Problem statement. The problem of forecasting the dynamics of heating the embankment of vegetable raw materials due to the action of microorganisms is considered. The activity of microorganisms leads to a local increase in temperature in the embankment of vegetable raw materials, which leads, over time, to a fire in the elevator. Estimating the period of time during which an elevator fire may occur is a particularly important task. The purpose of the article. Development of a numerical multi-parametric model for calculating the process of heating the embankment of vegetable raw materials in the elevator in order to determine the time when a fire may occur in the storage. Methodology. A two-dimensional heat transfer equation (energy equation) is used for mathematical modeling of the heating process of an embankment of plant raw materials. This equation takes into account the possibility of calculating the temperature field in the presence of layers with different thermal properties in the plant material embankment. For the numerical integration of the two-dimensional heat transfer equation, two finite-difference schemes are used. To construct the first finite-difference scheme, the analytical splitting of the modeling heat transfer equation into two steps is carried out. At each step of the splitting, the unknown temperature value is determined according to an explicit “running calculation” scheme. The second finite difference scheme is an explicit scheme for the numerical integration of the two-dimensional heat transfer equation. Scientific novelty. An effective numerical model has been developed that allows to quickly determine how the temperature field inside the embankment of plant raw materials changes with time by the method of a computational experiment in order to determine the time of a possible fire at the elevator. The model takes into account the most significant physical factors affecting the heating process of the plant material embankment. Practical significance. On the basis of the developed model, a computer program was created that allows in real time to determine the temperature field inside the embankment of plant raw materials on the elevator. The numerical model will be useful for analyzing the risk of fire in elevators and developing measures to reduce the occurrence of this extreme situation. Conclusions. A numerical model and a computer program that implements it on a computer have been created, which allows the method of computational experiment to study the dynamics of heating the embankment of vegetable raw materials and predict the time of possible fire. The developed computer program can be implemented on low and medium power computers. The results of a computational experiment are presented.