Paraclinoid aneurysms, arising from the proximal dural ring and extending to the origin of the posterior communicating artery of the internal carotid artery (ICA), represent asignificant proportion of all intracranial aneurysms (IAs). Accurate prediction of the rupture risk of paraclinoid aneurysms is crucial for optimal management. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors for the rupture of paraclinoid aneurysms on the basis of computer-assisted semiautomated measurement (CASAM) and hemodynamics. The clinical, demographic and radiological data of the 304 paraclinoid aneurysms (285 unruptured and 19 ruptured) included were extracted from the Chinese Intracranial Aneurysm Project (CIAP) database. Morphological parameters were quantified via CASAM, and hemodynamic simulations were performed via computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify independent risk factors for aneurysm rupture. The mean age of the patients was 56.91 ± 11.0 years, with afemale predominance (71.7%). Univariate analysis revealed that the undulation index (UI) and nonsphericity index (NSI) were significantly greater in ruptured paraclinoid aneurysms than in unruptured aneurysms. The proportion of ruptured paraclinoid aneurysms located laterally on the ICA was significantly lower than that of those located anteriorly (p = 0.002). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that agreater UI (OR = 1.086, 95% CI 1.012-1.165; p = 0.022) and larger low shear area (LSA) (OR = 1.034, 95% CI 1.004-1.064; p = 0.028) were independent risk factors for rupture. Our findings indicate that agreater UI and alarger LSA are independent risk factors for the rupture of paraclinoid aneurysms. Compared with aneurysms in other orientations, paraclinoid aneurysms located anteriorly to the ICA are more prone to rupture. These findings may be useful in developing more consummate predictive models to enhance the management and surveillance of paraclinoid aneurysms in the future, leading to improved clinical decision-making and better patient outcomes.
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