Innovation in new energy technologies is a key driver in China’s efforts to achieve its environmental goals. However, the ability of different regions to develop and utilize new energy technologies may depend on their level of economic development. Based on a two-way fixed-effects panel data model, this paper empirically analyses the industry carbon emission reduction effect of new energy technology innovation and its heterogeneous performance at different stages of economic development, using data from 30 provinces and cities in China from 2000 to 2019. The results show that new energy technology innovation generally promotes CO2 emissions in China. The specific effects are closely related to the characteristics of the industry and the stage of economic development. At the same time, the implementation of environmental regulations will inhibit this positive effect, while the adjustment of the industrial structure may promote this positive effect. This paper discovers the mechanism of heterogeneity in new energy technology innovation among different provinces with different levels of economic development. This finding helps to fully assess the carbon emission reduction capacity and potential of different provinces and facilitates the rational disaggregation and formulation of climate policy goals among regions.
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