Risk Of Unemployment Research Articles

The Issues and Optimization Strategies in the Modernization of Vocational Education in the Era of Chat GPT

The emergence of Chat GPT technology represents a significant breakthrough in natural language processing, revolutionizing human-machine interaction and presenting profound challenges to vocational education modernization in China. In the Chat GPT era, vocational education undergoes transformative changes, including personalized learning reaching new heights, big data-driven intelligent decision-making entering a new phase, and the integration of education resources on unprecedented scales. However, this modernization effort also encounters several critical issues, such as overreliance on technology and the associated risks of unemployment, threats to data privacy and security, erosion of ethical values, and the widening digital divide in education. To ensure the high-quality development of vocational education modernization with the support of artificial intelligence tools like Chat GPT, it is crucial to enhance supervision and regulation of Chat GPT technology applications, promoting its safe and responsible use. Moreover, prioritizing technology ethics and moral education becomes imperative to nurture students’ ethical awareness and moral compass in the utilization and development of technology. Lastly, optimizing the distribution of digital educational resources is essential to promote educational equity and bridge the digital divide among students.

From Globalization to Isolation: Exposure to the 2008 Financial Crisis and Three Dimensions of Liberal Attitudes in a Swedish Twin Design

Abstract This study investigates the link between non-liberal attitudes and adverse exposure to market disturbances during the 2008 global financial crisis, drawing from the premise that anti-liberal sentiments among Western voters stem from economic distress. We delve into three facets of liberal ideology in a Swedish sample: economic liberalism, liberal multiculturalism and liberal internationalism. Using variation in crisis exposure within identical twin pairs, comprehensive longitudinal economic data and detailed survey responses, we find no significant shift in economic or multicultural liberal attitudes with different crisis exposures. However, exposure to increased unemployment risk significantly lowered support for liberal internationalism, increasing scepticism towards global governance and multilateral cooperation.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the labour market outcomes of Indigenous persons living off-reserve in Canada

The recent COVID-19 pandemic had an impact on the labour force activity of many, but the effect of the crisis on the labour market outcomes of Indigenous peoples in Canada is relatively understudied. Using data from the master files of the Canadian Labour Force Survey (LFS), this analysis first considers the relative probability of four mutually exclusive labour force states: employed; unemployed; not in the labour force, but not discouraged; and not in the labour force due to being a discouraged worker. Differences in hours worked as well as earnings comparing Indigenous and non-Indigenous workers are then examined. The findings reveal that, regardless of the COVID-19 pandemic, Indigenous Canadians were relatively more likely to be either unemployed or not in the labour force (including being a discouraged worker) than to be employed as compared to their non-Indigenous counterparts. Indigenous workers earned roughly 3 percent less than their non-Indigenous counterparts. The earnings penalty experienced by Indigenous workers, was slightly smaller at the bottom of the wage distribution at 2 percent, increasing to roughly 3.3 percent at the top 90th percentile of the earnings function. During the COVID-19 period, while the risk of unemployment was lower for Indigenous persons, the risk of being a discouraged worker was even higher for Indigenous Canadians during the pandemic. Using an ad-hoc supplement to the LFS conducted by Statistics Canada in response to the pandemic, this study finds that Indigenous respondents were less likely than non-Indigenous respondents to either work from home or receive any form of Canada relief benefit from April 2020 to October 2021. The implications of these findings suggest a role for policy makers to improve access to funding supports for Indigenous workers and students seeking to pursue higher education to improve labour market outcomes. Additionally, employers play an important role in ensuring that Indigenous workers have fair access to job opportunities.

Technological Change and Entrepreneurial Activities: Evidence from China

This study is among the first to examine the impacts of technological change on entrepreneurial activities. Using new registered enterprises data and industrial robot data from 2010 to 2018, we find that robot adoption is broadly negatively associated with regional entrepreneurial activities. However, our analysis reveals a more nuanced understanding, in which robot adoption boosts high-quality entrepreneurial activities in regions, specifically those in technology-based industries, but reduces low-quality entrepreneurial activities. We also find that a favorable labor allocation environment and sufficient labor resources, as well as abundant high-skilled labor resources, can mitigate the negative impact. Credit constraints and the upgrading of industrial structures are effective in mitigating the crowding-out effect. In cities with higher unemployment risks, the negative effect is attenuated. The extent of the negative effect varies depending on the prevailing macroeconomic conditions, and the hukou reform helps to mitigate the negative impact. In addition, robot adoption has a significant spatial spillover effect between adjacent cities. These findings shed light on the effects of industrial robot adoption on local entrepreneurial activities, as well as the role of technological change in fostering entrepreneurial activities. Our findings suggest that it is crucial to grasp the strategic opportunities embedded in technological change to spur entrepreneurship.

Class and Ethno-Gender Differences in Education and Labour Market Position—An Intersectional Analysis of Ethnic Integration in the UK

This paper analyses the socio-economic disadvantages of women from different ethnic minority heritages in the UK. Using data from the Labour Force Survey (2014–2023), which contains detailed information on parental class and respondents’ socio-economic conditions, we examine four domains of life chances which are crucial for ethnic integration: educational attainment at the degree level, risks of unemployment, access to professional-managerial (salariat) position and earning power. We proceeded with the gross differences and then examined the differences by ethno-gender status and parental class combinations, controlling for many confounding factors. We also examined the net ethno-gender differences over the life course and the trends of social fluidity over the period covered and across the ethno-gender groups. We found that women from all ethnic origins were doing well in education but faced multiple disadvantages in the labour market, especially in access to the salariat and in earning power. Women of Pakistani/Bangladeshi heritages faced pronounced unemployment risks, especially at the earlier life stages. There is a significant increase in fluidity over the period covered, but this is marked by considerable ethnic and class differences, with Black Caribbean, Black African, Pakistani and Bangladeshi women from more advantaged class origins being unable to secure advantaged class positions and those from working-class families unable to make long-range upward mobility as effectively as White men. Overall, Bangladeshi, Pakistani, Black African and Black Caribbean women are found to be considerably disadvantaged, but there are also signs of social progress.

Health as predictor of unemployment. A population based study in Belgium

Abstract Background Health and employment are interrelated, but this can be both the result of social causation and health selection. Insights in the association between health and employment should be explored in different settings and countries because contextual factors may differ. In this study we investigate if at the Belgian population level, ill health leads to a higher risk of unemployment. Methods We used data from the Belgian health interview survey 2018 linked with administrative data from the compulsory health insurance including information on employment status in 2018 and 2019. The sample for this study consisted of people with a paid job, aged 18-64 year, with no record of having being unemployed in 2018 (n = 3769). Multivariate logistic regression was used to assess if the risk of becoming unemployed in 2019 varied in function of the health status assessed in the 2018 survey. Results After adjustment for age, sex, education and social support, the risk of becoming unemployed was significantly higher for people with moderate to very bad self-rated health compared to those in good health (OR 2.76; 95% CI 1.34-5.67). Similarly, unemployment in the year following participation in the survey was significantly higher among people with activity limitations because of health problems (OR 2.32; 95% CI 1.14-4.72). The higher the number of chronic diseases and conditions, the higher the risk of unemployment (OR 1.37; 95% CI 1.13-1.53). Specific predictors of unemployment were a history of serious depression in the past 12 months (OR 4.47; 95% CI 1.85-10.80) and hypertension (OR 2.54; 95% CI 1.08-6.00). Conclusions In Belgium, health problems are a risk factor of getting unemployed. Especially people with a history of serious depression in the past year have a higher risk to lose their job. The findings confirm the health selection of unemployment and the need for the labour market to invest in interventions to support people with health problems to keep or find a job. Key messages • As employment is a fundamental right, also for people with health problems, further efforts are needed to create an inclusive labour market, with also job opportunities for more vulnerable people. • To be able to understand better the link between health and unemployment at population level, longitudinal population data are needed including both dimensions.

Labor market participation in people with intellectual disability – a follow-up study in Sweden

Abstract Background Work is vital to people’s health and quality of life. The Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities affirms the right to work on an equal basis with others including an opportunity to earn a living by work, but evidence shows that people with intellectual disability (ID) are at greater risk of unemployment and social exclusion. Due to the lack of comprehensive data for longitudinal follow-ups, information on long-term labor market participation (LLMP) in people with ID is scarce. This study aimed to investigate factors of importance for LLMP in individuals with ID in Sweden. Methods The study was based on data from the upper secondary school for pupils with ID between 2001 and 2020 (N = 26,905) and from the longitudinal integrated database for health insurance and labor market studies. A sample of gainfully employed in 2011 (n = 2,719), was followed with respect to LLMP until 2020. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations between educational, sociodemographic, and work factors and LLMP (i.e. gainful employment throughout the follow-up), were estimated stratified on sex. Results LLMP was twice as likely in men compared with women, OR 2.06 (1.78-2.58) as was work in the private sector. Factors of significance for LLMP in men and women alike were: completed national education program, OR 3.40 (3.06-3.86) and OR 2.91 (2.40-3.54), parents’ education; compulsory school in mothers’, OR 1.22 (1.06-1.41) and 1.24 (1.00-1.55) and in fathers’ OR 1.35 (1.17-1.56) and 1.49 (1.20-1.85), while municipality of residence was significant only in men, OR 1.30 (1.10-1.56). Conclusions Public health prevention for disadvantaged groups requires accurate and up-to-date knowledge. Using unique register-based data, this is the first study on LLMP in people with ID in Sweden. Knowledge on what social determinants may strengthen LLMP is important since limited LLMP increases the risk of missing out on health benefits that employment may offer. Key messages • There was a significant gender difference in long-term labor market participation in people with intellectual disability in Sweden. • There is a need for increased knowledge on what social determinants may strengthen long-term labor market participation in people with intellectual disability.

The impact of COVID-19 and the ERS on superannuation savings in Australia

COVID-19 has had a significant economic impact on Australia, and consequently on the superannuation savings of many individuals. To examine COVID-19’s heterogeneous effects across different industries and demographic groups, the impact on superannuation was assessed for 12 representative cameos using a range of Australian data, including Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA), ATO, ABS and APRA sources. The marginal impacts of sudden job loss, investment losses, investment switching and participation in the Early Release of Superannuation (ERS) scheme were each investigated in turn. The cameos highlight that some demographic cohorts faced several compounding challenges. For example, many ERS applicants were already facing financial hardship, were more likely to be younger, and faced a higher risk of unemployment. This highlights that COVID-19 has impacted different cohorts in different ways, depending on age, employment status and industry, and family situation, among other factors. JEL Classification: D14, D15, J26, J32

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The article explores the transformation of employment and human resources under the influence of the digital economy. Digital technologies are changing the professional structure, automating processes, and creating new requirements for workers. While new professions are emerging, they are often aimed at further automation, raising the risk of mass unemployment and loss of control over one's professional future. Special attention is given to the impact of digitalization on shifts in approaches to human resource management. The article also discusses an ecosystem approach to labor organization based on human-technology interaction and the importance of preserving humanistic values in the new economy

Unemployment insurance for the self-employed: A conceptual way forward

In this contribution we give common guidelines on how unemployment schemes for the self-employed could be developed in practice. These guidelines have been derived from national descriptions contained in this special edition on unemployment protection for the self-employed, or in other recent comparative contributions on the matter. Our reference framework is the EU Council Recommendation (2019) on Access to Social Protection, and more in particular the overall objective that social protection should be designed in a labour status neutral manner and, where necessary, adapted to the specific work situation of the professional groups covered. Applied to unemployment, the design of the scheme should be as similar as possible to that of unemployment insurance for wage earners. However, it is crucial to adapt the rules as specifically as necessary to the nature of self-employed work, such as, for example, the fact that the self-employed do not work for an employer. Starting from this basis, we developed key rules with regard to unemployment schemes for the self-employed. We did so by addressing the essential components of unemployment schemes: the definition of the unemployment risk, financing, access and entitlement conditions, and re-eligibility in case of repeated claims for unemployment benefits. We also address recent evolutions in the labour market, such as coverage when multiple activities are performed (combining activities as an employee and as a self-employed person), and elaborate on situations involving temporary closure of the self-employed activity (e.g. due to Covid-19) and partial unemployment. In conclusion, we provide some reflections on the apparent ongoing evolution of the risk of unemployment towards a broader income protection scheme, which not only provides income replacement in case of a final loss of professional activity or self-employed business, but also gives structural income support if the person loses income partially due to external economic and/or social reasons.

Educational, labour market and relationship outcomes in people with acne.

Although acne is associated with scarring, mental health comorbidities and bullying, little is known about its impact on socio-economic outcomes. To examine the association between acne and educational, labour market and relationship outcomes. We conducted a nationwide registry-based cohort study in Denmark. We included birth cohorts from 1982 to 1988 and compared those with and without acne identified using hospital diagnosis codes and redeemed prescriptions. Our main educational outcome was educational attainment. The main labour market outcomes were earned income at age 30 and long-term unemployment at any time before age 30. The main relationship outcomes were single partnership and childlessness by age 30. Outcomes were assessed using Poisson regression for binary outcomes and linear regression for continuous outcomes, adjusted for sex, calendar year, mother's socio-economic position and hormonal contraception use. Those with acne had a lower risk of not completing upper secondary education (relative risk (RR): 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.76-0.83) and higher education (RR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.88-0.91), with absolute differences up to 4 percentage points. Persons with acne had slightly higher income (mean percentile difference: 2.6%, 95% CI: 2.2-2.9) and lower risk of long-term unemployment than those without acne (9.8% vs. 11.4%; RR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.87-0.93). The prevalence of being single until age 30 was similar (19.7% vs. 20.1%; adjusted RR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.94-0.98) but childlessness was slightly more prevalent (60.5% vs. 57.5%; adjusted RR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.04). However, all associations were attenuated or lost in secondary analysis restricted to exposure-discordant siblings to address confounding from family-related factors. Acne during adolescence does not seem to affect long-term educational, labour market or relationship outcomes. However, there is a need for additional studies to validate the findings in untreated patients and different health and social systems.

A review of the future transport labour market: An EU approach

Mobility and transportation are a fundamental cornerstone of societies. They cannot be performed without a specific and varied workforce that keep all modes functioning. However, the transport sector currently faces many challenges including volatile high energy prices, labour and skills shortages, harsh working conditions, an ageing work force, and many labour relations’ issues. There are also deep and widespread market changes to confront in relation to automation and digitalisation, the move towards greener, cleaner technologies and sustainability. The risk of unemployment for certain jobs is evident. Transport workers and transport undertakings are thus confronted with the very challenging landscape to decarbonise the sector but also to address social sustainability and remain competitive in a fast-changing environment. This study makes use of a systematic review to analyse the main challenges that the land transport sector faces. This paper informs policy makers and relevant stakeholders on the current trends; highlights challenges and opportunities for transport workers and provides recommendations to help achieve that will result in a digital and fair, ethical, just, and green transition not only for the transport sector but also for the society as a whole.

Anxiety and Work Disability in Patients With Immune-Mediated Inflammatory Diseases: A Cross-Sectional Study From a Single Center.

Immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) are chronic diseases that are associated with an inflammatory process with unclear etiology and occur in genetically predisposed individuals. In this study, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and rheumatic disease (RD) were examined. The aim of the research is to evaluate the relationship between IMID and state anxiety and work impairment in patients. A cross-sectional study was conducted in an outpatient clinic for rheumatology and gastroenterology at an Italian university hospital. A total of 476 patients (261 IBD and 215 RD) were considered. Patients diagnosed with IBD demonstrated significantly higher levels of anxiety, encompassing both trait and state anxiety, compared to those with RD ( p <.001). While trait anxiety exhibited a modest positive correlation with work productivity loss ( r =.163; p =.046), activity impairment showed a positive correlation with both state anxiety ( r =.243; p <.001) and trait anxiety ( r =.206; p =.002). The impact of anxiety on job performance and daily activities should not be underestimated, as it may elevate the risk of unemployment and absenteeism and lead to increased societal costs.

Le futur du métier de traducteur face à la révolution numérique : préoccupations et perspectives pour les bilingues

The Future of The Translation Profession in The Age of Digital Revolution: Concerns and perspectives for bilingual professionals The digital revolution has caused a significant shift in labour market policies across all sectors. The rapid advancement and widespread adoption of software and IT tools have led to an increased risk of job displacement for skilled professionals, as these tools enable even non-experts to perform tasks traditionally handled by specialists. This study explores the potential threat to employment faced by professional translators due to these technological advancements. The rise of artificial intelligence and machine translation (MT) has encouraged many bilingual individuals to enter the translation field, a trend that has raised concerns among linguistic researchers. These technological developments have also cast doubt on the value of language experts. This research addresses key questions: To what extent is the future of professional translators at risk? Do professional translators face significant competition in the Information Age? To answer these questions, this study employed both quantitative and qualitative research methods, including field data collection from bilinguals and professional translators. Questionnaires were administered first to bilinguals to gauge their motivations and then to professional translators to understand their concerns and perspectives. The data analysis provided clear insights that supported the study's hypotheses. The research suggests that professional translators may face substantial unemployment risks in the future. This is largely attributed to the increasing involvement of bilinguals in the field, driven by the proliferation of machine translation tools. The study highlights the relevance of connectivism and job prospection theories in understanding the challenges faced by professional translators and in addressing the rise of bilinguals in the workforce.

The post-pandemic era tourist guiding: evidence from professional tourist guides

ABSTRACT This research contributes to the literature by uncovering the perspectives of professional tourist guides on the tourist guiding profession in the post-pandemic era. Following a qualitative research approach, 29 semi-structured interviews were conducted with professional tourist guides working in different regions of Türkiye. The results illustrate that being physically demanding, the lack of work-life balance, unfair expectations of travel agencies, seasonality, and the necessity of constantly updating knowledge and skills are among the challenges of tourist guiding. The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the future of tourist guiding emerged as tourist-guide and tourist-related impacts. Furthermore, future employment risks emerged as the high risk of unemployment and its mental results, vulnerability to crises, and the risk of unemployment at older ages due to declining performance in the future. The findings also emphasise the need for education and training, acquiring new skills, adapting to technology and new trends, continued vocational development, and understanding new tourist expectations in the post-COVID era for the future of tourist guiding.

Exploring the workplace factors and their influence on the employment outcomes for people with multiple sclerosis

BackgroundHigh unemployment rate of people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) is associated with substantial economic costs. Whilst the impact of MS symptoms and other disease-related factors on employment outcomes of PwMS has been assessed, limited evidence exists on the impacts of workplace factors. ObjectiveTo investigate the most common individual and group workplace factors associated with unemployment or a perceived risk of unemployment in PwMS, and to identify patient subgroups that are more susceptible to changes in employment status due to such factors. MethodsData from the Australian MS Longitudinal Study (AMSLS) on employment status and workplace factors were used. Fifteen workplace factors were classified under four groups: organisational, commuting, moving around at work, and equipment usage factors. Participants answered ‘Yes’ to each factor if it related to their unemployment and/or perceived risk of becoming unemployed and a group factor was considered “Yes” if at least one individual factor within it was answered as “Yes”. The proportions of “Yes” responses were calculated for both individual and group factors. Total number of individual factors was calculated and descriptive analyses and ordered logistic regression were used to summarize the total number of factors affecting each participant, and their association with participants’ occupations, sex, disability severity and disease duration. ResultsCommon workplace factors influencing employment were organisational (39.8 % perceived risk, 44.0 % lost employment), commuting (28.9 % perceived risk) and equipment usage difficulty (30.9 % lost employment). Common individual factors included inflexible working conditions, lack of suitable work, commuting difficulties, architectural barriers, and requirement to stand for long periods to use equipment. Professionals, blue-collar workers, and those with moderate/severe disability were more likely to report a higher number of workplace factors risking their employment. ConclusionsWorkplace factors undermine PwMS employment, with variations among subgroups based on occupation and disability severity. Understanding these barriers is crucial for supporting PwMS in the workforce.

Do temporary help agencies help? Employment transitions for low-skilled workers

We investigate the impact of working for a temporary help agency (THA) compared to being directly hired on the employment transitions of low-skilled male temporary workers aged 20 to 45. Using data from Spanish administrative records, we employ competing risk discrete-time duration models to analyze multiple temporary employment spells. Our analysis reveals the importance of accounting for short-duration dependence and workers’ unobserved heterogeneity. We find that, across all durations, agency workers are more likely to transition either to unemployment or to a new THA contract than their direct-hire counterparts. Transitions to permanent positions, although infrequent in our sample, are also more likely for agency workers. Our qualitative findings hold when unobserved heterogeneity is not controlled for. However, this model underestimates the effect of agency contracts on the risk of entering unemployment and overestimates the impact on the probability of re-entering THA. This suggests that positive self-selection plays a relevant role in explaining the higher persistence of THA employment, but not the associated higher risk of unemployment.

The Equitable Income Distribution in Islam Through Transmigration: Phenomenological Study of Merbau Village, Riau

Population movement between islands in Indonesia is known as transmigration. Since the colonial era, this program has existed, even pioneered by the Dutch government for the first time with the aim of obtaining more colonial benefits. Currently, the transmigration program is growing rapidly in the eyes of the Indonesian government. Even the people themselves also volunteered to carry out transmigration in order to get better livelihoods in new areas. Not infrequently among these communities who experience difficulties during the beginning after the move. So that this transmigration community does not find work causes unemployment everywhere and makes the Indonesian economy decline. The purpose of this study is to analyze how to control unemployment in Merbau village through fair income distribution according to the perspective of the Islamic economy. This research is descriptive qualitative and collects information from interviews with local residents and describes this control from the perspective of Islamic economics. The result of this study is to describe the model of unemployment risk control in Merbau Village from a sharia economic perspective, namely the wage system. The wage / ujrah system is imposed in accordance with the agreement of both parties and gives satisfactory results to each other. And also maintain the old culture of the community to live in harmony between residents even though they are different.

Subjective unemployment expectations and (self-)insurance

We study subjective unemployment expectations and their influence on economic behavior. We utilize a longitudinal data set combining survey elicited subjective unemployment expectations with administrative data on income, savings, and unemployment insurance. Our findings indicate that subjective expectations hold valuable predictive information about subsequent unemployment experiences. We find that individuals tend to overestimate their risk of unemployment. Moreover, higher unemployment expectations lead to a greater likelihood of enrolling in unemployment insurance and accumulation of liquid savings.

Awareness and perceptions of artificial intelligence in dentistry: A cross-sectional survey among Indian dental professionals

Introduction Artificial intelligence (AI) is inevitably going to impact healthcare including dentistry and will become an essential tool in medical diagnosis and decision-making. Dental professionals must be familiar with growing trends in dentistry such as AI and its future scope. Despite the positive developments in AI research, there are divergent perspectives on its benefits and risks among stakeholders. We intended to understand the knowledge, awareness, and perceptions of dental professionals towards AI and its applications in dentistry. Methods and Material A semi-structured, 25-item Google form questionnaire consisting of closed and open-ended questions was made and the link to answer the survey was circulated among postgraduate students, dental academicians, and practitioners across India in an online mode, and the responses were collected and analyzed. Results 83.3% of participants were aware of AI and its applications. Most of the participants understood the attributes, advantages, and disadvantages of AI. Interestingly 72% of participants agreed that they have witnessed AI being used in clinical practice and 92.7% agreed to use AI for diagnosis. 65.3% expressed concern over unemployment due to AI and 85% agreed that AI has ethical issues. Over 85% of participants agreed AI should be a part of the postgraduate dental curriculum. Conclusions We found that dental professionals are updated with AI technology and showed a willingness to adopt AI into dental practice. The participants lacked a deeper understanding of AI and concerned about the potential risk of unemployment resulting from AI and trusting AI alone in dental diagnosis. Keywords: Artificial intelligence, Cross-sectional survey, Dentist, Knowledge, Perceptions.