We examined how individual-level turnover among Veterans Health Administration primary care providers (PCPs) from fiscal years 2017 to 2021 was associated with health care system-level burnout and turnover intent. Burnout among PCPs has been well documented in recent studies, but less is known about the potential relationship between burnout and turnover. We identified a national cohort of 6444 PCPs (physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants) in 129 Veterans Health Administration health care systems in the first quarter of fiscal year 2017 and tracked their employment status for 20 quarters. PCP employment data on turnover were linked to annual health care system-level employee survey data on burnout, turnover intent, and other covariates. We performed logistic regression to estimate the impact of health care system-level burnout and turnover intent on individual PCP turnover, controlling for individual and health care system-level covariates and adjusting for clustering at the health care system level. Median health care system-level burnout ranged from 42.5% to 52.0% annually, and turnover among PCPs ranged from 6.3% to 8.4% (mean = 7.0%; SD = 0.9%). Separation from employment was higher among employees at health care systems with the highest burnout (odds ratio =1.14; 95% CI = 1.01-1.29) and turnover intent (OR = 1.18; 95% CI = 1.03-1.35). PCPs in health care systems with high burnout are more likely to separate from employment. Policymakers and administrators seeking to improve retention should consider system-level interventions to address organizational drivers of burnout.
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