Tropical North Atlantic Research Articles

Dissolved Organic Matter Fluorescence as a Tracer of Upwelling and Microbial Activities in Two Cyclonic Eddies in the Eastern Tropical North Atlantic

AbstractMesoscale eddies are frequently observed in the Eastern Tropical North Atlantic (ETNA), yet their effects on the transport and distribution of biogeochemical solutes, and specifically on the production and remineralization of dissolved organic matter (DOM) remain difficult to elucidate. Here, we investigated the submesoscale variability of chromophoric DOM (CDOM) and fluorescent DOM (FDOM) together with microbial production and remineralization processes in two cyclonic eddies (CEs) in the ETNA during summer and winter 2019. One CE, formed near the coast off Mauritania during the post‐upwelling season, was sampled along a ∼900 km zonal corridor between Mauritania and the Cape Verde Islands. The other CE, formed nearby Brava Island, was out of coastal influence. Four fluorescent components were identified with parallel factor analysis, two humic‐like, and two protein‐like components. Humic‐like FDOM components correlated to optode‐based community respiration and were also good indicators of upwelling associated with the Brava Island CE as they correlated to physical parameters (e.g., temperature) and to dissolved inorganic nitrogen. The tryptophan‐like FDOM components correlated with the carbon and nitrogen content of semi‐labile DOM, phytoplankton biomass, community respiration, and bacterial production. Overall, our study revealed that DOM optical properties are suitable for tracing freshly produced organic matter and the transport of remineralized DOM within offshore eddies.

Influences of tropical Pacific and North Atlantic SST anomalies on summer drought over Asia

Influences of tropical Pacific and North Atlantic SST anomalies on summer drought over Asia

Warming trends of southwestern Atlantic SST and the summer's warmest SST's impact on South American climate

AbstractSeveral atmospheric variables are directly influenced by oceanic conditions, mainly the sea surface temperature (SST). SST trends and variability over the southwestern Atlantic (SWA) have affected the South American climate, principally the monsoonal period (austral summer). This study analysed the SST trends over the SWA for all seasons. In addition, possible large‐scale triggers of the austral summer's warmest SST over the SWA and the straight impacts of these warmest SSTs on the South American climate were investigated. The results showed a significant positive SST trend of approximately 0.02°C·year−1 over the SWA for all seasons. Since 2000, positive SST anomalies have increased in frequency in all seasons, with the seven warmest summers occurring during the 2010s. The highest SST summers over the SWA have been related to four leading causes: (i) planetary waves triggered by warm anomalies over the subtropical South Pacific; (ii) an omega‐type blocking configuration over the South Atlantic; (iii) a Southern Annular Mode positive phase; and (iv) a strengthening of the Hadley Cell, responding to warm SST over tropical North Atlantic. They all reflected on intensification of the South Atlantic Subtropical High and the western boundary current, heating the SWA. The summer's warmest SST led to positive air temperature anomalies extending in almost all of eastern South America, with significantly highest temperatures over southeastern Brazil, northern Argentina and western Paraguay. Clouds decrease strengthen the incident shortwave in southeastern Brazil, warming the region. Significant reduction of cloudiness and precipitation indicate a low performance of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone. The comparison of the warmest summers in 1980s–1990s in the SWA ratified the role of SST intensification. In conclusion, the positive SST trends over the SWA are related to the summer's warmest SST after 2000s, causing heating and dryness in eastern South America, mainly over southeastern Brazil.

Increase in Cape Verde hurricanes during Atlantic Niño

At seasonal-to-interannual timescales, Atlantic hurricane activity is greatly modulated by El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Meridional Mode. However, those climate modes develop predominantly in boreal winter or spring and are weaker during the Atlantic hurricane season (June–November). The leading mode of tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) variability during the Atlantic hurricane season is Atlantic Niño/Niña, which is characterized by warm/cold SST anomalies in the eastern equatorial Atlantic. However, the linkage between Atlantic Niño/Niña and hurricane activity has not been examined. Here, we use observations to show that Atlantic Niño, by strengthening the Atlantic inter-tropical convergence zone rainband, enhances African easterly wave activity and low-level cyclonic vorticity across the deep tropical eastern North Atlantic. We show that such conditions increase the likelihood of powerful hurricanes developing in the deep tropics near the Cape Verde islands, elevating the risk of major hurricanes impacting the Caribbean islands and the U.S.

Interdecadal Variability of the Meridional Wind across the Eastern Equatorial Pacific and Its Relationship with ENSO

Abstract The interdecadal variability of cross-equatorial meridional winds in the eastern Pacific (VEP), which has been shown to correlate with the amplitude of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the interdecadal time scale, is investigated using long-term observations and 22 models from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Both observations and models exhibit a tight negative correlation between interannual variations of VEP and ENSO, and this relationship is synchronized with the interdecadal variability of VEP. In long-term observations, ENSO amplitude modulation is still seen to be out-of-phase with interdecadal variability of VEP. This relationship, however, is substantially underestimated among CMIP6 models, particularly in the historical simulations. The interdecadal variability of VEP is associated with both the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) in observations. However, most CMIP6 preindustrial control (PI-control) experiments have no link between the VEP and AMO. In contrast, in historical simulations, the multimodel mean of interdecadal VEP shows a significant fluctuation with AMO around the 1980s, which might be caused by the anthropogenic aerosol forcing. Consequently, the interdecadal variation of the AMO–VEP relationship is likely a response to external forcing while the IPO–VEP relationship is mainly modulated by internal climate variability. Another plausible factor causing the weak AMO–VEP relationship in PI-control runs is the unrealistic relationship between modeled SSTs in the tropical Pacific and North Atlantic. Furthermore, model biases in the tropical Pacific may account for the weak relationship between interdecadal VEP and ENSO amplitude in CMIP6 models.

Role of the Aleutian Low in Modulating the Connection between the Moderate El Niño and the Following Spring North Tropical Atlantic SST Anomalies

Abstract El Niño events are likely to be followed by significant positive sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) over the north tropical Atlantic (NTA). We find that this is not always true for El Niño with moderate intensity. Nearly half of the moderate El Niño cases are followed by the strong NTA SSTAs, but others are followed by the weak NTA SSTAs, indicating the uncertainty in the connection between the moderate El Niño and the NTA. The differences in the El Niño–related NTA SSTAs are due to the different extratropical teleconnection between El Niño and the NTA, manifesting as a Pacific–North American (PNA) pattern. Further analysis suggests that the deepened Aleutian low (AL) induces the negative North Pacific SSTA, which is associated with a wave train propagating eastward, and, modulates the El Niño–generated PNA pattern. Therefore, El Niños that are accompanied by the strong AL induce a strong PNA pattern that, in turn, leads to the strong NTA SSTAs. The strength of the AL coinciding with El Niño plays a crucial role in modulating the connection between the moderate El Niño and the NTA SSTAs. This observational evidence about the uncertainty in the El Niño–NTA connection and the role of the AL in modulating this connection is further supported by the model simulations that participated in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). These results indicate that the combined effects of El Niño and the AL must be considered to fully understand the NTA SSTA variability. Significance Statement El Niño events often lead to significant warming over the north tropical Atlantic (NTA). We find that the strong El Niño almost always is accompanied by the strong NTA sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs), whereas the moderate El Niño can be followed by either the strong or weak NTA SSTAs, indicating the uncertainty in the connection between the moderate El Niño and the NTA SSTAs. Further analysis demonstrates that El Niño, which is accompanied by the strong (weak) Aleutian low leads to the strong (weak) NTA SSTAs, suggesting that the role of the Aleutian low must be considered to fully understand the El Niño–NTA connection.

The Impact of Tropical SST Biases on the S2S Precipitation Forecast Skill over the Contiguous United States in the UFS Global Coupled Model

Abstract This work investigates the impact of tropical sea surface temperature (SST) biases on the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction project (S2S) precipitation forecast skill over the contiguous United States (CONUS) in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) coupled model Prototype 6. Boreal summer (June–September) and winter (December–March) for 2011–18 were analyzed. The impact of tropical west Pacific (WP) and tropical North Atlantic (TNA) warm SST biases is evaluated using multivariate linear regression analysis. A warm SST bias over the WP influences the CONUS precipitation remotely through a Rossby wave train in both seasons. During boreal winter, a warm SST bias over the TNA partly affects the magnitude of the North Atlantic subtropical high (NASH)’s center, which in the reforecasts is weaker than in reanalysis. The weaker NASH favors an enhanced moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico, leading to increased precipitation over the Southeast United States. Compared to reanalysis, during boreal summer, the NASH’s center is also weaker and in addition, its position is displaced to the northeast. The displacement further affects the CONUS summer precipitation. The SST biases over the two tropical regions and their impacts become stronger as the forecast lead increases from week 1 to 4. These tropical biases explain up to 10% of the CONUS precipitation biases on the S2S time scale.

Impact of North Tropical Atlantic SST variability on Middle East dust activities

Impact of North Tropical Atlantic SST variability on Middle East dust activities

Heterologous expression of genes from a cyanobacterial endosymbiont highlights substrate exchanges with its diatom host.

A few genera of diatoms are widespread and thrive in low-nutrient waters of the open ocean due to their close association with N2-fixing, filamentous heterocyst-forming cyanobacteria. In one of these symbioses, the symbiont, Richelia euintracellularis, has penetrated the cell envelope of the host, Hemiaulus hauckii, and lives inside the host cytoplasm. How the partners interact, including how the symbiont sustains high rates of N2 fixation, is unstudied. Since R. euintracellularis has evaded isolation, heterologous expression of genes in model laboratory organisms was performed to identify the function of proteins from the endosymbiont. Gene complementation of a cyanobacterial invertase mutant and expression of the protein in Escherichia coli showed that R. euintracellularis HH01 possesses a neutral invertase that splits sucrose producing glucose and fructose. Several solute-binding proteins (SBPs) of ABC transporters encoded in the genome of R. euintracellularis HH01 were expressed in E. coli, and their substrates were characterized. The selected SBPs directly linked the host as the source of several substrates, e.g. sugars (sucrose and galactose), amino acids (glutamate and phenylalanine), and a polyamine (spermidine), to support the cyanobacterial symbiont. Finally, transcripts of genes encoding the invertase and SBPs were consistently detected in wild populations of H. hauckii collected from multiple stations and depths in the western tropical North Atlantic. Our results support the idea that the diatom host provides the endosymbiotic cyanobacterium with organic carbon to fuel N2 fixation. This knowledge is key to understanding the physiology of the globally significant H. hauckii-R. euintracellularis symbiosis.

The shift of decadal trend in Middle East dust activities attributed to North Tropical Atlantic variability

The Middle East, as the world’s second-largest dust source region, has dust emissions that significantly impact numerous populated areas, extending from North America to South Asia. Over the past two decades, dust activity in the Middle East has exhibited pronounced variability, with a notable trend shift from positive to negative around 2010. The underlying cause of this trend shift remains elusive. In this study, we employ multi-source datasets and global climate model simulations to demonstrate that the variability of Middle East dust activities is closely tied to changes in North Tropical Atlantic (NTA) sea surface temperature (SST). Specifically, a warm NTA SST anomaly generates an anomalous regional zonal cell characterized by ascending air motion above the NTA and descending air surrounding the Middle East. The associated surface high pressures around the Middle East subsequently induce hot and dry conditions accompanied by intensified Shamal winds in the north, which are favorable for dust emission and transport. The shift in SST trends from positive to negative in the NTA around 2010 is therefore responsible for the observed dust trend shift in the Middle East. This mechanism holds vital implications for predicting decadal dust variability over the Middle East region and further the project of global environment.

Considerations for hypothetical carbon dioxide removal via alkalinity addition in the Amazon River watershed

Abstract. The Amazon River plume plays a critical role in shaping the carbonate chemistry over a vast area in the western tropical North Atlantic. We conduct a sensitivity analysis of hypothetical ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) via quicklime addition in the Amazon River watershed, examining the response of carbonate chemistry and air–sea carbon dioxide flux to the alkalinity addition. Through a series of sensitivity tests, we show that the detectability of the OAE-induced alkalinity increment depends on the perturbation strength (or size of the alkalinity addition, ΔTA) and the number of samples: there is a 90 % chance to meet a minimum detectability requirement with ΔTA>15 µmol kg−1 and sample size >40, given background variability of 15–30 µmol kg−1. OAE-induced pCO2 reduction at the Amazon plume surface would range between 0–25 µatm when ΔTA=20 µmol kg−1, decreasing with increasing salinity (S). Adding 20 µmol kg−1 of alkalinity at the river mouth could elevate the total carbon uptake in the Amazon River plume (15<S<35) by at least 0.07–0.1 Mt CO2 per month, and a major portion of the uptake would occur in the saltiest region (S>32) due to its large size, comprising approximately 80 % of the S>15 plume area. However, the lowest-salinity region (S<15) has a greater drop in surface ocean partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2sw) due to its low buffer capacity, potentially allowing for observational detectability of pCO2sw reduction in this region. Reduced outgassing in this part of the plume, while more uncertain, may also be important for total additional CO2 uptake. Such sensitivity tests are useful in designing minimalistic field trials and setting achievable goals for monitoring, reporting, and verification purposes.

The teleconnection of extreme El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events to the tropical North Atlantic in coupled climate models

Abstract. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a major source for teleconnections, including towards the tropical North Atlantic (TNA) region, whereby TNA sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are positively correlated with ENSO in boreal spring following an ENSO event. However, the Pacific–Atlantic connection can be impacted by different ENSO characteristics, such as the amplitude, location, and timing of Pacific SST anomalies (SSTAs). Indeed, the TNA SSTAs may respond nonlinearly to strong and extreme El Niño events. However, observational data for the number of extreme ENSO events remain limited, restricting our ability to investigate the influence of observed extreme ENSO events. To overcome this issue and to further evaluate the nonlinearity of the TNA SSTA response, two coupled climate models are used, namely the Community Earth System Model version 1 – Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (CESM-WACCM) and the Flexible Ocean and Climate Infrastructure version 1 (FOCI). In both models the TNA SSTAs respond linearly to ENSO during extreme El Niño events but nonlinearly to extreme La Niña events for CESM-WACCM. We investigate differences by using indices for all major mechanisms that connect ENSO to the TNA and compare them with reanalysis. CESM-WACCM and FOCI overall represent the teleconnection well, including that the tropical and extratropical pathways are similar to observations. Our results also show that a large portion of the nonlinearity during La Niña is explained by the interaction between Pacific SSTAs and the overlying upper-level divergence.

Modulations in the Indian Summer Monsoon–ENSO teleconnections by the North Tropical Atlantic

Modulations in the Indian Summer Monsoon–ENSO teleconnections by the North Tropical Atlantic

Decadal variations of Pacific Walker circulation tied to tropical Atlantic–Pacific trans-basin SST gradients

During the modern satellite-monitoring era since ∼1979, the observed Pacific Walker circulation (PWC) presented a pronounced strengthening and robust westward-shifting, defying the model-projected weakening response to anthropogenic warming. The exact cause for the PWC decadal intensification and the corresponding observation-model disagreement remains indecisive. Using two targeted experiments wherein sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical eastern Pacific and North Atlantic are separately restored to follow the observed history, we reveal that the North Atlantic-only SST warming and the tropical eastern Pacific-only SST cooling contribute partly to the PWC decadal adjustment. The North Atlantic SST warming triggers a significant westward displacement of PWC, while the tropical eastern Pacific SST cooling drives mainly the associated shifts of the large-scale atmospheric surface pressure centers. Further, we identify that the tropical Atlantic–eastern Pacific trans-basin SST gradients have dominated the PWC decadal variations over the past century. Our results highlight that a reliable representation of the simulated inter-basin warming contrast between the tropical Atlantic and the tropical eastern Pacific SSTs may be influential in correcting future projections of the PWC strength.

Idealized hydrodynamical numerical model dataset with no-river runoff at the western tropical North Atlantic.

The western tropical North Atlantic (WTNA) is a very complex region, with the influence of intense western boundary currents in connection with equatorial zonal currents, important atmospheric forcings (e.g Intertropical Convergence Zone), mesoscale activities (e.g NBC rings), and the world's largest river discharge as the Amazon River runoff. The volume discharge is equivalent to more than one-third of the Atlantic river freshwater input, with a plume that spreads over the region reaching the northwestward Caribbean Sea and eastward longitudes of 30°W, andinfluencing from physical to biological structures. Therefore, in order to enable and encourage more understanding of the region, here we present a dataset based on an idealized scenario of no river runoff of the Amazon River and Par ´a River in the WTNA. The numerical simulations were conducted with a regional oceanicmodeling system (ROMS) model and three pairs of files were generated with themodel outputs: (i) ROMS-files, with the parameters of the ROMS-outputs raw data in a NetCDF format and monthly and weekly frequencies; (ii) MATLAB-files, which contain oceanographic parameters also in monthly and weekly frequencies; and (iii) NetCDF-files, with oceanographic parameters again in monthly and weekly frequencies. For each file, we present the coordinates and variable names, descriptions, and correspondent units. The dataset is available in the Science Data Bank repository (doi: https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.02145).

Impact of the springtime tropical North Atlantic SST on the South Asian High

Impact of the springtime tropical North Atlantic SST on the South Asian High

Interdecadal variation of atmospheric equatorial Rossby waves during boreal summer

The interdecadal variation of summer equatorial Rossby wave (ERW) intensity and its main drivers are revealed from an analysis of interpolated outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), monthly mean sea surface temperature (SST) data, and ERA5 reanalysis data. After defining an index of ERW intensity (ERWII) by the variance of symmetric ERW-band-filter OLR, results of empirical mode decomposition analysis show that the summer ERWII underwent significant interdecadal variations around 1995/1996 and 2011/2012. In the period 1996–2011, the anomalous pattern with colder SST anomalies over the central-northeastern Pacific and warmer SST anomalies over the tropical North Atlantic Ocean caused stronger pressure gradients through the Gill–Matsuno mechanism. The anomalies of the zonal pressure gradient in the northeastern Pacific–North Atlantic oceans and meridional pressure gradients in the tropical eastern Pacific and tropical eastern Indian Ocean–western Pacific tended to enhance the ERWs by exciting convergence anomalies around the same regions. In the periods 1979–1995 and 2012–2021, the opposite conditions happened. Results of modeled sensitivity experiments confirm the associated physical processes driving this variation. Our findings will advance understanding of extreme weather or climate events in the summer with regard to the ERW variations on interdecadal time scales.

Climatological variations of moisture sources for precipitation of North Atlantic tropical cyclones linked to their tracks

The tropical cyclones (TCs) trajectories are mainly controlled by the large-scale parameters related with the steering flow. We used the HURDAT2 database from 1980 to 2018 for grouping the tracks of TCs formed in the North Atlantic (NATL) main development region into straight moving (SM), recurving landfall (RCL) and recurving ocean (RCO). Based on this classification, we investigated the changes in the moisture sources' contributions to the precipitation along the TCs trajectories for each track category by applying a Lagrangian moisture source diagnostic method to the air parcels pathways from the FLEXPART model. The highest moisture contribution occurred within 3-5° from the average TCs trajectories. The moisture supplied from the Gulf of Mexico represented 19.1% of humidity gained by SM but was negligible for recurving TCs. Likewise, the Caribbean Sea contributed 31.8% for SM, and its humidity support notably decreased for recurving storms to 0.9–8.3%. In addition, the moisture uptake from the tropical NATL was similar for all track types. The western NATL increased the moisture supply from 15.3% for SM to 31.1% for RCO and 42.6% for RCL, while the eastern subtropical NATL provided 3.1% of moisture to SM, 12.5% to RCL and 45.4% to RCO. It was also notable the moisture support from the terrestrial source southeastern United States (5.3%) for RCL tracks. Furthermore, we found that El Niño–Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Atlantic Meridional Mode influence the moisture contributions variability from sources for each track type.

Influence of local scale and oceanic teleconnections on regional fire danger and wildfire trends

Studies and observations have pointed out that recent wildfires have been more severe and burned area is increasing in tropical regions. The current study aims at investigating the influence of oceanic climate modes and their teleconnection on global fire danger and trends in the 1980–2020 interval. Disentangling these trends demonstrates that across the extratropics they are primarily related to increases in temperature, whereas in the tropics changes in short-term precipitation distribution dominates the trends. Moreover, the environmental impact of short-term precipitation is dependent on local vegetation type and tightly related to oceanic temperatures far from the burned areas. Indeed, in the 2001–2020 period, a warmer tropical North Atlantic was associated with more fires in the Amazon and Africa, whereas ENSO has weakened the fire activity in equatorial Africa. The remarkable impact of oceanic modes of climate variability in inducing environmental conditions conducive to fires, has particular relevance for the seasonal spatiotemporal wildfire forecasts. Although local aspects are crucial for fire management, long-term predictions should take into account the behavior of potential climate drivers located far from the region of interest. Such teleconnections can be identified ahead of local weather anomalies.

The Dynamical Tropopause Location as a Potential Predictor for North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity

Abstract Tropical cyclones are among the most devastating natural phenomena that can cause severe damage when undergoing landfall. In the wake of the poorly forecast 2013 North Atlantic hurricane season, Rossby wave breaking on the 350-K isentropic surface has been linked to tropical cyclone activity measured by the accumulated cyclone energy (ACE). Here, ERA5 data and HURDAT2 tropical cyclone data are used to argue that the latitude of the 2 potential vorticity unit (PVU; 1 PVU = 10−6 K kg−1 m2 s−1) contour on the 360-K isentropic surface in the western North Atlantic is linked to changes in vertical wind shear and relative humidity during the month of September. A more equatorward position of the 2-PVU contour is shown to be linked to an increase in vertical wind shear and a reduction in relative humidity, as manifested in an increased ventilation index, in the tropical western North Atlantic during September. The more equatorward position is further linked to a reduction in the number of named storms, storm and hurricane days, hurricane lifetime, and number of tropical cyclones making landfall. Changes in genesis location are shown to be of importance for the changes in landfall frequency and hurricane lifetime. In summary, the 2-PVU contour latitude in the western North Atlantic can, therefore, potentially be used as a predictor in seasonal and subseasonal forecasting. Significance Statement Forecasts for the North Atlantic hurricane season are operationally produced. Their aim is to predict the number of tropical cyclones and their total energy throughout the season. This study proposes to include the tropopause latitude in these forecasts, as it is shown to be linked to vertical wind shear and midtropospheric relative humidity in the western tropical North Atlantic. The tropopause latitude is thereby linked to the number of tropical cyclones, their lifetime, and the total energy throughout the season. This link is particularly strong during September.