ONLY IN SOUTH AFRICA, perhaps, could a General election in which the ruling party was returned with 131 of the 165 seats in the House of Assembly be regarded as disastrous for the Government. For the National Party (NP), however, the first loss of seats since 1970 was compounded by a far greater loss of votes, which raised the spectre of cracks in the monolith of Afrikaner unity. Dramatic growth in support for the extreme right-wing Herstigte Nasionale Party (HNP) overshadowed gains made by the official Progressive Federal Party (PFP) Opposition, and gave no comfort to advocates of internal reform and rapprochement with the West. The result of the election was widely interpreted as a major personal setback for the Prime Minister, Mr P. W. Botha. His reasons for calling a General Election on 29 April, eighteen months before one was due, were the subject of much speculation. Whilst the three previous General Elections had also been held early, the reasons had been obvious: in 1970, to rout the then recently formed HNP; in 1974, to take advantage of internal strife in the United Party; and in 1977, to exploit Opposition disarray following the dissolution of the United Party earlier the same year.l Ostensibly Mr Botha's decision in 1981 was influenced by the large number of by-elections pending throughout the country, largely because of the transfer of Nationalist MPs to the new President's Council,2 and widespread changes in constituency boundaries made
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