This research evaluated the effect of aqueous hydrogen carbonate solutions on the uranium rate of release from natural Ca-autunite and quantified the process kinetic rate law for a better prediction of the stability of autunite-group minerals. Testing was accomplished via a single-pass flow-through (SPFT) apparatus using buffered aqueous bicarbonate solutions (0.0005 to 0.003M) at temperatures of 23–90°C and pH values of 7–11. The release rate of uranium from Ca-autunite was directly correlated to increasing concentrations of hydrogen carbonate solutions and showed strong pH dependency. Ca-autunite kinetic rate law parameters were compared to the values obtained for synthetic Na-autunite. The power law coefficient and intrinsic rate constant were higher at pH9–11 for Ca-autunite than for Na-autunite. The lower stability of Ca-autunite was attributed to the high Ca-autunite surface cracking, fractures and basal plane cleavages as compared to Na-autunite and the combined effect of the formation of aqueous uranyl–carbonate and calcium uranyl carbonate species as a driving force for uranium(VI) detachment and the formation of secondary Ca–P hydroxyapatite and uranyl phosphate mineral phases as a driving force for phosphate and calcium detachment controlling the net release of elements.