Tropical Western North Pacific Research Articles

Assessing N2 fixation flux and its controlling factors in the (sub)tropical western North Pacific through high‐resolution observations

AbstractThe (sub)tropical western North Pacific is potentially an area of intense nitrogen (N2) fixation in the global ocean, despite limited understanding of the flux and controlling factors. We conducted high‐resolution observations from 2016 to 2021 in this region and used machine learning algorithms to simulate N2 fixation flux. Models estimated an N2 fixation flux from 5.72 to 6.45 Tg N yr−1, with strong seasonal variation and peak rates in summer. The western North Pacific Subtropical Gyre and the Kuroshio Current contributed more to N2 fixation flux than did the adjacent areas. Models suggested that sea surface temperature, photosynthetically available radiation, and nutrient supply were most strongly correlated with seasonal and spatial variations in N2 fixation. This study provides an improved estimation of N2 fixation in the western North Pacific and advances our understanding of its role in ocean productivity.

The contrasting interannual variation and mechanism of the first rainy season precipitation before and after the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

The first rainy season (FRS) is usually considered as a whole when its precipitation variability and the underlying mechanism are discussed. This strategy does not consider the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) onset occurring within the FRS, which implies an abrupt change in nature and, thereby, the possible characteristics and mechanism of precipitation. To overcome this deficiency, this study divides the FRS into two stages before and after the SCSSM onset, revisits their interannual precipitation variability, and finds remarkable differences in the two FRS stages. During the FRS stage before the SCSSM onset, enhanced precipitation is accompanied by an anticyclone centered on the Indian Peninsula and extending further eastward to the Philippines, active synoptic-scale disturbances in the upstream regions of South China and an anomalous anticyclone in the mid-latitudes of East Asia. This configuration reinforces the warm-moisture air transportation from the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea and cold air invasion from the mid-latitude regions to South China. It shapes the pattern of initial ascending motions over South China by both dynamical and thermal forcing. During the FRS stage after the SCSSM onset, in contrast, enhanced precipitation is accompanied by an anomalous anticyclone in the western North Pacific and the mid-latitude Silk Road pattern. This configuration reinforces warm-moisture air transportation from the tropical Western Pacific and cold air from the northwest direction to South China and shapes the initial ascending motion mainly by thermal forcing. The interannual precipitation variability is tied to a tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) dipole for the FRS period before the SCSSM onset but not after. Such a difference is possibly due to the changes in the basic thermal-dynamical state of the atmosphere near the Maritime Continent and the tropical Northwestern Pacific and their different responses to the SST forcing before and after the SCSSM onset.

Suppressive MJO in April 2014 downgraded the 2014/15 El Niño

Abstract The sudden halting of the extreme 2014/15 El Niño expected by many was attributed to the absence of westerly wind bursts (WWBs) in late spring and early summer 2014 in previous works, yet the cause of the lack of WWBs was overlooked. Using the ERA5 reanalysis and IBTrACS dataset, as well as a set of coupled model experiments, we showed that the absence of WWBs in May efficiently downgraded the intensity of the 2014/15 El Niño from a moderate to a weak event, and was closely associated with a strong suppressive MJO originating from the central tropical Indian Ocean in mid-April 2014. The suppressive MJO underwent two pathways once passing through the Maritime Continent in early May. Along the eastward pathway, the strong suppressive MJO prevailed over the western-central equatorial Pacific, directly prohibiting the occurrence of WWBs at the equator via inducing equatorial easterly anomaly. Along the northeastward pathway, the downward motions with relative dry air and strong vertical zonal wind shear associated with the suppressive MJO suppressed the activity of the tropical cyclones in the northwestern tropical Pacific, another source of WWBs. Our results indicate that the contributions of MJO to the development of El Niño from both the direct and indirect ways should be taken into account for improving El Niño prediction.

Impact of Extratropical Circulation in East Asia on Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Frequency and Intensity

Abstract This study examines the East Asia and western North Pacific (WNP) monsoon circulation patterns for strong and weak WNP tropical cyclone (TC) numbers in summer. It suggested that years with more intense TCs are coupled with the tropical monsoon circulations, including the northward cross-equatorial airflow and the extending tropical monsoon trough toward the central-eastern WNP. However, a higher frequency of weak TCs can be largely attributed to the mutual interactions among the tropical monsoon trough west of 140°E, the westward South Asia high, and the high pressure anomaly in Northeast Asia (NEA). Then the potential influence of the NEA extratropical system is focused on. The resultant local negative potential vorticity (PV) anomaly is carried southeastward by the prevailing flow. It stimulates a descending flow around 30°N, which favors the westward retreat of the South Asian high and the decreased zonal vertical wind shear around 20°N. The associated lower-level outflow converges in the tropical WNP and reinforces the ascending motion around 10°–20°N. Meanwhile, the warm air column in NEA also contributes to anomalous easterlies in a band around 30°N, intensifying the lower-level cyclonic vorticity in the northwestern WNP. Consequently, the ascending motion, cyclonic vorticity, and the weakened zonal vertical wind shear in northwestern WNP promote the WTC formation. A set of physically based empirical models is developed using various physically based predictors to reconstruct the number of intense and weak TCs. Cross-validated hindcasts suggest that the NEA extratropical circulation can serve as an additional source of predictability for the weak TC variability. Significance Statement Tropical cyclones (TCs) are a highly destructive type of natural disaster that have garnered widespread attention. By comparison with intense TCs (ITCs), weak TCs (WTCs) are much more numerous and often form closer to the coastal regions of East Asia, whose mechanism has not been fully understood. In this study, we suggest that more ITCs are controlled by tropical monsoon circulations, while the WTC variability is closely coupled with both tropical and extratropical monsoon systems. In addition to the tropical monsoon trough west of 140°E and the westward South Asian high, the Northeast Asian circulation can regulate the WTC number by changing the lower-level vorticity, vertical motion, and vertical wind shear in the WTC genesis-prone region, which can be applied to improve the seasonal prediction skill of WTCs.

Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau

The increase in intense tropical cyclone (TC) activity across the western North Pacific (WNP) has often been attributed to a warming ocean. However, it is essential to recognize that the tropical WNP region already boasts high temperatures, and a marginal increase in oceanic warmth due to global warming does not exert a significant impact on the potential for TCs to intensify. Here we report that the weakened vertical wind shear is the primary driver behind the escalating trend in TC intensity within the summer monsoon trough of the tropical WNP, while local ocean surface and subsurface thermodynamic factors play a minor role. Through observational diagnoses and numerical simulations, we establish that this weakening of the vertical wind shear is very likely due to the increase in temperature of the Tibetan Plateau. With further warming of the Tibetan Plateau under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 scenario, the projected TCs will likely become stronger.

Non-ENSO Precursors for Northwestern Pacific Summer Monsoon Variability with Implications for Predictability

Abstract The influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Asian monsoon region can persist through the post-ENSO summer, after the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Pacific have dissipated. The long persistence of coherent post-ENSO anomalies is caused by a positive feedback due to interbasin ocean–atmospheric coupling, known as the Indo-western Pacific Ocean capacitor (IPOC) effect, although the feedback mechanism itself does not necessarily rely on the antecedence of ENSO events, suggesting the potential for substantial internal variability independent of ENSO. To investigate the respective role of ENSO forcing and non-ENSO internal variability, we conduct ensemble “forecast” experiments with a full-physics, globally coupled atmosphere–ocean model initialized from a multidecadal tropical Pacific pacemaker simulation. The leading mode of internal variability as represented by the forecast-ensemble spread resembles the post-ENSO IPOC, despite the absence of antecedent ENSO forcing by design. The persistent atmospheric and oceanic anomalies in the leading mode highlight the positive feedback mechanism in the internal variability. The large sample size afforded by the ensemble spread allows us to identify robust non-ENSO precursors of summer IPOC variability, including a cool SST patch over the tropical northwestern Pacific, a warming patch in the tropical North Atlantic, and downwelling oceanic Rossby waves in the tropical Indian Ocean south of the equator. The pathways by which the precursors develop into the summer IPOC mode and the implications for improved predictability are discussed.

Tropical cyclone activity around Taiwan modulated by El Niño during 1900–1945 and 1970–2015

AbstractTropical cyclone (TC) activity around Taiwan is analysed via typhoon datasets compiled by the Central Weather Administration (CWA) for the pre‐satellite era of 1900–1945 (IE1) and the satellite era of 1970–2015 (IE2). Modulating processes imposed by El Niño years on active and inactive TC activity around Taiwan in the July–September season are examined and compared between IE1 and IE2. Analyses reveal coherent dynamic relationships between TC variability in Taiwan and large‐scale modulating processes; furthermore, modulating processes exhibit similar features between IE1 and IE2. El Niño years tend to have more (less) TC formation in the eastern (western) sector of the western North Pacific (WNP). In both IE1 and IE2, intensified TC activity around Taiwan is associated with northwestward TC tracks from the eastern WNP toward Taiwan assisted by a westward‐elongating cyclonic anomaly across the WNP and South China Sea. When a WNP cyclonic anomaly stretches northwestward toward oceans north of Taiwan, TCs from the tropical eastern WNP generally move northward toward oceans east of Taiwan to result in suppressed TC activity around Taiwan. The westward‐elongating anomalous cyclone is associated with an anomalous divergent centre over the Indian Ocean and an anomalous convergent centre in the tropical eastern Pacific over the 150°–130°W region. The northwestward‐extending anomalous cyclone connects with an anomalous divergent centre over the Maritime Continent and an anomalous convergent centre over the 130°–110°W region. Anomalous divergent and convergent centres displace westward (eastward) for active (inactive) TC types that are related to a more westward (eastward) maximum centre of anomalous warm waters in the tropical eastern Pacific. The above coherent dynamic relationships justify the reliability of TC records compiled by the CWA during IE1 and IE2.

A teleconnection pattern of upper-tropospheric circulation anomalies over the Eurasian continent associated with the interannual variability of atmospheric convection over the tropical western North Pacific in July

It has been well documented that the interannual variation of atmospheric convection over the tropical western North pacific (WNP) affects the East Asian climate in summer significantly, and can be influenced by the preceding winter ENSO. However, there is also a large portion of WNP convection variability that cannot be explained by the preceding ENSO. This study suggests that, particularly in July, the WNP convection anomalies are closely associated with a teleconnection pattern of upper-tropospheric circulation anomalies over the Eurasian continent, which is characterized by an anomalous cyclone over Europe, an anticyclone over Central Asia, and a zonally elongated cyclone over East Asia. This teleconnection pattern can also be detected by the first leading mode of upper-tropospheric circulation in July. The authors conclude, based on the present results and those of previous studies, that the teleconnection pattern induces WNP convection anomalies through Rossby wave breaking near the Asian jet exit region, and this impact is comparable to that of the preceding winter ENSO.摘要热带西北太平洋大气对流的年际变化对东亚夏季气候有着显著影响, 而且受到前冬ENSO的影响. 然而, 还有相当多的西北太平洋对流年际变化不能由前冬ENSO解释. 本文表明, 7月西北太平洋对流受到欧亚大陆对流层上层遥相关型的显著影响, 且这一影响与前冬ENSO的影响程度相当. 该遥相关型表现为位于欧洲的气旋式环流异常, 中亚的反气旋式环流异常和东亚带状延伸的气旋式环流异常, 并表现为7月对流层上层环流的第一主模态. 基于本文的结果并结合前人的研究, 作者认为这一遥相关型能通过亚洲急流出口区附近的罗斯贝波破碎引起西北太平洋对流异常.

The Summer Atmospheric Convection Variability over the Tropical Western North Pacific Independent of and Dependent on the Preceding Winter ENSO

Abstract It has been well known that the preceding winter ENSO affects the atmospheric convection over the tropical western North Pacific (WNP) in summer, which has important impacts on Asian climate. However, more than half of the interannual variance in tropical WNP convection cannot be explained by ENSO. This study separates the WNP convection into two components, namely, independent of and dependent on the preceding winter ENSO, and compares the anomalies associated with these two components. The linear regression results indicate that the independent convection suppression corresponds to significant cyclonic anomalies over East Asia in both the lower and upper troposphere, and correspondingly a southward displacement of upper-tropospheric East Asian westerly jet. By contrast, these circulation anomalies are weakened for the dependent convection suppression, which is more closely related to the lower-tropospheric cyclonic anomalies over the Indian Ocean. Accordingly, the independent and dependent components exert distinct impacts on rainfall and temperature in Asia. Specifically, the independent suppression corresponds to more significantly enhanced rainfall in subtropical East Asia compared with the dependent one. Moreover, there are colder surface air temperatures in the midlatitude East Asia for the independent suppression and warmer temperatures in South and Southeast Asia for the dependent suppression. Further analyses suggest that the circulation and climate anomalies for the independent component are mainly contributed by July and August, while those for the dependent component become weak from June to August. These results can be helpful for a better understanding of summer Asian climate variability and predictability.

Variation in the Impact of ENSO on the Western Pacific Pattern Influenced by ENSO Amplitude in CMIP6 Simulations

AbstractThe Western Pacific pattern (WP) is one of the most consequential atmospheric teleconnections during boreal winter, as it profoundly influences weather extremes and climate variability across Eurasia and North America. The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is suggested to be a crucial external forcing of WP variability. In this study, we meticulously evaluated the capability of 56 coupled climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6th phase (CMIP6) in replicating the winter ENSO‐WP connection. Our results reveal notable diversities in the portrayal of the winter ENSO‐WP relation across CMIP6 models. This model diversity in the ENSO‐WP connections primarily stems from the spread of the models' simulated ENSO amplitude. Specifically, models with enhanced ENSO amplitudes exhibit intensified sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the equatorial central‐eastern Pacific. This enhancement of SST anomalies faciliates stronger atmospheric convective anomalies, especially in the extratropical eastern Pacific and the tropical western North Pacific. Of particular note is the intensified atmospheric convective anomalies in the tropical western North Pacific, which exert a pivotal role in shaping the WP through initiating a distinct atmospheric teleconnection pattern.

Possible factors responsible for the withdrawal process of the South Asian high during summer-to-winter transition

This study investigates the possible factors responsible for interannual variations in the withdrawal process of the South Asian high (SAH) during its summer-to-winter transition. The SAH is more obviously intensified from July to September and lasts longer over the Tibetan Plateau in late-withdrawal years (L_SAH) than early-withdrawal years (E_SAH). The L_SAH tends to appear during the stage when an El Niño has faded away and a La Niña begins to emerge, with warm SST anomalies occurring over the northern Indian Ocean and tropical northwestern Pacific, and cold anomalies existing across the equatorial central eastern Pacific. The influences of these anomalous SST variations on the SAH's withdrawal process take place primarily through two pathways. On the one hand, warm SST anomalies over the northern Indian Ocean and tropical western Pacific can warm the local tropospheric column above via a Matsunuo-Gill response to moisture adjustment and subsequently lead to an intensified and later withdrawal of the SAH. On the other hand, accompanied by warm SST anomalies, an abnormally intensified anticyclone is observed over the northwestern Pacific that shifts southwestwards and brings abundant rainfall to the region between the Yellow River and Yangtze River in July and August via southwesterly water vapor transport. Consequently, latent heating will generate positive geopotential height anomalies on its northwest side in the upper troposphere and ultimately result in an intensified and later withdrawal of the SAH. In addition, warm surface air temperature over the Tibetan Plateau in September also plays a significant role in lengthening the maintenance of the SAH over the Tibetan Plateau. However, the E_SAH tends be weak and lasts for a shorter period over the Tibetan Plateau. The E_SAH tends to occur together with a developing El Niño event, with cold SST anomalies existing over the northern Indian Ocean and tropical northwestern Pacific. Negative SST anomalies, together with a weak and northeastward-shifting subtropical western Pacific high, result in a weak SAH and quicken its withdrawal process from the Tibetan Plateau via cooling the local tropospheric column and reducing rainfall over East Asia, respectively.

Comparison of changes in quasi-biweekly oscillation intensity over the western North Pacific during the developing late-summer of super El Niño events

This study investigated the differences in the changes in the quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) intensity over the western North Pacific during the developing late-summer (1982, 1997 and 2015) of three super El Niño events and the possible reasons. The late-summer QBWO intensity was enhanced in these three years and the enhanced QBWO intensity in 2015, which was the strongest during 1980–2017, was remarkably stronger than that in 1982 and 1997. This mainly resulted from the differences in the anomalous late-summer background atmospheric conditions over the northwestern tropical Pacific, which were further modulated by the differences in the sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific. While strong warming appeared in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (CEEP) in these three years, the warming and its center extended further west in 2015. More importantly, the warming in the central and eastern North Pacific (CENP) in 2015 was the strongest during 1980–2017, whereas there was cooling in 1982 and moderate warming in 1997. In 2015, the strong and westward-extended warming in the CEEP and the strongest warming in the CENP led to the strongest increased lower-level moisture and anomalous easterly vertical shear over the northwestern tropical Pacific during 1980–2017, favoring the strongest QBWO intensity. Numerical experiments confirmed the role of warming in the CENP in 2015. Besides, the frequency of extreme precipitation events over southern China during the late-summer of 2015 was the maximum of 1980–2017 and was closely related to the enhanced QBWO intensity over the western North Pacific.

Diverse Impacts of ENSO on the Intensity of Tropical Western North Pacific Synoptic‐Scale Disturbances During Boreal Summer

AbstractPresent study analyzes diverse impacts of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the intensity of synoptic‐scale disturbances (SSDs) over the tropical western North Pacific (TWNP) during boreal summer. Asymmetric changes in the SSD intensity are detected in El Niño (EN) and La Niña (LN) developing summers. The increase in the SSD intensity is larger and located more eastward in EN developing summers compared to the decrease in LN developing summers. The asymmetric SSD intensity changes are associated with an eastward shift of anomalous low‐level cyclone and mid‐level ascent during EN developing summers relative to opposite anomalies during LN developing summers. The above difference is attributed to zonally asymmetric anomalous equatorial central‐eastern Pacific heating and cooling in EN and LN years. Sensitivity experiments with an atmospheric general circulation model illustrate that the major reason for asymmetric TWNP SSD intensity changes is the asymmetric atmospheric response to opposite sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in EN and LN years. Comparisons between strong and moderate ENSO events show an obvious dependence of the SSD intensity change on the amplitude of EN, but not on the amplitude of LN. This indicates a stronger sensitivity to warmer SST than to colder SST. The enhancement of the TWNP SSD intensity is confined to a more westward longitude in Central than Eastern Pacific EN years with a comparable magnitude.

Interdecadal variability of meridional tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific and associated modulating processes

AbstractDuring the period 1970–2020, evident interdecadal variability of meridional tropical cyclone (TC) genesis occurs in the western North Pacific (WNP) from September through October (SO). From the periods 1970–1996 (IP1) to 1998–2020 (IP2), TC genesis during SO is enhanced (suppressed) in the region north (south) of 20°N. The large‐scale modulating processes feature a general warming of sea surface temperature (SST) over the WNP and systematic northward displacement in atmospheric circulations. The northward‐shifted Pacific subtropical high and monsoon trough result in an anomalous anticyclone across the subtropical region and an anomalous cyclone across the South China Sea and the northern WNP east of Taiwan. This anomalous cyclone facilitates TC genesis to increase in the northern WNP. Meanwhile, the southeastward‐extending monsoon trough retreats northwestward, leading to an anomalous anticyclone over the tropical eastern WNP and a decrease in TC genesis over the southern region. Correlation analyses indicate that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is more effective than global warming in modulating interdecadal increases of TC genesis in the northern region due to inclusions of both trend and oscillation features. Interdecadal decreases of TC genesis in the southern region exhibit a major oscillation feature and are thus mainly affected by interdecadal oscillation components of PDO. More TCs forming in the oceans east of Taiwan are steered by the overlying anomalous cyclone to recurve northward toward oceans to the northeast and north of Taiwan. TC‐induced rainfall over Taiwan thus increases by 25% from IP1 to IP2, which accounts for about 82% of increased total rainfall in Taiwan, showing the notable impact of interdecadal TC genesis on local climate in the WNP.

Asymmetrical Modulation of the Relationship Between the Western Pacific Pattern and El Niño–Southern Oscillation by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the Boreal Winter

AbstractTropical atmospheric convection generated by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays a crucial role in affecting the western Pacific pattern (WP) in the boreal winter by triggering an atmospheric teleconnection. Here we show from analysis of observations and model simulations that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) asymmetrically modulates the relationship between ENSO and WP. We find a significant modulatory effect of AMO on the relationship between wintertime El Niño and WP. A robust El Niño−WP relation can be attributed to the negative AMO phase (−AMO), yet a weak relationship during the positive AMO phase (+AMO). In contrast, the relationship between La Niña and WP is independent of AMO modulation. Furthermore, during the −AMO period, stronger El Niño amplitudes lead to stronger atmospheric convection anomalies over the tropical western North Pacific, which excites stronger atmospheric teleconnection and thus has a more significant effect on WP than during the +AMO period.

Effect of Large-Scale Circulation Anomalies on Summer Rainfall over the Yangtze River Basin: Tropical versus Extratropical

Abstract This study investigates the tropical and extratropical circulation anomalies that directly affect the summer rainfall over the Yangtze River basin (YRB). In the lower troposphere, the tropical circulation anomalies that enhance the YRB rainfall manifest as an anticyclonic anomaly over the tropical western North Pacific (WNP) and the extratropical circulation anomalies are characterized by northeasterly anomalies to the north of the YRB. It is found that the heavier the YRB rainfall, the more necessary the cooperation between the tropical WNP anticyclonic anomaly and the midlatitude northeasterly anomalies, and compared to the tropical WNP anticyclonic anomaly, the midlatitude northeasterly anomalies can more efficiently induce the YRB rainfall. Further results indicate that the tropical WNP anticyclonic anomaly exhibits notable quasi-biweekly feature and provides a favorable background for the enhanced YRB rainfall. By contrast, the northeasterly anomalies are dominated by synoptic variability. Furthermore, there are significant precursor signals for the lower-tropospheric northeasterly anomalies. These signals manifest as the eastward propagation of two wave trains in the upper troposphere: a midlatitude one and a high-latitude one, which tend to be independent. The midlatitude one originates around the Mediterranean Sea and propagates eastward along the Asian westerly jet. The high-latitude one propagates over the high-latitude Eurasian continent, from Europe eastward to Lake Baikal and then southeastward to East Asia.

Microplastics in the tropical Northwestern Pacific Ocean and the Indonesian seas

The abundance of microplastics fragments with sizes larger than 0.30–0.35 mm is measured during two research cruises in the tropical Northwestern Pacific Ocean and inside the Indonesian seas. The fragments are confirmed to be primarily nylon, polyester, and polyethylene etc. microplastics in the western Pacific by Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FT-IR), whereas dominated by polyethylene in the Indonesian seas based on Raman spectrum analyses. The abundance of the microplastics is found to be very low (<0.018 particles m−3) in the surface waters of the North Equatorial Current and the Kuroshio, suggesting no westward extension of the Great Pacific Garbage Belt and lack of microplastics accumulation due to mass convergence in the western boundary current. The abundances of the microplastics in the Makassar Strait of the Indonesian seas are found to be higher by an order of magnitude than those in the Northwestern Pacific, believed to be due to river run-offs carrying microplastics from nearby lands. The largest microplastics abundance is found in the northeastern Maluku Sea, where concurrent current measurements suggest a branch of the Indonesian Throughflow bringing accumulated microplastics from the eastern Indonesian seas into the convergent area of multiple strong currents. The study underlines the importance of ocean circulation in the microplastics distributions and transportation, and suggests the importance of high-resolution spatial mapping in the budget analysis of global microplastics distribution.

Typhoon-related changes in moisture pathways and sources for precipitation in Eastern China during the three major rainy seasons

Typhoons (TYs) and their interactions with large-scale ambient flow might exert an important control on moisture transport and precipitation. In this study, we used a Lagrangian model, the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT), to quantify changes in moisture pathways and sources associated with TY activity in relation to precipitation in eastern China during the three major rainy seasons. We compared TY-active and TY-inactive periods, i.e., the periods with and without TYs (maximum sustained surface wind speeds of up to 32.7 m/s), over the western North Pacific (WNP) to investigate TY-associated changes for the period 1979–2020. During the pre-summer rainy season in South China, anomalous moisture exhibited a north–south dipole pattern, with moisture contributions from the region extending from the South China Sea to the adjacent tropical WNP showing a 17.0% decrease during TY-active compared with TY-inactive periods (34.7% versus 41.8%, respectively), and contributions from the region extending from southwestern China to the northwestern North Pacific showing a 18.9% increase (17.0% versus 14.3%, respectively) and those from the Bay of Bengal showing a 16.6% increase (17.6% versus 15.1%, respectively). The moisture anomaly during the Meiyu rainy season in the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin had an east–west dipole structure, with the moisture contribution from the Bay of Bengal reduced by 21.8% as compared with TY-inactive periods, and that from the WNP increased by 62.3%. During the rainy season of North China, the moisture contribution from the Indian Ocean decreased by 7.2%, while that from the WNP increased by 8.7% and from Northeast China increased by 10.0%. In addition, during TY-active periods, moisture contributions with local origins showed a slight increase.

Distinctive Features of Monsoon-TC Joint Rainfall over Western North Pacific and its Relationship with the Maritime Continent Thermal Condition

ABSTRACT The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Western North Pacific (WNP) are both responsible for the East Asian summer rainfall, yet most studies only examine their rainfall separately. In this study, the East Asian summer rainfall for the past 39-years (1983-2021, May to September) is divided into three categories: monsoon rainfall without TCs’ influence (monsoon-only rainfall), TC rainfall independent of monsoon (TC-only rainfall) and monsoon-TC joint (MS-TC) rainfall. Compared with the other two categories, MS-TC rainfall exhibits distinctive features. During strong MS-TC years, a distinct cyclonic anomaly centre prevails over tropical WNP with anomalous southeasterlies extending from the tropics to the subtropics. Large rainfall centres are located at the west edge of the northern Philippines, the Philippine Basin, and the Korean Peninsula. The WNP Subtropical High (WNPSH) withdrawals eastward, with an eastward extension of the monsoon trough. These circulation configurations provide favourable environmental conditions for more northward movements of TCs, including low-level positive relative vorticity and enhanced vertical motion in WNP. Observational and theoretical analysis results show that anomalous thermal conditions in the southern Maritime Continent (MC) (97.5°−112.5°E, 8°−18°S) in early spring (March to April) can be a precursor for anomalous MS-TC rainfall. Strong MS-TC rainfall is usually preceded by depressed convection and anomalous westerlies near the MC. These anomalies can persist through the following summer and induce the positive feedback of cooling sea surface temperature (SST) in MC and cyclonic anomalies in tropical WNP through the wind-evaporation-SST (WES) effect and local Hadley circulation anomalies. The linear baroclinic model (LBM) experiments demonstrate that enhanced convection in tropical WNP further maintains the anomalous cyclone through Gill's response, which in turn modulates the distribution and amount of MS-TC rainfall.

The Coupling Between Tropical Meteorology, Aerosol Lifecycle, Convection, and Radiation during the Cloud, Aerosol and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex)

Abstract The NASA Cloud, Aerosol, and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex) employed the NASA P-3, Stratton Park Engineering Company (SPEC) Learjet 35, and a host of satellites and surface sensors to characterize the coupling of aerosol processes, cloud physics, and atmospheric radiation within the Maritime Continent’s complex southwest monsoonal environment. Conducted in the late summer of 2019 from Luzon, Philippines, in conjunction with the Office of Naval Research Propagation of Intraseasonal Tropical Oscillations (PISTON) experiment with its R/V Sally Ride stationed in the northwestern tropical Pacific, CAMP2Ex documented diverse biomass burning, industrial and natural aerosol populations, and their interactions with small to congestus convection. The 2019 season exhibited El Niño conditions and associated drought, high biomass burning emissions, and an early monsoon transition allowing for observation of pristine to massively polluted environments as they advected through intricate diurnal mesoscale and radiative environments into the monsoonal trough. CAMP2Ex’s preliminary results indicate 1) increasing aerosol loadings tend to invigorate congestus convection in height and increase liquid water paths; 2) lidar, polarimetry, and geostationary Advanced Himawari Imager remote sensing sensors have skill in quantifying diverse aerosol and cloud properties and their interaction; and 3) high-resolution remote sensing technologies are able to greatly improve our ability to evaluate the radiation budget in complex cloud systems. Through the development of innovative informatics technologies, CAMP2Ex provides a benchmark dataset of an environment of extremes for the study of aerosol, cloud, and radiation processes as well as a crucible for the design of future observing systems.