input-Output Dataset and Socio-Economic Accounts. We find that the domestic content of trade is a key driver of productivity and employment in Japan for all industries, while backward linkages lead to declining productivity and foster labor displacement. A sectoral analysis reveals that productivity benefits most of the backward linkages and domestic value-added exports in the manufacturing industry but weakens as the backward linkages increase in the service industry. We find that the DVA exports variable promotes employment, whereas the FVA variable displaces it.

Major exchange rates and value-added exports

This study’s primary concern is that exporting or multinational firms tend to be more reliant on intermediate imports with major currencies. We investigate the effects of exchange rates on value-added exports in the linkage with the exports-FDI feedback for sustainable free trade development in OECD countries. Our bilateral findings are that the exchange rate effects are greater for gross than value-added exports except for Germany and greater for intermediate goods than final goods exports except for Italy. But there are no significant differences in the effects of exchange rate changes on exports regardless of US dollar and other currencies. Meanwhile, foreign income has a positive effect on all exports, and the exports-FDI feedback has a weak positive effect on exports to China due to increased FDI into China while the value-added exports-FDI nexus has a weak positive effect on all FDIs. JEL codes: F31, F32, F40

Calculation and Decomposition Analysis of Embodied Energy and Embodied Carbon Emissions in China’s Foreign Trade Based on Value-Added Trade

Under the new mode of labor division for global production, the method of calculating a country’s energy consumption and carbon emissions is based on a “production side” principle that disregards the embodied energy and carbon emissions caused by international trade. This method is unfair to China and other large, exporting countries. From the perspective of value-added trade, the multiregional input–output model based on the world input–output table and environmental account from the World Input–Output Database are used to measure the scale of China’s value-added trade; subsequently, the import and export net values of China’s foreigntraderelated embodied energy and carbon emissions are calculated. The results show that: (1) China’s value-added exports in 2009 amounted to US $1,045.37 billion, which constitutes 21% of China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in that year. Nearly half of the value-added exports are to fulfill the final demand from North America and European Union countries; manufacturing and service are the main value-added export industries of China. (2) China has a relatively high unit coefficient for value-added energy consumption and carbon emissions, both representing a net export of embodied energy and embodied carbon emissions in foreign trade. In this regard, energy and mid-level technology manufacturing industries, such as coke, refined oil, and nuclear fuel processing, are the main exporters of embodied energy and embodied carbon.

Yet another space: Why the Industry Space adds value to the understanding of structural change and economic development

We introduce the Industry Space based on value-added exports as a complementary visualisation of economic development and structural cross-country differences to the established Product Space, which relies on gross exports. Since value-added exports disentangle global and national value chains, we argue they enable a more accurate and holistic depiction of an economy’s capabilities. Specifically, the Industry Space links 51 industries to each other based on the similarity in required capabilities. We emphasize the need for value-added exports by providing evidence that using gross exports significantly changes the similarities between industries. Applying the concept to comparative country case studies, we show that the Industry Space is a useful tool to investigate the economic structure between countries and over time.

Analysis of carbon emissions embodied in South Korea's international trade: Production-based and consumption-based perspectives

Growing international trade is likely to become a major obstacle in reducing carbon emissions. Research that estimates trade-related emissions and analyzes the sources will be important to overcoming this obstacle. With this in mind, the current paper investigates carbon emissions embodied in South Korea's trade during 2000–2014. Using multi-regional input-output analysis, we find large increases in emissions embodied in exports (production-based emissions) and imports (consumption-based emissions) which drove increases in Korean emissions. Over time, Korea's net carbon exports grew alongside its net value-added exports, implying a greater trade-off between the environmental costs and economic benefits of trade. However, emission intensities of exports and imports both fell which suggests improvements in emission efficiencies at home and abroad. Analysis of bilateral trade shows that growth in trade with China accounted for the largest share of increases in Korea's embodied emissions. Analysis at the sectoral level shows high levels of emissions relative to value added in basic materials and transportation services but low levels of emissions relative to value added in electronic and mechanical equipment and transportation equipment. Lastly, structural decomposition analysis indicates that improvements in emission intensities limited growth in emissions, while rising levels of final demand expanded growth in emissions. As the first extensive study to analyze the drivers of changes in Korea's carbon emissions embodied in multilateral exports and imports, this paper recommends various abatement policies to effectively reduce emissions.

The Competitiveness of Beef Exports From Burkina Faso to Ghana.

Despite large volumes of cattle stocks in the Sahel, most exports of cattle products remain as live animal sales rather than meat. However, there is increased interest amongst donors and governments to increase value-added exports of beef. In this paper, we provide results from a simulation analysis that explores the prospective competitiveness and benefits of exporting beef from Burkina Faso to Ghana rather than live animals. The paper reviews trading patterns in live animals along the corridor and meat imports from overseas destinations to Ghana. Model results highlight limited competitiveness of the main products demanded in destination markets (offals). Market segmentation strategies, infrastructure development, and animal productivity all generate marginal improvements in competitiveness, but not enough to compete with third-country supplies. Only specific, largely external macroeconomic conditions provide for significant improvements in competitiveness. The paper further reveals the relatively modest employment gains associated with increased exports of meat in lieu of live animals. The analysis suggests a re-think on large-scale investments in downstream functions in the value chain, instead illustrating the fundamental role of upstream investments in productivity, animal health, and collective action to promote greater market integration between pastoralists and formal sector buyers.

From exports to value added to income: Accounting for bilateral income transfers

The existence of multinational firms and the rise of global value chains raise the question how international trade contributes to a country's income. Ownership relations between, for example, headquarters and subsidiaries result in international income transfers. These transfers are ignored in standard trade data. Taking them into account in a global input-output analysis allows us to assess how much income is generated in one country due to the consumption of final products in another country. This provides a new perspective compared to the concept of value-added exports introduced by Johnson and Noguera (2012). For the US, we find that the income generated by foreign consumption is 51% higher than the value added in the US that is generated by foreign consumption. Similar findings hold for other countries as well, but to a lesser extent. The implication is that the current account deficit of the US almost disappears from the income perspective.

Effects of free trade agreements on global value chain trade----a research perspective of GVC backward linkage

ABSTRACT Using the World Input-Output Database from 2000 to 2014 combined with the Database from the World Bank, this paper examines the export promotion effects of FTAs on member countries’ GVC trade. Empirical analysis shows that, first, the depth of free trade agreements has significant positive effects on both the total trade and exports of foreign value added (FVA) among member countries. Each additional core clause in free trade agreement will increase the FVA exports by 0.27%. Second, free trade agreements not only enhance the export levels of simple value chains and complex value chains but promote the value-added exports of all sub-items of GVC trade at different levels. Further study shows that gaps in economic development levels among FTA members and FTA structures can both lead to asymmetric and heterogeneous effects on their FVA exports. Moreover, as to FTA contents, WTO-X clauses which focus more on trade policy coordination behind the border have more important impacts on FTA members’ FVA exports.

Financial and Non-Financial Support of Export

Promotion of domestic companies interests abroad is the main task of economic diplomacy. Promotion of domestic goods and services in foreign markets ensures the coun- try's stable position in the world economy and economic stability within the state. Following economic boost, world trade and especially export growth may ensure not only country's economy growth, but also citizens welfare through mechanisms for reallocating funds. Value-added exports development in Russia has been brought to the rank of one of the key government goals. Russia has an export promotion institutions system. Some institu- tions have long history. Others have been created recently and based on foreign practices. The Russian government has developed the national project "International cooperation and export", it sets the goal to ensure export growth through effective interaction of existing institutions. The article reviews the foreign and domestic practices of export support through financial and non-financial instruments. They include market analysis tools, exhibition support, popu- larizing exports within the country, various export credit and insurance instruments pro- tecting the exporter from political risks in foreign markets. Author analyzes the legislative framework of key support measures and possible ways to improve efficiency by eliminating duplication in various institutions functions. It should provide a synergistic effect boosting their efficiency. The methodology of the study is based on a comprehensive analysis of the modern export promotion institutions system in Russia and abroad, a regulatory analysis of fundamental documents and a comparative analysis of export support measures. The extensive research subject has provided the usage of an interdisciplinary approach covering economic and po- litical research.

Emerging Countries as the Main Destinations for European Value-Added Exports

Nowadays, production chains may cross the borders of several continents in search of greater profitability. In order to more accurately calculate countries’ foreign demand, value-added exports should be used rather than gross exports. This study takes the value-added exports calculated for European Union countries and uses extended gravity models to analyze the determinants of this trade, differentiating between countries according to the main destinations for their value-added, USA, Russia and China. The results reveal certain changes according to the economic period analyzed and the destination of the goods, with respect to key variables such as the wealth of the exporting country, the level of logistics performance and distance. In 2014, China registered an improvement in its position compared to Russia.